Sweet squeeze canditate after breakaway gapCommercials started reducing their longs in HL $CANE, $SB_F
SF1! trade ideas
Sugar #11(NYBOT)-Mar. tend to be weak betw. 2 Nov. and 9 Dec.Sugar #11(NYBOT)-Mar. contract
Sell on approximately 11/02 - Exit on approximately 12/09
Percentage Correct: 87
Average Profit on Winning Trades: 0.89
Average Profit Amount on Winning Trades: $1001.97
Number of Winners: 13 out of 15
Average Loss on Trades: -1.10
Average Loss Amount on Losing Trades: -1232.00
Average Net Profit Per Trade 0.63
Average Net Profit Per Trade 704.11
SEASONAL TENDENCIES ARE A COMPOSITE OF SOME OF THE MORE CONSISTENT COMMODITY FUTURES SEASONALS THAT HAVE OCCURRED OVER THE PAST 15 YEARS. THERE ARE USUALLY UNDERLYING FUNDAMENTAL CIRCUMSTANCES THAT OCCUR ANNUALLY THAT TEND TO CAUSE THE FUTURES MARKETS TO REACT IN A SIMILAR DIRECTIONAL MANNER DURING A CERTAIN CALENDAR PERIOD OF THE YEAR. EVEN IF A SEASONAL TENDENCY OCCURS IN THE FUTURE, IT MAY NOT RESULT IN A PROFITABLE TRANSACTION AS FEES, AND THE TIMING OF THE ENTRY AND LIQUIDATION MAY IMPACT ON THE RESULTS. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT HAS IN THE PAST OR WILL IN THE FUTURE ACHIEVE PROFITS UTILIZING THESE STRATEGIES. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT PRICE PATTERNS WILL RECUR IN THE FUTURE. HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION, HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. RESULTS NOT ADJUSTED FOR COMMISSION AND SLIPPAGE.
Reasonable Sugar Long TimestampJust sharing my bet; 50-50 chance of working out but the R:R is greater than 1:1, thus, a good trade
Sugar: Buy Opportunity with an end-of-year horizon.Sugar has been trading within a 1M Channel Down for almost 1 full year (RSI = 40.519, MACD = -0.770, Highs/Lows = -0.1543). It is close to pricing a Lower Low, turning the current levels into a buy opportunity. Our Target Zone is 11.65 - 11.90.
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Early call on sugarYes, it might be early, and yes sugar might go down a little bit more, but I think an uptrend is at hand.
1. There's a strong seasonal uptrend September, October
2. Commercials got a big long position, 105.904 contracts, which is actually 93,91% relative for the past 6 months.
3. Open Interest is mainly driven by Commercials (988.550 total contracts), Large Specs are the smaller player (581.399
total contracts) right now, so Commercials' long position should win the upper hand.
4. Technical, %R is oversold
5. Technical, ADX suggests a rather weak downtrend
6. It's heavily undervalued compared to gold (orange line)
We got 6 of our Axioms flashing bullish, so I bought SBH20 to make sure I'm in when the expected uptrend starts. I'm not in the business of chasing markets which are already on the run.
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Long sugar!Taking a long sugar trade. Grains, in general, are well bid and DBA is another class you should look into. The fundamentals are backing up the technicals here. Key reasons for this trade:
1. Chikou is above price on daily.
2. Daily Kumo and kijun provided support on price pullback and today was a sharp reversal day.
3. Weekly macd is crossing up and Price action is between TK and KS.
4. Weekly Kumo is thin and flat and should give way soon.
5. Very good RR here. Choose your contract wisely depending on your time frame of trade.
Let's see how this one plays out.
Sugar Easily The Most Evil Food Substance To Put In Your BodyAs an aging baby boomer, I am now starting to notice things in my own life,
things that for years I paid little attention to when I was younger.
One of those things ,easily the most evil food ingredient out there,
that one can put into our bodies is Sugar, ...plain and simple.
Sugar acts as a carcinogen, as it invade the human bodies cells,
to hyper activate all kinds of bad things that can go wrong with the insides of our body over time.
Cancer cells especially, feed on and grow with rapidly with a sugar based diet
By eating sugar based products as the norm,
you are literally causing your own healthy immune system
to be under siege by a foreign substance, that it does not know how to handle.
And then there is the grocery store, where most people shop for food to put into our bodies.
Just check the Ingredient list on almost any package food,
and you will come to realize that sugar is practically in everything out there.
If it's not at the top of the ingredient list, you'll find it somewhere.
Modern day science is now much more aware of the dangers of sugar.
than it was when I was growing up in the 1950's-1960's.
So do yourself a favor,when you have a little extra time to set aside.
Do some research on the inherent dangers of putting sugar into your body.
Read the scientific quantified evidence that's out there today
You will be glad that you took the time
not only for yourself, but for your children as well.
THE_UNWIND
6/15/19
NEW YORK
Long in Sugar (SB)We want to go long in sugar if the latest high is broken. Our stop loss is pretty close. Alternatively, one can sell just Put options with a delta of 10-15.
ABC/123 to Measured Move area ?Following the selloff, we have surpassed the prior high and retraced.
Now showing strength for a possible C leg (or w3). New momentum high
relative to the downtrend.
sugar is going up after a 0.618 retracement1.the price is supported well at this level
2.XYAB pattern suggused a movement upward
3.the Oil,stock market also suggused a correction after a sharp dropping.
I dont know if this rally would turn out to be a new trend up,but it is worth to try
Sugar ready for mark up!!Wyckoff accumulation appears to have finished. Coiling up just above resistance and would put it late in phase D. Phase E should begin soon! Also, there's bullish divergence on the monthly chart (not shown) too. Buy and hold this one for a while guys :)
Target Area for Sugar Retracement ?A few thoughts on Sugar and what may lie ahead.
Potential short in retracement area.
