Nas tariff trade idea Looking for nas sells with escalations in tariff war. I will make sure global equities push lower alon with oil pushing lower and recession fears coming back in the market
looking for buys on nas if de escalations happen and we can see oil above 60 and global markets pushing up
NASDAQ trade ideas
NAS100 Stuck in Limbo – Breakout Brewing or Breakdown Coming?The NAS100 is caught in a see-saw of indecision, dancing between trendline resistance above and support below. No need to guess the outcome—momentum will tip its hand soon. We're planning to straddle the move with a one-cancels-the-other (OCO) setup and let the market choose the direction. Stay patient, stay ready.
The Nasdaq 100 is exhibiting a strong short-term bearish trend. 📉 Technical Analysis (Short-Term):
The Nasdaq 100 is exhibiting a strong short-term bearish trend.
CentralCharts
The index is trading below its 200-day moving average, indicating potential market weakness and possibly the start of a downtrend.
Business Insider
Key resistance levels are around $20,275–$20,382; a breakout above this range could signal a bullish reversal.
TradingView
Support is observed near $18,872; a break below this level may lead to further declines.
TradingView
🧠 Fundamental Analysis:
The Nasdaq 100 concluded Q1 2025 with a loss of 8.6%, reflecting a challenging start to the year.
Seeking Alpha
Upcoming Q1 earnings reports from major tech companies, including Netflix and TSMC, are anticipated to influence market direction.
FX Leaders
Persistent inflation above the Federal Reserve's target and signs of a weakening job market are contributing to economic uncertainty.
Business Insider
💬 Sentiment Analysis:
Investor sentiment is currently bearish, with the Nasdaq 100 having fallen over 8% in March, marking the worst monthly performance since late 2022.
MarketWatch
Concerns over trade tensions, inflation, and potential stagflation are weighing on market confidence.
Business Insider
Despite the downturn, April's historical performance as a strong month for U.S. stocks may offer buying opportunities amidst volatility.
NAS100 Playbook For The Week Friday closed around 18,783, likely in the midst of wrapping up Wave 5 on the 1H timeframe ⚠️
However, the daily Wave 5 still looks incomplete — my upside target remains around 19,732.
Notably, price hasn’t tapped the Wave 3 daily high at 19,258, so there’s still room for one more push 📈
What I’m Watching:
🔻 Short-term pullback likely.
Here are the zones I’m eyeing for potential shorts:
🔹 1H Wave 2 FVG zone → 18,098
🔹 Daily FVG / Wave 2 bottom → 17,573
I’ll be looking to short into one of those levels IF structure confirms, then potentially flip long once we see a solid move on the daily 💥
—
Trading structure over signals — let the wave tell the story 🌊
#NAS100 #ElliottWave #MarketStructure #kushstratedFX
monday long opportunity for nasdaq1. From the daily chart perspective, I believe a short-term bottom has already formed, but the stop-loss level is too far for a long position, so it’s better to seek a low-entry buy. Last Friday, it reached a support level, but I wasn’t firm enough so i didn't enter. BUtT, we can PATIENTLY wait for a lower point to buy here.
monday plan:
On the 1-hour timeframe, resistance is at 19100-19300 (which is also the 4-hour resistance), and support is at 18200-17800.
Look for buying opportunities on Monday, with real-time updates afterward, stop-loss at 17600.
TARGET IS 19100-19300.
If price goes up directly, i will wait 19100-19300 for a short opportunity instead.
NAS100 (US Tech 100) OUTLOOK🟢 NAS100 bounced hard from the 17,922 support zone after a sharp drop, now printing bullish momentum going into the new week.
🔑 Marked Levels:
• Support: 17,922 🛡️ | 16,600 🩸
• Resistance: 19,225 ❌ | 19,860 ❌ | 20,347 ❌
📈 Scenarios to Watch:
• Bullish: Break and hold above 19,225 may lead to a push toward 19,860 and 20,347.
• Bearish: Rejection at 19,225 could send price back to 17,922 or lower.
⚠️ No need to chase — wait for clean setups and respect your risk. 🎯
📘 This is not financial advice. Trade safe and stick to your plan.
NQ: Upcoming Weekly Analysis!Happy week!
ST/Mt/Lt Outlook: SELL
FA Analysis:
1- US is in or about to be in RECESSION.
2- US is isolating itself from the world economy; from the driver seat.
3- 90-days tariff pause: Market relief, recovery period; it's absolutely not a "buying the dip" strategy!
4- Inflation (CPI and PPI) are softening surprisingly!!! The explanation might be from a lower demand (considering the recession/economy slowing down); So this is not necessary the right softening inflation that the FED is looking for.
5- The FED will use the inflation softening to cut rates.
6- On the other hand, Tariffs will increase inflation.
7- Also, Consumer sentiment is at lowest level.
8- Bonds are skyrocketing (Follow U10y and U30y). Trump wants them down but market is pushing them up to make pressure on him to withdraw the tariffs. Hence, Trump will intervene with carrots and candies every time Y10y, e.g., breaks 4.5%.
9- Dollar is loosing foot whereas Gold is seeking the sky. Money is flying outside USA.
Next week is soft in terms of economic data beside ECB meeting and Trump's tweets.
TA Analysis:
Weekly TF:
a- As the outlook is Sell, here is a chart based on Waves theory.
b- I consider Wave 1 completed and price is in retrace to complete Wave 2 (between 50-61.8 fib) (Yellow box)
c- The current wave 2 might take few other days/weeks (at least 2). This wave 2 is supported by the 90-days pause, the Inflation softening and the FED cutting rate next meeting.
(Note: I invite you to keep this chart close to your eyes:))
Daily TF:
FY awareness, each wave has at least 3 moves: Initial swing; Retrace' and Impulsive swing.
Wave 2 has already made both Initial and retrace swings. We should expect to see the last impulsive swing.
From TA, the daily close was irrelevant; it was inside inside previous daily candles!
Happy green week to Everyone!
Market on Edge: Tariffs, Tension, and Market Turmoil(The following is for informational purposes only and reflects personal opinions, not investment advice. Please exercise your own judgment before making any financial decisions.)
In the coming weeks, the U.S. stock market is likely to remain driven by news flow, with investors closely watching the Trump administration’s policies on tariffs.
Last week, market sentiment remained extreme fearful as the impact of the tariff measures continued to ripple through the markets. The U.S. bond market sell-off prompted President Trump to announce on Wednesday a 90-day delay on tariff implementation for countries other than China. This announcement triggered a sharp market rebound that forced many short sellers to cover their positions. However, as the tariff delay did not fundamentally resolve the underlying uncertainty surrounding trade policies, the market failed to sustain its gains on Thursday and Friday.
At present, U.S.-China trade tensions continue to escalate, and no successful trade agreement has been announced yet. The market is seeking more concrete positive developments—such as tax cuts from the Trump administration, or the signing of trade agreements with major economies that include tariff reductions—before uncertainty can be lifted and a meaningful rebound achieved.
For now, it is better to remain patient and let the news develop, with minimal trading activity. Market direction will largely depend on future actions from the Trump administration and the Federal Reserve, making it difficult to rely on technical analysis alone to determine the market trend.
Currently, the 19,988–20,382 range serves as a critical resistance zone. A breakout above 20,382, sustained over time, would indicate that bulls are gaining control. Conversely, if the price stays consistently below 20,275, it suggests that bears remain dominant.
Until clear, favorable news emerges, further downside in the market is possible. However, shorting at these levels also carries significant risk, as any policy shift or positive announcement from Trump could trigger another sharp rebound—similar to what occurred last Wednesday.
US 100 - Ranges overview Let's see what the charts are telling us on US 100.
Just like US 30 US 100 retraced and is currently in a redistribution phase.
From a HTF, as long as we hold 16771.6 expect us aggressively trade towards 19000 and 20500.
IF we fail to hold 16771.6 expect us to retrace towards the 16771.6 and 15201 range. Any clean close below 16771.6 and the market will aggressively seek the sellside liquidity around 15201.
As always WAIT FOR THE MARKET TO SHOW YOU ITS HAND.
Stay safe and never risk more than 1-5% of your capital per trade. The following analysis is merely a price action based analysis and does not constitute financial advice in any form.
NDQ100 Weekly projection as of 13 April 2025Based on the chart pattern I have seen for NDQ100, I believe that NDQ100 will make a big correction before it can fly higher compare to the previous HH.
Let's us see together and trade together.
Hi, I am new and would appreciate if everyone can share your insights too. Thanks
Likely Bullish Gap at Open Followed by a Sharp Drop📈 US100 – Likely Bullish Gap at Open Followed by a Sharp Drop 📉
On the 15-minute chart of the US100, we can see a corrective structure forming within an ascending channel, likely representing wave (B) of a larger correction. The price is currently near the top boundary of the channel, around 18,872.1.
🔍 Key Technical Highlights:
Clear prior bearish impulse.
Ongoing corrective move within a rising channel.
ABC correction forming inside the channel.
Potential rising wedge, suggesting bullish exhaustion.
📌 Main Hypothesis: I expect the market to open with a bullish gap, potentially reaching or briefly exceeding the 18,872.1 level, before starting a stronger downward move toward 17,411.8, which aligns with a key support zone and broader trendline confluence.
📊 Key Levels:
Resistance: 18,872.1 (ideal reversal area)
Target Support: 17,411.8
⚠️ Alternative Scenario: A strong breakout and consolidation above the channel could invalidate the bearish setup and suggest a continuation to the upside.
💡 Conclusion: This move would fit well within a broader corrective pattern, offering a technical pullback before any potential continuation. I’ll be watching the open closely for confirmation.
💼 Trade Idea:
🔹 Strategy: Short from resistance
🔹 Suggested Entry: 18,850 – 18,880 (potential gap zone and upper channel resistance)
🔹 Stop Loss: Above 18,920 (outside channel and above recent highs)
🔹 Take Profit: 17,500 – 17,450 (key support zone / technical target)
🔹 Risk/Reward Approximation: 1:4
🧠 Wait for price action confirmation (rejection, bearish engulfing candle, or intraday structure break before entering).
Symmetrical Triangle: Bullish or Bearish Breakout?Description:
The NASDAQ 100 (NAS100) has formed a symmetrical triangle on the 15-minute timeframe, indicating a consolidation phase after a 5.4% drop. The price is near the triangle's apex, suggesting that a significant directional move is imminent. Here are the key levels and possible scenarios:
Bullish Scenario:
Entry: Breakout above 18,500 on volume.
Target: 19,710.8 (138% Fibonacci).
Stop Loss: 17,800.
R/R: 1:2.
Bearish Scenario:
Entry: Breakout below 17,800 on volume.
Target: 17,341.3 (138% Fibonacci).
Stop Loss: 18,300.
R/R: 1:1.5.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 19,710.8.
Support: 17,341.3.
Intermediate Zones: 18,500 (resistance) and 17,500 (support).
Considerations:
Monitor volume during the breakout to confirm the breakout.
Review macroeconomic events (interest rates, inflation data) and tech company earnings, as the NASDAQ is sensitive to these factors.
Technology market sentiment will be key in determining the direction.
Warning: Trade at your own risk and ensure you have an appropriate risk management plan. Share your opinion in the comments!
Tags: #NASDAQ #NAS100 #SymmetricTriangle #Breakout #TechnicalAnalysis
Nasdaq High Impact Analysis (Stock Market Crash)we are looking at a stock market crash.
high valuations of tech companys (nvidia, apple, microsoft, tesla etc)
a synthetic covid scenario, same news, same playouts, same situations playing out.
1995 - 2001 dot.com bubble playing out
we projecting a bottoming of 10 000
we projecting a high of 30 000
the whole scenario is re balancing the tech sector
alot more downward pressure before we see a bottom / buy the dip kind of playout.
To new ATHs?After a sharp drop, the price has been rejected at 16300. In my opinion, the fall has nothing to do with the presidency of the United State, rather a perfect opportunity for the investors to buy the dip. The last two HLs on monthly time frame were printed in March 2020 ( Worldwide Pandemic) and Oct 2022. Since then, Nasdaq has been going up steadily and making HHs and HLs on daily and weekly. Now, in April 2025 another HL has been printed on monthly and I think that market might be on it's way to make new ATHs in coming weeks and months and even years.
NASDAQ100Perfect — now we’re on the 4H timeframe, which is great for refining entries. Let’s break this down again with the three frameworks:
⸻
1. Smart Money Concept (SMC)
Key Elements:
• CHoCH (Change of Character) — clearly marked after price broke above a short-term structure, shifting market sentiment bullish on 4H.
• EQH (Equal Highs) — potential liquidity resting above; smart money may target these.
• BOS (Break of Structure) — further confirms internal bullish structure.
• Order Block (OB) or Demand Zone in the green box (~17,700–18,200)** — price respected this zone strongly after BOS, indicating smart money accumulation.
SMC Bias (4H):
• Currently bullish, moving from demand to premium pricing.
• Price is forming higher highs and higher lows post-CHoCH.
• Liquidity pool above EQH near 19,000 is likely next target.
• Potential long re-entry if price returns to demand zone (18,000–18,200).
⸻
2. Elliott Wave View (Micro Count on 4H)
• If this is part of Wave 4 retracement on the Daily, this current 4H rally could be subwave A or B of the corrective structure (flat, zigzag, triangle).
• Alt. view: This may be Wave 1 of a new impulsive move upward if macro bearish bias gets invalidated.
• Current price action looks impulsive — strong vertical move (potential Wave 1 or 3).
If impulsive structure:
• Wave 1: 17,000 → 18,900
• Wave 2: pullback to ~18,100 (near OB)
• Wave 3 underway — targetting >19,000
⸻
3. Dow Theory (on 4H)
• Short-term trend is now up: Higher high confirmed post-BOS, and higher low formed.
• To maintain bullish structure, price must not break below 17,900 (demand zone).
• Confirmation of strength if we break above 19,000 — forming a higher high again.
⸻
Trade Idea (4H Setup) — Bullish SMC Entry
Entry (Buy Limit): 18,150 (mid-demand zone)
SL: 17,750 (below OB)
TP1: 19,000 (liquidity above EQH)
TP2: 19,800 – 20,200 (Daily supply zone)
RR Ratio: ~1:3+
⸻
Would you like a tighter setup on 1H for sniper entry, or are you trading swing/position from here
How I Traded A FULL Multi-Timeframe Wave - AND got PAIDThis week, I tracked NASDAQ from a technical + psychological level most traders avoided… but I saw the opportunity 🔎
While others sat on the sidelines calling it “too choppy,” I:
✅ Identified Wave 5 structure on the 4H + 1H timeframes
✅ Mapped out entries using price action + liquidity zones
✅ Held through 6+ rejections at resistance
✅ Executed with discipline, not emotion
✅ Took partial profits, protected capital
✅ Watched price explode — and I got my 💸
✅ Then wrapped the week with a real withdrawal
📚 KEY LESSONS I’M DROPPING FOR YOU:
📊 Technical Analysis = The "What"
→ Chart patterns, structure, liquidity zones, entries/exits.
🌍 Fundamental Analysis = The "Why"
→ News, interest rates, sentiment.
I stayed focused on the “what” — not the fear headlines.
💡 Liquidity Isn’t Noise. It’s a Signal.
Every rejection I held through was just price loading up.
I didn’t flinch. I let smart money do the work.
💥 Wave 5s test your strategy AND your patience.
I saw smaller TF Wave 5 complete before 4H — so I waited.
I didn’t FOMO back in — I planned for the pullback and possible short flip.
🧠 MINDSET WINS > CHART WINS
🧘🏽♀️ My biggest move this week?
I walked away with clarity — not just profit.
That’s trader growth.
💬 Final thoughts:
You don’t need 100 trades. You need 1 well-managed setup and a calm mind.
📲 Follow me to keep learning how to trade structure, not stress.
Mastering Volatile Markets: Why Reducing Position Size is Key █ Mastering Volatile Markets Part 1: Why Reducing Position Size is Key
Trading is always challenging, but how do you navigate today's markets? That's a whole different level. Today, we'll move away from the usual "Trump's tariffs are horrendous" discussions. We'll instead focus on how experienced traders profit in the current volatile market.
Right now, we're seeing extreme volatility across many assets. It's not uncommon for markets to move 3% to 10% in a single day , and for indices like NAS100 (Nasdaq), intraday swings of 300 to 500 points can happen in just 5 to 30 minutes.
This can seem like bad news, but as Warren Buffet said in 2008, "In short, bad news is an investor's best friend."
Volatile markets can shake even experienced traders — but they don’t have to. With 16 years of trading experience , we’ll show you exactly how to approach conditions like these with confidence and clarity.
█ Reducing position size is the key to surviving volatility:
The most critical adjustment in a volatile market is reducing position size.
Why? Because when the market moves faster and with bigger swings, your potential risk per trade automatically increases. The key is to keep your d ollar risk the same — even when volatility is exploding.
⚪ Let's take a look at how position size changes when markets change:
2 Weeks Ago — Stable Market:
NAS100 average move per trade = 50 to 100 points
Risk per trade = 100 points = $500 risk (for example)
Position Size = 5 contracts
Today — Volatile Market:
NAS100 average move per trade = 300 to 500 points
To maintain the same $500 risk per trade → Position Size = 1 contract
⚪ The Benefit:
With a smaller position, you can still earn the same profit because the price is moving much more. At the same time, your risk stays controlled , even in these wild markets.
This is exactly how professional traders survive and thrive in volatile conditions — by adjusting to what the market is giving them.
⚪ What Happens If You Don't Reduce Size?
Let's say you keep the same position size as in stable markets, but now the market moves 300-500 points against you instead of 50-100. Here's how it plays out (example):
In Stable Markets (NAS100 average move: 50-100 points):
Position Size: 5 contracts
Risk per contract: $10 per point
Risk per trade: 100 points x $10 x 5 contracts = $5,000 risk per trade
In Volatile Markets (NAS100 average move: 300-500 points):
Position Size: 5 contracts (unchanged)
Risk per contract: $10 per point
Risk per trade: 500 points x $10 x 5 contracts = $25,000 risk per trade
Without reducing position size, your risk increases dramatically as the market moves wildly. As a result, your losses will skyrocket when the market moves against you.
█ Summary:
Huge volatility = Smaller position size
Same risk = Same profit potential
Trade smarter, not bigger
This is rule number one when navigating wild markets like the ones we have today.
█ What's Coming Next in the Series:
Part 2: Liquidity Is the Silent Killer
Part 3: Patience Over FOMO
Part 4: Trend Is Your Best Friend
Stay tuned for the next part — and remember, adapting to volatility isn't just about managing risk, it's about mastering the market!
-----------------
Disclaimer
The content provided in my scripts, indicators, ideas, algorithms, and systems is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
NAS100 Triangle Apex – Breakout or Breakdown ImminentBullish View:
• Price is forming higher lows and holding above the lower ascending trendline.
• A breakout above the upper descending trendline near 18,500 would confirm bullish
momentum.
• If the breakout is sustained, potential upside targets include 18,650 and 18,800.
Bearish View:
• Price has tested the lower support trendline and shown weakness near the apex of the
triangle.
• A breakdown below 18,100 would indicate bearish momentum and invalidate the ascending
structure.
• If the breakdown is sustained, potential downside targets include 17,950 and 17,700.
Short Day TradeTook a Short position at the daily EMA9
Entry: 18440
SL: 18690
TP 17950
Went short because today China reacted with a tariff increase on Trump action and Tesla does not take orders in China anymore. Was thinking about shorting Tesla but I decided to stick to the index.
Entry Level was choosen because I expected the price to touch the daily ema9 again (when I woke up it was way below it). The TP is just the intraday low which I expect to be hit again. The SL is a little high, thought about taking the premarket high but considered that this might be the SL for many shorts and it might hit at market open to erase some shorts from the market.
So the Risk Reward Ratio is bad for this trade. If I weren't so bearish for the market I probably would not have taken the trade
In my opinion the upstick of the market was just market manupulation by Trump (who should be impeached over this) and the uncertainty will bring the market much lower
I trade on the 4h chart, the 1h is just to see the progress.
I will close the trade before the market closes, no matter where it is.
"NAS100/US100" Index Market Money Heist Plan (Day / Scalping)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰✈️
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the "NAS100/US100" Index CFD Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green MA Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA breakout then make your move at (16400) - Bearish profits await!"
however I advise to Place sell stop orders above the Moving average (or) after the Support level Place sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most NEAREST (or) SWING low or high level.
📌I strongly advise you to set an "alert (Alarm)" on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
Stop Loss 🛑: "🔊 Yo, listen up! 🗣️ If you're lookin' to get in on a sell stop order, don't even think about settin' that stop loss till after the breakout 🚀. You feel me? Now, if you're smart, you'll place that stop loss where I told you to 📍, but if you're a rebel, you can put it wherever you like 🤪 - just don't say I didn't warn you ⚠️. You're playin' with fire 🔥, and it's your risk, not mine 👊."
📌Thief SL placed at the nearest/swing High or Low level Using the 4H timeframe (17300) Day/Scalping trade basis.
📌SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 15300 (or) Escape Before the Target
"NAS100/US100" Index CFD Market Heist Plan (Scalping / Day Trade) is currently experiencing a Bearish trend.., driven by several key factors.👇👇👇
📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Geopolitical and News Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Index-Specific Analysis, Positioning and future trend targets... go ahead to check 👉👉👉🔗🔗
Detailed Explanation 📝
Fundamentals: Growth stalls 📉, valuations adjust—bearish shift 🐻.
Macro: Cooling economy 🌍, sticky inflation 🔥—downward pressure.
COT: Speculators flee 📉, hedgers dig in—bearish signal 🐻.
Index: Correction deepens 📉, support tests near—technical bear 🐻.
Intermarket: Yields/USD crush risk assets 💪—bearish tide.
Geopolitical: Trade wars ⚔️, regulation 🔍—negative catalysts pile up.
Sentiment: Fear takes hold 😟—bearish consensus builds.
Trends: Near/medium-term declines 📉, long-term hinges on recovery ⚖️.
Outlook: Moderately bearish 🌩️—tough sledding ahead.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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