DXY Bearish Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
DXY is trading in a strong
Downtrend and the index
Made a bearish breakout
Out of the bearish flag pattern
So we are bearish biased
And we will be expecting
A further bearish move down
Sell!
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DXY trade ideas
US Dollar Index (DXY) - 4 Hour Chart4-hour performance of the US Dollar Index (DXY) from CAPITALCOM, showing a current value of 98.040 with a 0.23% increase (+0.222). The chart includes recent buy and sell signals at 98.094 and 98.040, respectively, with a highlighted resistance zone around 98.706-99.000 and a support zone around 97.291-98.040. The timeframe covers data from early July to mid-August 2025.
DXY Dollar Index – Ready to Drop
🌪️ DXY Dollar Index – Ready to Drop Like a Hot Potato? 💸
Hey traders! 🎯
The DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) is dancing inside a falling wedge 🔻, and it just hit the top of the party zone (red box 🎁).
📍 We're watching for a bounce up to this red zone near 98.151–98.299, then expecting a big slide down like a rollercoaster 🎢 toward:
🎯 Target 1: 97.907
🎯 Target 2: 97.650
🛑 Stop if it jumps over: 98.299
🌀 Pattern: Ending Diagonal / Wave 5 Setup
🧠 Logic: Smart money might be setting up the final wave before a major fall. Let it pop, then drop!
💡 It’s like the last spark before the fireworks go out 🎆
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#DXY #USDIndex #ForexTrading #Wave5 #PriceAction #ChartPattern #SimpleTrading #DollarDrop
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Let me know if you have ant suggestion ,
DXYThe current COT data shows a bullish bias for the U.S. Dollar, with institutional traders positioning net long. Although DXY is moving sideways, this positioning suggests a likely continuation of USD strength. If price breaks above key resistance levels, it would confirm the bullish sentiment reflected in the COT report.
Bearish drop off 50% Fibonacci resistance?The US Dollar Index (DXY) is rising towards the pivot which acts as a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 99..15
1st Support: 96.54
1st Resistance: 100.57
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DXY Eyes Breakout – Dollar Strength Gaining GroundThe U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is testing its 50-day moving average on the daily chart, with bulls eyeing a potential breakout. A move above 98.75 could confirm a short-term trend reversal and open the path for further gains.
Stronger-than-expected U.S. economic data continues to support the greenback. Recent inflation prints, job market resilience, and solid retail spending have pushed back expectations for imminent Fed rate cuts. This shift in rate outlook provides fundamental support for the dollar.
In addition, strong U.S. corporate earnings are bolstering equity markets, attracting capital flows into U.S. assets and indirectly supporting dollar demand. Rising Treasury yields, especially on the short end, also offer more attractive returns for dollar-based investments.
Geopolitical uncertainties and trade tensions in Asia and Europe are prompting a rotation into the dollar as a safe-haven currency.
Meanwhile, some emerging market currencies are under pressure, increasing global demand for dollar liquidity.
Technically, a close above 98.75 could confirm bullish momentum, with 99.80 as the next upside target. As long as macro and risk dynamics lean in the dollar’s favor, DXY may continue its rebound from recent lows.
Bullish continuation for the Dollar?The price is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 97.68
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 96.98
Why we lik eit:
There is an overlap support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 98.88
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
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TCB Strategy Application on DXY 4H✅ TCB Strategy Application on DXY 4H
🔹 Trend → Countertrend → Breakout Structure:
• Trend: We’ve had a bullish recovery from the 97.00 zone (bottom demand), moving within an ascending channel.
• Countertrend Zone: Price has now pulled back from the 99.00–99.200 supply area.
• Breakout Watch:
o A break below the ascending channel (support line) + 98.00 zone would signal countertrend breakout → opens potential for 97.000 retest.
o A break above 99.200 would be a bullish breakout targeting the 100.500–101.000 macro supply zone.
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🔄 What This Means for Dollar Pairs (Especially XAUUSD):
🟥 Scenario 1: Bearish DXY Breakout (98.00 loss)
• Expect XAUUSD bullish continuation, possibly reclaiming upside zones (especially if DXY targets 97.00).
• GBPUSD, EURUSD, etc., likely to gain against USD.
🟩 Scenario 2: Bullish DXY Breakout (Above 99.200)
• XAUUSD may reject from resistance or fall back toward support zones.
• USD strength will put pressure on GBPUSD, EURUSD, and other majors.
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🧠 TCB Notes:
• Checklist Score (Pre-Breakout): ~75%
o ✔ Structure zones marked
o ✔ Channel support tested
o ✔ Reaction to supply zone
o ✖ Awaiting breakout candle + NY session confirmation
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🔔 Suggested Alerts (Set in TradingView):
• DXY Breakout Alert: 98.00 (bearish trigger)
• DXY Bullish Trigger Alert: 99.20 or trendline breakout
• Match these alerts with corresponding TCB setups on XAUUSD, GBPUSD, etc.
DXY 4Hour TF - July 20th, 2025DXY 7/20/2025
DXY 4hour Neutral Idea
Monthly - Bearish
Weekly - Bearish
Dailly - Bearish
4hour - Bullish
Higher timeframe trend analysis suggests that DXY is primarily bearish and is currently retracing to potential resistance.
Going into this week we are looking to see if our 98.000 zone will stay as support or transition into resistance. Here are two scenarios which highlight both a bullish and bearish outcome:
Bullish Continuation - Last week we saw a strong rally through our 98.000 zone which seems to still be holding. If this 4hour bullish trend is to continue we would like to see some sort of rejection off 98.000 support while also confirming a higher low. If this happens look to target higher toward major resistance levels like 99.250.
Bearish Reversal- If we are to consider DXY bearish again on the 4hour we would need to see a break below 98.000 support and confirm this level as new resistance.
There are a few major support levels to watch out for but DXY has the potential to fall dramatically if we see price get below 97.500.
DOLLAR INDEX TO COMPLETE WAVE 5 TARGET at 98.866In this short video I dive into the technical breakdown of the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) as it approaches the anticipated Wave 5 surge, aiming for the key resistance level of 98.866. Using Elliott Wave Theory, this analysis maps out the market’s current structure on the 4 hours timeframe, highlights critical pivot zones, and projects the bullish momentum that could reshape short-term outlooks. Whether you're a seasoned trader or a curious observer, this chart-driven insight offers clarity in the wave progression and what might come next.
USD Is Still Bullish! Wait For Buys!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of July 21-25th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market:
USD
The DXY has run bullish last week, up into an area of Supply, where the momentum hesitates now. Next week may pull back a bit... before continuing higher to the buy side liquidity.
Look out for the short term pullback to the W +FVG for a high probability move higher!
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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DXY Indecisive
DXY remains locked in its previous week's range, especially locked in Wednesday's range.
The Thursday rally above Wednesday's high appears to be a fake breakout aimed at trapping traders long.
With stops seemingly below Wednesday (Previous Week Low), how we trade past the previous week high or/and low should inform the unfolding direction.
With a run to the previous week's low and high possible, caution is recommended. Await expansion avoid the surge of new's release in the coming week and the choppiness that could unfold.
DXYDXY refers to the U.S dollar index ,an index that measures the value of united state dollar relative to a basket of six major foreign currencies ,it was originally developed by FED'S
THE SIX MEJOR CURRENCIES ARE ;
.euro,japaneses yen, pounds sterling, Canadian dollar, Swedish krona,swiss franc.
the index is used by investors ,traders and economist to gauge the overall strength of the U.S dollar in a global currency markets. Its rise and fall will influence trade ,investment and monetary policy decision in fx window.
on 4hr we are rejected and i will watch market open and close on Monday for trade directional bias for the following pairs (AUDUSD,USDCAD,USDZAR,GBPUSD,EURUSD,USDJPY,XAUUSD XAGUSD,XCUUSD,BITCOIN )
NOTE;TRADING IS 100% PROBABILITY,RISK MANAGEMENT IS KEY AND GET ACCOUNTABLITY PARTENER WHO WILL BE CHECKING YOUR WORK..
#DXY #DOLLAR
DXY area to watch.Approaching the extreme of the recent bearish leg. If it holds, then expect most major pairs (EURUSD, GBPUSD etc) to continue their upside momentum. If it fails, then we can expect to see further downside moves on the majors.
As per my strategy. That extreme POI swept a previous high, created the BOS, and sits beautifully on the 71% retracement level. The majority of my confluences are ticked, just missing that clear 'Imbalance'. So now we wait, and monitor the reaction on the 4H. If we see a nice clean liquidity sweep, BOS + Imbalance then I'm in for sells.
Let me know your thoughts, anything can happen!