U.S. Big Tech 10 (NYSE FANG+) Index. Another Day. Another DollarThe remarkable performance of U.S. large cap equities in the past two years was closely tied to the dominance of tech-related sectors, exemplified by companies akin to those in the high-performing NYSE FANG+ Index ICEUS:NYFANG .
The NYSE FANG+ Index (“Index”), also known as the NYSE U.S. Big Tech 10 Index, is a rules-based, equal-weighted equity benchmark designed to track the performance of 10 highly-traded growth stocks of technology and tech-enabled companies in the technology, media & communications and consumer discretionary sectors.
The Index undergoes a reconstitution quarterly after the close of the third Friday in March, June, September and December (the “Effective Date”).
The NYSE FANG+ Index provides exposure to 10 of today’s highly-traded tech giants
Access the index through a futures and options contract designed to help you increase or reduce exposure to this key group of growth stocks in a capital-efficient manner.
Ten constituents of The U.S. Big Tech 10 (NYSE FANG+) Index as of Friday, December 9,
2022 (10% equal weighting):
Meta NASDAQ:META
Apple NASDAQ:AAPL
Amazon NASDAQ:AMZN
Netflix NASDAQ:NFLX
Microsoft NASDAQ:MSFT
Google NASDAQ:GOOGL
Tesla NASDAQ:TSLA
NVIDIA NASDAQ:NVDA
Snowflake NYSE:SNOW
Advanced Micro Devices NASDAQ:AMD
The main technical weekly graph indicates The U.S. Big Tech 10 (NYSE FANG+) Index remains aboму 200-day SMA (so far), following the upside path that has been taken in early 2023 after 50 percent decline in 2022.
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NYFANG trade ideas
Trade high probabilities using game theoryAccording to statistics, 95% of traders are losing longterm. Not because they lack skill, but because they involve in high variance (or poor probability) situations.
What is game theory? we can define GT with three principles.
*People dont want to lose. (hence.. predictable).
*People buy good things at good price, or they are profit maximizing.
*Everyone is strategic.
** we assume that "nobody can predict future".
** markets respond to feedbacks or signals.
Practice: the higher something goes, potential narrows and risk increases. Deeper something falls, "potential" becomes attractive. Once market decides that it will fall -- people assume crash as possibility. People who can buy at a strong trend line - has benefit of having more information.
(1) Downtrending VIX highs and accumulating lows. a strong signal about SPX peak, with everyone expecting a market correction before US election. ---> GT in practice.
(2) pre-election. Markets be wobbly, pointing to 50-50 probability or risk. Maybe there was fear of NVDA/AAPL high valuations, or the fear due to Trump tariff policy (markets are 6m forward looking) as bond yields were rallying.
If we assume statistically, markets boom after elections. We can predict GT in action (or call it market forces). imo that still is a profitable risk.
People hate uncertainty and they love guarantees. So the "wobble" was reasonable.
(3) VIX higher low.. predictably (GT) sell off follows. Almost as by the book.
other way to put it? people maximize potential while minimize loses/risk. There are periods of volatile markets and periods for one directional rallies.
P.S. Blue arrows are longterm macd turning points.
NYSE FANG+ Index Is In A Five-Wave Bullish ImpulseNYSE FANG+ Index, which consists of Facebook(Meta), Amazon, Apple, Netflix, Google, Microsoft, Tesla, Nvidia, AMD and Snowflake, we see it still in strong bullish trend with room for more gains within a projected five-wave cycle. Currently we can see it slowing down within subwave »iv« correction that can find the support around 7500 – 7400 area before the uptrend for wave »v« of 3 resumes.
NYSE FANG+ Index: wait is better⌛' The NYSE FANG+ Index is a rules-based, equal-weighted equity benchmark designed to track
the performance of 10 highly-traded growth stocks of technology and tech-enabled companies in the
technology, media & communications and consumer discretionary sectors'.
Companies included in the index:
Meta, Apple, Amazon, Netflix, Microsoft, Google, Tesla, NVIDIA, Snowflake and Advanced Micro Devices.
Graphically speaking, I would expect a better definition of which way the price is going.
Looking at the Stochastic Momentum Index, I would say that opening a long position would be too risky.
Below are some possible scenarios:
Scenario 1:
Scenario 2:
Scenario 3:
Scenario 4:
Scenario 5:
FAANG INDEX BREAKS DOWNAs typical with bear markets the unprofitable "growth stocks go first, followed by the profitable stocks on high multiples and the overall index is saved by the large caps due to their weighting in the index.
The FAANG index has now broken down and is looking at a minimum 34 percent loss.
The index decline will be accentuated by further losses in the first two categories even though they may seem relatively cheap compared to ATH.
Any stocks with stretched balance sheets, and survival dependent on Capital Raisin in the next 18 months will simply go out of business.
NYSE FANG+ INDEXIf the index doesn't move above 7422 in February, then I see a high possibility that it will fall below the January low... If not in February, then in March and April.
In this context of the red ABC correction, the red C corresponds to 1.38% fib of the red B.
This schema could serve as an orientation for the Dow and the NASDAQ 100, because they could show similar development.
Compelling entry for FANG+ related fundGrowth stocks like FANG+ members will definitely prevail in the post COVID-19 world where cost of funding (interest rate) will remain Near Zero for Longer, investors' appetites for yields/risky assets could be high and slow global recovery (growth will be preferred).