US30: Move Up Expected! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse US30 together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 44,393.91 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
US30 trade ideas
DOW JONES This is how it hits 50000 by the end of the year.Dow Jones (DJI) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the October 03 2022 market bottom and since the April 07 2025 Low, it's been unfolding the pattern's new Bullish Leg.
Ahead of an emerging 1D Golden Cross, the first since December 13 2022, the price action looks more bullish than ever strongly supported by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
In fact, it is not that different from the fractal of that last 1D Golden Cross, which traded inside a neckline before the Bullish Leg broke upwards and completed eventually a +39.96% rise.
We expect a 50000 test towards the end of the year at the top of the Channel Up, which is still marginally below the tolerance levels of a +39.36% rise.
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US30lets look at the Correlations between US30, US10Y, DXY and fed Interest Rates
us10y and dollar are like react in a similar way, when the US10Y is rising ,it attracts foreign capital into us economy and the dollar benefits from capital inflow and strengthens in the process
US10Y and DXY (US Dollar Index):
the current tariffs and geopolitical events caused temporary decoupled this correlation but the correlation has reverted to positive alignment as of June 2025. Higher yields now signal renewed confidence in the US economy, lifting both yields and the dollar.
US30 (Dow Jones) and DXY,they have inverse correlation in such a way that when the dollar is weak it causes a boost of US30 by enhancing multinational corporate earnings as cheaper export brings in higher overseas revenue
there are Exception when we experience Simultaneous strength in DXY and US30 during "risk-on" global confidence
US10Y and Interest Rates (Federal Funds Rate):
Direct Link: US10Y reflects market expectations for Fed policy. Anticipated rate hikes lift yields; expected cuts lower them.
Current Context: With the Fed holding rates at 4.25–4.50%, US10Y (4.26%) remains sensitive to inflation data and future cut expectations.
US30 and Interest Rates has Inverse Pressure when rate are Higher it increases borrowing costs, potentially dampening corporate profits and stock valuations. Lower rates support equity rallies.
2025 Dynamic: Despite elevated rates, US30 trades near record highs due to resilient growth and tariff-related sector rotations.
Critical Drivers
Yield-Dollar Sync: US10Y and DXY realignment signals market confidence in US assets, but geopolitical/trade risks can disrupt this.
Equity Sensitivity: US30 benefits from dollar weakness but faces headwinds if the Fed delays rate cuts amid sticky inflation.
Interest Rate Outlook: Fed patience (no cuts until September) sustains US10Y-DXY positivity but caps explosive US30 gains.
watch my supply roof and demand floor for reaction.
#us30
US30 Awaits NFP – Bullish Above 44,410, Volatility Expected US30 (Dow Jones) – NFP Volatility in Focus
Today’s session is expected to be volatile due to the upcoming NFP report. Based on current forecasts, the outlook remains broadly positive for U.S. indices, though intraday swings are likely.
Technical Outlook:
As long as the price holds above 44,410, the bullish momentum remains intact, with potential upside targets at 44,750 and 44,910
A pullback toward 44,410 remains possible before any continuation higher.
However, a confirmed 4H close below 44,400 would shift the short-term structure to bearish, opening the door toward the 1st support zone around 44,180.
Key Levels:
• Resistance: 44,750 / 44,910 / 45,090
• Support: 44,410 / 44,180 / 43,970
Stay cautious — volatility is expected to spike around the release of the jobs data.
DowJones awaits us employment - NFP data Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 44680
Resistance Level 2: 44670
Resistance Level 3: 45270
Support Level 1: 43800
Support Level 2: 43550
Support Level 3: 43220
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DOW JONES: Final phase of bullish wave has started.Dow is practically overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 69.306, MACD = 518.450, ADX = 36.217) but that should little affect the heavily bullish price action on the long term. The reason is that after the April bounce on the 1W MA200, Dow entered the final phase of the Bull Cycle that started on the October 2022 bottom and according to all prior bullish waves inside the 16 year Channel Up, it should rise by a minimum of +71%. That gives a TP = 49,000.
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Dow Jones in Long-Term Fibonacci Channel📈 Dow Jones Weekly | Fibonacci Channel in Play Since 2020
The Dow Jones Industrial Average has been trending within a well-defined Fibonacci channel on the weekly timeframe since the 2020 lows.
🔹 The price has consistently respected the Fibonacci levels as tilted support and resistance lines—a technical behavior that adds weight to this structure.
🔹 Three major horizontal support/resistance zones are clearly active and validated multiple times (highlighted on the chart).
🔹 Currently, the index is approaching the upper boundary of the downtrend resistance.
📌 The setup suggests it's only a matter of time before we retest this dynamic resistance zone, with potential rejection or breakout to follow.
🎯 Target zone around 45,000 as marked—aligning with previous highs and the upper resistance confluence.
Stay tuned—momentum is building.
#DowJones #DJI #FibonacciChannel #TechnicalAnalysis #WeeklyChart #StockMarket #Resistance #Support #Trendlines #ChartAnalysis #TradingView #US30 #MarketOutlook #PriceAction
US30 SHORT FROM RESISTANCE|
✅DOW JONES is going up now
But a strong resistance level is ahead at 45,077
Thus I am expecting a pullback
And a move down towards the target of 44,500
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
US30Market Drivers
Rotation: Investors are shifting from tech to industrials and other Dow components to start the second half of 2025.
Trade Policy: Optimism over potential US trade agreements and a 90-day delay in new tariffs has supported the rally.
Technical Outlook: The overall momentum is bullish and first resistance at 45.043
US30 BE PATIENT AND YOU WILL ALWAYS BE PROFITABLEEIGHTCAP:US30
After notices US30 is coming to new highs I would like to talk about key entry points I would love to enter at
Over the years I've notice no matter how low US30 goes it always come back to price action
as you can see, I've did an example that happened in March, it came back +3000 point now I know you're thinking I could have made more money or caught more setups, but this is guaranteed because no matter how long you held this trade it will always come back to price action yes, it took 35 days just to do nothing yes, it took another 45 days to gained 3000 points but we always know us30 is a graduate to go back in a upward trend no matter how long
BUY LOW AND HOLD TILL YOU MAKE PROFIT THAT'S WHAT THE RICH DO
DowJones key trading level at 43220Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 44520
Resistance Level 2: 44930
Resistance Level 3: 45280
Support Level 1: 43220
Support Level 2: 42830
Support Level 3: 42460
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Dow Jons artistic outlook - a proposition for you to take or disWhen I'm looking at my chart, i like to know what this story is about.
This is what
the whole world is looking at,
some say between 1-5 years from, now we are all going to see what it is about.
Most of us want to prosper but there is a certain minority group who doesn't want that. Why? IDK tell me that.
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The chart do not represent a prediction of any kind its more an invitation how to start thinking -about build.
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Time is short although my chart is on 12 month time line
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they say 1-5 years but very unlikely now. I don't know if you can see that
there is a time in next 3 years when the trend goes up.
Its my 10 years of experience i and some hard challenging times. i tracked dow nearly 24/7 for 3 years now so i know what it is about. to explain it to you in full could take some time and here is not a place to do just that.
You can see some general shapes and possible traversals, it happens i track them quite correctly due to my different mind.
"I have good intuition when I'm true to myself
this is my point of view I hope to share with you."
SimonTheBeekeeper
PS:
when things starts to move fast
i have my map to find out
where and how.
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thanks for watching I
SELL SIGNAL IS HEREUS30 initiates a trend line from 22nd June, 2025, on its 4hr chart, and current price action faces resistance, as such, leading to a temporary sell in a bullish trend. The most possible TP's for the sell signals are on the support lines that the trend line passes through.
tp 1- 43926.9
tp 2 - 43838.5
tp 3 - 43,561.7
Sl - 44200.
Risk wisely.......
Dow Reverses for Pullback, Bullish Case Valid Above 44,400US30 OVERVIEW
Dow Jones Maintains Uptrend, Poised for Retest and Potential Extension
Dow Jones futures edged up by 69 points early Wednesday, signaling cautious optimism as investors shifted focus away from technology stocks to kick off the second half of the year.
The price continued its bullish trend until it reached the resistance zone, then reversed for a correction, falling below 44,630. Remaining below this level could extend the correction toward 44,400, which now serves as key support and pivot line for confirming a bearish trend.
As long as the index trades above 44400, the bullish trend remains intact, targeting 44,630, and potentially crossing the resistance zone within 44760 and 44920.
Resistance Levels: 44,630 → 44760 → 44920.
Support Levels: 44400 → 44120 → 43960.
US30 DETAIL ANALYSIS
1. Fundamental Analysis
The US30, tracking 30 of the largest publicly traded companies in the U.S., currently reflects a mixed but cautiously optimistic macroeconomic backdrop.
Economic Growth Outlook
The U.S. economy contracted by 0.5% annualized in Q1 2025, revised down from initial estimates. The contraction was largely driven by a surge in imports before new tariffs took effect, which distorted net exports. As a result, the Federal Reserve revised its 2025 GDP growth forecast to approximately 1.4%—a downgrade from the previous 1.7% projection. Private-sector forecasts, including those from Deloitte and S&P Global, echo this view, suggesting a growth range between 1.1% and 1.5% for the year.
Inflation & Federal Reserve Policy
Core PCE inflation—the Fed’s preferred metric—rose to 2.7% year-over-year in May, above the central bank's 2% target. Similarly, core CPI held at 2.8%. While inflation is cooling compared to previous cycles, it remains sticky. Consequently, the Fed has signaled no immediate plans to cut rates, with the earliest possibility being in September. Inflation expectations for year-end 2025 have been revised up to around 3%, in part due to geopolitical shocks and new tariffs.
Labor Market & Consumption Trends
The unemployment rate remains stable near 4.2%, reflecting labor market resilience. However, real disposable income and consumer spending both declined in May, down 0.3% and 0.7%, respectively. The drop indicates potential weakening in consumer demand and future GDP prints. Confidence indices also showed a dip, although a decline in inflation expectations could moderate the downside pressure.
Tariff Effects and Global Risk
Average U.S. tariff levels are at historic highs, ranging between 15–19%, weighing on import costs and corporate margins. The ongoing trade frictions with China, coupled with Middle East tensions (particularly between Israel and Iran), add geopolitical volatility and inflationary risks. Leading institutions warn of stagflation—a toxic mix of slow growth and persistent inflation—pressuring equity valuations.
2. Commitment of Traders (COT) Report Evaluation
The latest COT data reflects a nuanced view of institutional behavior in equity index futures:
Asset Managers have increased net long exposure to US indices, including the Dow, suggesting underlying bullish conviction from long-term holders.
Leveraged Funds (Hedge Funds) have shown mixed sentiment—reducing short positions, but not aggressively adding longs—indicating a cautious optimism.
Retail Traders are predominantly short , which often signals further upside potential due to their tendency to be positioned against the dominant trend.
This asymmetric positioning—combined with macro and structural tailwinds—strengthens the smart money bias toward continuation of the bullish trend, especially as the Dow approaches key technical levels.
3. Technical & SMC-Based Analysis
The daily US30 chart reflects a clear bullish structure, rooted in classic Smart Money Concepts:
Market Structure
A Valid Break of Structure (BOS) confirms upside intent, following a successful sweep of internal liquidity.
The sequence of Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL) remains intact.
Internal Liquidity has been swept, with price now targeting external liquidity near the All-Time High (ATH) zone.
Key Technical Levels
Buying Area 1: Around 43,150 – labeled as the H4 inducement zone. A retest here with bullish price action (engulfing or FVG fill) may trigger continuation long entries.
Buying Area 2: Between 42,450–42,650 – a deeper demand zone where price previously showed strong displacement. A high-probability re-entry zone upon confirmation.
Short-Term Sell Area: Around 44,800 – this zone aligns with potential distribution. Short positions should only be considered here upon confirmation of bearish BOS.
ATH & BSL: The final liquidity target in the current structure, marking the range highs.
Liquidity Pools
Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL): Around 41,800, and a Strong Low exists near 40,900 – both are key areas to be respected in the bullish thesis.
Price is currently aiming toward external BSL above ATH, which is likely to be swept before any significant correction.
4. Strategic Outlook & Trade Plan
✅ Bullish Continuation Scenario
Buy Entry #1: 43,150 zone – confirmation through bullish PA on retest.
Buy Entry #2: 42,450–42,650 – deeper re-entry upon mitigation of FVG or OB.
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: 44,800 (potential distribution zone),
TP2: 45,200 (external BSL at ATH).
Stop Loss: Below 42,200 (under Demand Area 2 or SSL).
⚠️ Bearish Contingency (Only if BOS to Downside)
Monitor for failed structure or strong rejection at 44,800–45,200.
BOS below 43,000 could shift structure and signal a move toward the 42,200 zone.
Break of Strong Low (~40,900) invalidates bullish structure.
Conclusion
The current market environment supports a measured bullish bias in the US30, driven by:
Resilient labor and inflation expectations moderating;
Institutional accumulation per COT data;
A technically clean smart money bullish structure;
Potential for liquidity sweep above ATH before any significant distribution.
That said, macro risks such as tariffs, global geopolitical tensions, and sticky inflation remain key wildcards that could introduce volatility.
NOTE: ONLY FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE NOT A FINANCIAL ADVICE
Market Heist in Progress! US30/DJI Long Trade – Ride or Escape?🔥 "The US30/DJI Heist: Bullish Loot & Escape Before the Trap!" 🔥
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Dear Money Makers & Market Robbers, 🤑💰💸✈️
Based on the 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥 (technical + fundamental analysis), here’s our master plan to heist the US30/DJI (Dow Jones Industrial Average). Follow the strategy on the chart—long entry is the play! Aim to escape near the high-risk RED Zone (overbought, consolidation, potential reversal). The bears are lurking, so take profits and treat yourself—you’ve earned it! 💪🏆🎉
🚀Entry (The Vault is Open!)
"Swipe the bullish loot at any price!"
For precision, place buy limit orders within 15-30min timeframe (recent swing lows/highs).
Set alerts! Don’t miss the heist.
🛑 Stop Loss (Safety Net)
Thief-style SL at nearest swing low (3H timeframe) → 41,400 (adjust based on risk/lot size).
🏴☠️ Target 🎯: 44,200.00
Bullish momentum is fueling this heist—ride the wave but exit before the trap!
📰 Fundamental Backing (Why This Heist Works)
Macroeconomic trends, COT data, geopolitics, and sentiment align for bullish moves.
Full analysis? Check our bio0 linkk! 👉🔗🌎
⚠️ Trading Alerts (News & Risk Mgmt)
Avoid new trades during high-impact news (volatility = danger).
Use trailing stops to lock profits and dodge sudden reversals.
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Hit 👍 (Boost Button) to strengthen our robbery squad!
More heists = More profits—stay tuned for the next steal! 🚀🤑
See you soon, fellow thieves! 🤝🎉