DXY I just checked on lower time frames anytime the dxy was at its current price like market. the price just went down when it was in the downtrend so therefore we're not going back up. we're going back down. we need to see a uptrend first like an actual valid uptrend before we see any gains s to the upside that's that's historical. Even Trump and the big boys of the Fed are saying that things aren't going to get better. it's just going to get worse so why would the DXY get better? why am I seeing people saying that it's going to go up when that literally makes no historic sense, especially with the time that we're in, lastly, with the Trump term when price was at this particular point it just went down further soU.S. Dollar Currency Index forum
๏ปฟDXY I just checked on lower time frames anytime the dxy was at its current price like market. the price just went down when it was in the downtrend so therefore we're not going back up. we're going back down. we need to see a uptrend first like an actual valid uptrend before we see any gains s to the upside that's that's historical. Even Trump and the big boys of the Fed are saying that things aren't going to get better. it's just going to get worse so why would the DXY get better? why am I seeing people saying that it's going to go up when that literally makes no historic sense, especially with the time that we're in, lastly, with the Trump term when price was at this particular point it just went down further soDXY Everytime someone calls a long trade on here like let's say I think the DXy will go to 1.06 I swear I'll just do the opposite of that because it's not gonna happen this year, the DXy will lose strength and go down even more
DXY I told you Definitely will hit 103 look now guys
DXY โก DXY Daily Analysis Based on Main Key Levels - April 4, 2025
Daily Current Market Price (DCMP): 102.574 ๐
Critical Price Framework ๐ฅ
๐ด Resistance Zone (Above 102.574)
Immediate Resistance: 103.338 ๐ฉ
Critical Resistance: 104.307 โ ๏ธ
๐ข Support Zone (Below 102.574)
Primary Support: 101.389 ๐ก๏ธ
Critical Floor: 100.083 ๐
Swing Levels ๐
Swing High: 107.661
Swing Low: 103.197
Technical Confluence ๐
Fibonacci Alignment
103.338 aligns with 50% retracement of Q4 2024 decline
101.389 coincides with 127% extension of March rally
Momentum Indicators
RSI at 68.3 (approaching overbought territory)
MACD histogram shows bearish crossover below signal line
Intraday Trade Setup โก
๐ด Sell Trade Idea
Entry: 103.338 ๐ฏ
Stop Loss: 104.307 ๐ด
Take Profit 1: 101.389 ๐ (1:2.8 R/R)
Take Profit 2: 100.083 ๐ (1:4.5 R/R)
Rationale: Bearish reversal expected at 50% Fib resistance cluster (103.338-104.307) with negative divergence on 4H chart.
Risk Management Protocol โ ๏ธ
Position sizing โค0.5% of capital
Trailing stop activation at 0.7R profit
Monitor US CPI data releases
Analysis valid until NYBOT closing bell. Chart patterns verified via TradingView.
GBPUSD 
GBPJPY DXY 
BXY The NFP report came in HOT, much higher than expected:
Actual: 228K
Forecast: 135K | Previous (Revised Upwards): 117K
However, the unemployment rate also ticked higher to 4.2% vs. the forecast of 4.1%.
Key Levels to Watch,
For GU: 1.2950 support, 1.3050 resistance
For GJ: 190.00 psychological level
> Impact on GBP/USD (GU)
๐น Initial Reaction: Strong NFP = USD Bullish > GBP/USD drops
๐น BUT Unemployment Rate Higher, this could limit USD strength if markets think the Fed will still cut rates later.
๐น GU Bias: Short-term bearish, but watch Fed commentary & risk sentiment.
> Impact on GBP/JPY (GJ)
๐น Stronger USD lifts USD/JPY > Pulls GBP/JPY up
๐น Risk sentiment , If markets focus on strong NFP, GJ can rally. If they focus on higher unemployment (slower economy), JPY could strengthen & push GJ lower.
NFP release on April 4 at 15:30 is crucial for GBPUSD and GBPJPY
Here's what to expect based on the forecasted numbers,
- Forecast: 135K (Previous: 151K) โ A weaker labor market expectation.
- Unemployment Rate Forecast: 4.1% (Previous: 4.1%) โ No change expected, but any surprise deviation will be key.
1. NFP Comes in Lower than Expected (<135K)
- USD Weakens: A weak jobs report signals a slowing economy, increasing bets that the Fed might cut rates sooner.
- GBP/USD Bullish: Dollar weakness would push GBP/USD higher.
- GBP/JPY Mixed: If USD/JPY drops on weak NFP, GJ might struggle to rally aggressively.
2. NFP Beats Expectations (>135K)
- USD Strengthens: Strong labor data reduces the urgency for rate cuts, strengthening the dollar.
- GBP/USD Bearish: A strong NFP could reinforce downside pressure, continuing the recent GBP/USD drop.
- GBP/JPY Bullish: If the USD strengthens and risk appetite remains stable, GJ could rally as JPY remains weak.
The NFP will be a make-or-break moment for GBP pairs. Watch for deviations from the forecast,
> Weaker NFP = bullish GU, cautious GJ
> Stronger NFP = bearish GU, bullish GJ
DXY BXY 
JPXY - Expect high volatility during the release. Trade Safe!
GBPUSD and GBPJPYHere's what to expect based on the forecasted numbers,
- Forecast: 135K (Previous: 151K) โ A weaker labor market expectation.
- Unemployment Rate Forecast: 4.1% (Previous: 4.1%) โ No change expected, but any surprise deviation will be key.
1. NFP Comes in Lower than Expected (<135K)
- USD Weakens: A weak jobs report signals a slowing economy, increasing bets that the Fed might cut rates sooner.
- GBP/USD Bullish: Dollar weakness would push GBP/USD higher.
- GBP/JPY Mixed: If USD/JPY drops on weak NFP, GJ might struggle to rally aggressively.
2. NFP Beats Expectations (>135K)
- USD Strengthens: Strong labor data reduces the urgency for rate cuts, strengthening the dollar.
- GBP/USD Bearish: A strong NFP could reinforce downside pressure, continuing the recent GBP/USD drop.
- GBP/JPY Bullish: If the USD strengthens and risk appetite remains stable, GJ could rally as JPY remains weak.
The NFP will be a make-or-break moment for GBP pairs. Watch for deviations from the forecast,
> Weaker NFP = bullish GU, cautious GJ
> Stronger NFP = bearish GU, bullish GJ
DXY BXY JPXY - Expect high volatility during the release. Trade Safe!
DXY no pain no gain mfrs
DXY how low will she go today?