DE40 trade ideas
German DAX Holding Strong Above SupportChart Analysis:
The DAX Index continues its bullish trajectory, maintaining a steady uptrend with prices hovering near recent highs. Despite a minor pullback, the overall trend remains intact, supported by key technical levels.
1️⃣ Uptrend Intact with Rising Support:
The trendline (blue) continues to provide dynamic support.
A shallow retracement suggests buyers remain in control.
2️⃣ Moving Averages as Key Support:
50-day SMA (blue): 20,368.88, providing a reliable support zone.
200-day SMA (red): 19,066.15, reinforcing the long-term bullish bias.
3️⃣ Momentum Indicators Reflect Strength:
RSI: At 67.70, showing strong momentum but approaching overbought levels.
MACD: Trending higher, confirming continued upside momentum.
What to Watch:
A sustained move above 21,500 could trigger further upside toward 22,000+.
A break below the trendline or the 50-day SMA could signal deeper consolidation before another leg higher.
RSI nearing overbought conditions suggests traders should watch for potential short-term pullbacks.
The DAX Index remains bullish, with rising moving averages and trendline support reinforcing the momentum. Traders should monitor price action near key support levels for potential buying opportunities.
-MW
GER30 Long There is no pattern to go long but this is at target 2 of a short pattern above
This is with the H4 trend and there is a lot of support at this level
After the fast drop this tends to bounce back up
stop loss of 100 pips
GER40: AMD SetupOn the chart, an AMD setup has been identified with an entry from the middle of the manipulation. The target is a take-profit beyond the ATH, as there is no reason to move lower. A slight wick touch to the lower levels is possible.
Scenario:
The price is slowly descending but is expected to deliver to the ATH during the New York session.
The current POC is at the last low, confirming the system's integrity.
This zone is also an OTE zone, serving as an ideal re-entry point, once again proving its effectiveness.
Watch for confirmations on lower timeframes to find the perfect entry moment.
DAX - Bullseye! Next Act: The Decline?Whenever the markets are booming, whenever a gardener starts giving stock recommendations, it’s time to brace yourself…
The German Dax has reached it's Centerline.
It's back in Balance - Or has reached it's extreme, depending on how you look at it.
Whenever this happens, we the Market
a) turns and trades in the opposite direction towards the next LIne. In this case the Lower-Medianline-Parallel.
or
b) trades through it, most of the time comes back to it, and continues in the origianl direction, which in this case would be up.
To me, this is the time to watch the DAX more closely. If you are a follower, you now that I have a Bias - which is not always helpful in my trading.
But yes, I tend to lean to the short side. Specially in these over hyped, over invested times.
So I stalk a short, but in the same time be open for a long after a confirmation on the daily time-frame.
Let's see, let's be patient and don't listen to your gardener... 🌱👨🌾 🌿👩🌾
Wandering DAX Butterfly In the SkyThe German stock index is inching closer to the 21800 euro level, hovering around the golden Fibonacci ratio without much hope for the future.
It seems like it's in need of a deep rest due to the lack of clear financial and political policies.
Time to kick back and relax, stock index!
SEYED.
Dax Short 4HGood Day, Trading View friends!
I'm excited to share my latest trading insights with you. This setup is all about those trusty Fibonacci and psychological levels. Right now, the DAX is testing a 4-hour midline, and we’re typically seeing a pullback at this point. If the DAX can hold 21,500 and 21,550 as a demand area, based on our earlier 4-hour wave, we're aiming for the next level at 21,965 to 22,000.
I’m on the lookout for a rejection near 22,000, followed by an M pattern with a lower high on the second peak for that perfect entry confirmation.
Also, be cautious today as we have the FOMC meeting. Make sure to factor that into your strategies!
Feel free to check out my previous setups to get a feel for how I approach things. I can’t wait to hear what you think and keep the conversation going!
DAX Wave Analysis 29 January 2025
- DAX broke the key resistance level 21500.00
- Likely to rise to resistance level 22000.00
DAX index recently broke the key resistance level 21500.00 – which stopped the previous minor impulse wave i earlier this month.
The price earlier reversed up from the upper trendline of the daily up channel from August (which is acting as the support after it was broken previously in December).
Given the powerful daily uptrend, DAX index can be expected to rise further to the next resistance level 22000.00 (which is the target price for the completion of the active impulse wave 5).
DAX Short 4HGood morning, TradingView friends!
I’m excited to share my latest market forecast with you. This setup uses Fibonacci and psychological levels as our key indicators.
First up, we’re looking at the 21,405 level. It's an important Fibonacci point, and I believe the price will bounce back here, heading towards the trend line. Next, I expect the ascending trend line to hold strong, guiding the price to a crucial psychological and Fibonacci level at 21,500. From there, we might see a 4-hour and daily correction.
For confirming these moves, keep an eye on the lower time frames. A good sign to watch for is an M-pattern with a Lower High on the second leg.
Can't wait to hear your thoughts and keep the conversation going!
de30 analysisde30 analysis
Before we start talking
I would like to tell you that we have a history in the world of analysis that is trustworthy without errors in the medium and long term and everything that is here on our page and our official pages is an accurate analysis of all markets and we had an old update about the targets at the level of 20700 and 21400 and indeed we are exceeding this level and we are now at the level of 21685
Now we have this chart and I confirm that we have upcoming levels up to 22600
If your goal is to invest, you must be patient because patience is the basis of trading and your goals are certain, but with patience and not dealing with the emotions of fear
We will be with you step by step about the markets or any new updates about any market
GER40-SELL strategy 2D chartWe have been short from the highs, and took back around 21,190 yesterday. Overall, the view is not changed, as we should see a larger correction unfold. I suspect we wilol test 20,000 in the near term.
Strategy SELL @ 21,325-21,375 and take profit at 20,350 for now.
DAX- Short setting up (DE30 or DE40)The Dax is entering liquidity and supply and is looking like it may be getting ready for a short trade.
Future DAX IMOWe can see the DAX has rocketed up in the past 2 weeks with very little momentum loss until the 24/01/2025.
It made all time highs without finding a new resistant level as of yet, meaning we're most likely looking at a routine bounce from the 21500 mark and more than likely, a steep downfall until we get back to 21000.
Looking in depth at all time frames, it wouldn't surprise me if we fall all the way back to its current major resistance price (18850) and then potentially moving back even higher towards the 2nd half of the year.
27 Jan 2025 ShortH4 ovn double red, 2nd exceeding first. SL to the gap. Risk comes from lack of confirmation by lower lows. However the index clocked in at several momentum targets top. Therefore a potential initial sign of turn down.
Target R1, unless more down momentum occurs during the day.
DAX to turnaround?DE30EUR - 24h expiry
We are trading at overbought extremes.
A higher correction is expected.
Short term momentum is bearish.
Short term oscillators have turned negative.
Offers ample risk/reward to sell at the market.
A break of the recent low at 21166 should result in a further move lower.
We look for losses to be extended today.
We look to Sell at 21249 (stop at 21351)
Our profit targets will be 20961 and 20881
Resistance: 21250 / 21370 / 21531
Support: 21166 / 21100 / 20950
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
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Falling towards pullback support?DAX40 (DE40) is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 20,446.03
1st Support: 19,673.96
1st Resistance: 21,471.10
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#202504 - priceactiontds - weekly update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: By full bear mode I don’t mean you just short 21394 and hope for the best. You wait for selling pressure first. Friday we got some decent selling pressure to the 1h 20ema which held since Tuesday. I expect another leg up first before we break below 21300. We have left behind 4 consecutive bull gaps and on Friday we saw the first one close immediately. This buying was as climactic and unsustainable as it get’s and having those this late in a trend is more often the end than the beginning of a new leg up. Can this go to 22000 before it goes to 20000 again? 10% if you ask me but that’s just a guess and as good as anyone’s.
current market cycle: Bull trend (very climactic move last week, market needs to take a breather or will outright crumble again)
key levels: 20500 - 21800
bull case: Bulls are in full control. This has not changed since the big breakout on Wednesday. They are still trading above the 1h and higher tf 20ema and until we break below, they remain in full control. Problem for the bulls is the climactic unsustainable nature of the move, very late in a trend. Everyone know’s it’s a suckers rally/short squeeze but that does never matter and they can just continue higher. We could easily test down to 20500 with a quick 1-3 day move, so bulls need to think about taking profits. Many will exit when market begins to stall because the up move was basically down above the 1h 20ema and once we break below, that premise is gone and I doubt many want to risk 500 points in hope to print 22000.
Invalidation is below 20500.
bear case: Bears know that the dax has not been this expensive for 25 years and want blood. The odds are decent that we go down at least 2000 points over the next weeks and bigger bears begin to scale into shorts at this high because the market broke above 2 bullish patterns and the odds of that happening this late in a trend are low. Bears finally closed a gap and now they need follow-through below the 1h 20ema. First target is to retest the high of the previous gap 21162 and see if bulls want to defend it. There is also the 4h 20ema around that price and those will be 2 big magnets early next week. My preferred path forward would be a very quick move down to 20500 to retest the breakout price and the bull trend line. There I expect buyers to come around big time.
Invalidation is above 22200.
short term: Neutral if we stay above the 1h ema. Once below, I want to see 21162 and then 21000. If we stay above, I will long scalp for 21500 and maybe 21600 and will look for shorts there.
medium-long term from 2024-01-25: No more bullish talk. Full bear mode.
current swing trade: Soon.
chart update: Marked new targets for both sides.
Dax Performance Index Cash | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
# Dax Performance Index Cash
- Double Formation
* (Continuation Argument)) Survey Entry & Bias Perspective
* 012345 | Wave Count | Subdivision 1
- Triple Formation
* 1st Retracement | Numbered Entry | Subdivision 2
* 2nd Retracement | Bias On Hold | Subdivision 3
* Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
European Session(Upwards) - US-Session(Downwards) - Asian Session(Ranging)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Buy
GER40-SELL strategy weekly chartI took profit on the short @ 21,165 and will be selling again higher when seen. Overall SELL strategy should remain, and we have not see the full correction I believe is possible.
Strategy SELL @ 21,275-21,350 and take profit at 20,925 for now.
#202505 - priceactiontds - weekly update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Bear mode was good last Monday but that was about it for the bears. Every day market left behind a bullish gap, mostly without closing it. This is overdone, overbought, climactic and a parabolic rally which is always unsustainable. Still those facts do not help anyone shorting this. I am continuing with my plan to scale shorts with stop 22300.
current market cycle: Bull trend (very climactic move last week, market needs to take a breather or will outright crumble again)
key levels: 20500 - 21800
bull case: Bulls are still in full control. The bull channel continues until clearly broken. Bulls now only have the most obvious target left with 22000. There is no reason for bulls to not expect this to go to at least 22000 now. Bears are absolutely doing nothing and we have only 1 bar going the low of the previous day. This is as climactic as it gets but it can go further.
Invalidation is below 21400.
bear case: Bears got a big gap down on Monday and bulls just bought it relentlessly again. Tough times to be a bear. New US - EU tariffs are around the corner and this could be the trigger to finally see some bigger profit taking and the bear awakening. Technically as long as the bull channel holds, bears got nothing. First target next week is closing gaps below. It would be amazing if bear get down to 21400 fast, then 21000 is possible next week.
Invalidation is above 22300.
short term: Neutral until we break below 21400.
medium-long term from 2024-01-25: No more bullish talk. Full fucking bear mode.
current swing trade: Scaling in and out of shorts with stop 22300.
chart update: Adjusted medium term bear leg down to 20800/21000.
DAX40 Update on BreakoutThe DAX40 has pushed upwards after the regression breakout.
The other European Indexs have also moved upwards and starting to consolidate at their current prices
DAX Extension impulse Dax looking to perform a nest with expected targets from fib extension based one lower degree. Expected targets 1.00 / 1.123/161.8
DAX Index Analysis.**DAX Index Analysis: Current Trends and Outlook**
**Current Price:** €21,656.13 (as of January 31, 2025.
**Recent Movement:** The DAX Index has shown a robust upward movement, particularly evident in the recent daily sessions. The price is currently near its recent high of €21,656.13, reflecting strong market momentum.
**Technical Indicators:**
- **Moving Averages:** The short-term moving average (blue line) is positioned above the long-term moving average (orange line), confirming the bullish trend.
- **RSI:** The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is above 70, indicating overbought conditions. This suggests the index may face some short-term selling pressure.
- **MACD:** The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) shows a bullish trend, with the MACD line above the signal line, supporting the positive outlook.
**Fundamental Factors:**
- **Economic Growth:** Germany's robust economic performance and strong corporate earnings have been key drivers of the DAX's recent performance.
- **Interest Rates:** The European Central Bank's (ECB) accommodative monetary policy continues to support equity markets, including the DAX.
- **Global Markets:** Positive sentiment in global markets, driven by optimism around trade agreements and economic recovery, has further boosted the DAX.
**Outlook:**
- **Resistance Levels:** The DAX is currently testing the resistance level around €21,700. A successful breakout above this level could lead to further gains.
- **Support Levels:** Key support levels are seen near €21,200 and €20,800. These levels could provide buying opportunities if the index faces any pullbacks.
- **Market Sentiment:** The positive economic outlook and strong corporate earnings continue to support the bullish trend in the DAX. However, investors should keep an eye on potential risks, such as geopolitical tensions and changes in ECB policy.
**Conclusion:**
The DAX Index is in a strong uptrend, supported by positive technical and fundamental factors. Traders should monitor key resistance and support levels for potential trading opportunities. A breakout above €21,700 could lead to new highs, while any corrections may provide strategic buying opportunities for long-term investors.
