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Gold Analysis | End of Bullish Trend or Start of Major CorrectioAfter completing five bullish waves based on Elliott Wave Theory, Gold is now at a major decision point! ✍️ This week’s outlook: Key Resistance: $3377 As long as this level holds, we expect a bearish C wave targeting $3166. Chart is ready; waiting for price action confirmation! Alternative Scenario: If resistance breaks, the corrective scenario will be invalidated. What’s your outlook on Gold? #TechnicalAnalysis #Gold #ElliottWave #TradingView #XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Elliottwaveofficial
Gold (XAU/USD) Potential Bearish Move Towards Key Support LevelGold (XAU/USD) is currently trading around the 3318.760 level on the 2-hour chart. The recent market structure shows clear weakness with the formation of lower highs and lower lows. If the price breaks below the key support levels at 3317.505 and 3231.027, further downside towards 3146.825, 3081.588, and eventually 3026.212 could be expected. This bearish scenario is supported by technical patterns and the ongoing downward momentum. The red lines and arrows on the chart indicate the possible bearish path, especially with upcoming major U.S. economic news releases, which could bring increased volatility. Key Support Levels: 3317.505 3231.027 3146.825 3081.588 3026.212 Key Resistance Level: 3445.704 Idea: As long as the price remains below 3445.704, the bearish bias will stay intact. If the price action moves as expected, sell setups could be prioritized upon confirmation.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Liam_JonesCryptoFXTrader
Gold price range oscillates (3260-3360)Gold price range oscillates (3260-3360) As shown in Figure 4h: Strong pressure zone: around 3360 Strong support: around 3260 Regional midline: ray 3 Regional support line: ray 2 Bull-bear watershed: 3330-3340 Next week, both long and short strategies have opportunities Short strategy: Continue to bearish gold price below 3340, short at high point, stop loss range: 3360-3370. The stop loss span is large, suitable for secondary entry short layout, be sure to control the order ratio. Long strategy: 1: Wait until the gold price falls to the 3360-3340 range to go long, stop loss 3340-3330 (this strategy requires patience to wait for the opportunity) 2: Wait until Line 3 stands above 3340, go long at the low gold price, stop loss 3330-3335. (This strategy also requires patience to wait for the opportunity) The last digression: Do you want to fight Trump? My answer is: I want to be Trump too
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Louisa00112
Gold Reaching Final Wave – Potential Reversal Ahead Description: Gold appears to be completing a five-wave Elliott structure with the current move approaching wave (v). The price has now entered a key Fibonacci resistance zone between $3,444 and $3,675, corresponding to the 0.586–0.618 levels. This area may act as a potential reversal zone, especially with confluence from previous highs and long-term trendlines. 📉 Correction Scenario: If a top forms here, we may see a multi-month correction targeting: TP1: $2,971 – $2,693 TP2: $2,200 – $2,000 (long-term support zone) ⚠️ Risk Note: This could be the final leg of the bull run. Risk-reward no longer favors aggressive long positions unless there's a confirmed breakout with high volume. 📌 Monitoring price action around this resistance will be crucial. A sharp rejection here may trigger the beginning of the next corrective phase. #Gold #XAUUSD #ElliottWave #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by CapitalinoTechnical
Gold (XAU/USD) – Bullish Momentum in Ascending ChannelGold is trading within a strong ascending channel on the 1H chart. Price has just bounced from the lower boundary and is holding above the buy entry level around $3,454. The structure suggests continuation toward the target zone at $3,570, supported by bullish price action and trend strength. Buy Entry: $3,454 Target: $3,540 Bias: Bullish Note : This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk. Support: Like & follow for more trade ideas!
VELOCITY:GOLDLong
by Mr_Kevin_Trading
1
Gold 2025: The Asset of Last Trust - Deep Research by EXCAVOThe Influences on Gold Prices in 2025 As of 2025, gold continues to assert its status as a safe-haven asset, with prices accelerating dramatically. This surge is driven by economic uncertainties, increased central bank demand, and geopolitical tensions. The analysis focuses on the multifaceted factors influencing gold prices, including inflation fears, a declining U.S. dollar, and recent debates surrounding Fort Knox's transparency. I've delved a bit into the gold landscape and will provide ideas here aimed at helping investors and analysts navigate the complexities of the gold market. The Current Economic Climate and Its Impact Recent developments in global economic conditions have laid the groundwork for significant fluctuations in gold prices in 2025. Economic volatility, primarily driven by fears of inflation and weakening currencies, has led investors and central banks to increasingly view gold as a reliable hedge against financial instability. The aftermath of trade disputes, particularly between major economic powers, has further intensified these economic shifts. Globally, economic growth forecasts for 2025 have been downgraded significantly. According to Fitch Ratings, the world economy is expected to grow by just 2.3%, down from previous estimates of 2.9%. This deceleration is attributed to extensive tariffs imposed by the United States, leading to broader global economic uncertainty. The United States itself is seeing a contraction in growth expectations, with projections cut to 1.7% amid these tensions. Inflation in the U.S., driven by increased tariff costs, is another immediate concern, marking a sustained presence at around 3% The U.S. dollar, although currently strong, is predicted to depreciate due to ongoing inflation and economic stagnation, despite current high real trade-weighted indices—the highest since the 1980s. This depreciation trend, anticipated by analysts, could significantly impact currency markets worldwide, putting pressure on countries with high dollar exposure S&P Global. In this environment of weakening currency strength and persistent inflation, gold serves as the optimal hedge. Although the role of gold isn't directly covered in some of the current economic reports, it remains a traditional safe haven during tumultuous times—a response to the depreciation of currency values and the pervasive fear of inflationary spirals that affect purchasing power and savings CFA Institute. The global shift away from excessive reliance on the dollar reflects a broader strategy by some nations to safeguard their economies against the capricities of prevailing geopolitical circumstances. This shift may lead to increased gold purchases by central banks, aiming to stabilize financial reserves in light of uncertain future economic policies. As inflation fears continue to wear on investor confidence, gold’s relative safety seems set to keep its allure in the modern financial landscape. Geopolitical Forces Shaping Gold Prices Geopolitical tensions in 2025 remain potent catalysts driving the dynamics of gold prices. As international relations remain strained, especially between leading economies, the markets have been exceptionally responsive to developments that unsettle the economic landscape. One critical component in this scenario is the burgeoning U.S.-China trade conflict, which saw tariffs climb to an unprecedented 145% and 125% respectively, spiking gold’s appeal as a safe asset against market turmoil. This extensive strain on trade and economic relations translates into significant instability across foreign exchange markets. A pronounced example is the substantial 8% decline in the Dollar Index, making gold an attractive alternative as its purchasing power for non-U.S. investors increases . The strategic shift by some nations away from the U.S. dollar is further evidenced by noteworthy purchases of gold by central banks as they seek to diversify their foreign exchange reserves . Furthermore, the geopolitical climate is marked by a flight to safety among investors, reflected in the significant inflow of gold-backed exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which absorbed 227 tonnes in Q1 of 2025 alone. This highlights how geopolitical strife propels gold as both a buffer against inflation and a refuge amidst escalating equity volatilities. Amidst these conditions, global policy adjustments also play a role. Central banks have been proactively increasing gold holdings, exemplifying a growing distrust of dollar-denominated assets. For instance, policy shifts seen with the Trump administration's enforcement of new tariffs further exacerbated market fears, as paralleled in previous periods like 2018-2020 where gold gained significant value amidst trade wars. As geopolitical uncertainty continues to prevail, the inherent security associated with gold, coupled with mounting inflationary pressures from such tensions, suggests that gold prices may well remain heavily influenced by these forces through 2025. Fort Knox: Transparency and Its Market Implications Fort Knox, a symbol of American financial might, famously houses a substantial portion of the United States' gold reserves. Recent calls for transparency have surged, fueled by high-profile figures such as Elon Musk and Donald Trump. This movement seeks to address long-standing skepticism surrounding the visibility and security of these reserves. Fort Knox's vaults hold approximately 147 million ounces of gold, valued at over $459 billion at today's market rates. The last independent audit of these reserves dates back several decades, to 1953, prompting increasing demands for accountability . Elon Musk has proposed a surprising move to audit these reserves, suggesting that the audit be livestreamed. This unprecedented proposal aims to provide public visibility into the wealth residing in the Fort Knox vaults, arguing that the American populace deserves to confirm its existence. However, despite its garnering attention, this idea encounters significant security and logistical obstacles. While the U.S. Treasury asserts that gold audits occur annually through internal procedures, skepticism remains due to the lack of external verification. Past visits, including former Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin's confirmation in 2017 that the reserves appeared intact, have not fully silenced doubts. Compounding this dialogue, another proposal involves employing blockchain technology to monitor the reserves. Proponents, like NYDIG's Greg Cipolaro, posit that blockchain could enhance audit transparency despite still necessitating trust in the overseeing government entities. The conversation surrounding Fort Knox's transparency underscores mounting tensions over governmental accountability in financial stewardship. If a comprehensive audit were confirmed, it could significantly bolster public confidence, contributing to more stable gold market conditions. Conversely, revealing discrepancies could heighten market volatility and public distrust. This transparency debate continues amid the broader conversation about economic policy and international financial stability. Gold Price Predictions for 2025 and Beyond Gold price predictions for 2025 highlight a growing consensus among major financial institutions that the precious metal is poised to reach new heights. With current prices hovering around $3,223 per ounce, the perspectives of Goldman Sachs, UBS, and the Bank of America offer crucial insights into the potential trajectories of gold's value. Goldman Sachs has led the charge in bullish projections, recently upgrading their gold price forecast to $3,700 per ounce by the end of 2025. This marks the third upward revision this year due to ongoing recession risks, central bank demand, and inflows into exchange-traded funds (ETFs). The bank envisions a potential rise to $4,500 should extreme economic scenarios unfold . Their analysis highlights a growing reliance on gold as a hedge against global macroeconomic uncertainties, including geopolitical tensions and inflationary pressures . UBS, another major player, shares this optimistic outlook by projecting gold to reach $3,500 in 2025. UBS's forecast aligns with several macroeconomic indicators, including persistent inflation and central bank demand, which remains robust as an average purchase exceeds previous years. Furthermore, UBS sees structural shifts, with entities such as Chinese insurance funds increasing their gold allocations. This shift underscores gold's strategic role as a portfolio stabilizer in uncertain economic landscapes. The Bank of America's approach reflects a slightly more conservative position, adjusting their gold price forecast for 2025 to $3,250 per ounce. However, they emphasize significant factors driving their projections, such as central bank accumulation and the political intricacies surrounding U.S. trade measures. The bank's analysis also anticipates gold stabilization in 2025 owing to potential profit-taking, but maintains the broader bullish trajectory through 2026 and beyond . Overall, these insights paint a vivid picture of an evolving gold market, shaped by multifaceted economic variables and featuring gold as a resilient asset and hedge amid swirling global uncertainties. Investment Strategies in Today's Gold Market Amidst the dynamic landscape of 2025, gold continues to offer opportunities for portfolio diversification, driven by economic uncertainty, inflationary pressures, and record-breaking prices. With the gold price surpassing $3,250 per ounce in April 2025, several factors contribute to the increased demand and strategic considerations for gold investment. Trade tensions and proposed tariffs under new U.S. policies have amplified global economic uncertainty, while persistent inflation, hovering at 2.8%, remains above the Federal Reserve's target, delaying expected interest rate cuts. Additionally, stock market volatility has prompted investors to seek diversification amidst equity downturns . Investment strategies in today's gold market require thoughtful portfolio allocation and diversification. Experts recommend limiting exposure to gold to 7–10% of total assets. This balance ensures investors benefit from gold's non-correlation with stocks and bonds without overexposure to risk . Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) like the SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) or Sprott Gold Miners ETF (SGDM) are favored for their liquidity and ability to provide broad exposure to the gold market . Tactical investment options also play a critical role in maximizing returns. Fractional gold investments allow access to smaller gold amounts, such as bars or coins under one ounce, making it easier to benefit from price trends without high entry costs . Gold mining stocks present opportunities for those targeting companies with strong margins, especially as costs are significantly below current market prices . Moreover, strategic fund selection can enhance a portfolio's potential. Funds like the WisdomTree Efficient Gold Plus Gold Miners Strategy Fund (GDMN), which combines physical gold and mining equities, offer a hybrid exposure to gold investments . The key to navigating 2025's gold market is a disciplined approach to allocation, awareness of market shifts, and strategic use of available investment options. By doing so, investors can hedge against inflation and capitalize on market volatility for potential long-term gains. Conclusions The year 2025 has exposed the fragility of the global financial system. Gold isn’t just a haven anymore — it’s a barometer of panic, fear, and institutional failure. When markets shake, inflation becomes chronic, and Fort Knox becomes a meme, gold rises — quietly but relentlessly. What we’re witnessing is an institutional drift away from the U.S. dollar. Central banks are hoarding metal like they're bracing for something big. The global economy is cracking under tariffs, geopolitical chess moves, and eroding trust in the "reserve currency." At this point, $3,250 per ounce isn’t the top — it’s just another step up the ladder. The key: gold is no longer just a defensive asset. It has become a strategic tool of sovereignty and power. Nations diversifying into gold are building economic independence. Investors stepping in now aren’t just protecting wealth—they’re gaining leverage. My advice: keep gold in focus. Physical bullion, ETFs, mining stocks, hybrid funds — each is a puzzle piece. Gold is not hype. It’s the anchor of reason in an era where digital noise drowns out reality. Watch zones: $3500 — then $3700+. If the global system wobbles harder, $4200 won’t be a forecast — it will be the signal that the fiat era is capitulating. He who controls gold, controls trust. And he who controls trust… writes the script for the future. Best regards EXCAVO — EXCAVO
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EXCAVO
5
Gold accurate top judgment and high efficiency one-way follow-upGold, the general trend is as described in yesterday's analysis. The market is currently in an irrational upward cycle dominated by risk aversion. Although there is no reversal signal in the daily chart structure, the price is running on the upper Bollinger track of the daily, weekly and monthly charts at the same time. The attached indicator is overbought, and we need to be alert to the risk of selling at high levels; on Tuesday, the white plate hit 3500 and then fell back. The 4H chart recorded the first entity engulfing and continuous negative in the past two weeks. The market outlook is actively bearish, and the initial target looks back at 3400; violent selling, a sharp drop to 3314, the idea is verified; The daily chart transcribes a long upper shadow and a big negative, visible It is a signal of stagflation, so just follow the trend today; short-term resistance during the white session is 3350-3358, strong resistance gap 3366-3372 and 3314-3500 connecting 38.2% node 3384; short-term support 3330-3320, strong support 3314, break down to 3284; Strategy 1: Sell near 3358, protect 3368, target 3314; hold after break; Strategy 2: Sell near 3384, protect 3394, target 3314; hold after break;
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MariaLee66
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, A PITASTIC day on the charts with our targets getting smashed, confirmed with ema5 cross and lock to give us plenty of time to get in for the action. After support and bounce from 3201 Goldturn into 3230 we stated that we will now look for a break and lock above 3230 for a continuation into the Bullish targets above. We got the lock opening the levels above hitting our Bullish target at 3261, followed with a further cross and lock opening 3292, which was hit perfectly and then our final lock for today above 3292 opened 3324 now complete - what a day!!!!! We will now look for a lock above 3324 for a continuation into our final target 3352 or a rejection here will see price test the Goldturn below for support and bounce. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 3261 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3261 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3292 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3292 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3324 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3324 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3352 BEARISH TARGETS 3230 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3230 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3201 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3201 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE 3179 3152 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3152 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 3120 3094 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3094 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE SECONDARY SWING RANGE 3069 - 3038 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
13
Gold price breaks down: Will gold price continue to rise?At the short-term 4-hour level, the intraday rebound was under pressure from the middle track downward. At present, the K-line has returned to run below the moving average. The short-term trend is bearish. The market may further test the support near the lower track 3240. The short-term upper pressure focuses on the pressure near 3315, which is near the ma5 moving average. Above it is the pressure near the middle track that has moved down to 3338. Relying on these two suppressions tonight, there is still room for further decline, pointing to the previous day's low of 3260. If it continues to break through here, then the first attempt at bottom speculation may be close.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by FeiKekings
Gold Ideas 1H Market Analysis - Easter Monday 21st of April✅ XAUUSD – 1H Market Analysis (April 21, 2025 – NY Open Prep) 🕊️ Market Reminder: It’s Easter Monday, and London + German markets are closed, so price may behave oddly due to lower European liquidity. NY might be more manipulative — expect traps, not clean momentum. 🧠 Current Market Context Price is holding firm at new ATH: 3397 We’ve entered the "danger zone" — structure is still bullish but we’re deep in premium No bearish CHoCH on 1H — but momentum is slowing down visibly Clean higher lows since April 17 low (around 3284), all protected so far 🔺 Zones ABOVE Price (Premium Trap Zones) 🔺 Zone Range Notes 🟥 Premium Liquidity 3405–3414 Prior ATH + fib extension + ADR high – ideal NY fakeout zone 🔻 Spike Risk Zone 3425–3445 Overextended 1.272–1.414 fibs – only in case of news/fake rally ⚠️ Exhaustion Layer 3455–3470 Extension of fib projection (1.618 zone) – major trap risk if touched 🟢 Zones BELOW Price (Discount Value Areas) 🟢 Zone Range Notes 💧 Minor Imbalance 3373–3380 Quick scalp retrace area – only valid on clean rejection wick or M5 OB ⚙️ Intraday Balance 3350–3360 Great sniper re-entry zone – clean imbalance + OB overlap – 💥 HOT ZONE 🟩 Demand Base 3325–3305 Deep value OB + macro continuation zone – long setup if we fully retrace 🧱 Institutional Support 3284–3288 Clean CHoCH origin – trend-defining demand, invalidation if broken 📍 Structure Summary 1H still bullish, no bearish BOS ADR is almost maxed out, so NY might trap above 3400 and then sweep lower No fair retrace since 3360 breakout — buyers are sitting below, not above Major liquidity pools now exist both above 3410 and below 3350 🔥 Bias: Cautiously bullish, but we’re due for a shakeout. 🔻 If NY pumps into 3410–3425 and fails → fade it. 🟢 If price returns to 3350–3360 → sniper buy zone. 📉 No blind trades today. Let price trap first. 📌 Important Notice!!! The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by GoldMindsFX