USTEC trade ideas
Nasdaq prepares for the reboundNasdaq index might be supported after AI-narrative getting back to the markets fueled by NVDA’s better than expected earnings for Q1 2025. The position of the price is close to the 20-day moving average, which makes a trade location potentially good for starting the upswing to the target area of $22,000.
Traders will watch the publication of ISM Manufacturing index on Monday, as it has some correlation with S&P 500 and Nasdaq, and might strengthen or weaken the current “AI rebound narrative”.
Don't forget - this is just the idea, never forget to manage your risk at all times!
NASDAQ100 Analysis – Key S/R Zones & Price Reaction Incoming! NASDAQ100 Analysis – Key S/R Zones & Price Reaction Incoming! 🚨
🔍 Chart Breakdown:
This is a technical chart analysis of NASDAQ100 (NAS100) with defined Support and Resistance zones. The price is currently at 21,314.50, sitting below a critical decision area.
🧱 Key Zones:
🔵 Resistance Zone:
‣ 21,640 – 21,800
‣ Strong supply area where price sharply reversed previously.
‣ If price breaks above the mid resistance zone, a bullish move towards this level is likely.
🟩 Support + Resistance Flip Zone:
‣ 21,280 – 21,420
‣ Former support, now acting as resistance.
‣ Price is struggling to reclaim this zone.
‣ Acts as a key decision level.
🟢 Support Zone:
‣ 20,630 – 20,750
‣ Strong demand zone from which previous rallies initiated.
‣ Target if bearish rejection continues.
🔄 Price Action Insight:
Price is currently rejecting the Support-turned-Resistance zone.
There’s a clear bearish rejection at the mid-zone (S/R flip), forming a lower high structure.
📉 A breakdown from current levels could lead to a retest of the support zone at 20,700 area.
🟢 However, a successful reclaim and bullish confirmation above 21,420 could see price target the upper resistance at 21,800.
📌 Outlook:
🔽 Bearish Bias if price fails to break above 21,420 – possible drop to 20,700.
🔼 Bullish Reversal above 21,420 could drive price to 21,800.
📅 Date: June 1, 2025
🕒 Timeframe: Likely 1H or 4H chart
💬 “Respect the levels, not the noise.”
Trade safe! ✅
Upcoming Monthly/Weekly Analysis!FA Analysis:
1- Recent macro-economic data were good. But they do not reflect the Tariffs impacts.
2- All expected data (i.e., inflation, consumer sentiment) were inline with the projected tariff impacts.
3- Uncertainty is in the driver seat as long as Trump flip flop with his tariffs.
4- The 90-day tariff pause ends by July 4th!!! Surprise...surprise... the liberation day! Definitely, Trump will announce the 2nd Liberation day!
5- From this week and moving forward, data will reflect tariffs impacts.
6- This week, we have many relevant data and probably many Trump tweets.
=) All the above has structural negative impacts on US economy; hence negative impacts on US Stocks and equities.
TA Analysis:
Monthly TF:
NQ monthly close was bullish. From this TF, we should expect a continuation up seeking a new ATH. But I strongly doubt it. The Monthly close was below 21457. If price will be unable to close at least above this level, price should revisit 17236.
In this thread, we do not trade Monthly TF, but it gives us a macro perspective.
Weekly TF:
The weekly close was bearish, even with a green candle. From this TF, we should expect a south move.
In my view, Wave 3 has started last week.
Daily TF:
The chart shows all levels of Wave 3 into 5 mini-waves. The target of this mini-wave 3.1 is the low of May (19594).
Price already broke TL and closed below it. Price from now on it should continue south/down.
Price must close inside the tariff on & off candle (yellow box).
(Note: The chart shows only three waves of 3.1 representing the Initial move, retrace move and impulsive move. But every single move/wave should have 5 waves. I do not represent them to avoid making the chart complex which it's already!).
Hourly TF:
Price might complete the retrace up to 21468-21590. Then resume the down movement as per the chart.
Data will give the ebb and flow to be inline with TA analysis.
That's all for this week/month.
Wish you GL and plenty of green trades.
Recession post #9778Trial and error describes my past calls considering there was resistance and pullbacks on the daily tf but this time I'm certain
abso-tut-ely
Posi-tively
Demise
Trumps attempts have played out like a witty protagonist of a finance suspense thriller but that has nothing to do with the historical alignments of boom and bust systems. I think he intended to crash markets so it could recover but I'm not convinced this tank is greater than this
US100 - Bullish Momentum Favors Upside ContinuationThe US Tech 100 is displaying strong bullish momentum after successfully breaking above the critical resistance level at 20,659.8, which had previously acted as a significant barrier. Currently trading at 21,316 the index has demonstrated impressive upward trajectory following what appears to be a healthy consolidation phase around the key resistance-turned-support zone. The technical setup strongly favors continuation to the upside as the higher probability scenario, with the breakout above 20,659.8 potentially opening the door for further gains toward higher resistance levels. However, prudent risk management suggests taking this rally piece by piece, monitoring how price action develops at each significant level while watching for any signs of exhaustion or pullback that might offer better entry opportunities. The bullish bias remains intact as long as the index maintains its position above the former resistance level, which should now serve as dynamic support for any potential retracements.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USTECUSTEC price is near the resistance zone 21776-22139. If the price cannot break through the 22139 level, it is expected that the price will drop. Consider selling the red zone.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
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NAS100 4H | Fibonacci Bounce or Break? Key Trendline Test Incomi📈 Description:
Price is currently testing a key ascending trendline on the 4H, sitting just below the 38.2% Fib retracement after rejecting near the 0% level. I’m watching this area closely for either:
✅ A bullish bounce from the 38.2%–50% zone with confluence from EMA 20 and trendline support — targeting 0% then -27% extensions (around 21,750 to 22,200),
or
❌ A clean break and close below the trendline + 61.8% level that could shift short bias toward deeper Fib zones like 78.6% or even 100%.
Indicators Used:
• EMA 20 / EMA 68 for dynamic S/R
• Fibonacci retracement (swing low to recent high)
• Trendline (4H structure support)
🧠 I’ll wait for clear structure before entering — no early entries here. Looking for a strong engulfing candle, MA crossover, or lower-timeframe breakout confirmation depending on the direction.
📍Will update if we get confluence on the 15min/1hr to support entry.
Nas100 w1.trading I deaHi traders as you can see this market is n uptrend market n since Trump come to the office he started tarrif n tarrif cause big rejection as you can see however he paused it n comes bek up,now they were trying to block him but he managed to put them back again because of his reasons,ok cool you have to understand that all this moves since Trump took the office he is the one in charge and he is moving market soo that's why today things can bebetter n tomorrow you can see spike again we we're nearly recession and he paused tarrif,market comes bek up,soo if you stick to the tre you are in the right side,soo note that we are still trading under tarrif territory meaning you can see spike today n tomorrow then drown down that's why you need to be updated 24/7 knowing what is moving and why I laugh when I see someone draw graph n see spike to their direction n immediately get exited within 1 hour market recovery that spike very fast lol,you need to know what is moving the market soo that you wo the surprised soo this year 99% is trump reports that is moving the market if he can imposes tarrif to Europe on 12 June you gonna see entire market going down for short period,tarrif affect the market globally not only were it raised,that's why if trump n China won't make successful deal we might see a recession and as am seeing China they are ready to fight any kind of war and they are loosing interest in trading deals and this will lead to recession globally,all they want is to end tarrif and trump want better deals in businesses aswell soo this is the main n strong trade war between all countries and it can cost people's money,soo according to my analysis am still bullish am not talking this as a retest noo that's why i explained what makes it to fall and positivity to the deals means rally thats why I stick to the trends till now,until further notice,.make sure you are updated.
NAS100...Ever The Bullish Instrument...Part 38The last ATH was signaled on February 25, 2025 at exactly 3:00 am EST...(Back Test and see the M1 chart)
Since that time the market has started to make LH's LL on the smaller timeframes in order to create the next HL on the largest active timeframe.
For almost 2 months, the market entered into a deep and hard retracement with many doomsday fanatics aiming at becoming the next phenomenon in trading predictions, trying to suggest that this is the beginning of the greatest drop the NAS100 and other instruments will ever see.
I have always maintained and I stand even more firmly on the fact that any sells you see in the markets are only temporary retracements toward another HL and that the market has always and will only make HL's to HH's.
Fast forward to April 6, 2025 at 7:10 (Back Test and see the M1 chart) pm the market hit it's largest HL point. Since that time...the market has started to make HL's to HH's on your small to medium timeframes while still keeping the largest HL created on the monthly intact.
The H4 time frame you will see is now signaling the first round of HL's to HH's a solid confirmation that the market is finally breaking out of it's retracement phase and back to resume it's usual trend.
Another key factor to note is that last weeks highest point is only approximately 4,000 pips from the ATH and if you have been tracking the NAS100 you should have noticed that every week that number is getting smaller and smaller and it will only be a matter of time for that to be broken again.
With that being said, my strategy still remains the same...
1. Enter on my largest HL and trade to my HH's
2. In the event that there is still consolidation in the markets with LH's being created on the
medium timeframes, I simply TP and wait for another setup.
Even with Friday's frenzy created by emotional traders reacting Trump and his circus show, the markets still held their own and still closed above the low of every single week since April 6, 2025.
What this means is that the ATH will be broken very soon and it just requires patience and a dedication to the strategy to ensure that it is followed to the last detail.
I say without apology...
All highs on the NAS100 are guaranteed to be broken
The NAS100 trades only HL's to HH's and that is a guaranteed fact
So trade wisely...
Trade smartly...
Manage your risk...
Happy Trading...
#oneauberstrategy
#aubersystem
#whywewait
#patience
#zigzagtheory
Short US100Think we see a move up to the 0.786 fib level from the recent highs with a rejection down further if more blocks or doubt is cast on the new trade deals and tariffs.
TP would be the weekly lows
Bearish thoughts
- The fundamentals of the tariffs deals are getting challenged
- A bit more aggressiveness from china and we might see a move down
- Daily MACD is pointing down suggesting downward pressure which we are seeing on hourly chart
Bullish structure remains on the 4hr chart
H&S Watch! Pullback Toward 18.4K Likely, POC at 15K is Critical!This chart presents a comprehensive technical and macro assessment of the NASDAQ 100 (US100) using the daily timeframe. The focal point is a developing Head & Shoulders (H&S) pattern, currently unconfirmed, but well-formed with strong structural and momentum confluence.
🧠 Thought Process & Structure
The chart reveals a potential H&S pattern with the right shoulder forming just below 22,200. While the neckline at 18,400 has not broken yet, several signals support the idea of a short-term pullback:
Bearish RSI divergence from the recent high
Stochastic crossovers on both daily and weekly timeframes from overbought levels
A large unfilled gap near 18,400 that is likely to act as a magnet
Rather than predicting an immediate collapse, this analysis takes a probability-weighted approach and lays out both bullish and bearish outcomes clearly.
📉 Current Expectation: Pullback Toward 18,400
A move toward 18,400 is the base case. This level represents:
The neckline of the H&S structure
The location of Gap Fill Target 2
A prior demand zone from April 2025
A bounce here would not invalidate the pattern but could delay its confirmation. It’s also a valid level for a short-term long trade setup if buyers defend it strongly.
⚠️ Break Below 18,400: POC Zone Becomes Critical
Should 18,400 break decisively, the market could test the Point of Control (POC) around 15,000. This zone:
Has the highest historical volume concentration
Aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement
Marks the new measured move target of the Head & Shoulders pattern
In short, 15,000 becomes the most critical structural and psychological support. If it fails, deeper risk reopens.
🔻 Deeper Move Scenarios (Now Less Likely)
Previous versions of this chart targeted 10,500. That level is now considered outside the measured move and only becomes viable if:
15,000 fails to hold
Macro conditions deteriorate sharply (e.g., inflation remains sticky, Fed turns hawkish, or recession triggers a risk-off rotation)
At this time, such an extended move is low probability.
📈 Bullish Invalidation
A breakout above 22,200 with strong volume would invalidate the entire bearish pattern. This would suggest bullish continuation and open the door to 24,000 and beyond. This scenario is also plotted on the chart and clearly labeled.
🧭 Trading Plan
Monitor for rejection or bounce at 18,400
If it holds, long opportunity may develop
If it fails, prepare for POC test at 15,000
Only consider deeper targets if breakdown volume is strong
Invalidate bearish outlook if price closes decisively above 22,200
📅 Macro Events to Watch (June–July 2025)
June 6 – Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP)
June 11 – CPI Report (May)
June 17–18 – FOMC Meeting
June 26 – Final Q1 GDP
June 27 – PCE Inflation
July 3 – June Employment Report
July 15 – June CPI
July 30 – FOMC Meeting #5 & Q2 GDP Advance Estimate
These events could act as triggers for either confirming or invalidating the current technical setup.
✅ Summary
This is a developing setup — not a confirmed breakdown. The current expectation is a pullback toward 18,400, with a potential bounce. If that support fails, the 15,000 POC becomes the key level to watch. The measured move of the H&S pattern now targets 15,000 — not 10,500. Deeper downside should only be considered if strong macro or volume-based catalysts emerge.
This approach allows for flexibility, clarity, and trade planning without bias. Let the chart prove itself — and be ready either way.
NAS100 BEARISH FOR 35,532 TICKS1. Understanding the Target (35,532 Ticks)
1 tick in NAS100 (CFD/Futures) typically represents 0.25 index points (varies by broker).
35,532 ticks = 35,532 × 0.25 = 8,883 points.
This suggests a long-term bullish outlook if starting from current levels (~18,000-19,000).
2. Key Analysis for NAS100 Forecast
Trend: NAS100 is strongly influenced by tech stocks (AAPL, MSFT, NVDA, etc.) and Fed policy.
Support Levels:
Major support at 18,000-18,500 (2024 consolidation zone).
Resistance Levels:
19,500-20,000 (ATH zone).
21,000-22,000 (next psychological barrier).
3. Take Profit (TP) Strategy
If entering a long position (assuming bullish trend continuation):
Short-term TP: 19,500 (scalping).
Medium-term TP: 20,500-21,000 (swing trade).
Long-term TP (35,532 ticks): ~26,883 (if starting from 18,000).
If entering a short position (unlikely given bullish bias):
TP at key supports (17,500 or lower).
4. Risk Management
Use stop-loss (SL) below key support (e.g., 17,800 for longs).
Position sizing: Risk ≤1-2% per trade.
5. Conclusion
Bullish Case: If NAS100 breaks 20,000, the 35,532-tick (8,883-point) target could be possible in a strong bull run.
Bearish Case: Unlikely unless major crash (Fed tightening/geopolitical crisis).
NASDAQ Markup- Not in the Trade, But the Lesson's ClearDidn’t take this one—not trading NASDAQ right now—but I still mapped it out from the 30M perspective just to stay sharp.
4H gave bullish intent after breaking the major macro LH, so I followed the flow.
Saw a clean 30M inducement sweep, price then mitigated internal structure OB, and I marked exactly where I would’ve entered with LTF confirmation.
Didn’t trade it, but the logic’s there—and if you’ve been watching… you already know what it’s doing now. 🧠📈
Every setup teaches something.
– Inducement King
Bless Trading!