Potential declineDow Jones is currently struggling to reach 40,872. The index has been rising slowly daily, but the bullish move might decline if it cannot surpass the 40,872 barrier. The bearish move will be fulfilled if price action manages to remain under 40,800, stabilise below the 40,232 and 40,000. This is because of breaking out of the bullish trend and remaining outside and under the mentioned barriers, which will spearhead the likelihood of a downward trajectory.
The potential fall may target 39200 and 38900, which may also lead to the development of the right shoulder of the inverse head and shoulder pattern, potentially for a bullish rise. However, if price action fails to go down and also stabilises above the 40872, the index will likely continue rising into the 41,000 and 42,000s.
DOW trade ideas
Hanzo | US30 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move🆚 US30 – Hanzo’s Strike Setup
🔥 Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M)
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💯 Main Focus: Bullish Breakout at 40360
We are watching this zone closely.
💯 Main Focus: Bearish Breakout at 40130
We are watching this zone closely.
📌 If price breaks with high volume, it confirms Smart Money is in control, and a strong move may follow.
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Analysis
👌 Market Signs (15M TF):
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 40420
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 39870
• Strong Rejections seen at:
➗ 39900 – Major support / Key level
➗ 40300 : 40400 – Proven resistance
🩸 Key Zones to Watch:
• 40200 – 🔥 Bullish breakout level X 3 Swing Retest
• 40550 – Strong resistance (tested 5 times)
• 40200 – Equal lows
• 40420 – Equal highs
Hanzo | US30 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move
US30 Breakout from Symmetrical Triangle – Bullish Targets EyedUS30 (Dow Jones) has successfully broken out of a symmetrical triangle consolidation pattern, signaling a shift toward bullish momentum. The breakout is occurring after a strong recovery from April lows, with higher lows supporting upward price pressure.
🔹 Chart Structure:
Symmetrical triangle with a clean breakout above descending resistance.
Series of higher lows indicating accumulation.
Bullish breakout confirmed with price pushing above the 40,580 zone.
🔑 Key Levels:
Current Price: 40,586
Breakout Confirmation Level: 40,580
Immediate Resistance/TP1: 42,762
Major Resistance/TP2: 43,924
Support Zone: 38,950
Invalidation/Stop Level: Below 38,950
✅ Bullish Confluence Factors:
Breakout of symmetrical triangle pattern
Higher lows indicate bullish strength and accumulation
Momentum shift visible on lower timeframes
Positive correlation with improving US equity market sentiment
Anticipation of dovish Fed tone could boost equities
🧠 Fundamental Context:
Market is cautiously optimistic ahead of FOMC this week; dovish stance expected due to recent soft economic indicators.
Earnings season tailwinds and lower bond yields support index gains.
Ongoing political and tariff-related headlines may cause volatility, but technical breakout remains in focus.
💡 Trade Idea:
Bias: Bullish
Entry: On successful retest of 40,580 or continuation above 40,600
TP1: 42,762
TP2: 43,924
Stop Loss: Below 38,950
📌 Note: Watch for pullbacks to triangle resistance-turned-support. FOMC and US macro data releases midweek can impact momentum.
BUY US30 nowWe’re seeing a potential breakout and retest setup forming on the US30, with clear market structure and volume confirmation.
🔹 Range Formation
Price recently consolidated in a defined range between ~40,230 and ~40,400. This range was respected multiple times, showing strong participation from both buyers and sellers.
🔹 Volume Profile Insight
The Point of Control (POC) — marked by the red horizontal line — sits just below the current price level. This is the price area where the highest volume was traded, indicating strong interest and potential future support.
🔹 Trade Idea
A bullish breakout was initiated above the range, targeting the 40,683.64 zone:
Entry: Just above the range high
POC (Support zone): Around 40,231
Stop Loss: Below the POC (~40,141)
Take Profit: Next major resistance (~40,683)
🔹 Current Behavior
Price is now retesting the POC — a critical moment. If it holds, we could see another push higher. A clean breakdown below the POC would invalidate the bullish scenario and suggest sellers are gaining control.
🧠 Key Watch Levels:
Hold of POC = potential long continuation
Break below 40,141 = reevaluate bias
🎯 Reminder: Trade the reaction, not the prediction. Let price confirm your thesis before acting.
US30 Bullish Setup: Buy the Dip Opportunity
The market recently broke structure to the upside, creating a higher high. Price is now retracing towards a key demand zone between 38,750 - 39,000, which aligns with previous structure and demand confluence.
I’m watching for bullish confirmations within this zone to enter long, targeting the upper imbalance/zone around 41,500 - 42,000.
Bias: Bullish
Entry Zone: 38,750 - 39,000
Target: 41,500+
Invalidation: Clean break and close below 38,750
This setup presents a potential “buy the dip” opportunity, assuming bullish momentum holds after the retest.
DJIA H4 | Pullback resistance at 78.6% Fibonacci retracementThe DJIA (US30) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 41,305.11 which is a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 42,743.85 which is a swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 39,324.35 which is an overlap support.
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US30, bearish analysisBearish count for US30.
Impulse wave from ATH, wave ((2)) is expanded flat, wave ((4)) appears to be a double-three, with (W) a regular flat, (X) and (Y) are zigzags.
I like wave (((4)) to finish below resistance at 42008, with wave ((5)) to approach October 2022 low of 28586.8.
Trade Idea: US30 Long (BUY LIMIT)Technical Analysis Summary
Daily Chart (Macro View)
• Price has bounced off a key support near 37,700 and reclaimed the psychological level 40,000.
• MACD is starting to reverse higher from oversold conditions, showing early bullish divergence.
• RSI is recovering from below 30, now near 49, indicating a potential trend reversal.
• Trend: Medium-term recovery from a correction; possible continuation to recent highs around 44,000.
15-Minute Chart (Tactical Entry Zone)
• Price has broken a downtrend and is now consolidating above previous resistance at 40,000.
• MACD is bullish (histogram rising), and signal lines are above zero.
• RSI at 62.6, suggesting bullish momentum but not yet overbought.
• White MA shows clear upward curvature.
3-Minute Chart (Precision Entry)
• Recent pullback retested the MA and bounced.
• RSI at 66, nearing overbought, but price is in clear short-term uptrend.
• MACD just crossed bullish again after a small consolidation.
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Fundamental Context
• Recent Fed signals suggest potential rate pause or cuts, which is bullish for indices.
• Earnings season has generally surprised to the upside, especially among large caps.
• Macro backdrop: Slowing inflation + strong labor market = supportive of equities.
• Risk appetite is increasing, as seen in tech and industrials rebounding.
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Trade Setup
• Position: Long US30
Entry
• Buy: 40,200 (current price action confirms upward momentum)
Stop Loss (SL)
• SL: 39,700 (below recent 15-min swing low & psychological level)
Take Profit (TP)
• TP1: 41,200 (recent intraday high and near resistance)
FUSIONMARKETS:US30
Dow Jones INTRADAY capped at 40954Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 40954
Resistance Level 2: 41510
Resistance Level 3: 42216
Support Level 1: 39600
Support Level 2: 38534
Support Level 3: 37832
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JM-CAPITAL US30 Analysis April 24After reaching an all-time high of 45,000, US30 experienced a pullback, retracing to the 61.8% Fibonacci level—aligning perfectly with a key support zone on the weekly timeframe and forming the third touchpoint on the ascending trendline.
With market sentiment beginning to ease around the tariff discussions, I’m taking a long position on US30. My stop loss is set just below the weekly candle and beneath the 61.8% Fibonacci level for added protection.
I plan to scale into the trade by adding positions on each corrective pullback in line with the bullish structure.
Wishing you all a profitable trading session. Stay sharp!
YFI/USDTIn this analysis, I’m tracking the recent downtrend on the US30 daily chart. Based on the current pattern and technical indicators (like RSI divergence and a bounce off a key support zone), I expect a potential reversal or at least a short-term correction. Entry signal is marked based on my Smart Bot strategy.
Market Digesting Trade War Fears — But Risks RemainSimilar to the early stage of Trump's previous administration, escalating trade tensions and tariff threats have once again rattled market sentiment, triggering a broad-based correction in equity indices down to key support levels.
Over the past two weeks, extreme trade war rhetoric shocked the market, causing the index to break below the 40,000-point support, reaching a low of 36,439 — near the 200-day moving average on the weekly chart. As this level coincides with a significant technical support zone, buying interest emerged, prompting a rebound back above the 40,000 mark.
This suggests that the market has begun to digest the trade war narrative, with investors gradually positioning in tranches around the 40,000 level. However, ongoing uncertainty surrounding trade policies may continue to weigh on sentiment. Should the index revisit 36,439 and fail to hold, further downside toward the next major support at 34,969 could be expected.