Gold vs Stock Markets.Gold vs Stock Markets.
The 31 quarter moving average has contained the price action (identify long term trend) in a meaningful way since 1971.
It's objective and unbiased.
Not sure why some would get upset at that.
USCGC trade ideas
XAUUSD Analysis
1. Key Levels & Structure
• Resistance Turned Support: The price has broken above a strong resistance level (marked by the thick red line).
• Possible Retest Zone: A pullback (retest) to the breakout zone is indicated, which could confirm support before moving higher.
• Major Support Area Below: The lower red box marks a previous demand zone, meaning price might fall back to this area if the retest fails.
2. Market Trend
• Uptrend Confirmation: Price has been making higher highs and higher lows, confirming an uptrend.
• Breakout & Retest Pattern: The chart suggests a possible retest of the breakout area before continuing upwards.
3. Entry & Exit Strategy
• Entry Point: The ideal buy zone is near the small pink box (retest area).
• Stop Loss: Below the lower red support zone, in case the retest fails and price drops.
• Take Profit: The green box above shows the expected bullish target if the retest holds.
4. Confirmation Signals
• Watch for Bullish Candlestick Reversal (such as a bullish engulfing or pin bar) near the retest zone before entering a trade.
• Volume Increase on Breakout would confirm strength in the uptrend.
Overall Outlook
• Bullish Bias: If the price successfully retests and bounces, it may continue rising.
• Bearish Risk: If the support fails, the price could drop back to the lower support zone.
#GOLD #IDEA#GOLD #IDEA GOLD On H1 show Big BUY Set-Up so we will wait on M5 show Buy Model for Buying entry take care Guy wait for buy on M5
Gold 100% Trading SignalsGold opened on Monday with a rebound range fluctuation. At present, it has reached the highest point of 3032 and then retreated under pressure. The lowest point reached 3014. Our article also gave the upper 3030-35 line as the main suppression range fluctuation. We will continue to pay attention to the range fluctuation. The operation is still mainly to do more on the retracement. If it continues to strengthen and break through, the subsequent decline may just be a correction of the bulls. The short-term suppression point above gold will be maintained at the 3035 line. As long as the correction does not break the low point near 3000 last Friday, we will continue to look for more opportunities on the retracement.
From the current 4-hour analysis, the upper short-term resistance is still focused on 3035, the lower short-term support is focused on 3015-20, and the focus is on the support near 3000-3005. The overall main tone of low-multiple participation remains unchanged. For the middle position, watch more and do less, and be cautious in chasing orders.
Gold operation strategy:
1. Buy when gold falls back to 3015-3020, add more when it falls back to 3000-05, stop loss at 2995, target at 3035-3040, continue to hold if it breaks
XAUUSD technical analysis.XAUUSD technical analysis next move possible at h1 time frame.not financial advise.
Gold 1h Potential H&SGold (XAU/USD) 1H Analysis – April 2, 2025
Pattern Identified:
Head and Shoulders Formation detected, indicating a potential bearish reversal.
The neckline has been drawn as a support trendline, which, if broken, could confirm further downside movement.
Key Levels:
Current Price: $3,123.55
Neckline Support: Around $3,120
Target Area: $3,070 - $3,060 (Marked in purple)
Potential Drop: -1.32% (-$40)
Indicators:
RSI (Relative Strength Index): At 50.92, near neutral territory but leaning slightly downward, indicating potential bearish momentum.
Volume: Increased during the initial drop, suggesting sellers are stepping in.
Trade Idea:
📉 Bearish Bias (If neckline breaks)
Sell below: $3,120
Take Profit: $3,070 - $3,060
Stop Loss: Above $3,130
📈 Bullish Scenario (If neckline holds)
If price bounces from support, a move back toward $3,140+ could occur.
Buy above: $3,125
Take Profit: $3,140 - $3,150
Stop Loss: Below $3,115
Conclusion:
Gold is at a crucial decision point. A confirmed breakdown of the head and shoulders pattern could lead to further downside. However, if bulls defend the neckline, we could see a recovery toward recent highs. Watch price action closely! 🚀📉
XAUUSD – H4 Trading Plan📍 Structure
✅ Market structure: Bullish
🔼 Recent BOS confirms continuation
📈 Price is pushing into resistance zone @ 3065
⚠️ No CHoCH yet = no shift, but signs of potential slowing momentum
🧩 Zones of Interest
🔵 3065–3090 → Supply / Premium zone
– Major liquidity draw
– Inside weekly imbalance → potential reversal zone
🔵 2955 → Prior range high + FVG
– Ideal first mitigation target
🔵 2790–2800 → OB zone + consolidation base
– Swing target if breakdown continues
🎯 Trade Scenarios
🔼 Bullish Breakout
Break & retest of 3065 (clean H4 close above)
LTF entry (M15–H1) on pullback
🎯 Target: ATH sweep (3100+)
🛡️ SL: Below HL or valid OB
🔽 Bearish Rejection
Strong reaction from 3065–3090 zone
Wait for H4 CHoCH → then Lower High
🎯 TP1: 2955
🎯 TP2: 2800
🛡️ SL: Above rejection wick
📌 Notes
✋ No short without H4 CHoCH confirmation
🧠 Structure is king – reaction first, entry second
Premium zone = decision zone → be reactive, not predictive
GOLD Free Signal! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD is trading in an
Uptrend and my bullish
Bias is reinforced by the
Trade war and a possible
Recession fear which comes
As a reaction to the Trump's
Car tariffs. So as the price
Is trying to break the all-time-high
Level of 3058$ we can enter
A long trade with the Take
Profit of 3101$ and
Stop Loss of 3027$
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Gold’s Bearish Setup – What’s Next for $XAUUSD?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) fell to $3,003 as I expected in my previous post . Of course, since this is a round number , we can expect good support .
In terms of Classic Technical Analysis , Gold appears to have succeeded in breaking the neckline of the two patterns , the Head and Shoulders Pattern and the Three Falling Peaks Pattern .
Educational Note : The Three Falling Peaks is a bearish reversal pattern that occurs after an uptrend, where the price forms three consecutive lower peaks. Each peak represents a failed attempt to continue the uptrend, signaling weakening bullish momentum. A breakdown below the support confirms the pattern and signals a potential downtrend.
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Gold has completed 5 impulsive waves and we should wait for corrective waves .
I expect Gold to attack the $3,000 at least once more after completing the pullback , and the next target could be the Support zone($2,989-$2,976) .
Note: If Gold goes above $3,039, we should expect more pumps.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Lingrid | GOLD Weekly Price Action ForecastWe had another bullish week, marking the third consecutive week of gains. OANDA:XAUUSD market dropped and tested Tuesday's low, with the weekly candle closing near the 50% weekly range. Despite this, we still have a bullish candle and a higher close above the previous week's high level, demonstrating market dominance. This week, the market cleared above the 3000 level, and the chance of further upward movement seems quite high next week, especially if the market gaps up at the opening.
On the daily timeframe, Friday's candle is bearish; however, it recovered by rebounding and closed near the 50% mark of Friday's range as well. Looking at the price action, the recent pullback is similar to what we saw at the beginning of this month, where price made a 1.70% pullback before continuing to push higher. This time we have a 1.90% pullback, suggesting continuation is expected. We have high-impact news that will influence the price, therefore we should stay vigilant. I think gold could be volatile next week; however, every pullback might present an opportunity to go long as well.
Traders, If you liked this educational post🎓, give it a boost 🚀 and drop a comment 📣
Evening operation suggestions and market analysisToday, the gold market experienced multiple fluctuations. In the morning, the price dropped from 3027 to 3013, and then quickly rebounded to 3032. In the European session, it fell from 3032 to 3017, and then rebounded to around 3025. Overall, the gold price is still fluctuating around the 3035-3013 range on Monday. The current upper resistance of gold is at 3032-3035, and the lower support is at 3017-3013. The operation suggestion for the evening is mainly to short on the rebound.
Operation strategy: It is recommended to short when it rebounds to 3029-3035, with a stop loss at 3044, and the target is 3020-3005.
GOLD 1H LONG ENTRYHi traders! , Analyzing Gold on the 1H timeframe, spotting a potential entry :
🔹 Entry: 3,011.17 USD
🔹 TP: 3,058.97 USD 🎯
🔹 SL: 2,958.86 USD 🔻
Gold is respecting the trendline and maintaining its bullish momentum. If this support holds, we could see a continuation toward 3,058. RSI is near oversold levels, indicating a possible rebound.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice. Trade responsibly.
GOLD Will Collapse! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for GOLDis below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 3026.2
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 3017.6
My Stop Loss - 3031.5
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Gold continues to hit new highsFundamentally, although the tension between Russia and Ukraine has eased, it has not ended peacefully. There is still a certain degree of uncertainty and temporary stability. In addition, the situation in the Middle East is also intensifying. Trump also threatened to bomb Iran this week, which has increased the risk aversion of the market's geopolitical situation. In terms of US tariffs, Trump's tariff policy is still continuing. The reciprocal tariffs to be announced in the Rose Garden of the White House on April 2 will also put global economic trade at risk. Its uncertainty has made the market wait and see, and more inclined to safe-haven gold. Although Fed officials said that there is no stagflation in the economy and the expectation of interest rate cuts has weakened, as long as it does not turn to interest rate hikes, even if inflation strengthens, it will boost the commodity attributes of gold and support the strengthening of gold prices. In addition, major banks around the world have raised their gold price forecasts, and strong capital inflows from gold-backed ETFs, etc., will become the main factors supporting gold prices.
On the whole, today's short-term operation of gold recommends focusing on callbacks and shortings, with the upper short-term focus on the first-line resistance of 3138-3143, and the lower short-term focus on the first-line support of 3110-3105.
Gold fluctuates sideways at a high level and seesaws!The 1-hour moving average of gold has gradually begun to show signs of turning around. The 1-hour moving average of gold is also a head and shoulders top pattern. Even if it pulls back and forth again, gold will continue to fluctuate in a large range. There will be more data in the second half of this week, and there will also be important event news. Therefore, gold still needs to wait for news or data to let gold go out in a new round of direction. Gold did not break through the intraday high, so our US market will continue to be high and empty.
Today's gold short-term operation ideas suggest that rebounding is the main focus, and callbacks are supplemented by longs. The upper short-term focus is on the first-line resistance of 3138-3140, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3100-3110 first-line support.
Short position strategy:
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the position in batches when gold rebounds to around 3138-3140, stop loss 6 points, target around 3120-3110, break to see 3100 line;
Long position strategy:
Strategy 2: Long 20% of the position in batches when gold pulls back to around 3100-3103, stop loss 6 points, target around 3110-3120, break to see 3130 line;
GOLD DAILY CHART MID/LONG TERM UPDATEHey Everyone,
This is an update on our daily chart idea that we are now tracking for a while now. If you have only started following us, please read the updates below at the bottom from previous weeks to see how effectively we have been tracking this.
Last week we completed target to the channel top and stated that if we see ema5 lock outside the channel then we will look for support outside the channel on the channel top for a continuation.
- This played out perfectly with ema5 cross outside of the channel top and then the channel top provided support for a continuation. We are now seeing no candle body close or ema5 lock above 3052 confirming the rejection and expect to see play between 3007 and 3052 to break and confirm our next range.
This is the beauty of our Goldturn channels, which we draw in our unique way, using averages rather than price. This enables us to identify fake-outs and breakouts clearly, as minimal noise in the way our channels are drawn.
We will use our smaller timeframe analysis on the 1H and 4H chart to buy dips from the weighted Goldturns for 30 to 40 pips clean. Ranging markets are perfectly suited for this type of trading, instead of trying to hold longer positions and getting chopped up in the swings up and down in the range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up using our smaller timeframe ideas.
Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we look forward to drops from rejections, which allows us to continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our levels and setups.
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
LAST WEEK UPDATE
The half line of our unique channel gave the perfect bounce into the next axis target at 2904, inline with our plans to buy dips just like we stated. We now have a body close once again with ema5 cross and lock above 2904 leaving the range above open. We will continue to look for support at the ascending half-line of the channel, as we climb into the range.
PREVIOUS WEEKS UPDATE
After completing our Bullish targets we stated that the channel top will act as resistance confirmed with ema5 rejection. A break of the channel top with ema5 would confirm a continuation and failure would confirm rejection. This allowed us to identify true breakouts against fake outs.
We also stated that we need to keep in mind the channel half line below to establish floor to provide support for the range, should we continue to track further up. A break below the half line will open the lower part of the channel to establish floor on the channel bottom. The safest way to track this movement is by buying dips.
- Once again this played out perfectly as we got the rejection on the channel top followed with the channel half line test, which gave the perfect bounce like we stated. We will now either look for a continuation from this bounce or a cross and lock below the half line for a break into the lower channel floor.
Gold continues to hit new highs!Gold continued to rise from 2858 to 3086. After the surge, gold is now close to the 3100 mark. The overall bull market is still there and the general trend is still bullish. From the daily level analysis, the opening stopped falling and stabilized near 3054, and then started the upward trend, climbing to around 3087. Despite the volatile trend, the overall bullish trend remains strong. Based on this closing pattern, according to the normal trend, there is a high probability that it will hit higher points. For the upper pressure of gold, pay attention to the breakthrough of 3085-90 US dollars. This is the upper rail position of the weekly Bollinger Band. For an upward breakthrough, you can pay attention to the integer position of 3100 US dollars, which is also the upper rail position of the daily Bollinger Band. The 5-day moving average and MACD indicators get support and run upward when the golden cross turns down and approaches the dead cross. The KDJ and RSI indicators form a golden cross, indicating that after a short-term adjustment, the bulls have regained the advantage. Investment strategy: more gold at 3070, stop loss at 3060, target 3100
minor bullish structure is forming. Volume AnalysisIf gold breaks and holds above $3,025 with strong volume, enter a buy (long) position.
Entry: Around $3,027-$3,030 after confirmation.
Target: $3,045-$3,050.
Stop Loss: Below $3,015.
Gold is still falling today, and the 3,000 mark may be lost!On the one hand, the adjustment of the bulls is not enough, and the indicators show that there is still further downward exploration.
On the other hand, although the current shock has rebounded, the strength is not strong and the continuity is poor. It is a shock upward trend and may fall at any time. Be cautious when bullish.
It should be noted that since the bulls rose strongly in the early stage, the market turned to bearish, or the rhythm of bull adjustments would not be so fast. Therefore, yesterday's positive daily line was not a return of bulls, but a correction in the process of decline.
Gold is expected to be bearish today. In the morning, it hit the bottom again and rebounded at 3016. A break of this level means that the market is weakening. For the rebound during the day, we should focus on the top position and look at the performance of the European session. The earlier the market performance, the clearer the trend.
XAU/USD selling Again...It looks like gold has broken its ascending channel, signaling a potential correction or consolidation. Based on My technical analysis targets, the key support levels to watch are:
$3,000 – Psychological level, could act as support/resistance.
$2,982 – Minor support within the current price action.
$2,955 – Potential bounce zone if selling pressure increases.
$2,924 – Deeper retracement, aligning with past structure.
$2,883 – Stronger support, where buyers may step in.
A break below these levels could indicate further downside, while a bounce from any of these could lead to a recovery. Do you see any confluence with moving averages or Fibonacci levels in your analysis?
The decline of the golden stage is in line with expectations!Gold 4-hour chart relies on the middle track of the Bollinger Bands to rebound. The middle track is the short-term strength and weakness distinction point. In the adjustment trend, the weakness is below the middle track. It is also a distinction point, combined with the hourly chart above. In the step-down shock, although the rebound yesterday was slightly higher than the 3033 line, it was still running below the second highest point of 3038 as a whole, a complete step adjustment trend. The second highest point is not lost, the trend is not changed, and today's operation relies on the 3033 high point as a defense to continue to follow the trend and fall back. The low point of 2020-2026 is still a resistance point. After the short position of 2028 was reduced yesterday, the bottom position continued to break the 3000 small band. Short positions rebounded slightly today near 2020-2023 and continued to short. Defense at 3033 is enough. The target is to reduce the position and then leave the bottom position to look down at 2990-2980. The space depends on the shape. As long as it closes at a low level, the adjustment space will be further deepened the next day.
Today's short-term operation strategy for gold is to short on rebounds and long on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 3020-3025 line of resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 2999-2980 line of support.
Short position strategy:
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 3020-3023, stop loss at 3055, target around 3010-3000, and look at the 2890 line if it breaks;
Long position strategy:
Strategy 2: Long 20% of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 2990-2993, stop loss at 8 points, target around 3000-3005, and look at the 3010 line if it breaks;
Gold fluctuates at high levels, first short and then longAt present, the short-term moving average of gold maintains a hook upward divergence and continues to fluctuate in a stronger trend. From the perspective of the market trend, a wave of retracement has basically completed the repair of the technical pattern. It tends to continue to maintain a high-level oscillation and stronger trend in the late trading. From the 4-hour trend, the resistance of the 3060 line above is still very strong. If it is not broken, you can boldly go short. Focus on the 3030 line below. It may fluctuate in this range at night. The strategic idea is to go short on the rebound first and then fall back to arrange long orders.
Operation guide 1: short at rebound around 3052-3055, stop loss 3060, target 3032
Operation guide 2: long at retracement around 3030-3035, stop loss 3022, target 3051
Golden third day breaks through historyThe 4-hour chart fluctuated around 3100-3138 and then rose sharply. In terms of operation, short-term long positions are recommended near 3138-3140, with a defense of 3130 and a target of 3165-3175. Long positions at high levels are strictly controlled with a good defense position. After the highs, the profits are promptly taken without lingering. Overall, the short-term operation strategy for gold is mainly short-selling on rebounds and long positions on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 3138-3140 resistance line, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 3100-3110 support line.
Short order strategy:
Strategy: When gold rebounds to around 3175-3178, short sell 20% of the position in batches, stop loss 6 points, target around 3155-3145, break to look at 3140;
Long order strategy:
Strategy: Buy 20% of the gold position in batches when it falls back to around 3138-3140, stop loss 6 points, target around 3160-3170, and look at 3180 if it breaks;
