DeGRAM | GOLD Finished Correcting?📊 Technical Analysis
● After two successful touches of rising-channel support near $3 200, XAU/USD pierced the resistance line and the triangle, confirming a bullish breakout.
● A pattern of higher lows now projects a fresh impulse toward the channel top at ~$3 500.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Goldman Sachs forecasts central banks will keep buying bullion amid recession fears, driving gold to $3 700 by year-end.
● Traders price in ~80 bp of Fed rate cuts from July, lowering real yields and bolstering gold’s appeal.
✨ Summary
Channel breakout + strong CB demand and Fed-cut bets support a short-term long bias: a clear break above $3 315 targets $3 500; view invalid below $3 200.
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USCGC trade ideas
Hanzo | Gold 15 min Retest 3275 – Confirm the Next Bullish Move🆚 Gold – Hanzo’s Strike Setup
🔥 Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M)
——————
💯 Main Focus: Bullish Retest at 3275
We are watching this zone closely.
———
Analysis
👌 Market Signs (15M TF):
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 3265
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 3318
• Strong Rejections seen at:
➗ 3270 – Major support / Key level
➗ 3325 – Proven resistance
🩸 Key Zones to Watch:
• 3272 – 🔥 Bullish breakout level X 7 Swing Retest
• 3325 – Strong resistance (tested 5 times)
• 3270 – Equal lows
• 3328 – Equal highs
Hanzo | Gold 15 min Retest 3275 – Confirm the Next Bullish Move
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Please see update on our 4h chart route map today after 2 days of smashing targets on the 1h chart idea.
Once again another great day on the markets today. We got our Bearish 3282 and our Bullish 3343 targets hit. No cross and lock on either level, so we are seeing tennis between both Goldturns.
We will look for a ema5 cross and lock on either level to determine the next move. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
3343 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3343 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3404
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3404 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3439
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3439 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3503
BEARISH TARGETS
3282 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3282 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3224
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3224 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
3190 - 3138
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3138 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3088 - 3046
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
#XAUUSD: Price to go beyond $3650 to $3700 around 3500 pips moveThe XAUUSD price is moving nicely as we had predicted in our previous analysis. Both of our analyses have hit the take-profit target, and we are likely to see more bullish momentum continue in the coming time. There are two areas where price could move or reverse. Both targets have a long-term view, which means we are talking about a possible swing move that will take time to complete. Stop-loss and intraday target and position can be taken based on your own analysis and overview. Strong fundamentals are needed for price to reach our designated target area.
Good luck and trade safely. Trading financial instruments like gold and other markets brings extreme risk and can be severe if the risk is not managed correctly.
We are sharing our bias here, but it does not guarantee that the move will happen as described.
Once the trade is activated, you can set two targets. You can choose your own take-profit based on your analysis and trade management.
Good luck and trade safely! 😊
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Falling towards pullback support?The Gold (XAU/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to he 1st resistance which has been identified as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 3,361.29
1st Support: 3,310.00
1st Resistance: 3,490.34
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Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
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The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
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3419 , gold price can reach today⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) pulls back slightly from its intraday peak near a two-week high reached during Tuesday’s Asian session, but remains firm around the $3,360 mark, extending its winning streak for a second day. Improved US economic data has helped temper recession fears, offering modest support to the US Dollar. Meanwhile, signs of a potential thaw in US-China trade tensions have curbed safe-haven demand for gold, prompting some investors to adopt a wait-and-see approach ahead of the highly anticipated two-day FOMC policy meeting.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Bulls regain the upper hand, uptrend nears 3400 ahead of market interest rate cut expectations
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3418- 3420 SL 3425
TP1: $3410
TP2: $3400
TP3: $3385
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3323 - $3321 SL $3316
TP1: $3330
TP2: $3340
TP3: $3358
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
XAUMO XAUUSD Tactical Breakdown – April 30, 2025
1. XAUMO Tactical Map
Red Zone – Bearish Rejection (Sell Trap Zone):
Upper Limit: 3314.60–3318.00
Strong historical rejection + VWAP & Ichimoku base rejections.
Yellow Zone – Liquidity Sweep Trap Area:
Zone: 3297.50–3306.00
Price bounced repeatedly from this sweep zone; stop hunts likely.
Green Zone – Bullish Activation (Breakout):
Break Level: 3318.50+
Clean air above with strong upside potential to 3330+
2. Market Structure Overview
Ichimoku Cloud: Bearish crossover confirmed, price below cloud.
Volume Spike (RVOL): Reaching 1.93 on final leg = heavy sell interest.
Price Action: Lower highs forming. Current candle series weak.
VWAP Rejections: Ongoing rejection at 3305–3310.
Momentum: Bearish, confirmed by RSI < 45 on M15 & M30.
3. Tactical Entry Setups (Live Ready)
A. Intraday Sell Setup – Trap Breakdown
Type of Entry: Sell Stop
Entry Price: 3280.00
SL: 3287.00
TP1: 3270.50
TP2: 3259.00
TP3: 3246.00
Confidence: 82%
Justification:
Break below key liquidity shelf w/ heavy volume + trend confirmation from Ichimoku + RVOL surge.
B. Breakout Reversal Long Setup
Type of Entry: Buy Stop
Entry Price: 3318.50
SL: 3310.00
TP1: 3326.50
TP2: 3334.00
TP3: 3341.00
Confidence: 71%
Justification:
Break above compression + rejection cluster. Cloud flip + volume confirmation required.
C. Mean Reversion Scalp Play
Type of Entry: Sell Limit
Entry Price: 3305.00
SL: 3309.50
TP1: 3298.00
TP2: 3292.00
Confidence: 75%
Justification:
Previous VWAP + red zone overlap. Perfect trap zone confluence with divergence across M5.
4. STRIKE | DEFEND | SCALP | SWING
STRIKE:
15:30 Cairo → Enter Sell Stop @ 3280 if NY Open flushes.
3318.50 breakout long only if volume sustains.
DEFEND:
Stay out of chop 3298–3305 unless confirmed wick fakeout.
SCALP:
Inside Yellow Zone: scalp wick traps at 3304–3305 or 3288–3290.
SWING:
If price holds below 3280 post-NY, swing short down to 3259+ over 1–2 sessions.
5. Summary
Market still biased Bearish unless 3318.50+ breaks.
Volume + structure + Ichimoku confirms ongoing downside with brief retrace attempts.
NY Open = trigger window for explosive move.
Gold Trade Plan 06/05/2025Dear Traders,
price broken 3320 (Means Market will continue Upward movement)
i expect price will be continue upward movement to 3400-3420 Area Today ,
If you enjoyed this forecast, please show your support with a like and comment. Your feedback is what drives me to keep creating valuable content."
Regards,
Alireza
GOLD → Consolidation ahead of news. What to expect?FX:XAUUSD is consolidating. Focus on 3370 - 3269. Economic data is expected tomorrow, and gold is likely to trade within the consolidation range for several days.
Optimism about US trade talks with key partners boosted risk appetite and supported the dollar. The US Treasury Secretary reported progress with India, while President Trump softened his rhetoric on China, which also strengthened the dollar. At the same time, traders took a wait-and-see stance ahead of the release of US GDP data for the first quarter. If the figures turn out to be weak, gold could rise sharply as a safe-haven asset. Thus, the gold market remains sensitive to trade news and macro data, especially against the backdrop of rebalancing at the end of April.
At the moment, as part of the current momentum and correction, I expect prices to recover from the 0.5 - 0.7 Fibonacci zone. Gold may test 3323-3325 before resuming its correction within the consolidation.
Resistance levels: 3323, 3352, 3370
Support levels: 3290, 3270
Traders are waiting for a resolution in the tariff dispute as well as economic data due tomorrow. However, while the price is consolidating, I expect a rebound from support. BUT! If the price continues to squeeze towards any boundary, with priority to support, then the chances of a breakout from the consolidation base may increase.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Gold awaits NFP after serious decline I expectedAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: "Technical analysis: Gold is being kept below the Hourly 4 chart’s Resistance zone of #3,292.80 - #3,300.80 despite the rejection on DX and continuous rise on equities, Gold didn’t manage to prepare the terrain for further the uptrend, according to my Technical estimations. Besides the High Selling Volume and evident Price-action showcasing of Bearish trend switch, #3,262.80 Support I mentioned which was about to be tested was invalidated and naturally Gold is on a decline (as I expected it throughout my recent remarks) and is Technicals what's keeping Gold Lower, relative to circumstances. Regardless of that, the Daily chart’s Support (Medium-term) is Trading just few points below, at #3,200.80, if broken it can open doors for #3,127.80 extension and Support mark test and is alone a positive development for Sellers ahead of the end of the Trading week."
Technical analysis: Daily chart remains isolated within solid Descending Channel and being Bearish indicates a Short-term Selling opportunity towards #3,200.80 psychological mark if Support gets invalidated and NFP delivers upside surprise (what I indeed expect). Keep an eye on the DX especially when the U.S. session opens (Bullish Gap fill) throughout today’s session in order to get more information and pointers of the Intra-day direction. Gold got rejected at #3,200.80 - #3,227.80 Medium-term Support zone (many rejections on current pressure point) and since the pullback wasn’t Bought back above the Hourly 1 chart’s Buying accumulation zone, current Price-action points that the Selling sentiment remains unchanged as this is just one of early Trading weeks in May. That keeps the Hourly 4 chart’s Descending Channel valid (already converted to a Bearish Flag / messenger of Selling continuation ahead), with #3,262.80 configuration currently representing it’s local Lower High’s Upper zone).
GOLD may enter accumulation when the market lacks impact Spot OANDA:XAUUSD prices were broadly steady in Asian trade on Friday (April 25) after a sharp rise in the previous trading day. The current price of gold is around $3,341/ounce, down from the $3,371 price target that readers noted in yesterday's edition. Spot gold prices jumped on Thursday, snapping a nearly 3% decline the previous day, helped by a weaker US dollar and bargain-hunting as investors kept a close eye on the latest news on tariff negotiations.
Market Highlights
Gold prices rebounded on Thursday after their biggest drop this year as bargain hunters entered the market, Bloomberg reported.
China's official broadcaster CCTV reported Thursday that the Wall Street Journal reported that Trump is considering a plan to impose tiered tariffs on China, and White House press secretary Levitt said Trump's stance on tariffs on China "has not softened."
"This is all fake news. As far as I know, China and the United States have never consulted or negotiated on tariffs, let alone reached an agreement. This tariff war was initiated by the United States, and China's attitude is consistent and clear: if you want to fight, we will fight to the end; if you want to negotiate, the door is open. Dialogue and negotiation must be equal, respectful and mutually beneficial," said Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman Guo Jiakun.
Cleveland Fed President Hammack made it clear in an interview on Thursday that the Fed has essentially ruled out a rate cut in May. But she also delivered a key message, saying that if there is clear evidence of the economy’s direction, there will be room for policy action in June.
When asked if a rate cut was possible in June, Hammack said: “If we get clear and compelling data in June, then I think the committee will act, assuming we have a clear understanding of the right path for policy at that point.” Markets reacted quickly after Hammack’s remarks, with interest rate swaps indicating the likelihood of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in June rising to around 65%.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
After achieving the target increase twice, which readers should pay attention to in the previous day's publication at 3,371 USD, the price point of the Fibonacci retracement of 0.236%, the recovery momentum of gold is being controlled and limited.
In the short term, gold is likely to enter a sideways accumulation phase, waiting for more fundamental breakthroughs. The expected accumulation area is around 3,371 - 3,292 USD, which are the positions of the Fibonacci retracement of 0.236% and 0.382%.
However, with the current position, the main outlook is still bullish in the long term with the trend from the price channel as the main trend and support from the EMA21 as the main support.
During the day, the expectation of short-term accumulation in the main uptrend will be noted by the following levels.
Support: 3,300 – 3,292 USD
Resistance: 3,371 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3411 - 3409⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3415
→Take Profit 1 3403
↨
→Take Profit 2 3397
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3204 - 3206⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3200
→Take Profit 1 3212
↨
→Take Profit 2 3218
Gold's volatile decline is in line with expectationsFrom the perspective of the 4-hour cycle, a big negative line closed down, breaking the support of the 5-day and 10-day moving averages. This wave may continue to fall to the Bollinger middle rail near 3300, but if it is a high-level shock, the Bollinger middle rail is not broken, and it may rise again to the high point of 3430. In this cycle, gold has experienced a big rise and fall, and now it is possible to rise or fall. In the short-term cycle, we will first pay attention to the support effect of 3360-3350 under weakness. If it does not break, we can continue to go long and bullish, with the upper target at 3400. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy of gold is recommended to be mainly short-selling on rebounds, supplemented by long-selling on pullbacks. The upper short-term focus is on the 3400-3405 line of resistance, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3350-3300 line of support.
> "Gold (XAU/USD) - Demand Zone Bounce Targeting 3500 "Current Price: $3,319.59
Indicator: 70 EMA at $3,324.95 ➡️ 📈 (still slightly above price = bearish pressure)
---
Main Observations:
🔵 Demand Zone (📦 Buyers' Area):
Between $3,253 - $3,280
Every time price dips here ➡️ buyers react!
✏️ Descending Trendline:
⬇️ Short-term trend is bearish
Price is trying to break above it now (watch closely!)
🎯 Target Point:
$3,500 🏹 (Big upside if breakout succeeds!)
🛡️ Stop-Loss:
$3,253 🔥 (just below the demand zone = good protection)
Trade Idea:
✅ Buy near demand zone 🔵 after breakout confirmation 📈
✅ Target: $3,500 🎯
✅ Stop-Loss: $3,253 🛡️
Quick Dots Summary:
🔵 Demand zone is strong (buyers defending)
🔻 Still under 70 EMA (bearish until breakout)
✏️ Watching for breakout of trendline = key signal
🎯 Massive Risk:Reward ratio if it works
⚡ If no breakout and price falls, stop-loss saves capital.
bullish momentum, accumulating around 3400⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) regained strong upward momentum during the Asian session on Thursday, rebounding sharply above the $3,400 level in the past hour and recovering much of its overnight pullback from a two-week high. The renewed demand for the safe-haven metal comes as US President Donald Trump downplayed expectations of an imminent resolution to the US-China trade dispute, stating he feels "no rush" to finalize an agreement. Heightened geopolitical tensions—including the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war, instability in the Middle East, and escalating military friction between India and Pakistan—further support gold's appeal as a defensive asset.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price continues to recover well around 3400, FED's speech is quite moderate, predicted early by investors, the market is positive in the recovery trend this week
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3438- 3440 SL 3445
TP1: $3425
TP2: $3410
TP3: $3395
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3352 - $3350 SL $3345
TP1: $3365
TP2: $3380
TP3: $3400
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable sell order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
YOUR SEEING THIS NOT BY ACCIDENT (GOLD SWING)
remember this idea before, way early to short right?
Now its the time to short it. initial and 2nd tp zone. probable the swing tp could be 2700-2600 or
lower.
See this a liquidity grab on internal/inside a monthly basis chart.
This is not a random as you see this, it means you trade this for Long shot or swing thot.
Guys this idea is on my self only.
This is not a financial advice.
See you again next week.
The previous news or the ADP NFP are non sense. we a make a new highs again once this idea works?
This is only my view.
sharing this could turn your idea to swing trades.
Follow for more.
Gold Trade Plan 02/05/2025-05/05/2025Dear Traders,
The descending channel is working precisely. After hitting the middle of the channel, the price started to drop. I expect another low below 3200, followed by a rise toward around $3400.
if you enjoyed this forecast, please show your support with a like and comment. Your feedback is what drives me to keep creating valuable content."
Regards,
Alireza!
XAUUSD: Channel Up aiming for 3,750Gold has turned bullish again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 65.582, MACD = 62.840, ADX = 38.882) as it crossed above the 4H MA50 again, following a bottom on the HL trendline of the 4H Channel Up. The 4H RSI made a DB and the new bullish wave is already underway. We expect a similar +18% rally to the top of the Channel Up (TP = 3,750).
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Gold: trade tariffs relaxationAs trade tariffs “war” entered into relaxation mode, so the price of gold was easing during the previous week. The major event concerning trade tariffs during the previous week was the announcement from China's government that they are considering negotiations with the US Administration regarding imposed tariffs. Additional influx came also from better than expected US jobs data, in which sense, gold was trading with a modest negative sentiment during the week. The week started by testing the $3.350 short term resistance line, however, it ended at the level of $3.240.
The RSI turned away from the overbought market side, and ended the week at the level of 53. This level still does not represent a clear sign that the market is ready to take the turn toward the oversold market side. Moving averages of 50 and 200 days, without change, continue to move as two parallel lines with an uptrend.
Fundamentals have driven the price of gold to the ATH in a previous period, so fundamentals will continue to impact the price of gold also in the future period. Trade tariffs were the main driver, so as the trade war is settling down, the price of gold might ease also in the coming period. Gold is currently testing the level from the mid-April this year. In case that it is breached, then the next potential level for gold might be around $3.150. Certainly, it should be considered that the FOMC meeting is scheduled for May 7th, which might bring some volatility back on the market, considering current market sensitivity regarding potential Fed's rate cut. At this moment on charts, the price of gold has equal probabilities for a move both toward the up, and down side.
Bullish Setup on Gold: Correction hints continuation opportunityOANDA:XAUUSD is trading within a well-defined ascending channel, signaling strong bullish momentum. The price has consistently formed higher highs and higher lows, which aligns with the continuation of the uptrend. The recent pullback appears to be a healthy correction within the overall uptrend , allowing the market to potentially reset before continuing its upward trajectory within the ascending channel.
This pullback is offering a potential re-entry point for buyers, if key support levels hold. This would reinforce the bullish structure and increase the likelihood of a move toward the 3,680 price, which aligns with the channel’s upper boundary.
As long as the price remains above the support zone, the bullish outlook stays intact. However, a failure to hold above this level could invalidate the bullish scenario and increase the likelihood of a pullback toward the channel’s lower boundary.
Has the trend of gold's high dive turned bearish?Technical analysis of gold: Breaking news, China and the United States are preparing for tariff talks, which is a major negative. Gold plunged more than $60 from the 3438 USD line in the early trading, and it should have reached the top within the day; if there is no major positive push, the early high of 3438 should not be broken again, otherwise once it breaks through 3500, it will definitely break, but it is unclear how far it will go above 3500. Gold started to retrace from the 3438 position in the early trading. It is currently expected to stop falling at the 3350 support area in the early trading. In the short term, it is necessary to pay attention to whether the gold weekly line will form an evening star pattern. Once the evening star structure is formed, gold will most likely confirm that it has peaked in stages, and will experience a large-scale retracement in conjunction with the weekly top divergence! However, the daily trend is relatively repeated, so we still need to focus on the impact of news on the trend!
GOLD → Consolidation. Traders are waiting for news...FX:XAUUSD remains in consolidation at 3370-3270. Traders are in no hurry to take any action, as there is a lot of important news ahead. Let's take a closer look at the situation...
On Wednesday, gold is trading lower, remaining in a sideways range as traders await the release of US GDP data for the first quarter. A sharp slowdown in growth is expected, and a possible contraction in the economy could increase bets on a Fed rate cut and support gold. Meanwhile, the dollar is holding steady amid tariff news and expectations for key employment and inflation data.
A retest of the range support is forming. The approach is quite sharp, and the pre-breakout potential has been exhausted. A false breakout of support could trigger an upward correction.
Support levels: 3270, 3245
Resistance levels: 3314, 3329, 3352
If the dollar continues to fall after the news, this could support gold and the price could continue to trade between 3370 and 3270. Unpredictable news could trigger a breakout and a fall.
Best regards, R. Linda!
NF fluctuates in a downward trend⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
China’s Ministry of Commerce announced Friday that the United States has recently initiated communication through official channels, expressing interest in reopening talks on tariffs. Beijing is currently evaluating the proposal, fueling optimism that a resolution to the prolonged tariff standoff between the world’s two largest economies may be on the horizon.
This renewed hope for a breakthrough in trade negotiations helped lift the US Dollar to a three-week high on Thursday, pressuring Gold prices down toward the $3,200 mark. However, bullish momentum for the USD remains tempered as markets increasingly price in the likelihood of more aggressive rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, especially with the closely watched US Nonfarm Payrolls data looming.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
NF news volatility is certain, with the big accumulation from last week. Gold price has confirmed the trend after breaking 3267, will fluctuate in a downtrend below 3200
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3312- 3310 SL 3317
TP1: $3290
TP2: $3280
TP3: $3270
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3175 - $3177 SL $3170
TP1: $3185
TP2: $3200
TP3: $3210
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold Trade Plan 25/04/2025Dear Traders,
There is no strong bullish momentum observed in gold, and it seems to be moving within a descending channel. Meanwhile, the dollar index has entered a reversal phase. I expect the price to drop into the 3220–3230 zone to gather momentum, A new update will be shared soon.
If you enjoyed this forecast, please show your support with a like and comment. Your feedback is what drives me to keep creating valuable content."
Regards,
Alireza