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Dow Jones Wave Analysis – 12 May 2025 - Dow Jones broke the resistance area - Likely to rise to resistance level 43000.00 Dow Jones index recently broke the resistance area between the resistance level 42000.00, 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from February and the resistance trendline from the same month. The breakout of this resistance area accelerated the C-wave of the active ABC correction (2) from the start of April. Dow Jones index can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 43000.00 (former top of wave 4 from March).
BLACKBULL:US30Long
by FxProGlobal
US30 Breaks Out – New Highs Incoming (12/05/2025) 📈 US30 Breaks Out – New Highs Incoming? (12/05/2025) 🚀 US30 just smashed through key resistance at 41,400–41,700 and is now trading above 42,150 🟢. After weeks of range-bound structure, buyers finally broke the chokehold with volume and momentum confirmation. Both the 20 EMA (white) and 50 EMA (blue) are angled up — and price is riding above them. We’re in strong bullish structure 🧠. 🔑 Updated Key Levels: 📍 New Support: 41,700–41,400 (previous resistance flipped) ⚠️ Mid-support: 40,694 🧱 Major Support: 39,775 🎯 Next resistance to watch: 42,359 (previous swing high zone) 🎯 Playbook Going Forward: ✅ Hold above 41,700? → Expect continuation to 42,359 and possibly 43K+ ⚠️ Fakeout alert: If we close back below 41,400 on high volume → bear trap or liquidity grab 🧠 Pullbacks into EMAs = potential long entries with confluence 🧠 Psychology Check: Don’t short strength — wait for breakdown structure High breakout = higher risk → let price pull back to react
FX:US30Long
by h4rVey
US30 Reaches Critical Resistance – Breakout or Major Rejection IThe Dow Jones is testing a key supply zone near 41,700 after a strong bullish rally. But with multiple U.S. economic events on deck, this could be a make-or-break moment for US30. 1H Technical Breakdown: 1. Major Supply Zone (Resistance): 41,119 – 41,800 zone is a major supply cluster identified by LuxAlgo’s Visible Range. Price is consolidating right at the top – signs of distribution may be forming. 2. Key Support Levels to Watch: 39,274: If the price rejects and breaks below this, a medium-term reversal could start. 37,484: High volume demand area and previous macro support – this would be the key bounce zone in case of sharp correction. 3. Bullish or Bearish? Bullish case: Break and hold above 41,800 could trigger a squeeze toward all-time highs. Bearish case: If the index fails to clear this supply zone and drops below 41,119, expect pullbacks to 39,274 and potentially 37,484. 4. Macro Catalyst: Multiple U.S. economic events approaching (highlighted on chart: CPI, FOMC, etc.) These will bring volatility – timing your entries around them is critical! Possible Trade Setups: Short Setup: Wait for rejection near 41,800 with a breakdown below 41,119 TP1: 39,274 TP2: 37,484 SL: Above 41,900 Long Setup: Breakout retest above 41,800 with bullish momentum TP1: 42,500 SL: Below 41,200 --- Let’s debate: Is this a bull trap or the beginning of another rally? Comment with your thoughts and setups! #US30 #DowJones #Indices #TechnicalAnalysis #MacroTrading #SupplyDemand #LuxAlgo #StockMarket
CAPITALCOM:US30
by FrankFx14
Testing Trumps Theory About StocksSo, as you can see, I just kept it simple, Trump made a claim about buying stocks because this country is about to take off like a rocket. I told my wife I will check the charts. It's been a long time but ugh I think we will see a drop towards resistance before we see what he's talking about. This is the monthly I looked at it on the 3 months chart as well same things keeps popping up some pain before profit so I will be looking to buy on our way down this is the DOW but I am for sure looking for similar patterns in other stocks. But the S&P 500 Is looking the same also. LET ME KNOW YOUR THOUGHTS BELOW. this is a small reminder that I am not a professional and this is not investing advice I am simply giving my opinion as a fellow student in the art of trading.
DJ:DJILong
by Christian_J_Cruz
Dow Jones Correction in May 2025: Key DriversDow Jones Correction in May 2025: Key Drivers Summary: The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DIA) is under pressure and likely headed for a correction due to the Federal Reserve’s tight monetary policy, trade uncertainty from Trump’s tariffs, and weak economic data. Key Drivers: ➖ Federal Reserve Policy: At the May 6–7 meeting, the Fed is expected to maintain the 4.25–4.5% interest rate due to persistent inflation (2.7% forecast for 2025) and a robust labor market (+177K jobs in April). This dampens hopes for rate cuts, pressuring stocks. ➖ Trump’s Tariffs: New tariffs raise inflation risks and recession fears, reducing the appeal of Dow Jones constituents like Caterpillar and Walmart. ➖ Weak GDP and Global Volatility: A 0.3% GDP contraction in Q1 2025 and declines in Asian markets (1.6–1.8%) signal global instability. ➖ Technical Indicators: DIA trades below its 200-day moving average (~420 USD), with fewer stocks above this level (down from 76% to 55% since January), indicating market weakness. ➖ Outlook: Analysts (Long Forecast) predict volatility, with a potential drop to 38,958 in May, despite an average forecast of 43,370 by month-end. Historically, corrections occur every 1.88 years, and current conditions (tariffs, inflation, GDP) heighten the likelihood of a 10–15% decline. Target: My downside target for the Dow Jones is 38,555.00. Current factors and historical trends strongly suggest a near-term correction. Idea for S&P 500:
TVC:DJIShort
by SergioRichi
DowJones INTRADAY important resistance retest Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 41,900 Resistance Level 2: 42,470 Resistance Level 3: 43,600 Support Level 1: 40,680 Support Level 2: 40,240 Support Level 3: 39,700 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US30
by TradeNation
Wedge at the Edge – Will the Dow Drop from Here?Price is approaching a key supply zone between 41,800 and 42,400, where previous strong selling occurred. A rising wedge pattern is forming, suggesting a potential bearish reversal. If price fails to break above the supply zone and closes below the wedge, a breakdown could lead to a bearish move targeting the demand zone around 39,000–39,300. Bearish Bias: Watching for rejection and breakdown confirmation for a short setup. Key Levels: Supply zone: 41,800 – 42,400 Demand zone: 39,000 – 39,300 Support to watch: 40,600
BLACKBULL:US30Long
by Profx001
DowJones INTRADAY resistance retestKey Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 41,900 Resistance Level 2: 42,470 Resistance Level 3: 43,600 Support Level 1: 40,680 Support Level 2: 40,240 Support Level 3: 39,700 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US30
by TradeNation
US30 Pushing Into Resistance Again – 08/05/2025🧨 US30 Pushing Into Resistance Again – 08/05/2025 🧨 US30 is knocking on the resistance door again! 📈 After grinding up from 39,775 and defending the key 40,700–40,800 zone, price is now challenging the 41,300–41,400 area, which rejected price earlier this week. Momentum is holding but slowing slightly — we’re stuck between strong support and a heavy ceiling 💥. EMAs still bullish, but risk of a fakeout is growing if we don’t break soon… 🔍 Updated Key Zones: 🔹 Resistance = 41,300 – 41,400 🔹 Support = 40,694 – 40,800 🔹 Last higher low = 39,775 🔹 EMA 20 + EMA 50 still trending up — short-term bullish bias ✅ 🎯 Trade Scenarios to Watch: 🔺 Break + hold above 41,400 = potential expansion toward 41,800–42,000 zone 🔻 Fail to hold 40,700 → could trigger dump back toward 39,775 📉 Lose 39,775 = confirmed shift in structure → shorts into 38,800–39,200 🔥 🧠 Trader Mindset Reminder: 🟡 Don’t chase up here — wait for breakout confirmation or rejection 🟢 EMAs are still your friend → trend is your ally ❌ Avoid fakeouts — this zone has trapped before!
FX:US30Long
by h4rVey
Trade Idea: US30 Long (BUY LIMIT)Technical Overview Daily Chart (Macro View): • Trend: Recent bounce from major support near ~37,600 after a sharp selloff. • MACD: Still bearish but showing early signs of momentum reversal (histogram rising). • RSI: Neutral (~53.8), coming up from oversold territory—indicative of potential recovery. • Price: Holding above 41,000, a key psychological level and previous consolidation zone. 15-Minute Chart (Swing/Short-Term View): • Price: Forming higher lows after a significant bounce. • MACD: Nearing a bullish crossover. • RSI: Moderately bullish at ~56.87. 3-Minute Chart (Entry Precision): • Price: Recently broke above short-term moving average. • MACD: Bullish with strong histogram momentum. • RSI: Slightly overbought (~52.90), but not extreme. ⸻ Fundamental Context (as of May 2025): • Market sentiment is cautiously bullish after Fed pause hints and solid tech earnings. • Inflation pressures are easing slightly, supporting risk-on sentiment. • Recent volatility due to rate expectations and macro data; however, markets are recovering from sharp selloffs. ⸻ Bias: Long Position US30 shows a strong recovery setup with macro support, bullish lower-timeframe confirmation, and neutral-to-bullish momentum indicators. Entry (Buy Limit): 40,960 – small retracement near the short-term EMA and previous breakout on the 3-min chart. Stop Loss (SL): 40,700 – below the recent swing low and psychological round level. Take Profit (TP): 41,560 – retest of minor resistance from earlier consolidation area, offering a solid risk-reward. FUSIONMARKETS:US30
FUSIONMARKETS:US30Long
by KeN-WeNzEl
DowJones INTRADAY awaits Fed Rate Decision Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 41,450 Resistance Level 2: 41,900 Resistance Level 3: 42,470 Support Level 1: 40,220 Support Level 2: 39,760 Support Level 3: 39,150 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US30
by TradeNation