DXY have a look on my profile and see idea 💡U.S. Dollar Currency Index forum
DXY have a look on my profile and see idea 💡
🌀 CPI Optionality Builds — Is Volatility About to Snap?
📆 Tue, July 08, 2025 | ⏰ 10:30 London / 05:30 NY
📦 Market Context: Yields climb, vols compress — CPI risk is coiling beneath the surface.
📉 Data Recap:
• 3M & 6M auctions → 4.255% / 4.145% → bid soft but stable
• Fed Balance Sheet → $6.66T → flat, no liquidity impulse
• NFIB Small Biz → <99 expected → margin pressure signal
🔎 Today’s Calendar Highlights:
• 11:00 – Consumer Inflation Expectations
→ Forecast: 3.2%
→ Expected Bias: Sticky print = CPI sensitivity
• 13:00 – 3Y Note Auction
→ Forecast: 3.972%
→ Expected Bias: Duration test into CPI
• 15:00 – Consumer Credit
→ Forecast: $12.1B
→ Expected Bias: Weak = demand slowdown
• All Day – Used Car Prices
→ Forecast: –1.4% MoM
→ Expected Bias: Disinflationary CPI component
📊 Reactions to Watch:
•
SPX: Holding 6,245 — bounce structure, but VX1! still low
•
NDX: Coiled under 23K — waiting for breakout fuel
• Gold: Below 3,330 — no hedge flows yet
• USD (DXY): Firming above 97.50 — pre-CPI bounce
• BTC: Flat near 108K — indecisive, no flow follow-through
• Oil: Rejected at 68.5 — supply pressure visible
🔍 Flow Notes:
• SPX: Structure intact >6,200, compression may unwind fast
• NDX: Still pinned — CPI surprise could break either way
• BTC: No conviction — 110K level key for trend unlock
• Gold: Below macro hedge level — inflation hedge not active
• USD: CPI will confirm if this bounce holds or fades
📈 Trade Ideas for Today
• 🟢 Long Bias: SPX — if 6,200 holds, breakout potential on soft CPI
• 🔴 Short Bias: Gold — below 3,330 = no hedge demand
• ⚖️ Neutral: BTC — avoid until clear >110K or <107K range break
Best Wishes and Success to All
🛡️ Take Profits, Not Chances.
💰 Manage Risk to Accumulate.
🎯 React with Clarity, Not Hope.
🌊 Flow with Intelligence, Not Noise.
⚙️ Views are Personal & Educational, reflective of our Analysis and Research.
🎯 Summary posts only. Full context via DM
⚠️ Educational content only. Not investment advice.
📉 Economic Calendar data reflects positioning as of July 08 (reported July 08)
📆 Tue, July 08, 2025 | ⏰ 10:30 London / 05:30 NY
📦 Market Context: Yields climb, vols compress — CPI risk is coiling beneath the surface.
📉 Data Recap:
• 3M & 6M auctions → 4.255% / 4.145% → bid soft but stable
• Fed Balance Sheet → $6.66T → flat, no liquidity impulse
• NFIB Small Biz → <99 expected → margin pressure signal
🔎 Today’s Calendar Highlights:
• 11:00 – Consumer Inflation Expectations
→ Forecast: 3.2%
→ Expected Bias: Sticky print = CPI sensitivity
• 13:00 – 3Y Note Auction
→ Forecast: 3.972%
→ Expected Bias: Duration test into CPI
• 15:00 – Consumer Credit
→ Forecast: $12.1B
→ Expected Bias: Weak = demand slowdown
• All Day – Used Car Prices
→ Forecast: –1.4% MoM
→ Expected Bias: Disinflationary CPI component
📊 Reactions to Watch:
•
SPX: Holding 6,245 — bounce structure, but VX1! still low •
NDX: Coiled under 23K — waiting for breakout fuel • Gold: Below 3,330 — no hedge flows yet
• USD (
DXY): Firming above 97.50 — pre-CPI bounce • BTC: Flat near 108K — indecisive, no flow follow-through
• Oil: Rejected at 68.5 — supply pressure visible
🔍 Flow Notes:
• SPX: Structure intact >6,200, compression may unwind fast
• NDX: Still pinned — CPI surprise could break either way
• BTC: No conviction — 110K level key for trend unlock
• Gold: Below macro hedge level — inflation hedge not active
• USD: CPI will confirm if this bounce holds or fades
📈 Trade Ideas for Today
• 🟢 Long Bias: SPX — if 6,200 holds, breakout potential on soft CPI
• 🔴 Short Bias: Gold — below 3,330 = no hedge demand
• ⚖️ Neutral: BTC — avoid until clear >110K or <107K range break
Best Wishes and Success to All
🛡️ Take Profits, Not Chances.
💰 Manage Risk to Accumulate.
🎯 React with Clarity, Not Hope.
🌊 Flow with Intelligence, Not Noise.
⚙️ Views are Personal & Educational, reflective of our Analysis and Research.
🎯 Summary posts only. Full context via DM
⚠️ Educational content only. Not investment advice.
📉 Economic Calendar data reflects positioning as of July 08 (reported July 08)
DXY It will hold... Look at the 3 month chart
DXY Dollar index clear setup for sell I'm in sell now 😎😍tradingview.com/x/WyoQy5V2
DXY I think the stronger USD has to do with the big beutiful bill and tax reliefs, more inflation worries and lead to higher propabilty of rate hiikes or no cuts. Or it got something to do with the tariffs. What do you folks believe?DXY the US Dollar starts the week stronger, driven by safe-haven demand amid renewed tariff fears. Trump plans to notify over 100 countries of new tariffs by July 9, effective August 1. The DXY climbs to 97.55, up 0.58%, as risk sentiment weakens and expectations for Fed rate cuts fade. Technical indicators show bullish momentum building.
DXY sir. don't worry we already found a good talented industry affair for all this bad tool chaos. Hopefully everything going smoothly after this.
The new currency is Trump vs dxy . Both pairs correlates careful everyone.
Honestly I don't think trump administration gets no sleep
All love all around the nation