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NAS100 - Massive Rejection at Supply Zone! Bearish Setup BrewingPrice has tapped into a clear Supply Zone and is showing signs of distribution. Bearish divergence forming across momentum indicators (not shown here). Price has failed to break new highs = Possible double top structure forming. Arrows indicate potential downside targets if rejection holds. --- 💡 Trade Idea: 🎯 Sell Setup: Look for confirmation (e.g., break of short-term support or bearish engulfing) to target 19,185 → 16,948 ❌ Invalidate if price breaks and closes above 21,785 with volume --- 📢 What do you think? Is NAS100 ready to drop? 💬 Drop your thoughts in the comments. 👍 Like & 🔁 Share if you find this helpful! 📈 Follow for more high-probability setups weekly. #NAS100 #US100 #NASDAQ #TradingView #SupplyAndDemand #PriceAction #ForexSignals #BearishSetup #MarketAnalysis #SwingTrading #DayTrading #SmartMoney
FX:NAS100Short
by FrankFx14
1
The NASDAQ Fails to Break Out, Paving the Way for Lower PricesIt looked as though the Nasdaq 100 might break out last week, following a double boost from Nvidia’s surge after its results and news that a federal court had blocked US President Donald Trump’s tariffs. However, those hopes quickly faded, and the Nasdaq promptly reversed course. Now the index finds itself in a precarious position, as it appears to be preparing for a move lower. The first thing that stands out on the Nasdaq 100 chart is the rejection of the breakout attempt on 29 May. As a result, the Nasdaq may be forming a double top pattern. The pattern still requires confirmation, which would come from a decline below the neckline at 20,900. A break of the neckline could set the stage for a return to the 19,900–20,100 region. Additionally, the index has broken the uptrend that formed from the intraday lows on 7 April, with the rally on 29 May serving as a re-test of that trendline break. At the same time, momentum, as measured by the Relative Strength Index, has also reversed direction and is now trending lower, after having risen above 70, indicating the index had become overbought. This further strengthens the case that the Nasdaq is at some form of inflexion point. One might have thought that two positive news events on the same day would have been enough to generate the momentum needed to push the Nasdaq higher and trigger a breakout. However, the failure to do so raises serious questions about whether the index has the strength required to move higher from here. It now seems more likely that a change in trend is beginning to emerge, and if a double top is forming, a move lower appears increasingly probable. Written by Michael J. Kramer, founder of Mott Capital Management. Disclaimer: CMC Markets is an execution-only service provider. The material (whether or not it states any opinions) is for general information purposes only and does not take into account your personal circumstances or objectives. Nothing in this material is (or should be considered to be) financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed. No opinion given in the material constitutes a recommendation by CMC Markets or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. The material has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research. Although we are not specifically prevented from dealing before providing this material, we do not seek to take advantage of the material prior to its dissemination.
IG:NASDAQ
by cmcmarkets
Hanzo / Nas100 15 Min Path ( Confirmed Break Out Zones )🔥 NAS100 – 15 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup) Bias: Waiting For Break Out Time Frame: 15 Min Entry Type: Confirmed Entry After Break Out 👌Bullish After Break : 21475 Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move. 👌Bearish After Break : 21120 Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move. ☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel ➕ Zone Activated: Strategic Reaction from Refined Liquidity Layer Marked volatility from a high-precision supply/demand zone. System detects potential for both long and short operations. 🩸 Momentum Signature Detected: Displacement candle confirms directional intent — AI pattern scan active. — If upward: Bullish momentum burst. — If downward: Aggressive bearish rejection. 💯 Market Zone: Transition Phase Asset in premium-to-discount (or vice versa) range — valid for both reversal and continuation trades. Execute with precision.
FX:NAS100
by Path_Of_Hanzo
Hanzo / Nas100 15 Min Path ( Confirmed Break Out Zones )🔥 NAS100 – 15 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup) Bias: Waiting For Break Out Time Frame: 15 Min Entry Type: Confirmed Entry After Break Out 👌Bullish After Break : 21310 Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move. 👌Bearish After Break : 21125 Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move. ☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel ➕ Zone Activated: Strategic Reaction from Refined Liquidity Layer Marked volatility from a high-precision supply/demand zone. System detects potential for both long and short operations. 🩸 Momentum Signature Detected: Displacement candle confirms directional intent — AI pattern scan active. — If upward: Bullish momentum burst. — If downward: Aggressive bearish rejection. 💯 Market Zone: Transition Phase Asset in premium-to-discount (or vice versa) range — valid for both reversal and continuation trades. Execute with precision.
FX:NAS100
by Path_Of_Hanzo
USNAS100 -Risk-Off Sentiment Keeps USNAS100 in Bearish TerritoryUSNAS100 – Bearish Momentum Holds as Traders Watch Geopolitical Risks and Fed Signals The NASDAQ (USNAS100) remains under pressure as market sentiment stays cautious amid ongoing Middle East tensions and uncertainty ahead of this week’s Federal Reserve outlook. While the geopolitical escalation has not triggered panic, it continues to weigh on risk appetite—particularly in tech-heavy indices. Technical Outlook: The price currently appears to be heading toward 21635. A 1H close below this level is expected to confirm further downside toward 21470. A break below the key support zone could open the door to the next bearish leg targeting 21065. To shift the structure to bullish, the price would need a confirmed 4H candle close above the 21790–21850 resistance zone. Key Levels: • Support: 21635, 21470, 21375 • Resistance: 21930, 22090, 22200
OANDA:NAS100USD
by SroshMayi
NASDAQ Analysis: Navigating Uncertainty in a Shifting LandscapeThe NASDAQ has been on a rollercoaster ride lately 🎢, reflecting both global macro shifts and sector-specific dynamics. After dipping into bear market territory earlier in the year, the index has rebounded strongly, powered by mega-cap tech and the ongoing AI boom 🤖. However, the mood remains cautious as investors weigh political and economic cross-currents. Note how price action is stalling at the current level. Fundamentals & Earnings 💼 Earnings Resilience: Q1 2025 earnings for NASDAQ heavyweights were robust, with tech giants posting double-digit growth. Yet, forward guidance is more muted, as companies brace for the impact of higher tariffs and global supply chain adjustments. Valuations: The recent rally has pushed forward P/E ratios well above long-term averages, making the market more sensitive to any negative surprises 📈. AI & Innovation: Capital expenditure on AI is set to exceed$300 billion this year, keeping the sector in the spotlight and fueling optimism for long-term growth. Political & Geopolitical Factors 🌍 Trade Policy: The U.S. and China have agreed to a temporary pause on new tariffs, easing some immediate concerns. However, the average effective tariff rate remains much higher than last year, and uncertainty lingers as legal challenges and further negotiations loom. Fiscal Policy: U.S. deficit worries are back in focus, with new legislation projected to add trillions to the national debt over the next decade. This has contributed to higher Treasury yields and a weaker dollar 💵. Global Competition: International equities have outperformed U.S. stocks over the past six months, but history suggests this may be stretched, and a reversal could be on the horizon. Market Sentiment & Technicals 📊 Volatility: While volatility has eased from its spring highs, sentiment remains fragile. Consumer and business confidence indices are at multi-year lows, even as hard economic data (like jobless claims) remains resilient. Sector Rotation: Growth and cyclical sectors—especially tech, consumer discretionary, and industrials—have led the rebound, but investors are increasingly selective, favoring companies with strong fundamentals and global reach. Outlook: The NASDAQ is cautiously optimistic for the second half of 2025. The market is pricing in a couple of Fed rate cuts by year-end, but the path forward depends on inflation trends, trade clarity, and corporate earnings. Key Takeaways 🚦 The NASDAQ is in recovery mode, but faces headwinds from trade policy, fiscal uncertainty, and stretched valuations. Political developments—especially around tariffs and fiscal policy—will be key drivers of volatility. Long-term, the AI and tech innovation wave remains a powerful tailwind, but near-term caution is warranted. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Markets are volatile and subject to rapid change. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by fxtraderanthony
NAS100 - Priming to SHORTDear Friends in Trading, How I see it, Rising Wedge - Bullish Exhaustion Pattern "SHORT" Targets: 1] 20740.00 2] 20200.00 Fundamentally: If I was an institutional Invester and/or hedge fund manager with 100's of millions in US stocks. Considering the geopolitical tensions at the moment. I will move the largest percentage of my portfolio to safe haven $-bonds and/or commodities like GOLD. But that's just me... I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight. Thank you for taking the time to study my analysis.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by ANROC
NAS100 - Stock market awaits an important week!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is trading in the specified pattern. If it does not rise again above the broken trend line, I expect a correction. If the index returns above the broken trend line, we can expect a new ATH to be recorded on the Nasdaq. It is better to wait for confirmation on the breakout in order to control further risk. Last week, U.S. stock markets—particularly the Nasdaq index—experienced significant volatility, driven by a combination of economic and geopolitical factors: • A reduction in trade tensions due to ongoing U.S.-China negotiations • The release of inflation indicators • Heightened geopolitical tensions According to Politico, as G7 leaders meet in Canada, the escalating conflict between Israel and Iran will top the agenda. Politico reported that leaders of the free world have gathered in the Rocky Mountains to discuss the very real threat of a full-scale war in the Middle East. The initial sessions of the G7 summit will take place in Kananaskis, where the worsening Israel-Iran conflict will be the primary focus. Donald Trump, who in recent days has fueled tensions through social media, is now expected to join discussions aimed at de-escalation. On the economic front, lower-than-expected inflation in May could encourage the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates sooner than markets had previously anticipated. On Wednesday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that inflation rose 2.4% in May compared to a year earlier. Housing costs were identified as the primary driver of this inflation, while price increases in categories most affected by high tariffs were not as pronounced as economists had expected. So far this year, the Fed has refrained from cutting its benchmark interest rate, citing concerns that tariffs might push consumer prices higher. While the likelihood of a rate cut at this week’s meeting remains low, the latest report could ease some of these worries and accelerate the timeline for potential cuts. Meanwhile, Bloomberg reported that a growing group of President Trump’s advisers is urging him to consider Besant for the Fed chair position. Jerome Powell’s current term extends until May 2026, and he was originally nominated by Trump in November 2017. Other names reportedly under consideration include Kevin Warsh (considered a favored candidate), Kevin Hassett (head of the White House National Economic Council), Christopher Waller (a current Fed board member), and David Malpass (former World Bank president). After a week dominated by U.S. inflation data, investor attention in the coming days will shift toward central bank decisions and potential signals regarding the future path of interest rates. The trading week kicks off Monday with the Empire State Manufacturing Index, offering an initial snapshot of the industrial sector in New York. Later that day, the Bank of Japan will announce its first interest rate decision, an event that could shape Asian market trends and the yen’s valuation. On Tuesday, May’s U.S. retail sales data will be released—a key indicator of consumer strength. Signs of weakness in this report could bolster expectations for rate cuts. Wednesday will be the focal point of the week, as the Federal Reserve announces its policy decision. While markets have already priced in a pause in tightening, investors will scrutinize Jerome Powell’s remarks for clues on the likelihood of rate cuts in the months ahead. Additionally, data on May housing starts and weekly jobless claims will also be released that day. On Thursday, with U.S. markets closed for Juneteenth, attention will turn to monetary policy decisions from the Swiss National Bank and the Bank of England. Changes in tone or interest rates from these key European central banks could influence currency market volatility. Finally, the week will conclude Friday with the release of the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index—a leading indicator closely watched by traders for insights into the health of the manufacturing sector in the U.S. East.
CAPITALCOM:US100
by Ali_PSND
Hanzo / Nas100 30 Min ( Accurate Tactical Break Out Zones )🔥 Nas100 – 30 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup) ⚡️ Objective: Precision Breakout Execution Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare Entry Mode: Only after verified breakout — no emotion, no gamble. 👌Bullish After Break : 21810 Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move. 👌Bearish After Break : 21640 Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move. ☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel ➕ Zone Activated: Strategic liquidity layer detected — mapped through refined supply/demand mechanics. Volatility now rising. This isn’t noise — this is bait for the untrained. We're not them. 🩸 Momentum Signature Detected: Displacement candle confirms directional intent — AI pattern scan active. — If upward: Bullish momentum burst. — If downward: Aggressive bearish rejection. 🦸‍♂️ Tactical Note: The kill shot only comes after the trap is exposed and volume betrays their position.
FX:NAS100
by Path_Of_Hanzo
US100Correlation Between US100 (Nasdaq 100), 10-Year Bond Yield, and Bond Prices 1. Relationship Between 10-Year Treasury Bond Yield and Bond Prices Inverse Relationship: Bond prices and yields move inversely. When the 10-year Treasury yield rises, bond prices fall, and vice versa. This is because the fixed coupon payments become less attractive when yields increase, causing existing bond prices to drop to offer comparable yields to new issues. Current Data (June 13, 2025): 10-Year Treasury yield is around 4.40%, with the bond price near 98.81 (below par), reflecting recent yield increases. Term Premium: The term premium on the 10-year Treasury has risen sharply since early April 2025, reaching the highest level in over a decade. This premium compensates investors for risks that short-term yields may not evolve as expected, keeping long-term yields elevated and bond prices suppressed. 2. US100 (Nasdaq 100) and 10-Year Treasury Yield Correlation Negative Correlation Generally Observed: The Nasdaq 100 (US100), a tech-heavy equity index, often shows a negative correlation with 10-year Treasury yields. When yields rise, borrowing costs increase, discount rates for future earnings rise, and equities—especially growth stocks—tend to decline. Conversely, falling yields often boost equities. Recent Trends: In 2025, rising yields have put pressure on equities, including the Nasdaq 100, as investors demand higher returns from riskier assets. However, periods of yield stabilization or decline can support equity rallies. Risk Sentiment: The correlation can vary with market sentiment; during risk-off episodes, both equities and bond yields may fall as investors flock to safety. 3. US100 and Bond Prices Indirect Relationship via Yields: Since bond prices move inversely to yields, and yields often move inversely to equities, bond prices and equities like US100 often show a positive correlation in risk-off environments (both falling) and a negative correlation in risk-on environments (equities rising, bond prices falling). Safe-Haven Demand: In times of market stress, investors may sell equities and buy bonds, pushing bond prices up and yields down, while equities like US100 decline. 4. Yield Curve and Market Implications The US yield curve has steepened recently, with the 10-year yield (~4.40%) above the 2-year yield (~3.95%), reflecting expectations of higher long-term inflation and growth risks. A steepening curve can signal improving growth prospects but also higher financing costs, which can weigh on tech stocks in the US100. Conclusion The 10-year Treasury yield and bond prices move inversely, with recent yield increases pushing bond prices below par. The Nasdaq 100 (US100) typically moves inversely to 10-year yields, as higher yields raise borrowing costs and discount rates, pressuring growth stocks. The relationship between US100 and bond prices depends on market risk sentiment: in risk-off periods, bond prices rise while equities fall; in risk-on periods, the opposite occurs. The current steepening yield curve and elevated term premium suggest ongoing volatility and cautious investor positioning affecting both bonds and equities. #NAS100 #DOLLAR
MARKETSCOM:US100
by Shavyfxhub
Nasdaq-100 H1 | Approaching a pullback resistanceThe Nasdaq-100 (NAS100) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 21,719.73 which is a pullback resistance. Stop loss is at 21,870.00 which is a level that sits above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and a swing-high resistance. Take profit is at 21,477.88 which is a multi-swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:NAS100Short
by Tradu
Smart money NASDAQ analysis 🚦 SMART MONEY SIGNAL – NASDAQ H4 You're on the 4-hour (H4) timeframe. Price tapped the 200 EMA (white line) — commonly seen as a Smart Money Demand Zone. Strong bullish candle formed = possible rejection from an institutional level. RSI at 47 = neutral zone, still room to go higher. --- 📊 Smart Money Interpretation: 🟢 Market Structure: Liquidity sweep below (stop-loss hunt under 200 EMA). Bullish rejection candle = clear sign of Smart Money involvement. 🔻 Liquidity Grab: Price broke the recent low then quickly reversed = manipulation phase complete. Likely H4 Bullish Order Block formed (area of institutional buying). --- ✅ Entry Signal (Buy Setup) 🔹 Direction: Buy / Long 🔹 Entry Zone (Buy Limit): 🔸 Between 21,650 and 21,680 🔹 Stop Loss: 🔸 Just below the wick = 21,570 🔹 Take Profit Levels: TP1: 21,900 TP2: 22,000 > Targeting imbalance fill + possible structure break 🔹 Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2 to 1:3 (solid for Smart Money setups) --- 🔁 Entry Confirmation (Lower Timeframe): Wait for price to pull back into the H4 Order Block. Look for M15 or M5 bullish reaction (pin bar or bullish engulfing). RSI > 50 on M30 or H1 = momentum confirmation 🧠 Pro Tip (Smart Money Style): Draw the H4 Order Block (last bearish candle before the move up). If price returns to this area and shows a strong bullish reaction — you’ve got a high-probability institutional entry. Talion-promosale -
TVC:NDQLong
by Talion-promosale
NASDAQ - Medium term prediction - 16/06/25On the NQ around 21,638, I’d estimate roughly: Rally up through 22,248 first ~60% Slide down through 21,024 first ~40% Why? Up-trend bias: Since the April low (≈16,000), the market has been in a strong rally, clearing multiple interim highs. Resistance vs. support: 22,248 has capped rallies twice (Jan & Feb), so a break would be bullish but not guaranteed. Meanwhile 21,024 flipped to support in late May. Momentum: The recent pullback from 22,000 was shallow, and daily MACD/RSI remain in bullish territory, suggesting a higher chance to retest the upper line before failing.
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by Gamblers-Fallacy