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Gold Market Outlook: A Key Resistance AheadHello passionate traders, what are your thoughts on gold prices? At the start of the trading session, gold is rebounding to recover from last week's losses. The precious metal has gained over 60 pips and is approaching the key resistance level of $2,873. This zone is crucial as sellers are eyeing this level for potential short positions. This week, all eyes will be on February’s Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report, set to be released on Friday morning. Other major events include the flash CPI estimate for the Eurozone and the U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI on Monday, the ADP Employment Report on Wednesday, the U.S. ISM Services PMI, and the weekly jobless claims data on Thursday. Despite the sharp drop in gold prices, this is merely a normal retracement and nothing to be overly concerned about. From a technical standpoint, gold was overbought as investors attempted to push it toward the $3,000/oz mark. A bullish momentum is expected to return soon. Wishing you all a fantastic trading day! Best regards!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Bullback_FX
Gold (XAU/USD) Smart Money Analysis – 1H Timeframe📉 Gold (XAU/USD) Smart Money Analysis – 1H Timeframe 🔻 Bearish Market Structure with Key Demand Zones! 🔍 Observations: ✅ Liquidity Grab Below Recent Lows – Possible reversal setup. ✅ Demand Zone (2874-2882) – Ideal entry for long positions. ✅ Supply Zones Above (2923-2956) – Potential resistance areas. ✅ Fair Value Gaps (FVG) – Key levels for price reaction. 📊 Possible Scenario: Gold may dip into the demand zone (2874-2882), grab liquidity, and then push back towards 2923-2956 resistance levels. 📈 Trading Plan: 🔹 Buy Zone: 2874-2882 🔹 Sell Zone: 2923-2956 #FXFOREVER #GoldTrading #XAUUSD #SmartMoneyConcepts #ForexAnalysis #PriceAction
OANDA:XAUUSD
by FXFOREVER_87
XAU/USD "The Gold vs U.S Dollar" Metal Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰🐱‍👤🐱‍🏍 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/USD "The Gold vs U.S Dollar" Metal Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (2890) then make your move - Bearish profits await!" however I advise placing Sell Stop Orders below the breakout MA or Place Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. I Highly recommended you to put alert in your chart. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 2930 (swing Trade Basis) Using the 1H period, the recent / swing high or low level. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 2830 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental, Positioning, Overall Outlook: ╰┈➤XAU/USD "The Gold vs U.S Dollar" Metal Market is currently experiencing a bearish trend,., driven by several key factors. ╰┈➤Fundamental Analysis Rates: Fed at 3-3.5%, ECB/BoJ lower—neutral to bearish. Inflation: U.S. PCE 2.6%, global 2.5-3%—bullish. Demand: Central banks, ETFs strong—bullish. Geopolitics: Tariffs, Russia-Ukraine—bullish. USD: DXY 106.00, slight softness—mildly bullish. ╰┈➤Macroeconomic Factors U.S.: Weak PMI (50.4), jobless claims up—bullish. Global: China 4.5%, Eurozone 1.2%—safe-haven lift. Commodities: Oil $70.44—supports gold premium. Trump: Tariffs inflate costs—bullish. ╰┈➤COT Data Speculators: Net long 55,000—cooling but bullish. Hedgers: Net short 65,000—stable. Open Interest: 125,000—sustained interest. Market Sentiment Analysis Retail: 59% short—contrarian upside risk. Institutional: Bullish to $3000, short-term caution. Corporate: Miners hedge 2920-2940—neutral. Social Media : Mixed, bearish near-term (2880-2906). Broker: 60% long—crowded. ╰┈➤Positioning Analysis Speculative: Longs to 2949, shorts to 2880. Retail: Shorts at 2918-2924—squeeze risk. Institutional: Balanced, inflation bets. Corporate: Hedging stabilizes. ╰┈➤Quantitative Analysis SMAs: 50-day 2850, 200-day 2650—bullish. RSI: 48—neutral. Bollinger: 2890-2930—consolidation. Fibonacci: 50% at 2909.47—pivot. Volatility: 12%, ±35 points daily. ╰┈➤Intermarket Analysis DXY: 106.00, soft—bullish. EUR/USD: <1.0500—caps gains. Gold: Aligns with CHF/JPY—safe-haven. Equities: S&P 5960-6120—neutral. Bonds: U.S. 3.8% yield—pressures gold. ╰┈➤News and Events Analysis Recent: Tariffs, weak U.S. data—bullish. Upcoming: PCE (Feb 28)—key USD driver. Impact: Bullish short-term, bearish risk if PCE hot. ╰┈➤Next Trend Move Technical: Support 2906-2891, resistance 2949-2955. Short-Term: Dip to 2906-2880, rebound to 2949. Medium-Term: Range 2850-3000. Triggers: Bullish—soft PCE; Bearish—hot PCE. ╰┈➤Overall Summary Outlook XAU/USD at 2910.00: Bullish fundamentals (inflation, tariffs) vs. bearish USD strength. Short-term dip to 2880, medium-term to 3000 if catalysts hit. ╰┈➤Future Prediction Bullish: 2980-3000 by Q2 2025 (soft USD, tariffs). Bearish: 2850-2864 (hot PCE, Fed hawkish). Prediction: Bearish to 2880 short-term, bullish to 2980 mid-2025. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
SPREADEX:XAUUSDShort
by Thief_Trader
Sorry, I choose to short gold in this round!!!Every time I write an analysis, I hope that my friends who read it can gain something. Gold fell again on Friday to a new low. Gold fell sharply again on Friday and hit a new low. In the 4H cycle, it bottomed out and rebounded due to the news at the end of the day. Although gold prices hit a low of 2832 in late trading, they ushered in a wave of rebound. However, because the price is still running in the middle of the Bollinger Bands and below the short-term 10 moving average, it has driven the short-term moving average downward to the 2866-2888 area. In the domain, other cyclical indicators maintain a short position, and the overall downward trend of Bollinger Bands intensifies. However, the macd indicator fast line turns upward, failing to give short sellers downward momentum, and the RSI indicator intentionally strengthens the upward potential above the 30 axis. Therefore, at the 4-hour level, the overall downward trend of gold prices after short-term correction can still be seen. As long as the rebound is not strong, gold still has room to fall. Then next week's opening will focus on the resistance near 2880, but as long as it is still under pressure and blocked below 2880, then gold can continue to be short. If gold breaks through 2880 strongly, then it is necessary to adjust its thinking. Pay attention to news changes over the weekend, and we will do further analysis on Monday. Finally, whether you are a novice trader, or you want to maintain a stable trading win rate to get more generous returns, or you want to create a valuable and free life through trading, or you are now deeply troubled by losses, you can find what you need at the bottom of the article, and wish all of us all the best in trading! Have a good weekend, brothers!!!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldKing_Allen
GOLD SELL SETUP📉 Gold (XAUUSD) - Sell Setup Analysis 🕒 Timeframe: 15-Minutes 📅 Date: March 3, 2025 🔹 Key Observations: Resistance Zone (Red Box - 2,885) The price is approaching a strong resistance zone, previously tested as a supply area. A trendline resistance (yellow) converges at this level, increasing the probability of rejection. Bearish Reaction Expected If the price fails to break above 2,885, a short position is valid. A rejection candle in this zone could confirm the sell entry. Entry & Risk-Reward: Entry: Around 2,885 - 2,890 (after confirmation) Stop-Loss: Above 2,896 (blue box) Take-Profit: TP1: 2,840 (first green zone) TP2: 2,831 (major support) Risk Management: Maintain a proper stop-loss to protect against a breakout. If the price closes above 2,896, invalidation of the sell setup.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by CivilianPipster
XAU/USD: Will it rise again?Today, gold has experienced a significant decline. We have been insisting on shorting gold this week and have made huge profits. Today, it has tested the key support level near 2860. If you still have orders in your account that are in a loss-making position, you can reduce the losses during this upward movement and then close the orders. Later, follow my strategy to restore your account. In just one week, the account has made a profit and increased from 40K to 150K. It is about to achieve the target of 200K. If you also need accurate signals or want to copy my trading orders, you can click on the link below the article to obtain them.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Kill_the_dealer
Shorting Gold (xauusd) 1️⃣ Bearish Rejection at Resistance – Price attempted to break higher but faced strong rejection, forming a wick at the top, signaling selling pressure. 2️⃣ Break & Retest Confirmation – The previous support level has turned into resistance, aligning with a classic sell setup. 3️⃣ Risk-Reward Optimization – Stop-loss is strategically placed above the rejection zone, while the target aligns with the next key support level for a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. 4️⃣ Lower High Formation – Market structure suggests a bearish continuation, reinforcing the sell bias.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by JudeOseiBonsu
Any rebound is an opportunity to short goldAs I mentioned in my previous article, after a period of sideways consolidation, gold chose to break downward—signaling greater downside potential. We perfectly captured the shorting opportunity around the 2935-2945 resistance zone. Gold not only successfully hit the 2910-2900 target area but even exceeded my expectations, with the price bottoming out around the 2888 region. This was an excellent short trade, and I personally gained over $10K in profits from this position. Currently, gold is hovering around the 2890-2888 region, and while the downtrend has momentarily slowed, the bulls have yet to mount any effective counterattack. This indicates weakening bullish sentiment, and with earlier profits being cashed out alongside follow-up and panic-driven selling, the bearish trend is likely far from over. Breaking below the 2890 support further opens the door for continued downward movement, increasing gold’s potential for deeper declines. For short-term trades, any rebound in gold’s price could present fresh opportunities for short positions. We should closely monitor the 2910-2920 area for potential entries to short gold once again.Bros, profits are the ultimate goal in trading. Accumulating profits is what changes lives and destinies. Choosing wisely is far more important than just working hard. If you want to replicate trade signals and earn stable profits, or if you want to deeply learn the correct trading logic and techniques, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trader_Marvin
Gold’s Uptrend Intensifies: 2955 in FocusFundamental Factors Driving Gold Prices 1. Record Highs and Investor Sentiment Gold is currently trading near its all-time high of $2,956, a level that represents a key psychological threshold for market participants. The fact that the price has not seen significant rejection from these highs suggests that the bullish momentum remains strong, but investors are pausing to reassess market conditions before committing to further upside movement. 2. Trade War Fears: Trump's Tariff Policies & Export Restrictions on Nvidia A major geopolitical factor influencing gold at the moment is renewed trade war fears following Donald Trump’s statements regarding tariffs and export controls. The former U.S. president has hinted at imposing stricter tariffs and additional restrictions on high-tech exports, particularly those involving Nvidia’s advanced semiconductor chips being sent to China. This development is crucial because: It revives U.S.-China tensions, which have historically been a strong bullish catalyst for gold as a safe-haven asset. It could weigh on global equity markets, causing risk aversion and prompting investors to seek protection in gold. It increases uncertainty in global trade and economic growth projections, which supports demand for non-yielding assets like gold. 3. Risk Sentiment & U.S. Dollar Strength While gold benefits from safe-haven demand, its gains are currently being partially offset by a stronger U.S. dollar. The greenback has been gaining traction amid concerns about global economic stability, which puts some downward pressure on gold. However, this is being counterbalanced by lower U.S. Treasury yields, which make non-yielding assets like gold more attractive in comparison. 4. Federal Reserve Policy Outlook Another key factor supporting gold’s bullish case is the growing expectation of Federal Reserve rate cuts. With inflation showing signs of moderation and economic uncertainty rising, market participants are increasingly pricing in the possibility that the Fed could ease monetary policy sooner than expected. This expectation puts downward pressure on bond yields and the dollar, both of which typically support gold prices. 5. Key Economic Events to Watch Gold’s price action will be closely tied to upcoming economic data, particularly: U.S. Consumer Confidence Report – A weaker-than-expected reading could fuel recession fears, increasing demand for gold. Tariff Negotiation Developments – Any new statements from U.S. or Chinese officials regarding trade relations could cause sharp movements in gold prices. Technical Analysis: Key Levels & Patterns Resistance Levels to Watch $2,940 – This is a local resistance level that gold needs to break in order to continue its ascent. A strong bullish move above this area would indicate that buyers are ready to push for higher targets. $2,954.5 – This is a critical breakout level and potential trigger for further bullish momentum. If gold breaks and holds above this level, it would likely confirm a continuation of the rally. $2,960-$2,970 Range – If gold breaks above $2,954.5, the next potential target would be in this range, with a strong possibility of testing new all-time highs. Support Levels to Watch $2,930.7 – A key support level where buyers may step in if gold experiences a short-term pullback. $2,921 – A stronger support zone that, if broken, could indicate a deeper correction before a potential bullish continuation. Ascending Triangle Support – Gold’s ascending triangle pattern has a dynamic support trendline, meaning that higher lows are forming over time. As long as price action respects this trendline, the bullish structure remains intact. Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout Above $2,954.5 If gold successfully breaks above $2,954.5 with strong volume and momentum, we could see an acceleration towards $2,960-$2,970. Beyond that, a test of the psychological $3,000 mark is a possibility, especially if risk-off sentiment continues to dominate global markets. Scenario 2: Range-Bound Consolidation Between $2,940 - $2,954.5 If gold remains trapped in this range, traders should watch for low volatility periods that might precede a breakout. This scenario could last until a significant catalyst (e.g., economic data, Fed statements, trade war news) triggers a decisive move. Scenario 3: Bearish Pullback to $2,930.7 or Lower If gold fails to break $2,954.5 and sees increased selling pressure, it may retest support at $2,930.7 or even dip toward $2,921 before attempting another leg higher. A break below $2,921 would weaken the bullish case and shift the focus to deeper support levels. Market Outlook: Factors to Consider Bullish Drivers: Strengthening safe-haven demand due to geopolitical risks. Lower bond yields increasing gold’s appeal as a non-yielding asset. Potential Fed rate cuts in the coming months. Bearish Risks: Strengthening U.S. dollar, which could limit gold’s upside. Profit-taking near all-time highs, causing short-term pullbacks. Conclusion: Gold Positioned for a Potential Breakout, But Key Levels Must Be Cleared Gold remains in a bullish technical setup, with an ascending triangle signaling potential for an upward breakout. However, the next major move depends on whether gold can decisively break the $2,954.5 resistance level or if it will continue consolidating before another push higher. With geopolitical tensions, central bank policies, and upcoming economic data releases in focus, traders should remain cautious but prepared for high volatility in the coming sessions. A breakout above $2,954.5 could trigger a strong rally, while a failure to sustain momentum may lead to a short-term pullback.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by lonelyPlayer0
Gold will touch $3000In a comment to Kitco News, Chris Mancini - Portfolio Manager of Gabelli Gold Fund (GOLDX) - said that Western investors are pouring into gold ETFs to hedge against economic or inflation risks due to the impact of tariffs. He also emphasized that investment demand still has room to continue to increase. "Gold is acting as a hedge against the devaluation of the USD and other currencies," he said. “Tariff measures could accelerate this process as global commodity prices rise. In addition, if global central banks (including the US Federal Reserve - FED) reduce interest rates or pump money to combat economic weakness, prices will tend to increase, making gold more attractive to investors. "The buyers still show no signs of slowing down and this week continues to be a strong candle on the weekly chart. I think there is a high possibility that gold will reach the 3,000 USD/ounce mark in the near future, but there can also be big fluctuations around that level."
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
XAUUSD: How to trade next week?On Friday, gold reached 2840. After testing the support at the bottom, it started to rise slightly. Next Monday, there is a possibility of an oversold rebound in gold. However, the downward trend has already been formed, so in trading, we need to continue short-selling. xauusd sell@2880-2890 TP:2860-2840 Currently, the account with an initial amount of 40K has reached 200K. In March, I will make a profit of one million, and I will share my daily trading orders. You can copy my orders for trading. Click on the link below the article to obtain the relevant information.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Kill_the_dealer
Gold at Key Support – Potential Reversal Trade SetupGold (XAU/USD) is testing a strong support zone after a bearish move. This level has historically acted as a demand zone, making it a high-probability buying opportunity. Entry: Near the support zone around $2,880-$2,885 Stop Loss: Below the support at $2,862 to manage risk Take Profit 1: $2,920 – Previous resistance level Take Profit 2: $2,953-$2,964 – Upper range resistance 📊 RSI is oversold, signaling a potential bounce. 📈 If price holds above support, a bullish reversal could follow. 🚀 A breakout above $2,900 could accelerate the move. 🔔 Risk management is key! If price breaks below support, reassess the trade. #XAUUSD #Gold #Trading #PriceAction #Support #Forex
TVC:GOLDLong
by ByteSignals