U30 Setup. Thoughts?I expect to US30 to grab the buyside liquidity and mitigate the order block and sell
US30 trade ideas
Short here or short on rise.. lets see..The news..
Rate cut, probably well do discounted.
It's just a study not a trade suggestion.
Channel, pattern support, resistance.. that's all in there.
I use indicators but this looks like a clear concept so avoiding indicators reading.
Dow Jones Index (US30): What to Expect from FOMC?
Dow Jones Index is very weak ahead of FOMC today.
The market is stuck within a horizontal range on a 4h time frame.
Depending on the reaction of the price to its boundaries,
I see 2 potential scenarios.
Bullish Scenario
If the price breaks and closes above 41820 - the resistance of the range,
we can expect a bullish continuation at least to 42000 level.
Bearish Scenario
A bearish breakout and a candle close below 41440
will push the price lower at least to 41200 level.
Wait for FOMC and then follow the market after a breakout.
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US30For US30 , I expect the area between 42,236 and 42,330 to be a very strong resistance zone. If the price fails to break through it, we will likely see a correction down to the 39,989 level. This analysis will be invalidated if the price exceeds this zone and a daily candle closes above it.
US30 TO NEW ATH OF $43,050 (2WK TF)🚀US30 moving like clockwork😍 Price is currently down 1,630 PIPS (-4.58%) & more downside is expected. You can use this opportunity to capitalise on sell positions, then buy back at a cheaper price later on & target new ATH'S.
US30 TO NEW ATH OF $43,050 (UPDATE)Our long term position on US30 has been moving so smoothly! Price is now up 8,350 PIPS (25% ROI) since I called it live last year on the channel for you all😍
Close out partial profits if you haven't already. Just a little more upside left to go!
US30 / UNDER FOMC PRESSURE - 4HUS30 / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
In August, the prices saw a price decline of 6.91%, reflecting a period of downturn. However, in September, there was a notable recovery, with prices rising to an all-time high (ATH) of 41,852. This peak represents the highest level achieved thus far in the prices history. Currently, prices are trading below this ATH, which suggests that the market is still testing its limits.
If the current price trajectory remains below the ATH of 41,852, further declines could be anticipated. Support levels to watch for potential price corrections are at 41,340 and 40,853. These levels might serve as points where the price could stabilize or experience a rebound.
On the other hand, if the prices manages to close above the ATH on a 4-hour candle, it could indicate a shift towards a bullish trend. This would suggest that the market sentiment has turned positive and could lead to further gains. In this scenario, the price might approach new resistance levels, with potential targets at 42,282 and 42,703. These levels represent possible areas where the price might encounter selling pressure or where further gains could be capped.
Overall, the price dynamics are influenced by how it performs relative to the ATH, with potential implications for both downward corrections and upward advances depending on market behavior.
UPWARD TARGET : 42,282 , 42,703.
DOWNWARD TARGET : 41,852 , 40,853.
DOW JONES Is a post Fed decline valid before an October rally?The day has come when the Fed will finally cut the Interest Rates for the first time since the early 2022 hike cycle and the question in the market is whether it will be by -0.25% or -0.5%.
High volatility is expected intra-day but technically Dow Jones (DJI) remains within an uptrend (Channel Up) both medium-term (5-months) and long-term (2 years). The last support and bounce was offered by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) on September 11 and that broke the remarkable symmetry that the index had so far with the March - August 2023 fractal.
That fractal suggested that after a (dotted) Channel Up, the index should make a correction below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) but on September 11 instead of breaking below the 1D MA50, the index rebounded (as mentioned above) and diverged from the fractal.
This means that the Bullish Led (green Channel Up) may this time start earlier and the rally may break above the 2-year Channel Up and finally deliver a new long-term pattern, possibly more aggressive.
Seasonality however is a big factor for investors and as we can see, the last two Septembers (2023, 2022) have been bearish, extending corrections that started in August but eventually managed to price a bottom in October.
As a result, any remark by Chair Powell during the press conference that isn't well received by the market, can initiate a short-term pull-back towards the 1D MA200, ranging from -5.07% to -6.90%.
In our opinion, if that takes place, it will be a tremendous buy opportunity until at least the end of the year. If however Powell delivers what the market is expecting (and more), we expect the pattern to continue its divergence from the 2023 fractal and enter the more aggressive bullish pattern earlier. If the more aggressive pattern prevails, a 46000 target is very probable by the end of the year.
Notice that this divergence is also evident when comparing the 1D RSI sequences of the two fractals.
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DOW/US30 - We are entering the SHORT POSITIOn at 41646Team, we set this trade almost 8 hours ago,
but waiting for the price confirmation to short.
STOP LOSS at 41726
Target at 41552
and Target at 48486.5
PLEASE NOTE: Below 41600 we carefully bring our stop loss toward 41652
US30 TodayFor me Looking still up.
I expect a little bit correct and continiue new HIGHER HIGH
Remeber about Stoploss andno more risk than 0.5-1.00% account
Rate Cut Incoming. Buckle Up"What the Yield Curve and Fed Moves Mean for Your Next Trade."
Historically, when the Federal Reserve lowers the federal funds rate while the yield spread is negative (also known as an inverted yield curve), it has often been an indicator of an impending market correction or recession.
Let’s break this down:
Historically, the bond market is a key indicator. Typically, long-term bonds offer higher yields than short-term bonds; This a healthy sign. When that flips and short-term yields surpass long-term ones, we get what’s called an inverted yield curve. This inversion signals that investors are getting nervous about the near-term economy. When the Fed then steps in to lower rates, they’re trying to stimulate growth, but it often comes too late.
Looking back at past events:
The dot-com crash of 2000: The yield curve inverted, the Fed cut rates, and a 35% market correction followed.
The 2008 financial crisis: Again, the yield curve inverted, rates were cut, and the market saw a major downturn exceeding 50%.
Going back even further, the same pattern held in the 1970s and 1980s.
The big questions are:
Why does this combination signal trouble?
Will this pattern repeat itself again?
While history tends to repeat itself, the data shows that when the Fed cuts rates with a negative yield spread, market corrections often follow. The inverted curve suggests tighter credit conditions, reduced lending, and lack of confidence, all piling on top of one another creating a recipe for disaster.
Stepping back even further, we see that investor sentiment and the bond market tend to lead the way. Credit tightens, and companies cut back on spending. Another a perfect recipe for an economic slowdown and market drop.
It's a familiar cycle. So lets buckle up.
DOW JONES: Is it forming a BLOW OFF TOP??Dow Jones isn't just having a strong bullish momentum on the 1D timeframe but also on its 1W technical outlook where it maintains a steady bullish overall indicator score (RSI = 64.010, MACD = 036.840, ADX = 29.553). However there are growing concerns coming from the 1W chart as the 1W RSI is posting a Bearish Divergence, trading on a Channel Down while the actual price is on a Channel Up.
This is alarming because last time this showed up was in late 2021 and as we all know led to the bear market of 2022. However the Bearish Divergence prior to that (mid 2017) was false and Dow continued to rise instead for another 4 months before a correction to its 1W MA50. And that is the level that plays the most important role here, the 1W MA50. As long as it continues to support, we will have a bullish trend.
Actually, Dow seems to be attempting a breakout over the Channel Up this month, unlike December 2021. Failure to break though can result into a blow off top.
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US30 Road MAPThis chart uses Gann's Square of 9 to find key price levels through geometric and time cycles. Let me break it down:
1. Gann Angles:
Gann angles divide the price into degrees like 0°, 45°, 90°, etc. These angles correspond to key support and resistance levels.
The current price of 41,723.1 is near the 0° level at 41,835.8, which is a critical resistance zone.
2. Support Levels:
45° level: 41,513.02 is the first support.
90° level: 41,191.49 is the next major support.
180° level: 40,552.18 is a significant long-term support zone.
3. Resistance Levels:
Current resistance: 41,835.8 (0° level).
If broken, the price may target higher degrees above 42,000+.
4. RSI & Momentum:
Though not displayed here, RSI or momentum indicators can be added to confirm if the price has strength to break resistance or if it will reverse at support levels.
5. Time and Price:
The vertical lines represent time cycles, indicating potential turning points. For example, the intersection around Sept 23-25 could be a significant point to watch for a reversal or continuation.
Interpretation:
If the price breaks 41,835.8, the next target would be higher Gann levels.
If the price fails at 41,835.8, expect a retracement to the support at 41,513 or further down to 41,191.
This analysis relies on Gann’s philosophy that both time and price work in harmony, and significant market turns happen at key price levels combined with time cycles.
This chart is part of Gann’s secret tools and helps traders pinpoint high-probability areas for price movements based on the theory of vibration and geometric relationships in the market.
Recap of my 2 NY trades today, DJ30 long, Silver shortWaiting patiently into 3rd hour 2 of my shortlisted setups confirmed for me, and i took DJ30 Breakout continuation long and Silver FOH continuation short.
US30 LONG IDEA"This is my idea on the US30 index. Based on recent price action and market conditions, I believe there's potential for further upward movement in the near future. Keep an eye on key levels for possible continuation of the bullish trend."
US 30 LONGUS30 long , as the price has recently break the resistance area with a bull momentum and now we place a buy stop at its all time high with the sl below its last support level , hope for our target as the fib marked on our chart
US30, WAITING FOR PULL BACK THEN SHORTTeam, this morning, I predicted the US30 is likely to move according to the chart.
9 hours later, it finally arrived at the dot.
We will enter the short at 41646 once the price confirm.
Take 50% profit at 41590, bring stop loss to BE level.
then target further toward 41482
and 41361.
20240917 Live heat map update DXY, XAG, XAU, WTI, DAX, NAS, DJ30This update includes my comprehensive analysis and discussion of potential setups for the day. You'll see how I conduct my end-to-end analysis using the multi-timeframe bias approach combined with Stacey Burke Style trading. The potential trade setups for the day are presented as hypotheses to be confirmed during the session.
US30 analysisI will be waiting for the market price to come to my buy zone possibly complete the stop loss sweep as well before i can enter but if entering it is advisable you enter below the order block and putting your stop loss below the previous liquidity zone before the current order block
PREPARE TO TRADE US30 at market openingToday, I will focus on the US30 to see the breakdown. Please be aware of the BOT's STOP LOSS trick. Sometimes, it is best to hold the stop loss a bit longer to accommodate the fadeouts, which happen most of the time in the markets.
Could price drop from here?DJ30 has reacted off the resistance level which aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and could potentially drop to our take profit.
Entry: 41,785.78
Why we like it:
There is a resistance level that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss: 42,102.21
Why we like it:
There is a resistance level that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 41,103.61
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
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Dow Jones Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring US30 for a buying opportunity around 41500 zone, Dow Jones is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 41500 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Us30 Retrace. Since US30 took the High, now wait for the market to Retrace to an inbalance that's @ point 40.603. Then you we can start going long.
