USTEC trade ideas
My trade idea on NASDAQ 100 For the coming week I'm seeing NAS100 dropping lower to pull/draw on liquidity below there heading to where we have what looks like a strong POI...
Drop your comment below if you're seeing something totally different from what I'm seeing here and lets have a discussion about our views.
NSDQ100 uptrend consolidation supported at 21300Markets Rattled After Israel Strikes Iran
Israel launched major airstrikes on Iran, targeting nuclear and missile sites, as well as top military leaders. The move sharply escalates tensions in the Middle East and came despite warnings from former President Donald Trump, who was told of the attack only shortly beforehand. He later warned Iran that future strikes would be “even more brutal” if no deal is made.
Market Reaction:
Oil jumped up to 13% on fears of supply disruptions.
Gold climbed as investors rushed to safe-haven assets.
Stock futures and crypto fell on rising geopolitical risk.
The U.S. dollar dipped, then rebounded, as its role as a safe-haven asset came into focus.
Other Key Updates:
Trump wins court backing to keep troops in Los Angeles amid ongoing protests. A hearing is set for Tuesday.
Meta invests billions in Scale AI, bringing on its CEO to boost efforts in building artificial general intelligence. Meta is aggressively hiring top AI talent from firms like Google.
For Traders:
Watch oil and gold closely for continued volatility.
Safe-haven flows could drive further USD and gold moves.
Meta’s AI push may influence tech sector sentiment.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 22070
Resistance Level 2: 22370
Resistance Level 3: 22680
Support Level 1: 21300
Support Level 2: 21060
Support Level 3: 20820
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NASDAQ Pullback or Reversal? Watching 4H Support ZonePrice is reacting from the 1D resistance zone around 21,950 and now hovering near a 4H support zone at ~21,520.
• 1D Chart: Long wick rejection from resistance.
• 4H Chart: Break of rising wedge and rejection from 1H trendline.
• 1H & 23m Chart: Clear bearish order block formed. Price consolidating under broken structure.
Key Zones:
• Support: 21,500 / 21,325
• Resistance: 21,900 / 22,000
Bias: Bearish below 21,750. Retest of support expected.
NASDAQ TRADING ROADMAP 09 - 13 JUNI 2025📊 NASDAQ TRADING ROADMAP
Trade Plan & Market Outlook
The NASDAQ is currently trading within the H4 Supply Zone (21767.00 – 22158.00) after a bullish rejection from the H4 Demand Zone (21524.00 – 21404.00).
🔹 Key Zones to Watch:
🟩 Demand Zones:
H4 Demand: 21524.00 – 21404.00
Strong H4 Demand: 21136.00
Daily Demand: 20740.00
🟥 Supply Zones:
H4 Supply: 21767.00 – 22158.00
Daily Supply: 21736.00
🔹 Market Outlook & Scenarios:
If price breaks out above the H4 Supply Zone (21767.00), there's potential for a continued rally toward the strong Supply at 22158.00
However, if price gets rejected from this supply area, a pullback may occur toward the H4 Demand Zone (21524.00 – 21404.00), and possibly extend lower to the strong Demand at 21136.00
📌 Monitor price action closely around the current supply area.
Wait for breakout or rejection confirmation before entering trades, and always manage your risk properly.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER ON
This content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Trading involves substantial risk and may not be suitable for all investors.
Always conduct your own analysis and apply appropriate risk management strategies.
Bullish continuation?USTEC is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 21,115.24
1st Support: 20,647.83
1st Resistance: 22,217.62
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US100Correlation Between US100 (Nasdaq 100), 10-Year Bond Yield, and Bond Prices
1. Relationship Between 10-Year Treasury Bond Yield and Bond Prices
Inverse Relationship:
Bond prices and yields move inversely. When the 10-year Treasury yield rises, bond prices fall, and vice versa. This is because the fixed coupon payments become less attractive when yields increase, causing existing bond prices to drop to offer comparable yields to new issues.
Current Data (June 13, 2025):
10-Year Treasury yield is around 4.40%, with the bond price near 98.81 (below par), reflecting recent yield increases.
Term Premium:
The term premium on the 10-year Treasury has risen sharply since early April 2025, reaching the highest level in over a decade. This premium compensates investors for risks that short-term yields may not evolve as expected, keeping long-term yields elevated and bond prices suppressed.
2. US100 (Nasdaq 100) and 10-Year Treasury Yield Correlation
Negative Correlation Generally Observed:
The Nasdaq 100 (US100), a tech-heavy equity index, often shows a negative correlation with 10-year Treasury yields. When yields rise, borrowing costs increase, discount rates for future earnings rise, and equities—especially growth stocks—tend to decline. Conversely, falling yields often boost equities.
Recent Trends:
In 2025, rising yields have put pressure on equities, including the Nasdaq 100, as investors demand higher returns from riskier assets. However, periods of yield stabilization or decline can support equity rallies.
Risk Sentiment:
The correlation can vary with market sentiment; during risk-off episodes, both equities and bond yields may fall as investors flock to safety.
3. US100 and Bond Prices
Indirect Relationship via Yields:
Since bond prices move inversely to yields, and yields often move inversely to equities, bond prices and equities like US100 often show a positive correlation in risk-off environments (both falling) and a negative correlation in risk-on environments (equities rising, bond prices falling).
Safe-Haven Demand:
In times of market stress, investors may sell equities and buy bonds, pushing bond prices up and yields down, while equities like US100 decline.
4. Yield Curve and Market Implications
The US yield curve has steepened recently, with the 10-year yield (~4.40%) above the 2-year yield (~3.95%), reflecting expectations of higher long-term inflation and growth risks.
A steepening curve can signal improving growth prospects but also higher financing costs, which can weigh on tech stocks in the US100.
Conclusion
The 10-year Treasury yield and bond prices move inversely, with recent yield increases pushing bond prices below par.
The Nasdaq 100 (US100) typically moves inversely to 10-year yields, as higher yields raise borrowing costs and discount rates, pressuring growth stocks.
The relationship between US100 and bond prices depends on market risk sentiment: in risk-off periods, bond prices rise while equities fall; in risk-on periods, the opposite occurs.
The current steepening yield curve and elevated term premium suggest ongoing volatility and cautious investor positioning affecting both bonds and equities.
#NAS100 #DOLLAR
BUY POSITIONToday im looking at buy positions to the highlighted target continue to make higher highs
NAS100 ATH or what? optimism coming back or no? Chyna CHyna CHyNAS100 ATH or what?
optimism coming back or no? Chyna CHyna CHyna? or no CHyna? let us know~~
we caught april bottom now run ATH?
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Hedge funds are unusually bearish and here's why...We have a huge dealing range to short into and still remain bullish, it's basically free money on technical retracement/correction while not ruining the market.
The retailers have been buying since April but there is no institutional orderflow evidenced by no peak above average volume levels.
Technicals will reign supreme here. Trump is either trolling about the rate decrease or he has no idea about chart technicals 😮💨. I bet he's trolling, as he has cabinets on cabinets of market advisors who know fully how correction cycles work.
US100Correlation Between US100 (Nasdaq 100), 10-Year Bond Yield, and Bond Prices
1. Relationship Between 10-Year Treasury Bond Yield and Bond Prices
Inverse Relationship:
Bond prices and yields move inversely. When the 10-year Treasury yield rises, bond prices fall, and vice versa. This is because the fixed coupon payments become less attractive when yields increase, causing existing bond prices to drop to offer comparable yields to new issues.
Current Data (June 13, 2025):
10-Year Treasury yield is around 4.40%, with the bond price near 98.81 (below par), reflecting recent yield increases.
Term Premium:
The term premium on the 10-year Treasury has risen sharply since early April 2025, reaching the highest level in over a decade. This premium compensates investors for risks that short-term yields may not evolve as expected, keeping long-term yields elevated and bond prices suppressed.
2. US100 (Nasdaq 100) and 10-Year Treasury Yield Correlation
Negative Correlation Generally Observed:
The Nasdaq 100 (US100), a tech-heavy equity index, often shows a negative correlation with 10-year Treasury yields. When yields rise, borrowing costs increase, discount rates for future earnings rise, and equities—especially growth stocks—tend to decline. Conversely, falling yields often boost equities.
Recent Trends:
In 2025, rising yields have put pressure on equities, including the Nasdaq 100, as investors demand higher returns from riskier assets. However, periods of yield stabilization or decline can support equity rallies.
Risk Sentiment:
The correlation can vary with market sentiment; during risk-off episodes, both equities and bond yields may fall as investors flock to safety.
3. US100 and Bond Prices
Indirect Relationship via Yields:
Since bond prices move inversely to yields, and yields often move inversely to equities, bond prices and equities like US100 often show a positive correlation in risk-off environments (both falling) and a negative correlation in risk-on environments (equities rising, bond prices falling).
Safe-Haven Demand:
In times of market stress, investors may sell equities and buy bonds, pushing bond prices up and yields down, while equities like US100 decline.
4. Yield Curve and Market Implications
The US yield curve has steepened recently, with the 10-year yield (~4.40%) above the 2-year yield (~3.95%), reflecting expectations of higher long-term inflation and growth risks.
A steepening curve can signal improving growth prospects but also higher financing costs, which can weigh on tech stocks in the US100.
Conclusion
The 10-year Treasury yield and bond prices move inversely, with recent yield increases pushing bond prices below par.
The Nasdaq 100 (US100) typically moves inversely to 10-year yields, as higher yields raise borrowing costs and discount rates, pressuring growth stocks.
The relationship between US100 and bond prices depends on market risk sentiment: in risk-off periods, bond prices rise while equities fall; in risk-on periods, the opposite occurs.
The current steepening yield curve and elevated term premium suggest ongoing volatility and cautious investor positioning affecting both bonds and equities.
#NAS100 #DOLLAR
Nasdaq-100 H1 | Potential bullish bounce off 50% Fibo support?The Nasdaq-100 (NAS100) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 21,703.02 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 21,400.00 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support and the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 22,022.32 which is a resistance that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
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USTECH (Nasdaq) Daily Trade SetupIn this update we review the recent price action in the Nasdaq and identify the next high-probability trading opportunity and price objectives to target. To review today's video analysis, click here!
NASDAQ The bearish bias is supported by the COT data showing the majority of non-commercial traders are increasing their short positions. Sell/Short: Consider entering a short position at current levels, with a stop above the resistance zone (preferably just above the recent swing high).
USTECPrevious analysis on May 30 found that the price came down to test the support level at 20,693 but could not break through. Now the price has returned to test the resistance level at 21,737-22,139 again. If the price cannot break through the level of 22,139, it is expected that the price will drop. Consider selling in the red zone.
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>>GooD Luck 😊
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NDX its a short for like month?this is only an Idea !
due to many fvg's and gaps this is more likely to happen
you can see the long 30d / 40d target on chart
NAS - TIME TO MAKE ACTIVE TRADER ROOM GREATER AGAIN!Team, last week we got a good entry on both DOW/US30 AND NAS100/TEC100
Yes, i do know about the situation with ISRAEL AND IRAN.
This will drag on for at least 3-6 months for the solutions
however, I expect the cease fire should be stop within next week as President Trump's is negotiation with Iran
There are two strategy to trade for the NAS- NASTY market
Rule: make sure you calculate how much position and volume you are taking risk on the trade. Every time you enter, ensure you are understood each trade risk.
As I always do.
The last 90 days we have not losing a single trade - check my new video release soon.
OK, lets get back to the trade set up again
entry small volume at market now.
If market falling down during US session, buy more at the second setting
However, I expect the 1st setting likely to recover soon.
Jump on board now.
See you to the moon
NASDAQ break and retest: SHORTI found a good and solid breakout of a TL and its retesting now.
The retest is now on the broken TL, strong area of S/R and its fibo level..
We will see further drop in next week!!
CHEERRRSSS...!!!
Macro enviornment effects on equities - Flat to Bearish The current macro-geopolitical environment presents several quantifiable bearish pressures on the Nasdaq. Housing markets are showing real signs of deterioration, with home listings in Florida and other regions down 15–20% from peak prices, and many individual properties seeing $100K+ price cuts—foreshadowing a broader 24–30% drawdown in real estate that could significantly erode consumer wealth and confidence. Labor market weakness is emerging beneath the surface, with rising layoffs in tech and new graduates facing difficulty securing jobs, even as the Fed is projected to cut rates twice by year-end. While disinflation supports policy easing, it is being outweighed by the drag from labor and housing stress. Geopolitically, the escalation risk in the Iran–Israel conflict introduces volatility and commodity price spikes, while the Ukraine war, though stagnating, remains unresolved. U.S. foreign policy appears increasingly erratic, adding further uncertainty premium. These elements combine to create a risk environment where upside in the Nasdaq is capped, and downside exposure remains
Flat to Bearish for the next 12 months, drawdown up to 25% to December 2021 high on NDX and support line during recent tariff crashes. long sustained drawdown would sustain for a while if we get into situations like housing collapse, or entering into a war, even indirectly like we did for Ukraine.
significant. NASDAQ:NDX NASDAQ:NDX NASDAQ:QQQ AMEX:SPY
NAS100 Bullish Trend Still IntactPrice being in resistance zones should not be an automatic sign that we should start selling. The trend is still bullish until we see clear signs of a reversal.
NASDAQ PRICED IN GOLD FORMING A MASSIVE TOP.NASDAQ PRICED IN GOLD FORMING A MASSIVE TOP.
If history rhymes… tech could bleed value while Gold continues to shine.
Final breakdown nearing, where you would expect the Nasdaq to fall as this gets confirmed.
