Gold Slides on Trade Deal Optimism – Key Support Levels to WatchFrom a monthly perspective, Gold’s broader trajectory appears to align with a classic cup and handle formation, targeting the $3,700 and $4,000 per ounce levels—supported by a clear hold above $3,500. However, given the steep momentum currently in play, significant headwinds are likely as the market consolidates.
These may serve to recharge monthly momentum that currently aligns with 2020 and 2008 highs before the broader uptrend resumes.
On the 4-hour chart, downside levels below 2390 are more clearly defined, with potential support around 2320, 3170, 3080, and 2960—and, in more extreme conditions, 2800.
Given the prevailing safe-haven demand, market uncertainty, and heightened speculation, these levels should be approached incrementally to manage risk and confirm the re-emergence of risk-on sentiment.
Written by Razan Hilal, CMT
USCGC trade ideas
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD Long 4/22/2025XAU/USD Long Setup – ABCD Correction into 15-Min Demand Zone
Looking to long gold after a textbook pullback off the recent impulse leg.
Structure:
We had a strong impulse move from $3,413 to $3,500, forming the high of the leg.
Correction:
Price has since retraced in a clean ABCD pattern, forming a 1:1 measured move — a proportional, orderly pullback.
Entry Zone:
The D-point of this correction aligns perfectly with a 15-minute demand zone, where price is now reacting.
Bias: Bullish continuation.
This structure suggests the correction is complete, and momentum is likely to resume to the upside.
Target: Looking for a full retest of the high at $3,500.
Simple and clean — structure-driven entry off confluence. Let’s see if gold wants to reload for another leg.
GOLD holds above 3,400, heading towards 3,500As the US Dollar OANDA:XAUUSD weakened and Sino-US trade tensions raised market concerns about the economic outlook, investor risk aversion increased, pushing gold prices to a record high, breaking through the $3,400/ounce mark and maintaining price action above this level, continuing to target a new all-time high of $3,500.
The US Dollar fell sharply during the day as US President Donald Trump made critical remarks about Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, further undermining market confidence in the US economy. A weaker US Dollar typically makes US Dollar-denominated gold more attractive to holders of other currencies.
On trade, China accused the United States of abusing the tariff tool and warned other countries not to reach broader economic and trade agreements with the United States at the expense of their own interests. Gold, long seen as a hedge against uncertainty and a highly liquid asset, has risen more than $700 since the start of 2025. Gold broke through $3,300 for the first time last Wednesday and the surge has pushed prices above $100 again in just a few days.
Trump is considering removing Fed Chairman Powell and has repeatedly called for interest rate cuts. Chicago Fed President Goolsbee has spoken out publicly against undermining the independence of the central bank.
Trump also made some shocking statements. Trump shared his thoughts on the negotiations on his social media platform Truth Social, saying, "The golden rule of negotiation and success: he who has the gold makes the rules," meaning he who has the gold rules.
This post about gold is quite interesting, considering the market volatility caused by Trump's previous comments on stocks on social media.
Trump also said, "Businessmen who criticize Tariffs are bad at business, but they are really bad at politics. They don't understand or realize that I am the best friend American Capitalism has ever had!"
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold continues to hold above the $3,400 base point and the 0.786% Fibonacci extension level, which is a positive factor for the gold price's bullish outlook. On the other hand, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is operating in the overbought zone but is not sending any signals indicating a possible downside correction, a sign indicating a possible downside correction is the RSI heading below 80.
In terms of current position, gold still has a bullish outlook in the short term with the price channel as the trend and maintaining activity above the 0.786% Fibonacci extension level provides conditions for gold to aim for a new bullish target at $3,482 in the short term, more than the raw price point of $3,500.
During the day, the short-term bullish outlook of gold will be focused again by the following positions.
Support: $3,420 – $3,400
Resistance: $3,482 – $3,500
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3517 - 3515⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3521
→Take Profit 1 3509
↨
→Take Profit 2 3503
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3448 - 3450⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3444
→Take Profit 1 3456
↨
→Take Profit 2 3462
4/25 Gold Trading StrategyYesterday’s long position strategy performed well—whether you closed your trades or continue to hold, the returns have been solid. Gold has now risen to the 3370 level, and technically, there's still room for further upside.
There is some selling pressure near 3370. If price breaks through decisively, we should watch for further resistance in the 3380–3400 zone. If bullish strength weakens, a pullback to 3368–3352 could occur.
If the market dips first, the 3345–3328 range is a key support area. A slow, corrective pullback to this zone could offer another buying opportunity. However, if the decline is sharp, we must monitor whether 3306–3288 can hold as a firm bottom.
From a trend perspective, I personally lean toward the possibility of gold pushing above 3400 today. Stay long-biased, but be flexible with high-level adjustments.
🔁Trading Recommendations:
Sell in the 3410–3440 range
Buy in the 3306–3288 range
Use 3380–3348 / 3328–3368 for flexible, intraday swing trades
GOLD Price Analysis: Key Insights for Next Week Trading DecisionLast week, Gold briefly hit an all‑time high of $3,357 before profit‑taking drove it back to around $3,320 zone📉
Ongoing uncertainty around US‑China trade relations and a weaker dollar drove traders into safe‑haven assets, supporting bullion bids despite the pullback.
Meanwhile, Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s hawkish speech on Wednesday capped the rally for now, though tariff risks and geopolitical tensions may continue to underpin Gold prices into the new week.
In this video, we:
🗺️ Break down the key chart levels
🔍 Highlight bullish vs. bearish setups
🚀🔻 Preview catalysts that could spark the next move
Disclaimer:
This is my personal take based on experience and what I see on the charts. It’s not financial advice—always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor before trading.
#GoldMarketAnalysis #Inflation #TradeTensions #GeopoliticalRisks #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
How is gold going? What to do now?After reaching the psychological high of $3500, it entered a correction phase, which was also affected by the slight easing of the US-China tariff conflict...
After failing to hit the 3250 area of concern, gold prices will be slightly stronger. Meanwhile, the market is looking forward to the US PMI data. Earlier, gold prices hit an all-time high of $3500, but fell back on hopes of a easing of the US-China trade war and the US Treasury Secretary's remarks about a possible "detente".
The dollar recovered in the correction, but investors doubted Trump's predictability and gold prices began to pull back at this time. The focus is on the S&P Global PMI index: the results of this index may affect expectations for the federal funds rate and bring a new direction to the market.
From a technical point of view, gold prices are in a correction and confirm the bearish structure. But any unexpected remarks from Trump may attract a lot of buying.
Quaid data analysis:
Upward resistance: 3340, 3360
Downward support: 3280, 3250
Quid believes that buying can be considered when retesting the support level or closing above 3370.
Traders, do you agree with Quaid's idea? Please leave your thoughts. I'll be happy that way.
Gold soaring on Fundamental pressure / Buy every dipTechnical analysis: Gold has gone into Asian session Buying rally continuation and having been slightly disconnected on it’s Technical background and especially correlation with DX, Bond Yields are Trading near local High’s (Bullish Gap fill) which is a mix which pushed Gold north aggressively and invalidated Selling potential prior every local High's. Sellers once again underestimated the Bullish potential of the recent Buying leg as Gold’s Price-action is isolated within healthy Ascending Channel on most of the charts. As long as aggressive Volatility lasts, and the probability of doing so is High as April is projected to be Bearish Month regarding DX, Gold will represent decent Short and Medium-term Buying option. If by some intervention DX start trending upwards (so far struggling to make Bullish comeback and finding meaningful Support or in general more stable Support zone), uptrend on Gold will be stalled but for now #3,500.80 benchmark is and should probably be next Gold’s most viable Target if DX don't deliver new full bodied positive candle. Daily chart’s curve for now holds Buying bias and usually this Technical setup points to new Bullish break-out.
My position: I have expected Gold to form a Top near #3,392.80 - #3,400.80 however since Price-action invalidated my potential reversal zone and closed the market above #3,400.80 benchmark, I continue Buying Gold all the way with #3,500.80 benchmark as new potential Ultimate Top's zone. Keep in mind that as long as DX is Trading on disappointing numbers, Medium-term Selling reversal on Gold will be postponed.
Gold fluctuates upward, target 3400~3500Since the peak at 3500, the lowest price in the US market on Wednesday was 3260. It fell by 240 US dollars in two trading days this week. The momentum is very strong, but the big cycle of gold this year is still a bullish trend. Don't be affected by the adjustment of the small cycle. In the bullish rhythm, the adjustment is to give opportunities for long positions. Therefore, once the adjustment is over, you can start to go long and bullish.
From a technical point of view, the daily line stands firmly above the 10-day moving average, which is an important reason for the current bullishness of gold. For the time being, the daily mid-term Bollinger has not closed, and don't guess the top when it rises. The short-term target is 3400, and the long-term target is 3500. After the breakthrough, don't guess the highest point. The performance of the H4 mid-term is obvious. The bottom is above the lower Bollinger track and the 60-day moving average, and the Bollinger band just closes. This is a very obvious performance of stopping the decline and bottoming out!
If gold breaks through the 3370 line again, then gold will truly turn strong. Even so, it will fluctuate and rise, and we must wait patiently for the opportunity to continue to fall. The market changes rapidly, and the recent gold market is like this, with ups and downs, so don't be surprised.
Key points:
First support: 3332, second support: 3320, third support: 3300
First resistance: 3370, second resistance: 3386, third resistance: 3408
Operation ideas:
Short-term gold 3322-3325, stop loss 3313, target 3360-3380;
Short-term gold 3383-3386, stop loss 3395, target 3320-3330;
Gold short-term analysisSpot gold rebounded slightly in early Asian trading on Thursday and is currently trading around $3,329, supported by bargain hunting. Gold prices continued to fall from record highs on Wednesday, falling nearly 3%, hitting a low of $3,260.08 and closing at $3,288.18. Investors were relieved by hopes of easing trade tensions and President Trump's abandonment of his threat to fire the Fed chairman. The dollar rebounded against major currencies on Wednesday, with the dollar index rising 0.94% on Wednesday, recording two consecutive gains on the daily line, reaching a high of 99.94, a nearly one-week high, and closing at 99.90. Earlier, US President Trump said he did not intend to fire the Fed chairman and hinted at progress on tariffs. The dollar and US stocks rebounded, suppressing gold prices. After gold prices were blocked and fell back at the 3,500 mark, more short-term long profit-taking also dragged down gold prices.
From the daily level, gold rose strongly during Tuesday's session, hit the key price of 3,500, then fell back and finally closed down. This trend of rising and falling showed that the selling pressure from above was heavy, and the buying power encountered strong resistance from selling at high levels. Then, gold continued to fall on Wednesday and closed down again, forming a technical pattern of two consecutive declines. This continuous decline further confirmed that short-term bears are dominant.
Overall, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is mainly rebound short selling. The upper short-term focus is on the 3365-3370 line of resistance, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3305-3300 line of support
Interval buy: 3305-3303, LS:3293, TP: 3325-3335
Interval sell: 3360-3362, LS:3372, TP: 3340-3345
Key points:
First support: 3305, second support: 3300, third support: 3290
First resistance: 3360, second resistance: 3370, third resistance: 3375
HelenP. I Gold will continue to decline, breaking support levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. After an extended bullish phase that pushed the price higher within an upward channel, the market has started to show signs of weakness. Initially, gold moved steadily from the lower support zone, climbing through the channel and forming higher highs. Each pullback was supported by the rising trend line, reinforcing the bullish sentiment throughout the move. However, after reaching the peak near 3570, the price sharply reversed, breaking the trend line and shifting the overall structure. Sellers took control, leading to a breakdown below the channel, and now the price is consolidating near the 3260 - 3285 support zone. Recently, Gold tested the trend line from below but failed to reclaim it, which signals strong resistance overhead. Currently, gold is trading around 3319, just above the lower boundary of the broken channel and inside the support zone. I expect a small upward correction, breaking the trend line, and then followed by a continuation of the downward movement. So that's why I set goal is 3200 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
GOLD Expecting once Short Term Bearish Gold next setup trade wisely best of Luck.
Analysis from Mr Martin Date 25 April Friday 2025
Gold seeing a bearish pattern no need to move upside Gold is very weak Optimism about tariff cuts quickly faded after denials from the white house weak US business activity data is fuelling talk of fed Policy fed Policy technically Gold will push but no up more after again decline top downside.
Ps Support with like and comments for motivating to share more analysis with you Thanks investors.
Bearish drop?XAU/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 3,419.43
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 3,458.51
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 3,355.45
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 61.9% Fibonacci retracement.
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GOLD Technical Analysis! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
GOLD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 3457.8 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
My Stop Loss - 3449.8
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 3472.7
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
XAUUSD H4 | Bearish Drop in the short termBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is testing our sell entry at 3479, aligning with the 261.8% Fibo extension.
Our take profit will be at 3415.26 , a swing low support.
The stop loss will be placed at 3524.53.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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GOLD - $6,200+ BULL RUN?! (MONTHLY TF)I believe we’re in for another huge bull run towards Wave 5 ($6,200), after a Wave 4 correction towards $2,800. Waiting on a final move down to liquidate late buyers.
Confluences👇
⭕️Wave 3 Peaked at Psychological Number of $2,500 (LQ Point).
⭕️Wave 4 & 5 Pending.
⭕️Overbought Market Conditions.
GOLD at Major Supply – Is the Rally Losing Steam?Gold (XAU/USD) just tapped a strong supply zone at $3,375 and is starting to pull back.
Here’s what I’m looking at:
Rejection from supply zone = short bias
Clean breakout = potential retest & rally continuation
Key downside targets: $3,180 and $3,046 if sellers take control
This area has historical resistance + recent exhaustion signs.
Price is overextended — are bulls running out of gas?
Watch price action closely in this zone.
Chart powered by LuxAlgo + Supply & Demand Range
Would you go LONG or SHORT from here?
#SmartTrading #GoldMoves
#XAUUSD #gold #commodities #luxalgo #technicalanalysis #supplyanddemand #smartmoney #goldtrading #metals #forextrader #goldsetup #priceaction #swingtrading #scalpingstrategy
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
A PITASTIC day on the charts with our targets getting smashed, confirmed with ema5 cross and lock to give us plenty of time to get in for the action.
After support and bounce from 3201 Goldturn into 3230 we stated that we will now look for a break and lock above 3230 for a continuation into the Bullish targets above. We got the lock opening the levels above hitting our Bullish target at 3261, followed with a further cross and lock opening 3292, which was hit perfectly and then our final lock for today above 3292 opened 3324 now complete - what a day!!!!!
We will now look for a lock above 3324 for a continuation into our final target 3352 or a rejection here will see price test the Goldturn below for support and bounce.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3261 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3261 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3292 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3292 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3324 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3324 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3352
BEARISH TARGETS
3230 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3230 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3201 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3201 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
3179
3152
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3152 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3120
3094
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3094 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3069 - 3038
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX