NAS100USD: Bearish Continuation Likely After Liquidity GrabGreetings Traders!
As we transition into the New York session, increased market volatility is expected. Currently, NAS100USD is showing signs of potential further bearish continuation. This outlook is supported by a draw on liquidity toward downside liquidity pools and a notable inefficiencyโan unfilled gap left earlier in the week.
Key Observations:
1. Unfilled Gap โ A Draw on Liquidity:
The market has left behind an inefficiency in the form of a price gap, which typically acts as a magnet for price. Although such inefficiencies are not always filled immediately, they often become targets for future price movement as the market seeks balance.
2. Reclaimed Order Block Breach โ Engineered Liquidity:
Price has recently broken below a reclaimed order block that was serving as a temporary resistance zone. This indicates that the market was hunting for liquidity at a relatively premium priceโabove a key resistance level. The presence of relatively equal highs in this area further supports the notion that this was an engineered liquidity zone.
Engineered liquidity refers to zones designed by smart money to entice retail participation. Once sufficient liquidity is gathered, institutions then drive price through these zones to execute large sell orders at a premium.
3. Downside Targets โ Liquidity Pools and Gaps:
With resistance now confirmed as engineered liquidity, smart money is likely to shift focus to the downside. Key targets include liquidity pools at lower price levels and the aforementioned inefficiency, which represents an area of fair valueโideal for profit-taking and potential continuation of institutional selling.
Trading Strategy:
Monitor price for confirmation within any short-term retracements. Selling opportunities aligned with institutional intent may present themselves as price gravitates toward the inefficiency and deeper liquidity zones.
Stay focused, remain patient, and ensure all trades align with your trading plan.
Kind Regards,
The Architect
NASDAQ.USD.1.IEN trade ideas
Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Bullish Breakโ Confirming the Next Move๐ Nas100 โ Hanzoโs Strike Setup
๐ฅ Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M)
โโโโโโ
๐ฏ Main Focus: Bullish Breakout at 19575
We are watching this zone closely.
๐ If price breaks with high volume, it confirms Smart Money is in control, and a strong move may follow.
โโโ
Analysis
๐ Market Signs (15M TF):
โข Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 19460
โข Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 19000
โข Strong Rejections seen at:
โ 19100 โ Major support / Key level
โ 19450 โ Proven resistance
๐ฉธ Key Zones to Watch:
โข 19450 โ ๐ฅ Bullish breakout level X 3 Swing Retest
โข 19460 โ Strong resistance (tested 5 times)
โข 19100 โ Equal lows
โข 19500 โ Equal highs
Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Breaks โ Will Confirm the Next Move
NAS100 Bulls Rally โ Eyes on 19,860 Resistance Zone!"The NAS100 is sustaining a strong bullish rally after reclaiming the 19,150 ๐ฝ support zone. Price is trading firmly within a bullish structure, but still has some distance to reach the next key resistance at 19,860 ๐ผ.
Currently trading at 19,446, with
Support at: 19,150 ๐ฝ, 18,500 ๐ฝ, 17,600 ๐ฝ
Resistance at: 19,860 ๐ผ, 20,347 ๐ผ
Bias:
๐ผ Bullish: As long as price holds above 19,150, bulls remain in control. A breakout and retest above 19,860 could fuel a further move toward 20,347.
๐ฝ Bearish: A rejection from 19,860 or a break below 19,150 could trigger a decline toward 18,500.
No breakout, no trade.
๐ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
EMA 60 capped the NASDAQ rallyThe NASDAQโs rally was capped by the 60-day EMA, as ongoing tariff wars and the Federal Reserveโs reluctance to cut rates-or its intention to keep rates elevated for as long as possible-continue to weigh on investor sentiment. Given these headwinds, there is a risk that the NASDAQ may continue to slump.
Correction and Before a Push The US 100 shows an ascending triangle pattern that has not yet reached its projected high.
Context of the Ascending Triangle:
The price has formed an ascending triangle with an ascending support line (lower blue line) from point 1 to point 2.
Horizontal resistance is at 18,842.3 (point 3), and the price has not broken this level in a sustained manner or reached 18,979.0, as incorrectly indicated earlier.
Currently, the price is at 18,861.3, but for this scenario, we will assume it is retracing from a level close to resistance without having reached 18,979.0.
Correction to 18,670:
The price could retrace toward the key support at 18,671.7 (near point 2), which coincides with the triangle's ascending trend line.
This level has previously been solid support, making it a likely point for a rebound.
Rebound to 18,980:
From 18,670, the price could initiate an upward movement toward 18,980, a level projected as a target after breaking the triangle's resistance at 18,842.3.
This target is calculated by measuring the height of the triangle and projecting it from the breakout point.
Volume:
Volume shows a peak in previous upward movements, but has decreased in the current pullback, which is typical in a correction.
An increase in volume near 18,670 could confirm the entry of buyers for the rebound.
Trading Strategy:
Entry: Buy at 18,670 after confirming a rebound (e.g., a bullish candle with increasing volume).
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss below 18,600 to protect against a bearish breakout.
Take Profit: Target 18,980.
Risk: If the price falls below 18,600, the bullish scenario could be invalidated, targeting lower levels such as 18,500.
TradingView Idea:
US 100 (15M) - Correction to 18,670 before rising to 18,980.
Direction: Bullish after correction.
Entry: 18,670 (after confirming a rebound).
Stop Loss: 18,600.
Take Profit: 18,980.
Risk/Reward Ratio: Approximately 3:1.
NASDAQ Decision making becomes easy after seeing this chart.NASDAQ (NDX) is currently on the 3rd straight red month (1M candle), following the February High and subsequent sell-off due to the Trade War. This has been analyzed extensively in previous analyses and how the fundamental scene is only now starting to show some positive progress but still has a long way to go.
Technically though, the picture is very clear and favors long-term investing. The market has been trading within a Fibonacci Channel Up since the U.S. Housing Crisis in 2008 and along with the 2022 Inflation Crisis, those have been the only real Bear Cycle events in the past 18 years.
In between those there have been another 5 shorter term corrections, that offered great buying opportunities for the long-term and the recent 3-month one classifies as one.
There reasons are three. First it has come very close to the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line), which only broke during the Major Corrections. Second, the 1M RSI hit the 50.50 Symmetrical Support, which has held during all those 5 prior Minor Corrections. Third, those corrections only range between two Fibonacci levels.
The current correction fulfills all those conditions. And since the 'weakest' rally we've have on this 5 event sample has been +37.57% and the strongest +96.77%, we have a medium-term Target on Nasdaq at 22800 and a long-term one at 32500.
Do you still reserve doubts at investing long-term after seeing this macro chart?
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๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐
Bullish Breakout on NAS100 โ Momentum ShiftingNASDAQ 100 (US100) โ Bullish Setup Developing
1. Falling Wedge Breakout:
Price has broken out of the falling wedge (purple trendlines), signaling a potential reversal to the upside.
2. Retesting Breakout Zone:
Current price action is retesting the breakout level near the 18,000 zone, indicating potential support forming.
3. Trendline Confluence:
The breakout aligns with the lower boundary of the broader ascending channel (blue), acting as dynamic support.
4. Strong Bullish Rejection at Lows:
Price showed strong buying interest near 17,700, forming a bullish rejection wick and bounce.
5. Clean Target Ahead:
Next key resistance zone lies around 18,540, where price may face selling pressure again โ this matches previous structure and descending channel resistance.
6.Momentum Shift Noted:
Lower highs and lower lows structure has been invalidated, hinting at a possible trend shift.
Thanks for your Time..
Fear @ Greed Index In Nasdaq.The potential future decline of the Nasdaq index is attributed to concerns surrounding the Fibonacci level of 1.138, as indicated by the harmonic shark pattern .
At the 0.88 level, the fear index has surpassed the greed index, and it currently stands at 1.138. This apprehension is also affecting those who are typically driven by greed.
US100 Triangle Squeeze โ Breakout or Fakeout?Hey Traders,
Price is currently consolidating within a symmetrical triangle, squeezing between rising support and descending resistance.
Two potential bullish scenarios on watch:
๐น Scenario 1:
Breakout above triangle resistance with confirmation โ Potential rally toward the 19,200โ19,600 zone.
๐น Scenario 2:
Short-term rejection at resistance โ Pullback to triangle support or the 18,370 level โ Then bounce for continuation to the upside.
If the triangle breaks to the downside, Iโll be watching the 18,000 and 17,600 demand zones for a potential reaction.
๐ Key Levels:
Resistance: 18,800 / 19,200 / 19,600
Support: 18,370 / 18,000 / 17,600
โ ๏ธ Not financial advice โ just sharing market insights.
โ Mr. Wolf ๐บ
#US100 #NAS100 #DowJones #Indices #PriceAction #BreakoutTrading #ChartAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #DayTrading #SwingTrading #TradingView
US100 H4 | Bearish Fall Based on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price has just reacted off our sell entry at 19,514.93, which is ana swing high resistance.
Our take profit will be at 19363.72, a pullback support.
The stop loss will be placed at 19,637.23, above the 127.2% Fibo extension.
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US NAS100Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message.
Enjoy Trading ;)
NASDAQ: Rejected on the 1D MA50. Can it break it?Nasdaq is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 52.608, MACD = -100.810, ADX = 23.609) as it got rejected today on the 1D MA50. That is the first serious Resistance test of the April 7th rebound and until it breaks, we can see a technical pullback to the 4H MA100 in order to establish the new Support. With the 1D RSI confirmed the new long term bottom with a DB, buying the dips on every such pullback is the most effective strategy on such occasions. Our short term target is the R1 level (TP = 20,300).
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NSDQ100 INTRADAY resistance retest U.S. futures rose and the dollar strengthened after Donald Trump eased concerns that had been weighing on markets. He stated he has no plans to fire Fed Chair Jerome Powell, despite ongoing frustrations over interest rates. While this helped calm nerves, Bloomberg's John Authers cautions against viewing it as a major shift in sentiment.
Trump also struck a more conciliatory tone on China, saying he intends to be โvery niceโ in trade talks and suggested tariffs could be lowered if a deal is reachedโindicating a possible softening of his approach toward Beijing.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 19195
Resistance Level 2: 19600
Resistance Level 3: 20080
Support Level 1: 17820
Support Level 2: 17330
Support Level 3: 16700
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NQ: On its way to complete Wave 2NQ has completed both Initial and retrace swings of wave 2 and now NQ is in its way to complete the Impulsive swing.
We got a breakout and retest of the upper TL and price is moving up.
We have Manufacturing and Services data in a few.
1- Inline data: A shy retrace and continuation up/
2- Undershoot: Price might retest again the upper TL.
3- Overshoot: Direct move up.
WHERE TO GO....NDXGood Morning,
I entered a trade with QQQ yesterday as the market has signaled a strong movement for the bulls. By no means is this a confirmed moved however I saw an opportunity for early entry.
We still need to beat out the overall trend reversal resistance which is at the 19,700 mark of April 2th.
Prior to that we need to make it through:
18,400$ First resistance.
19,000 2nd Resistance.
Trend is showing that we will break both of those levels.
Enjoy!
Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Breaks โ Will Confirm the Next Move๐ Nas100 โ Hanzoโs Strike Setup
๐ฅ Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M)
โโโโโโโ
๐ฏ Main Focus: Bullish Breakout at 18030
We are watching this zone closely.
๐ If price breaks with high volume, it confirms Smart Money is in control, and a strong move may follow.
๐ฏ Main Focus: Bearish Breakout at 17830
We are watching this zone closely.
๐ If price breaks with high volume, it confirms Smart Money is in control, and a strong move may follow.
โโโ
๐ป Every warrior needs a tribe.
Follow Hanzo. Support the path.
Analysis
๐ Bearish Signs (15M TF):
โข Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 18700
โข Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 18400
โข Strong Rejections seen at:
โ 18400 โ Major support
โ 19000 โ Proven resistance
โโโ
๐ฉธ Key Zones to Watch:
โข 18700 โ Bearish breakout level
โข 19130 โ Strong resistance (tested 6 times)
โข 18400 โ Equal lows
Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Breaks โ Will Confirm the Next Move
STOCKS LOWER??This is what Im gauging on the NAS100, as well as the Dow Jones and SnP500 (even though the charts aren't presented).
Technically, I see a 4H QM which sets the high, with the lows not giving the same HTF strength that the highs have given. We've got a nice trading range as price hasn't realigned for the stocks to show its true bullish direction to the ATHs, meaning I see this huge sell off continue until those lows have been ran. I see price printing lower.
Fundamentally, I like to think of the worst case scenario for Trump and the season we're in currently, its made me nice trades. Lets see