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GOLD TRADING POINT UPDATE > READ THE CHAPTIAN Buddy'S dear friend 👋 SMC Trading Signals Update 🗾🗺 Gold Traders SMC-Trading Point update you on New technical analysis setup for Gold 🪙 💥 Gold Traders Gold 4 Time Frame. Tast diamond zone support level. Close above EMA ) indicator. ) SMC Trading point expect it. Bull 🐂 trend 📈 supply zone 2920 2930. This levels. Expect it selling Arya ) Key Resistance level 2920 + 2930 Key Support level 2852 - 2834 Mr SMC Trading point Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
2025.02.24 GOLD WEEKLY OUTLOOKHello traders, Gold is currently in a very extreme market situation. One can imagine the development process of a black swan event as follows: - **Liquidity Tightening** → Institutions sell paper gold - **Physical Hoarding Wave** → Bank vaults are overflowing - **Futures Delivery Obstacles** → COMEX premiums rise - **Increased Risk Aversion** → Physical gold bars are out of stock - **Final Outcome**: Paper gold prices drop + physical gold premiums continue to rise! Currently, there are three major challenges looming over gold prices, facing a critical decision. **1. Dual Impact of Global Liquidity Tightening** The tsunami of U.S. debt is coming: Starting last Thursday, the U.S. is issuing $183 billion in ten-year treasuries all at once, equivalent to draining a large reservoir from the market. Banks and institutions must free up huge cash amounts to buy bonds, directly leading to less liquidity in the market. It's worth noting that at this time last year, the weekly bond issuance was around $50 billion; now it has tripled, and bond yields are likely to be pushed above 4.4%. On the other hand, there's a massive withdrawal of Japanese funds: After the USD/JPY fell below the psychological barrier of 150, it triggered a chain reaction. Over the past three months, arbitrage trades borrowing yen to buy U.S. treasuries now need to close positions worth 1.2 trillion yen (approximately $8 billion) daily. This capital is flowing back to Japan, which is equivalent to the global market losing the liquidity support of a medium-sized central bank every day. **2. Historical Lessons: Insights from the Oil Futures Incident** Event Recap: On April 20, 2020, U.S. WTI crude oil futures unprecedentedly fell to -$37 per barrel. The Bank of China's "Crude Oil Treasure" product faced a loss of 9 billion yuan for 60,000 investors due to the inability to complete physical delivery. This disaster exposed the core contradiction: when paper trading encounters bottlenecks in physical delivery, futures prices may completely detach from reality. Current Reflections on the Gold Market: 1. **Underlying Rush for Physical Gold**: The U.S. imported 2,000 tons of gold in two months (40% of global annual production), but exchange inventories only increased by 674 tons, indicating a significant amount of gold is being hoarded directly. 2. **Paper Gold Bubble Risk**: Gold ETF holdings dropped by 5%, while open futures contracts increased by 23%, showing speculative funds are trying to profit in the derivatives market without actual holdings. 3. **Rehearsal of Delivery Crisis**: If a sudden large-scale delivery demand arises, COMEX might repeat the "negative oil price" moment—paper gold plummets, while physical gold premiums soar. **3. The Ghost of Inflation Returns** Two dangerous warning signals have lit up: The raw material payment price indices from the Philadelphia and New York Federal Reserves suddenly jumped to a two-year high. This leading indicator suggests that this month's PCE price index may remain stubbornly high. It's crucial to note that the data that Fed Chair Powell cares about most is this one; if it exceeds a month-over-month increase of 0.4% for three consecutive months, the hope for a rate cut in June will essentially vanish. The Fed's awkward position: Current interest rates are nearly 2 percentage points lower than the theoretical values calculated by traditional formulas. The market is beginning to bet that if inflation data continues to soar, the Fed may not only hesitate to cut rates but could even be forced to reconsider rate hikes before the end of the year. Wait for a 4-hour confirmation signal, and look for shorting opportunities in gold on the 1-hour chart. The shorting targets currently only consider the support levels at the bottom of the top consolidation, namely: TP1: 2906 TP2: 2880 GOOD LUCK! LESS IS MORE!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FUNTRADER-Vera
GOLD – Key Pivot Zone at 2,880! Breakout or Rejection?🔹 Market Overview GOLD is trading at a key pivot zone (2,880), attempting to establish its next trend. 🔼 Bullish Scenario: A 4H candle close above 2,880 could trigger a bullish continuation. If buyers step in, the targets will be 2,895 → 2,905. A strong breakout above 2,905 could extend gains toward 2,918+. 🔽 Bearish Scenario: If GOLD fails to hold above 2,880 and faces rejection, we may see a drop toward 2,866 and 2,859. A break below 2,859 could lead to a deeper decline, targeting 2,841. 📍 Key Levels to Watch: Pivot Line: 2,880 🔼 Resistance: 2,895 | 2,905 | 2,918 🔽 Support: 2,866 | 2,859 | 2,841 ⚡ Outlook & Trade Plan: As long as GOLD holds above 2,880, the bullish case remains valid. A 4H close above 2,880 strengthens the upside potential. A rejection from 2,880 could confirm downside momentum. ⏳ Wait for confirmation before entering trades!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SroshMayi
Gold price update: Sharp decline from all-time high!Dear friends! Global gold prices have fallen to their lowest level in over a week, driven by the strengthening U.S. dollar. Investors are closely watching key inflation data, which could provide important clues about the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy. Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar has risen by 0.2%, pushing the USD Index (.DXY) further away from its 11-week low. This appreciation makes gold more expensive for investors holding other currencies. On the other hand, U.S. President Donald Trump has raised hopes of a one-month delay in imposing higher tariffs on imports from Mexico and Canada, while also proposing a 25% tariff on European automobiles and goods. This uncertainty has driven investors toward the U.S. dollar, adding further pressure on gold prices, which were already facing profit-taking pressure after reaching record highs.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trader_LinaScalping
Continue to short gold after the reboundAfter sideways consolidation, gold chose to move downward again, and the current situation and direction are very clear. 2956 has basically been confirmed as the current stage high, so in the New York trading session, we only need to find the right time and point to short gold. However, although the decline of gold just now was strong, it still seemed a little hesitant when facing the low point last night. There is still a certain support in the intraday, and the gold price will more or less rebound. The resistance area above is the 2915-2925 zone, so I will short gold with the resistance of this area, and gold will definitely touch the 2880-2870 zone or even lower during this round of decline. Bros, profits are the ultimate goal in trading. Accumulating profits is what changes lives and destinies. Choosing wisely is far more important than just working hard. If you want to replicate trade signals and earn stable profits, or if you want to deeply learn the correct trading logic and techniques, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trader_Marvin
XAUUSD Still bearish on a Channel Down.Gold / XAUUSD entered a Channel Down on the 1hour timeframe forming today a Death Cross. This is the first 1hour Death Cross since December 16th when Gold was again inside a Channel Down. That Channel Down had symmetrical bearish waves of -3.00% each. We expect the current one to show the same attributes, thus the bearish wave that just started on the Death Cross should be -2.30%. Sell and target 2865. Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by TheCryptagon
GOLD → Volatile. Entering consolidation. What is next?OANDA:XAUUSD after a short-term uptrend, gold is now shifting into a consolidation phase, with speculative traders actively defending key risk zones. In this environment, what can we expect from the precious metal next? Uncertainty surrounding Trump’s tariff policies and weak U.S. economic data has driven investors back toward safe-haven assets. However, after reaching a record high of $2,956 on Tuesday, gold experienced a pullback due to profit-taking and a decline in Chinese imports. Despite this, weak U.S. consumer confidence data has helped support a partial recovery. While gold still holds bullish potential, its upside movement is being restrained by a stronger U.S. dollar and rising bond yields. However, trade war concerns continue to fuel demand for the metal. Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: 2,921 – 2,942 Support: 2,905 – 2,888 At this stage, the market is forming a sideways range, leading to two potential scenarios: A pullback to retest the 2,905 – 2,888 support zone before a potential rebound. A breakout above resistance, confirming a continuation of the bullish trend. If buyers can push gold into the 2,921 – 2,929 zone and maintain control above this level, the metal could regain upward momentum. Stay tuned and seize the best opportunities!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Bentradegold
GOLD → False breakdown before further declineOANDA:XAUUSD updating lows within the changing local trend structure. The price is currently testing the liquidity zone at 2852, with a potential rebound before further downside movement. Gold registered its lowest level in two weeks, dropping below $2,900 in Asia on Friday, breaking an eight-week bullish streak. The metal remains under pressure from the stronger U.S. dollar, influenced by Trump's tariff policies and U.S. economic conditions. Trump confirmed that tariffs on Canada and Mexico will take effect as scheduled on March 4 and also threatened to impose a 25% tariff on European Union imports, along with an additional 10% on Chinese goods. Additionally, weak U.S. GDP data (2.3% in Q4) and rising jobless claims have further supported the dollar. Traders are now awaiting the U.S. PCE Price Index to assess the Fed's interest rate outlook and its impact on gold. A false breakdown at 2852 could trigger a retracement toward the 0.618 Fibonacci imbalance zone at 2877 or the 0.5 level at 2885 before resuming the decline. Given both weak fundamental and technical conditions, gold may attempt to retest its recent lows. Best regards, Bentradegold!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Bentradegold
GOLD suffered a fierce sell-off, the US Dollar was strongerOANDA:XAUUSD Continuing to endure a fierce sell-off fueled by market profit-taking and a stronger US dollar, the US Dollar Index rose to a 10-day high on Friday of 107.66 amid concerns about US trade policy and data that raised fears of a recession. US President Trump confirmed 25% tariffs will be imposed on Mexican and Canadian products next week, March 4. This increases market uncertainty. Canadian Prime Minister Trudeau said Canada does not want to get into a trade war with the United States, but if the United States imposes tariffs on Canadian goods on March 4, Canada "will immediately have an extremely strong response." Bloomberg said currency traders bought the dollar after US President Trump confirmed he would impose 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico next week. On Friday, the Atlanta Federal Reserve's GDPNow model predicted that U.S. GDP growth in the first quarter of 2025 would be -1.5%, compared with a previous forecast of 2.3%. The US Dollar was boosted after the data was released due to concerns about an economic recession. OANDA:XAUUSD fell to lows in early New York trading on Friday as Wall Street's major indexes opened weak as investors remained cautious about the potential for price pressure from President Trump's policies. As US PCE inflation data was in line with expectations, the data suggested the Federal Reserve may be more cautious in cutting interest rates, which helped the dollar remain at a two-week high. The US core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index rose 0.3% month-on-month and 2.6% year-on-year in January, in line with expectations. The overall PCE price index in the United States increased 0.3% month-on-month and 2.5% year-over-year in January, also in line with expectations. However, “personally” believes that PCE data does not significantly change Fed price expectations, so it essentially has a small impact on gold prices. Spot gold prices fell 2.7% in the past trading week, the largest weekly decline since November last year. Next, the Non-Farm Payroll (NFP), (ADP) and Consumer Price Index (CPI) reports will become important market data. If inflation data rises too high, it could trigger a sharp sell-off in gold, and the opposite effect if slowing inflation data stimulates market bets on the Fed's ability to cut interest rates. Of course, further analysis of the above data will be sent to readers in daily publications. Economic data to watch next week Monday: Euro Flash CPI Estimates, US ISM Manufacturing PMI Wednesday: ADP jobs report; ISM US Services PMI Thursday: European Central Bank Monetary Policy Decision, US Weekly Jobless Claims Friday: US nonfarm payrolls. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD In addition, investors will also pay attention to the European Central Bank's (ECB) monetary policy decision, which could have an impact on gold prices next week. The ECB is expected to cut interest rates again next week, which could partially support the USD, thereby negatively impacting gold prices next week. With its current position, gold does not have enough conditions to continue falling in price as long as gold maintains price activity above 2,835 USD and Fibonacci retracement of 0.382%, along with the Relative Strength Index above 50. On the other hand, a confirmation signal for gold price to end the downward correction cycle is price activity returning to the price channel. However, traders also need to be careful as a new bearish cycle will open up once RSI goes below 50, the price chart is sold below 2,814 USD, so protective positions should be placed behind 2,814 USD. In the short term, gold is still in a downward correction cycle and the notable points will be listed as follows. As for "personally", I continue to defend the view that declines are only short-term corrections and not a sustainable trend, declines can also be considered an opportunity to buy. Support: 2,835 – 2,814USD Resistance: 2,868 – 2,900USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2896 - 2894⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2900 →Take Profit 1 2888 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2882 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2819 - 2821⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2815 →Take Profit 1 2827 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2833
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
1
XAUUSD Is RangeBound! What's Next?In this video, I revisit my earlier analysis of gold, and my perspective from back then remains unchanged. Gold is currently range-bound and struggling to break through its recent highs. In the video, we examine price action, market structure, the trend, and other key elements of technical analysis. Previously, gold was trending with significant momentum, but that momentum has since diminished. All of this is explained in detail in the video, which is not intended as financial advice.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSD
by fxtraderanthony
Gold XAUUSD H1 - MappingThe chart you've provided appears to be an analysis of the XAU/USD (gold) pair on the H1 timeframe, showing various technical indicators and Fibonacci retracements. Here's a quick breakdown of some key elements visible on the chart: Trendlines and Channels: There are multiple trendlines, including a descending orange trendline, indicating a bearish move. Price is currently interacting with this descending channel, and there’s a possibility of a breakout or continuation based on the interaction with the 0.5 Fibonacci level. Fibonacci Retracement Levels: Various Fibonacci levels are drawn on the chart (0.236, 0.382, 0.5, 0.618, etc.). Price seems to be currently near the 0.5 level, which could act as a support or resistance zone, depending on the next movement. Price Action: There is a visible potential reversal pattern (e.g., a series of peaks and troughs labeled "HH" and "HL"), which may indicate a trend continuation or reversal. Price appears to be breaking below the 0.5 Fibonacci level, which may suggest further downside movement. Moving Averages: There are moving averages present (like the 20-period EMA), which are used to determine the market’s short-term direction. Price is currently below the 20 EMA, indicating a potential bearish trend. Future Price Prediction: The chart predicts a potential drop to lower support levels, with the price possibly reaching 2,879.981 (near the 0.236 Fibonacci level). This analysis suggests that the market is likely in a short-term downtrend with the possibility of testing lower Fibonacci levels. Keep an eye on the 0.5 Fibonacci level for any signs of reversal or continuation of the bearish move.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by jaidenhirosi
Gold price analysis February 26⭐️Fundamental analysis Gold prices rose sharply in the middle of the week thanks to weak US economic data, causing the USD and bond yields to weaken. Concerns about tariffs with Canada, Mexico and the risk of a trade war helped gold maintain its upward momentum. However, gold prices may face difficulties as the USD recovered slightly after the US House of Representatives passed a budget plan, supporting Trump's tax policy. The US-China meeting on tariffs also restrained the increase, but risk aversion still boosted the demand for safe-haven gold. Investors also followed the speech of Fed officials for more signals about the market. ⭐️Technical analysis Gold prices unexpectedly increased in the Asian session with the force pushing back to the breakout zone of 2930. The price range of gold has been noted on the chart with the small range of 2892-2942 and the large range of 2868-2978. Gold closing below 2912 will signal a Downtrend and head towards the lower band. On the other hand, Gold's upward path faces more resistance around 2921 and 2930.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
1
XAUUSD: 25/2 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis Daily chart resistance 3000, support below 2892. Four-hour chart resistance 3000, support below 2921. Gold operation suggestions: Gold fell first and then rose yesterday, ushering in a strong bull bottoming out and breaking through the high. The US market accelerated to break through the 2956 mark and was suppressed and fell back. It quickly fell and once broke through the 2940 mark to reach around 2930, stabilized and rebounded, and finally returned to 2950 and closed. From the current 4-hour analysis, the support below continues to focus on the vicinity of 2921, and the short-term pressure above focuses on the 2950-55 line. Continue to sell high and buy low in this range, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market. Buy: 2930near. SL: 2925 Buy: 2921near. SL: 2915 Buy: 2892near. SL: 2888 Use small size, control risk
TVC:GOLDLong
by ActuaryJ