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#XAUUSD: 676+ Pips Since Our Last Entry! Comment Your Views! As we explained in our previous chart, the price will retouch 3270$ and then continue the bullish movement. The price did exactly that, with a 674+ increase from our last idea. It’s now on the way towards $3500 or beyond. Get ready for a big move on gold this week, but be extra cautious as the price can be volatile. Good luck and trade safely! Thank you for your unwavering support! 😊 If you’d like to contribute, here are a few ways you can help us: - Like our ideas - Comment on our ideas - Share our ideas Team Setupsfx_ ❤️🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Setupsfx_
4
Will the price of gold continue to rise?The pressure position on the 44-hour chart is around 3270-3280, which becomes an important dividing point for intraday short-term trading. In the intraday trading, we focus on the 3200-line long-short watershed. Before gold falls further and breaks through, gold will maintain a bullish trend. In the intraday trading, we focus on the recent starting point of 3222 support. If gold wants to move steadily upward, it will not fall below 3222 in the day. In the short term, we refer to the points above 3222 to arrange long positions! Gold operation strategy: Gold falls back to 3230-3232, stop loss at 3220, target 3260-3270; it is recommended to go short when it touches 3270-3268, stop loss at 3280, target 3240-3230;
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by BlairClara
Bullish Breakout Defies Trade Uncertainty and Global TensionsOANDA:XAUUSD Gold remains firm near $3,333, holding a bullish structure after a breakout above multi-year resistance. While short-term pullbacks persist, geopolitical tensions and a Fed pause continue to support safe-haven demand. Trump's refusal to ease China tariffs dampens trade optimism, further boosting gold's appeal. Key support lies around $3,333 and $3.273. Resistance : $3,414 , $3,474 Support : $3,333 , $ 3,273
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by ATFX_Global
XAUUSD Today's Trend Analysis SignalGold has recently broken out of a falling wedge pattern, which is a classic bullish reversal signal, which is also confirmed by a clear bullish divergence near $3,200. After hitting the target level of the falling wedge pattern, the price rebounded sharply and is now forming an ascending channel. Currently, the price is approaching a key resistance level near $3,280-3,290. If the bulls succeed in breaking through this level, we may see the price rebound to the next major resistance level of $3,320 and above. Confirmation of Falling Wedge Breakout Bullish divergence near the bottom indicates a shift in momentum Price follows an ascending channel structure Bullish Target: $3,290-3,320 Bearish Target and Long Entry Point: $3,240 Area Outlook: The bullish bias remains valid as long as the price is above the $3,240-3,250 support level. Watch for the price to break through the resistance level to continue further upward momentum.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by FeiKekings
1
Has Gold's Rally Ended?In 2025, gold experienced an unprecedented surge, marking its best quarterly performance in history with gains exceeding 17% in Q1. The second quarter of 2025 began with further gains, reaching a new all-time high at $3,500.110 per ounce. Several economic and political factors contributed to the rise in global demand for gold as a safe haven asset amid fears of a potential economic recession, inflation, and a looming trade war. The recent pullback in gold prices has been somewhat driven by optimistic expectations regarding U.S.-China negotiations and the U.S. president's decision to reduce some tariffs, including those on automobiles. Technical Outlook for Gold: The latest declines in gold prices have brought some bearish signals, suggesting a shift from an uptrend to a downtrend. After rising approximately 14%, gold pulled back and broke below its most recent higher low, closing a daily candle below the $3,260.65 level, an indication of a potential trend reversal from bullish to bearish. However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has not yet broken below the 50 mark, despite the recent price drop, which maintains the possibility for a rebound and suggests that the market hasn't entered full bearish momentum. The $3,436.042 level serves as a key resistance area where selling pressure may emerge, potentially pushing prices down to target $3,265.100 as the first support level. On the other hand, if the price breaks above $3,500.110 and posts a daily close above it, the bearish scenario would be invalidated. From a fundamental perspective, gold’s continued decline is closely tied to developments in U.S.-China trade talks. Any positive signs of reaching an agreement or further tariff reductions could weigh negatively on gold prices.
CFI:XAUUSD
by CFI
1
GOLD FOMC Interest Rate Decision (May 7, 2025) The Federal Reserve held rates steady at 4.25%–4.50%, maintaining its stance since December 2024. The decision reflects heightened uncertainty from escalating U.S.-China trade tensions and mixed economic signals, including stagflation risks (rising unemployment and inflation). Chair Jerome Powell emphasized vigilance toward trade policy impacts but avoided signaling imminent rate cuts, despite market expectations for easing later in 2025. Geopolitical Conflicts Affecting Gold Prices U.S.-China Trade War Escalation New tariffs and retaliatory measures have intensified safe-haven demand for gold. Prices hit record highs in April 2025 (NT$3,518/gram in Taiwan) as investors sought protection from market volatility. Renewed trade talks (e.g., U.S.-China meetings in Switzerland) caused a brief 1.3% gold price dip on optimism, but analysts project prices to rebound to $3,500–$4,000/oz by late 2025 amid unresolved tensions. Central Bank Gold Accumulation Central banks, led by China and Russia, are aggressively stockpiling gold to diversify from USD assets and hedge against sanctions. Prolonged military tensions continue to drive gold’s role as a crisis hedge. Escalation could push prices higher, while de-escalation might temporarily reduce demand. Middle East Instability Conflicts between Iran and Saudi Arabia disrupt global supply chains and energy markets, amplifying gold’s appeal as a safe haven during periods of heightened risk. Dollar Weakness and Inflation Risks A declining U.S. Dollar Index (-0.3% on May 7) and tariff-driven inflation fears have bolstered gold’s attractiveness. The Fed’s cautious stance on rate cuts reinforces gold’s appeal in a negative real yield environment. Gold Price Outlook Short-term: Prices may face volatility from trade talk progress or Fed policy shifts but remain supported by geopolitical risks and central bank buying. Long-term: Analysts (e.g., UBS, Bank of America) forecast gold reaching $3,500–$4,000/oz in 2025 due to structural demand, tariff impacts, and unresolved global conflicts. In summary, gold’s trajectory hinges on geopolitical stability, central bank actions, and Fed policy, with bullish momentum likely to persist amid fragmented global trade and economic uncertainty.
VANTAGE:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
Gold update Chart Analysis Trend: The market is currently in an uptrend with a pullback happening within a bullish flag or channel. Current Price: Around 3,390.13 Support Zone: Near 3,322.725 Potential Entry: At or just below the current price level after a small dip (as shown by the blue arrow). Bullish Bias: Based on the continuation pattern and price respecting the upward trendline. 📈 Trade Setup (Buy Position) Entry: Around 3,390 Stop Loss (SL): Below the recent swing low or channel support → around 3,361 Take Profit (TP): Targeting the projected measured move → around 3,450 - 3,460 This setup gives a decent Risk:Reward ratio, approximately 1:2 or better, depending on the exact entry. 🔁 Summary Entry: 3,390 SL: 3,361 TP: 3,450 to 3,460 Bias: Bullish continuation after a healthy pullback
TVC:GOLD
by YUKIOTRADER90
Final Leg of Wave 4 Before Wave 5 RallyGold (XAUUSD) is forming a textbook impulsive Elliott Wave structure on the 1-hour chart. Wave 3 peaked around 3,131 USD, followed by a corrective Wave 4 currently in progress. Substructure shows wave (iii) ending at 3,150.57 and an expected wave (iv) bounce capped near 3,228–3,198 USD, followed by a final dip. The projected Wave 4 termination zone lies within the confluence of: A key demand area: 3,110–3,000 USD Rising channel support 1.618 Fib extension of Wave A ≈ 2,982.93 USD A bullish breakout from this zone would mark the beginning of Wave 5, aiming for new highs above 3,360+ USD. 📉 Short-term Bias: Expect one more drop to complete Wave 4 within the gray demand zone. 📈 Medium-term Outlook: Anticipating a strong Wave 5 rally once support holds and price breaks the descending resistance trendline. 🔻 Invalidation: A break below 2,982 USD would invalidate this count and suggest deeper correction. #XAUUSD #Gold #ElliottWave #Wave4 #Wave5 #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingStrategy #Forex #ICMarkets #PriceAction #1HourChart #FibLevels #BullishOutlook
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by eL-Professor
Is the rise in gold a rebound or a restart of the upward trend?News Interpretation: US President Trump announced on Sunday that he plans to impose a 100% tariff on films produced overseas, marking the first time that his restrictive trade policy on US imports has been extended to the entertainment industry. This has once again ignited investors' concerns about the potential consequences of a global trade war. On Monday, local time, Trump signed an order on biomedical research, hoping to take the opportunity to promote the US pharmaceutical manufacturing industry. Trump also announced that tariff measures on pharmaceutical products will be announced in the next two weeks. Gold is often seen as a safe haven tool in uncertainty and performs well in a low interest rate environment. Gold prices have soared 26.3% so far this year and have set new historical highs many times. Gold trend analysis: Gold rose strongly yesterday, and the Asian session pulled up slightly and then fluctuated slowly upward. The European session gold price broke through the support and suppression conversion position we analyzed, and broke through the two key defense positions of 3300 and 3330 in succession. Today, the gold price opened with a single positive rise to around 3385 and was blocked. It is currently falling back at a high level. As of the time of posting, the price is around 3366. Our original idea was to focus on the support near 3162, the 618 position, of the last upward correction of gold prices before 3500. However, the rally on Monday broke through our defense level and our bearish view failed. Now that gold prices have returned to an upward trend, the structure needs to be re-analyzed. In general, the gold price has risen in the past two days, and our spot market has maintained a steady rhythm. 3386 is a short-term suppression level. If it breaks below 3350 in the Asian session, the steady idea is to wait for a rebound and then short to see the downward trend. Focus on the support of 3272 below.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MariaLee66
Gold 4H Outlook - XAUUSD May 4th🔍 XAUUSD – H4 Outlook (May 4, 2025) Trend: 🔻 Bearish structure still intact after the lower high at 3533 (ATH) and CHoCH at 3420. 🔹 Price is now ranging below lower high, with weak demand attempts from 3200–3240 zone. 🔸 Order flow bearish unless major BOS above 3320. 🗝 Key H4 Levels & Confluences 🔵 3195–3220 → H4 Demand + EQ + FVG 🧲 Last strong reaction zone pre-rally 🔁 Untapped OB + minor gap 🔄 EMA21 dynamic support below it 🟣 FIBO 61.8% of swing leg (April move) 🔵 3280–3295 → H4 POI (Supply Flip Zone) 📉 Reaction to this zone previously rejected bullish continuation 🧱 Confluence with 4H OB + minor FVG + EQ ⚠ If broken → clean magnet toward 3320 🔺 3315–3325 → Major LH Zone + Liquidity Magnet 💧 Internal liquidity build-up 🟤 If flipped → could induce bullish CHoCH on HTF 🚨 Final decision zone before possible premium push 🔻 3050–3075 → Weekly OB + H4 FVG ⛔ Major HTF demand below current price 🔄 EMA100 crossover area 🧲 Long-term buy interest if macro risk spikes ⚠ Summary: Gold remains in a bearish HTF context, but is holding at key demand near 3220. Rejection from 3280–3295 could reinforce bearish continuation. Break above 3325 flips structure bullish — until then, sellers still in control. 🙏 Like this breakdown? Boost and follow us for sniper setups all week. 📌 Important Notice!!! The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action. #XAUUSD #GoldOutlook #SMC #LiquidityHunt #SmartMoneyFlow
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by GoldMindsFX
GOLD The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has resumed buying and strengthened recently due to several key factors: Widening Interest Rate Differential and Economic Outperformance The U.S. economy is growing faster than many other major economies, projected at around 2.7% in 2025, while Europe and Japan face weaker growth and deeper rate cuts by their central banks. This growth divergence has widened the gap between U.S. 10-year Treasury yields and those of key trading partners to the highest level since 1994, making the dollar more attractive to investors seeking yield. Delayed Fed Rate Cuts Due to Tariff-Driven Inflation U.S. tariffs, especially on Chinese goods, are expected to keep inflation elevated, delaying the Federal Reserve’s rate-cut cycle. Higher U.S. interest rates relative to other countries support dollar strength. The Fed’s cautious stance after the May 7 meeting, holding rates steady and signaling a wait-and-see approach, reinforces the dollar’s yield advantage. Safe-Haven Demand Amid Geopolitical and Trade Uncertainty Ongoing geopolitical tensions, trade war fears, and tariff uncertainties drive investors toward the dollar as a safe haven during periods of global uncertainty. Positive Carry Trades and Positioning The dollar benefits from carry trades where investors borrow in lower-yielding currencies (yen, euro) to invest in higher-yielding U.S. assets. Long-dollar positioning is not yet saturated, leaving room for further gains. Technical Support and Market Sentiment The DXY has found strong technical support near key levels with bullish price action and momentum building, suggesting continued upside potential in the near term. Summary Table Widened interest rate differential Higher U.S. yields draw investors Tariff-driven inflation delays Fed cuts Sustains dollar yield advantage Safe-haven demand amid uncertainty Boosts dollar as global risk-off asset Positive carry trades Encourages long-dollar positioning Technical support near key levels Reinforces bullish momentum In essence: The DXY’s resumed buying reflects a combination of strong U.S. economic fundamentals, delayed Fed easing due to tariff inflation, safe-haven flows amid geopolitical risks, and technical factors supporting the dollar’s near-term rally. This momentum is expected to continue into mid-2025 unless global growth stabilizes or the Fed signals more aggressive easing.
VANTAGE:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
XAUUSDThis 4-hour chart of Gold Spot / USD (XAU/USD) presents a bearish outlook based on the following technical analysis: Key Highlights: EMA Indicators: EMA(9) is shown in blue and EMA(21) in orange. Price is trading below both EMAs, suggesting bearish momentum. Trendline & Price Action: A descending trendline is respected with multiple rejections. Price failed to break above this trendline, signaling continued downward pressure. Fibonacci Retracements: Key fib levels from the previous swing high to low: 0.382 at ~$3,271.91 0.5 at ~$3,260.83 0.618 at ~$3,250.13 Price is hovering between 0.5 and 0.618 retracement levels, which often act as reversal zones. Support & Resistance Zones: Daily Resistance: Around $3,290.20 Daily Support: Around $3,222.94 Multiple lower demand zones are marked: $3,201.96 (minor) $3,124.01 (1.618 fib extension) $2,997.87 (2.618 fib extension) $2,969.96 (major daily demand) Projected Move: The blue arrows suggest a break below $3,201.96 could lead to a drop toward: $3,124.01 (1.618 extension), then A potential pullback before resuming bearish trend Ultimately targeting ~$2,997.87 and $2,969.96 (major demand) Summary: The chart suggests a short bias unless price breaks convincingly above $3,271–$3,290. The next bearish targets are $3,124 and $2,997, supported by the trendline, EMA resistance, and fib extensions.
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by Dailypaperfx888
Gold Updates before NY - XAUUSD Tuesday May 6, 2025GOLDMINDSFX | XAUUSD 1H Updated Probable set-ups Current Price: 3379 | 6 May 2025 Gold plays games. We play levels. HIGH-PROBABILITY SELL REACTION ZONES (listed lowest to highest) 🔴 3382–3387 ⚠️ Trigger: 5M CHoCH + M-pattern Note: This is a liquidity tap zone where price may react sharply. Quick reaction expected — not a trend changer. Confidence: ⚠️ Short-term scalp opportunity with structure rejection 🔴 3404–3410 Trigger: LTF rejection + BOS Note: Classic reversal zone after sweeping major liquidity. If we reject here, this may offer the best structured sell of the day. Confidence: Strong structure-based sell zone 🔴 3425–3432 ❄️ Trigger: 1M CHoCH or sweep + engulfing Note: Final institutional sweep zone above the visible range. If price pushes here without rejection, we wait. If it rejects, this is the sniper zone. Confidence: ❄️ High-risk, high-reward level — confirmation mandatory HIGH-PROBABILITY BUY REACTION ZONES (listed lowest to highest) 🟢 3303–3310 Trigger: 5M CHoCH + rejection wick Note: Clean origin of bullish structure with unmitigated demand. If price returns, this may offer a strong long with confluence. Confidence: Solid demand zone aligned with structure 🟢 3333–3340 ⚠️ Trigger: 1M CHoCH + wick rejection Note: Riskier buy zone near premium — only valid with strong confirmation. Can become liquidity before deeper drop. Confidence: ⚠️ Caution advised — use only with clear LTF reversal signs FINAL STRATEGY Sell interest builds heavily between 3382–3432 — structured reactions expected at key levels Buy interest valid only below 3340 — anything higher is impulsive No confirmation = no entry — we trade structure, not feelings 📌 Important Notice!!! The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by GoldMindsFX
Gold Breaks Wedge, 3270–3280 Now Key Pivot for RecoveryGold's recent retreat has slowed, forming a descending wedge pattern that has now been broken. This is a constructive setup for a potential upward reaction after falling $300 from the $3,500 high. The 3,270–3,280 zone is now the short-term pivot point. If this level breaks as well, the upward move may finally begin. Potential targets include the 38.2% retracement level at 3,316 and the main resistance zone at 3,355–3,370.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ftdsystem
There is too much news supporting the increase in gold prices.🔔🔔🔔 Gold news: ➡️ Gold prices extended their rebound for a second straight day on Tuesday, driven by seemingly unstoppable buying interest amid growing pessimism surrounding the U.S. dollar and escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. ➡️ Despite renewed optimism that the United States may reach trade agreements with some partners this week, President Donald Trump's unpredictable trade policies continue to create market uncertainty, supporting gold's recovery after previous losses. Personal opinion: ➡️ Trade and geopolitical headlines dominate, and speculation of interest rate cuts ahead of the Fed meeting and comments from Chairman Jerome Powell. There is too much news to support gold's bullish momentum at this time. ➡️Analysis based on important support and resistance levels and Fibonacci combined with trend lines to come up with a suitable strategy Plan: 🔆Price Zone Setup: 👉Buy Gold 3221- 3223 ❌SL: 3217 | ✅TP: 3227 - 3332 – 3337 👉Sell Gold 3402 - 3404 (Scalping) ❌SL: 3408 | ✅TP: 3298 - 3294 – 3290 👉Sell Gold 3417- 3420 ❌SL: 3424 | ✅TP: 3414 - 3410 – 3405 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FM-ForexMastermind
1