Understanding Market Activity in CryptoMarket activity measures the level of trading intensity in a market. It includes transaction volume, price fluctuations, supply and demand, and how different participants interact. In crypto, this is reflected in metrics like trading volume, liquidity, and order book depth.
Example: Bitcoin ( BTC ) trading volume spikes when major news (e.g., ETF approvals) or macroeconomic events occur. This increased activity shows how market sentiment drives price movement.
Who Are the Market Participants?
Market participants are anyone buying or selling an asset. In crypto, this includes:
- Retail traders (individuals buying BTC, ETH, etc.)
- Institutional investors (hedge funds, large companies)
- Market makers (liquidity providers ensuring smooth order flow)
- Miners & validators (securing the network and earning rewards)
The more participants in a market, the more liquid it becomes, making price movements smoother and reducing volatility.
Example: Bigger CEX have a deeper liquidity than a small DEX, meaning orders execute faster with less slippage.
Price + Time = Value (Crypto Perspective)
One fundamental rule in markets is:
➡️ Price + Time = Value
This means that an asset’s value is determined not just by its price but also by how long people are willing to hold or trade it.
Example: A long-term BTC holder who bought at $1,000 and held for 5 years sees a much different "value" than a day trader who flips BTC in minutes.
Additionally, crypto markets always have price levels that attract buyers and sellers (support and resistance levels).
Example: Bitcoin's $20,000 level in past cycles acted as both strong support and resistance, attracting buyers when the price dipped and sellers when it surged.
Market Analysis & Price Patterns (Normal Distribution in Crypto)
To analyze market activity, traders break price movements into time segments. One useful tool is the normal distribution curve, which shows where most trades happen.
Example: In on-chain analysis, if most Bitcoin transactions happen between $40,000–$45,000, this becomes the value area where market participants agree on price.
Crypto analogy: Think of a whale buying BTC in chunks over days, forming a distribution pattern. If they stop buying, price trends shift.
Supply & Demand in Crypto (Using a Bakery Analogy)
Markets function based on supply and demand. Imagine a bakery:
In the morning, fresh bread (high demand, low supply) = higher prices
By evening, leftover bread (low demand, excess supply) = discounted prices
The same happens in crypto:
New altcoin launch: Limited supply, high hype = price pumps
Token unlocks: More supply enters the market = price dumps
Example: When a project like Aptos (APT) unlocks millions of tokens, supply increases, and the price often drops due to selling pressure.
Short-Term vs. Long-Term Market Trends
Markets move in different timeframes—hourly, daily, weekly, and even yearly trends.
Short-term example: Ethereum’s price swings daily based on trader speculation.
Long-term example: Bitcoin halving cycles create multi-year trends that drive overall growth.
Example: In 2020, BTC was under $10K, but by 2021, it reached $69K due to long-term macro factors.
Crypto Market Makers (Real-World Examples)
Bitcoin Miners: Similar to a car company adjusting production, Bitcoin miners decide whether to sell mined BTC or hold it for higher prices.
2️⃣Whales & Institutions: Like property developers adjusting prices, whales accumulate crypto at low prices and distribute at highs.
3️⃣Liquidity Pools in DeFi: Like restaurants pricing meals based on demand, liquidity providers adjust fees and slippage in Uniswap pools.
Example: Alameda Research (before FTX collapsed) was a key market maker, providing liquidity across major crypto exchanges.
Long-Term Disruptions (Crypto Example: Ethereum vs. Bitcoin)
Long-term players reshape entire markets over time.
Example:
Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) was the first mover, dominating the crypto market for years.
Ethereum (ETH) introduced smart contracts, shifting activity from BTC to DeFi, NFTs, and Web3.
Now, new chains like Solana challenge ETH, forcing changes in network fees and scalability.
This mirrors how Japanese car companies disrupted the U.S. market, forcing competitors to evolve.
How to Spot Fair Prices in Crypto?
Markets always seek equilibrium—a price where buyers and sellers agree.
Example:
If a new altcoin doubles in price, but trading volume drops, it signals overvaluation.
If on-chain data shows steady BTC accumulation, it suggests a fair price floor forming.
➡️ Traders watch repeated transactions to gauge market sentiment.
Consumer Awareness in Crypto
As investors, we naturally understand how price and time impact value. However, we also need to watch long-term market participants like:
Whales (Smart Money): Who is accumulating?
On-Chain Data: Are large wallets buying or selling?
Institutional Trends: Are hedge funds moving into crypto?
📌 Example:
When Tesla bought #bitcoin in 2021, it signaled institutional confidence, but when they sold, market sentiment shifted.
Final Thoughts
Crypto markets follow the same supply and demand principles as traditional markets but with 24/7 trading, higher volatility, and unique tokenomics. Understanding market activity helps traders anticipate moves and make better investment decisions. 🚀
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ICPUSDT trade ideas
ICP Bounces from Strong Support: Bullish Reversal Ahead?FWB:ICP has bounced from a strong support zone around $6.5–$7.0, signalling a potential bullish reversal. This key demand area has historically supported price recoveries.
> $6.5–$7.0 range holding firm with strong buyer interest.
> Next hurdle is $9.4–$10.0; a breakout could target $12+.
> RSI is recovering from oversold levels, hinting at bullish momentum.
If ICP holds above support, an upward move is likely. A daily close below $6.5 may invalidate this outlook.
DYOR, NFA
#ICP #Crypto #Altcoins
$ICP #ICP potentially repeating patterns? We are #BULLISHAF2024
WIth the recent merger "news", this is definitely an important one for the AI blockchain space
I had targets for ICP that played out
the news came after the fact
and seeing it pamp past cpl days, its interesting how the news headlines show up at key moments instead of when its consolidating at the lows
Regardless, its not a sell signal, can easily continue pamping
IF we drop, were looking for similar patterns to play out with target range $4-$8 before start new leg and next phase of #BullRun2024
The next phase is where we can anticiapted BTC.dom becoming weaker as alts start taking over
You SHOULD want THIS drop
esp if you are bullish
We wait, pattern and chart tells me to favor the move
First big drop always get nice bounce (great to re-accumulate/take small quick fast profits)
2nd big drop favors the local bottom target range (great to start re-accumulation) before the bottom is completed. Then we wait for higher lows breakout & retest to go LONG
Should take few weeks.
We wait.
ICP / ICPUSDTGood Luck >>
• Warning •
Any deal I share does not mean that I am forcing you to enter into it, you enter in with your full risk, because I'll not gain any profits with you in the end.
The risk management of the position must comply with the stop loss.
(I am not sharing financial or investment advice, you should do your own research for your money.)
TradeCityPro | ICP: Navigating the Waves of Crypto AI👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro!
Today's analysis focuses on the ICP coin, a project within the crypto AI sector boasting a market cap of $4 billion.
📅 Weekly Timeframe
In the weekly timeframe, we're observing a rounding pattern that has been forming for some time, establishing a low at $2.923. Currently, an upward trend has begun, and we are now in a correction phase.
🔍 The bullish trend began with the breakout of $6.562, which continued up to $14.957, and now a range box between $6.562 and $14.957 has formed. The volume is consistently supporting the trend, converging well. The price is currently near a curved trend line, and it remains to be seen how it interacts with this area.
🧩 The overlap of this trend line with static support areas might create a very strong PRZ, potentially starting the next bullish leg. Conversely, if this trend line breaks, the likelihood of a trend reversal increases.
🔽 If the area of $6.562 is broken, we could confirm the beginning of a trend change. If increased selling volume enters the market and momentum turns bearish, the minimum bearish target for the price could be $2.923. A break of 36.20 on the RSI would support this scenario, increasing its likelihood.
📈 On the flip side, if the price can maintain support and break the ceiling of $14.957, the next bullish targets would be $23.104 and $79.510.
📅 Daily Timeframe
In the daily timeframe, we are seeing a descending wedge starting from the peak of $15.511, directing the price back towards the bottom of the box. Currently, both the floor of $9.834 and the RSI at 38.84 have been breached and confirmed. The price is reacting to the bottom of the wedge and may gradually descend to the bottom of the box.
✨ If the wedge breaks downwards past $6.857, bearish momentum will enter the market, and the price could move toward a target of $5.188.
📉 Conversely, if the wedge is broken upwards, we have a trigger at $11.421, which is currently not advisable. We need to wait for the price to form a structure near this resistance and strengthen this area with a reaction. In this case, this area could be a suitable trigger for a breakout.
🔼 main long trigger is at $15.511, which we discussed in the weekly timeframe. If the price can stabilize above this area, we may witness a very strong bullish leg.
📝 Final Thoughts
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Internet Computer (ICP)Comprehensive Analysis of ICP
Introduction
The Internet Computer Protocol (ICP) is one of the leading projects in the blockchain space, developed with the aim of creating a decentralized internet. This project enables decentralized applications (dApps) to run directly on the blockchain without relying on centralized infrastructure. Due to these features, ICP has captured the attention of developers and investors alike, showcasing significant growth potential in the future.
From a price perspective, ICP has experienced substantial volatility since its launch. It is currently trading within a medium-term ascending channel, which plays a critical role in determining its future price trend.
🔍 Current Status
At present, ICP has entered a correction phase after encountering a weekly resistance zone at $14.623 - $15.704. It is now approaching the lower boundary of its ascending channel and the key weekly support zone at $6.166 - $6.944, which are crucial for preventing further price decline.
Conversely, significant resistance levels at higher zones could limit the upward momentum of the price.
🚀 Key Levels Analysis
Support Levels:
Lower boundary of the ascending channel
Weekly support zone: $6.166 - $6.944
Resistance Levels:
Daily resistance zone: $11.089 - $11.767
Weekly resistance zone: $14.623 - $15.704
Breaking these resistance levels, accompanied by increased trading volume, could strengthen the bullish price movement.
📈 Entry Strategy and Stop Loss
First Entry Point:
When to Enter: If the price bounces off the lower boundary of the ascending channel and the gray support zone ($6.166 - $6.944), a gradual entry is recommended.
Stop Loss: Below the gray support zone at $6.
Second Entry Point:
When to Enter: If the daily resistance zone ($11.089 - $11.767) is broken, initiating a second entry is advisable.
Stop Loss: Below the gray support zone at $6.
Complementary Entry:
A breakout of the 50-level on RSI can serve as an additional confirmation signal for entry.
🎯 Price Targets
Target 1: $21.158 - $23.555
Target 2: $36.722 - $40.641
Achieving these targets requires a confirmed breakout above the weekly resistance zone ($14.623 - $15.704).
⚠️ Key Considerations
Trading Volume: Resistance breakouts must be confirmed by a significant increase in trading volume.
Risk Management: Gradual entry strategies and defined stop losses are essential for minimizing risk.
Ascending Channel: As long as the price remains above the lower boundary of the ascending channel, the medium-term uptrend remains intact.
Alternative Scenario
If the weekly support zone ($6.166 - $6.944) is broken and a candle closes below it, the price could drop further toward $4.5. In this scenario, exiting long positions is recommended.
🔗 Conclusion
The analysis indicates that ICP holds considerable growth potential. However, maintaining proper risk management and closely monitoring key support and resistance zones is crucial. Entering at support zones with a stop loss below $6 and confirming resistance breakouts with high trading volume can be a solid strategy for investment.
ICP Bullish scenarioWatching ICP price retrace towards the bottom of this macro channel.
Bottom of channel also has confluence with 786 fib retrace and vol node.
If price reacts accordingly, this could be a good area to load up a long entry.
Also marked out some key fib time markers (red) which could possibly mark key pivots in the chart.
TradeCityPro | ICPUSDT Early Entry Points👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Let’s update the analysis of ICPUSDT, one of my favorite altcoins. We'll review the new triggers for potential early entries together.
🌐 Overview Bitcoin
Before diving into the analysis, as always, let’s take a look at Bitcoin on the 1-hour timeframe. Bitcoin shows potential for upward movement, as recent candles have pushed its price higher. With increasing volume, it could even set a new ATH. A breakout above the 108454 trigger could present a risky long position with a wide stop-loss.
As Bitcoin’s dominance is rising, this indicates that bullish movements may first occur in Bitcoin. It’s better to focus on Bitcoin or coins with a strong performance relative to Bitcoin.
🕵️♂️ Previous Analysis
In our last analysis, the trigger for a long position was 12.476, but it was never activated. Instead, the price rejected from that level, breaking our lower timeframe trigger. Sellers took control, causing Fibonacci levels to be revisited and the price to move towards the 9.821 support.
📈 Daily Timeframe
Currently, after rejecting the 11.333 resistance, the price has entered a triangle pattern and is consolidating. A breakout from this triangle seems imminent.
When the price rejected from 11.333, we observed increased volume, which isn’t ideal for bullish momentum as it highlights the strength of sellers. However, the price is now sitting on a critical support level, which is also the 0.618 Fibonacci level and the top of the daily box, now acting as daily support.
The daily candle looks promising, sitting on a strong support level. You can consider buying based on this setup, but I prefer to wait for the continuation trendline to break or for the 11.333 trigger to be breached. The 11.333 level is especially significant after the recent rejection. If we see increased volume upon breaking it, I’ll enter a position myself.
For exiting this coin, as long as we remain above $7, I’ll continue holding unless negative news arises. Keep in mind that my entry point is 3.582, which I previously mentioned. Exiting below $7 would still be in profit for me. However, I recommend exiting at current levels if your entry was higher.
⏱ 4-Hour Timeframe
After rejecting the 12.476 level, the price dropped to 9.466, where it seems to have stabilized, and bearish momentum has subsided.
📉 Short Position Trigger
I’ll consider opening a short position if the 9.466 support is broken. Profits from this trade will be used to accumulate more ICP, effectively making my holdings cost-free.
📈 Long Position Trigger
For a risky long position, you can enter after the continuation trendline breaks. Personally, I prefer waiting for the price to reach 11.411 and break that level before entering a long position. This ensures that momentum has entered the coin, allowing me to trade with greater confidence and potentially set a tighter stop-loss.
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
ICP UPDATEHello Guys,
It's been a while. Not because I lost faith in my plan, but because the whole market is just consolidating. But today I wanted to give you an update on my plan for ICP. I saw an interesting pattern forming on top of the previous breakout which brought us to the 16$ mark. Now we are forming an beautiful pattern and pressure is building. This could go two ways. Imo, An outbreak to the upside would mean that we would revisit the 16$ mark and potentially break it. An outbreak to the downside would mean for me that I would sell my position and wait for a better entry. Keep a close eye on this chart!
Stay safe Traders!
ICPUSDT longhi traders
On the daily chart we can see a falling wedge breakout followed by a pullback. A long position can be considered within the buy zone if bullish confirmation appears, with a target near the resistance at 15.200. The stop-loss should be placed below the support zone to minimize potential losses.
Good luck
ICP 13monthICP has had the same r/s flip area for the past 13 months it has been support more than resistance. Now again it rests on this support. Daily stoch is oversold turning up 200 day ma is around 9$ i would have a stop just below that. target break of trend that is not a strong trend after the break i would target 15.33
ICP/USDTKey Level Zone : 10.350 - 10.550
HMT v4.1 detected. The setup looks promising, supported by a previous upward/downward trend with increasing volume and momentum, presenting an excellent reward-to-risk opportunity.
HMT (High Momentum Trending):
HMT is based on trend, momentum, volume, and market structure across multiple timeframes. It highlights setups with strong potential for upward movement and higher rewards.
Whenever I spot a signal for my own trading, I’ll share it. Please note that conducting a comprehensive analysis on a single timeframe chart can be quite challenging and sometimes confusing. I appreciate your understanding of the effort involved.
Important Note :
Role of Key Levels:
- These zones are critical for analyzing price trends. If the key level zone holds, the price may continue trending in the expected direction. However, momentum may increase or decrease based on subsequent patterns.
- Breakouts: If the key level zone breaks, it signals a stop-out. For reversal traders, this presents an opportunity to consider switching direction, as the price often retests these zones, which may act as strong support-turned-resistance (or vice versa).
My Trading Rules
Risk Management
- Maximum risk per trade: 2.5%.
- Leverage: 5x.
Exit Strategy
Profit-Taking:
- Sell at least 70% on the 3rd wave up (LTF Wave 5).
- Typically, sell 50% during a high-volume spike.
- Adjust stop-loss to breakeven once the trade achieves a 1.5:1 reward-to-risk ratio.
- If the market shows signs of losing momentum or divergence, ill will exit at breakeven.
The market is highly dynamic and constantly changing. HMT signals and target profit (TP) levels are based on the current price and movement, but market conditions can shift instantly, so it is crucial to remain adaptable and follow the market's movement.
If you find this signal/analysis meaningful, kindly like and share it.
Thank you for your support~
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HMT v2.0:
- Major update to the Momentum indicator
- Reduced false signals from inaccurate momentum detection
- New screener with improved accuracy and fewer signals
HMT v3.0:
- Added liquidity factor to enhance trend continuation
- Improved potential for momentum-based plays
- Increased winning probability by reducing entries during peaks
HMT v3.1:
- Enhanced entry confirmation for improved reward-to-risk ratios
HMT v4.0:
- Incorporated buying and selling pressure in lower timeframes to enhance the probability of trending moves while optimizing entry timing and scaling
HMT v4.1:
- Enhanced take-profit (TP) target by incorporating market structure analysis