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US30 trade ideas

US30 TRADE IDEA: SHORT | SELL (10/08)Price has been bullish overall. While it has been overall bullish - price hasn’t broken from its consolidation, therefore in the meanwhile we’ll take advantage of the situation. Price has broken down on the 4H TF, so we’re looking for an optimal entry. Although I have marked out FVG - I believe the uppermost order block is a great place to enter from. RR 1 : 2.69 RR 2 : 2.95 RR 3 : 4.82 N.B.: This is not financial advice. Trade safely and with caution.
CAPITALCOM:US30Short
by saintprincevvs
1
US30 Bearish M-Pattern Setup for Next Week Overview: Potential M-Pattern (Double Top) Formation Analyzing the US30 4H chart, we might see a bearish M-pattern develop next week. Here’s why: 🔹 Price Action: Rejection near the 0.786 - 0.886 Fibonacci zone suggests a potential reversal. 🔹 Bollinger Bands 📊: Price hit the upper band and is contracting, signaling a potential downside move. 🔹 RSI 📉: Falling from overbought and heading toward 40, confirming bearish momentum. 🔹 MACD ⚡: Bearish crossover happening, with the histogram turning red—momentum is shifting down. 🔹 Fundamental Catalyst: Next week’s economic events: CPI Data (Tuesday) 🏦 Retail Sales (Thursday) 🛍️ Unemployment Claims (Thursday) 📊If inflation remains high, the Fed could maintain a hawkish stance, further weighing on US30. 🔥 Bearish Trade Plan 🔥 🔢 Entry Zone: 44,600 - 44,750 (Watch for rejection) 🔢 Confirmation: ✅ Bearish engulfing candle 🔥 ✅ RSI below 50 ✅ MACD maintaining bearish momentum🎯 Take Profit Levels: TP1: 44,350 (0.618 Fib Level) TP2: 43,950 (0.5 Fib Level) TP3: 43,075 (0.382 Fib Level - Strong Demand Zone) 🚨 Stop Loss: Above 44,900 to protect against false breakouts ⚠ 💸 Risk-Reward: Aim for 1:2 or better Final Thoughts 🤔 If the M-pattern plays out, expect a bearish move next week. However, CPI data will be a key factor—stay flexible and manage risk! 🚀 Trade smart & stay disciplined! 🚀 Do not risk more than 1% of your account. Comment your thoughts and follow for more cool ideas Regards, Nozuk #US30 #Trading #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #Forex #Indices #Nozuk
DJ:DJIShort
by Nozuk
Dow Jones Wave Analysis – 7 February 2025 - Dow Jones reversed from the resistance level 45000.00 - Likely to fall to support level 44000.00 Dow Jones index recently reversed down from the strong resistance level 45000.00 (which has been reversing the price from November) coinciding with the upper daily Bollinger Band The downward reversal from the resistance level 45000.00 created the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Dark Cloud Cover after the index created Bearish Engulfing at the end of January. Given the strength of the resistance level 45000.00 and the overbought daily Stochastic, Dow Jones index can be expected to fall to the next support level 44000.00 (low of the previous correction (2)).
DJ:DJIShort
by FxProGlobal
US30 - Potentail buy | wait on confirmationUS30 Trading Strategy 🚀📊 📌 Market Overview 🔹 Price Action: Hovering near Fib 0.5 (44,805.5) & Fib 0.618 (44,861.2) – critical resistance zone. 🔹 RSI (51.88): Neutral ⚖️ – not overbought, not oversold. 🔹 MACD: Histogram turning green 📈 – possible bullish momentum, but no strong confirmation yet. 🔹 Bollinger Bands: Price near the mid-band 📊 – no extreme conditions. 🟩 BUY Setup (If Price Breaks Resistance & Retests) ✅ Break & close above 44,980 = Bullish confirmation. ✅ Wait for a retest at 44,805 or 44,861. ✅ Buy Entry: After price holds above resistance. ✅ Stop Loss (SL): Below 44,750 ❌. ✅ Take Profit (TP): 🎯 First target: 45,070. 🎯 Second target: 45,200+ 🚀. ✅ RR: 1:2 or better for solid risk management. Do not risk more than 1% of your account. Comment and follow for more cool Ideas Nozuk,
CAPITALCOM:US30Long
by Nozuk
US30 Potential Sell - Wait for confirmation US30 Trading Strategy 🚀📊 📌 Market Overview 🔹 Price Action: Hovering near Fib 0.5 (44,805.5) & Fib 0.618 (44,861.2) – critical resistance zone. 🔹 RSI (51.88): Neutral ⚖️ – not overbought, not oversold. 🔹 MACD: Histogram turning green 📈 – possible bullish momentum, but no strong confirmation yet. 🔹 Bollinger Bands: Price near the mid-band 📊 – no extreme conditions. 🟥 SELL Setup (If Price Rejects Resistance) 🔻 Wait for a bearish rejection at 44,805 - 44,980 (wicks, engulfing candles). 🔻 Sell Entry: Below 44,805 after confirmation. 🔻 Stop Loss (SL): Above 44,980 ❌. 🔻 Take Profit (TP): 🎯 First target: 44,680 (lower Bollinger Band). 🎯 Second target: 44,480 (Fib 0.886). 🔻 Risk-to-Reward (RR): 1:2 or better ✅. Risk no more than 1% of your account. Comment your thoughts and follow for more cool ideas. Nozuk,
CAPITALCOM:US30Short
by Nozuk
Pre-News & Pre-Market Open Analysis: US30 Great morning to you all! Pre-News & Pre-Market Open Analysis: Key Levels to Watch: Identify confluences between your weekly (green), hourly (blue), and 15-minute (yellow) Fib levels. Look for areas where multiple levels align—these are strong reaction zones. Identify strong support/resistance levels from previous highs and lows. News Event Considerations (7:30 AM CT): Volatility will increase near the release. Expect potential liquidity grabs before the real move happens. Consider waiting for the first reaction before entering any trades. Indicators Check: RSI: Currently at ~53, suggesting neutral momentum—watch for overbought/oversold zones. MACD: Looks like it's slightly negative, suggesting a pullback or weak momentum. If it starts crossing bullish, that could indicate a potential reversal. Bollinger Bands: Price is near the upper band—watch for a potential retracement if momentum weakens. Game Plan: Before the News: Mark potential trade setups based on your fib confluences. Avoid early entries—let the market show its direction first. After the News Release: If price spikes into a key level (like a strong fib resistance/support), wait for confirmation (e.g., candlestick pattern or RSI divergence). If market trends strongly after the release, look for pullbacks to enter in the direction of momentum. Based on your chart and the Fibonacci retracements, here’s how we can mark potential trade zones: Key Trade Zones to Watch: 1. Resistance Zones (Potential Sell Areas) Around 45,000 - 45,085: This aligns with a previous high and is near the weekly fib 0.786 - 0.886 zone. If price spikes here after news, look for rejection signs (e.g., wicks, RSI divergence, or MACD weakening). 44,810 - 44,850 (Mid-range Resistance): Overlap of 1H fib 0.618 level and the EMA zone. If price rejects from this level before the news, it could indicate a weaker bullish push. 2. Support Zones (Potential Buy Areas) 44,574 - 44,483 (Major Support Zone): 1H Fib 0.618 + Weekly Fib 0.382 confluence. If price drops here after the news, watch for bullish confirmations (strong candle closes, RSI oversold). 44,380 - 44,250 (Deep Pullback Buy Zone): 1H Fib 0.786 - 0.886 level and aligns with past consolidation. If news causes a liquidity sweep, this could be a strong reversal area. Trading Approach: Pre-News: No aggressive entries; observe price reaction to key levels. During News: Expect liquidity grabs and fakeouts before a real trend is set. Post-News: If price rejects from resistance → Look for sell setups. If price drops to strong support zones and holds → Look for buy setups. Kepp in mind this is just. a pre-market analisys, onces the news have passed we will have a better understanding of what the market can head towares too! comment your thoughts down bellow. Follow for more. Regards, Nozuk
CAPITALCOM:US30
by Nozuk
Dow Jones: Tariffs hit, next move awaits jobs data !This week's trading had a significant impact on the Dow Jones Index and its recent upward trend. After US President Donald Trump threatened to impose tariffs on both Canada and Mexico over the weekend, US indices, including the Dow Jones, declined. The Dow reversed its upward trend and recorded a new low, just below 44,579. Traders should monitor the current resistance levels at 44,700 and 44,800, as they present selling pressures that could extend the downward trend toward 44,108. Conversely, a price increase above 45,072, accompanied by a daily candlestick closing above this level, would shift the outlook from negative to positive. This could open the door for further gains in the Dow Jones Index, potentially reaching new historical highs. Note: Markets are awaiting US employment data, set to be released today. Expectations indicate a decline in non-farm employment to 154,000, while the unemployment rate is expected to remain unchanged at 4.1%. These figures are highly influential on market movements and the U.S. dollar.
CFI:US30
by CFI
Correlation of Dow Jones to Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) Today marks the release of the U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP), a key labor market indicator that tends to generate high volatility in financial markets. This report, issued monthly by the Department of Labor, reflects the number of jobs created in the non-farm sector during the previous month and is a key determinant of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy. Report Expectations The latest U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report, released on January 10, 2025, revealed an increase of 256,000 jobs in December 2024, exceeding market expectations that anticipated 160,000 new jobs. This increase represented the largest in nine months suggesting continued strength in the U.S. labor market. In addition, the unemployment rate declined to 4.1%, an improvement from the 4.2% recorded in November. Wage growth held steady, with average hourly earnings increasing by 0.3% month-over-month and 3.9% year-over-year. For the January 2025 report, to be released today, February 7, 2025, analysts are forecasting a slowdown in job creation. An increase of 170,000 jobs is expected, down from the number added in December. The unemployment rate is projected to hold steady at 4.1%. This moderation in job growth could reflect a normalization following earlier increases. A weaker-than-expected employment report could influence expectations about the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, potentially affecting the U.S. dollar and broader financial markets. Investors will be watching this data to assess economic health and adjust their strategies accordingly. If the figures beat expectations, they could reinforce the Fed's stance of keeping interest rates higher for longer, which would benefit the US dollar and put downward pressure on risky assets. Conversely, a disappointing data could open the door to a tightening of monetary policy, weakening the dollar and supporting equities and commodities. Impact on markets 1. US Dollar and Forex: If NFP beats expectations, this could lead to an appreciation of the USD, especially against EUR, GBP and JPY. If not, the greenback could lose ground, pushing pairs such as EUR/USD above key resistances. 2. Stock markets: Wall Street tends to have a mixed reaction to NFP. Strong data could generate concerns about a tighter Fed, affecting the S&P 500 and Nasdaq. On the other hand, weak data could generate optimism about a possible monetary easing. 3. Commodities: Gold tends to react in reversal to the dollar. If the NFP strengthens the USD, gold could retreat; if the data is weak, it could overcome key resistances. In oil, a strong reading could indicate higher energy demand, benefiting crude oil prices. Dow Jones Industrial Average (Ticker AT: USAIND) Analysis Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) is a key event in particular, for the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), as it reveals the health of the U.S. labor market and can set the tone for stocks on Wall Street. A strong report could benefit many of the Dow30 majors, from Goldman Sachs to Caterpillar. However, that initial euphoria may quickly fade if investors begin to fear that the Federal Reserve will take this data as a reason to keep interest rates higher for longer. In that case, the Dow may turn downward, as a high rate environment makes financing for companies more expensive and reduces growth expectations. On the other hand, when NFP disappoints and shows lower job creation, the market reaction can be more complex. If the data suggests a controlled slowdown, the Dow could find support in the expectation that the Fed will loosen its monetary stance, which would reduce borrowing costs and stimulate business growth. However, if the report is too weak and points to a possible recession, panic may take hold in the markets, sending the Dow Jones into steep declines as investors seek refuge in safer assets such as gold or Treasuries. In short, the Dow Jones is particularly sensitive to NFP because it reflects the balance between growth and monetary policy. A figure that is too strong or too weak can generate sharp movements, while a figure in line with expectations tends to generate stability. That is why every NFP release is a time of high tension on Wall Street. If we look at the chart, the latest NPF data supported the index and pushed it to the highs, and it is currently hitting resistance for the third time at 45,110 points at its current all-time high. If the payrolls data is as bad as expected, it is very likely that the price will fall again to test the 42,000 points being its support at 41,788.80 points. RSI is currently 61.57% overbought with only a few hours to go before the key event of the month. The long term Control Point (POC) is located in the 34,000 points zone, being this its previous accumulation zone. The current accumulation zone is located at the average of 39,500 points. Conclusion Today's NFP will play a crucial role in the market's perception of the direction of the Fed's monetary policy in which the trends on the dollar and on this index in particular may be affected in order to face the whole month, prior to the corporate results of the companies that make up the index. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
ACTIVTRADES:USAINDShort
by ActivTrades
WHAT'S FLOWING: TRUMP | METALS | INDEX | BTC Key Observations from the Charts 1. USD/MXN (US Dollar to Mexican Peso) – Bullish • The pair is trending upwards, with price breaking above recent resistance. • Green Heikin Ashi candles confirm bullish momentum. 2. USD/CNH (US Dollar to Chinese Yuan) – Bullish • Price is pushing higher, breaking past previous resistance. • The red-to-green shift in Heikin Ashi candles signals continued strength in USD. 3. USD/CAD (US Dollar to Canadian Dollar) – Bullish • Strong rally with momentum building. • The price is well above the moving average zone (green/red shaded area). 4. AUD/JPY & AUD/USD (vs. USD/JPY) – Bearish • Weakness in AUD is visible as it trends downward. • The Heikin Ashi candles are mostly red, indicating a downtrend. 5. XAG/EUR (Silver to Euro) – Bullish • Price is breaking higher, suggesting demand for silver. • Potential move toward the next resistance. 6. XAU/USD vs. XAG/USD (Gold & Silver to USD) – Bullish • Both gold and silver are pushing higher. • Potential rotation into precious metals as a hedge against market uncertainty. 7. GER40 (DAX Index, Germany) – Bullish • The index is maintaining an uptrend. • Strong green Heikin Ashi candles show continuation. 8. US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average) – Bearish • Continues to push higher with momentum. • Uptrend remains intact. 9. SPX500 (S&P 500 Index) – Slightly Bearish • Market remains near highs, with some consolidation. • Green Heikin Ashi candles still dominate, but some resistance forming. What’s Flowing Today? • Strong USD Trends: USD is pushing higher against MXN, CNH, and CAD, reflecting dollar strength. • Precious Metals Rising: Gold and Silver are both trending up, likely as a hedge against market risks. • Equities Holding Strong: US & European indices (S&P 500, Dow Jones, and DAX) are maintaining bullish trends. • AUD Weakness: AUD/JPY and AUD/USD are selling off, signaling risk aversion in currency markets. Market Themes to Watch • Risk-on vs. Risk-off Sentiment: Precious metals moving higher suggests some defensive positioning, but stocks remain strong. • US Dollar Strength: USD showing dominance across multiple pairs. • Commodities & Inflation Hedge: Metals rallying could indicate inflation expectations creeping back into the market.
FX:US30
by moneymagnateash
12
Falling towards pullback support?Dow Jones (US30) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which has been identified as a pullback resistance. Pivot: 44,276.40 1st Support: 43,763.49 1st Resistance: 44,991.93 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:US30Long
by ICmarkets
US30 H4 I Bearish Drop Based on the H4 chart, the price is testing our sell entry level at 44,728.54, a pullback resistance. This level is expected to act as a potential reversal point in the bearish setup. A successful rejection at this resistance could drive prices lower toward our take profit at 44,029.64, where buyers may step in near a previous support level. The stop loss is placed at 45,433.97, just above the 127.2% Fibonacci extension, allowing room for price fluctuations while ensuring the bearish outlook remains valid. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:US30Short
by FXCM
NFP Feb 25 - US30 NFP Trading Plan Feb 2025. Weaker NFP data with higher UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS (Bullish) Higher NFP data with Lower UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS (Bearish) Weaker NFP data with Neutral UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS (Choppy) NFP - Forecast 169K vs Previous 256K Unemployment Claims - Forecast 4.1% vs Previous 4.1% Here's the tricky Part. If data comes out as expected (NFP 169K - UEC 4.1%) thats Bullish, but a choppy market up & down until market finds a valid support/trend. Plan Of Action. Wait 5 - 15 min after data release. Identify the S&R zones. Wait for Break or Retest. Wait for confirmation (Candle close/Volume Break/Retest). Execute with Proper Risk Management. STICK TO PLAN OF ACTION!!! Support & Resistence Resistence - 44725 - 44750 Support - 44525 -44500 Technicals Monitor DXY for a weaker Dollar. Currently on the 4hr DXY chart we got a H&S Pattern with MA20 downside cross MA50 and RSI in sell area below 50. US30 we inverted H&S Pattern with MA20 trading close to MA50 for upside cross and RSI in Buy area above 50.
ICMARKETS:US30Long
by THE_US30FX
Before Unemployment Claim Day trade - Potential scenarios US30 🛠️ Trade Execution Plan ✅ Step 1: Key Levels to Watch 📊 Resistance: 🔴 45,070 – 45,100 → Major breakout level 🟢 Target if bullish: 45,250+ 📊 Support: 🟡 44,550 → First downside target 🟢 44,266 → Stronger support level 🔴 43,753 → Deep pullback level (if sell-off happens) 📈 Bullish Scenario (Stronger-than-expected labor market) 🔹 What to look for: Unemployment claims come in lower than expected (good for economy). US30 breaks and holds above 45,100 (watch for a retest confirmation). Momentum increases on MACD & RSI stays above 50. 🔹 Trade Setup: ✅ Buy above 45,100 if price closes above this level on the 5m or 15m chart. 🎯 Targets: 🎯 First TP: 45,250 🎯 Second TP: 45,400 🛑 Stop-Loss (SL): Below 44,950 📉 Bearish Scenario (Weaker labor market, higher claims) 🔹 What to look for: Higher unemployment claims = weak labor market = market drops. US30 rejects 45,070 and fails to break 45,000. RSI turns downward, MACD shows red bars increasing. 🔹 Trade Setup: ✅ Sell below 44,900 if price fails to break above 45,000 and starts dropping. 🎯 Targets: 🎯 First TP: 44,550 🎯 Second TP: 44,266 🛑 Stop-Loss (SL): Above 45,050 ⏳ Best Trading Approach (Timing) 1️⃣ Right at 8:30 AM ET (Initial Spike) Price whipsaws up & down due to fast orders. ❌ Avoid immediate entry! Wait 5-10 minutes for direction. 2️⃣ 8:35 - 8:45 AM ET (Retest Confirmation) If price breaks a key level & retests, enter on confirmation. 3️⃣ 9:30 AM ET (Stock Market Open Reaction) Second big move might come at NYSE open. 🎯 Final Tips Don’t rush the trade. Let the market show direction before entering. Stick to stop-loss & take-profit levels. Use smaller lot size if volatility is extreme. If unsure, stay out! There will always be another trade. Do not risk more than 1% of your account. Follow for more cool ideas. -Nozuk
CAPITALCOM:US30
by Nozuk
1