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Gold market trend analysisGold risk aversion pushed up gold prices, but the bulls failed to continue, and gold prices fell after rising. From a technical perspective, the 4-hour gold price remained above the moving average, and the bullish trend remained unchanged. Structurally, the rise in gold prices was symmetrical in time and space, and the early decline was in line with expectations. The hourly chart showed a weak bearish signal and diverged. The upper resistance is currently at 3137-3141, and the lower support is at 3111-3106. In terms of operation, I suggest that the callback is mainly long, and the rebound is supplemented by high short. Operation strategy 1: It is recommended to buy at 3105-3100, stop loss at 3092, and the target is 3130-3150. Operation strategy 2: It is recommended to sell at 3139-3144, stop loss at 3150, and the target is 3120-3105.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by EmmaSaxton
Update XAUUSD Intraday Battle Plan"Gold never sleeps… but it might fake you out first!" 🤫 🟢 Buy Scenario 1 – “The Spring Trap” 💧 If price sweeps liquidity below 3107 zone (grab zone + FVG), be ready for a bounce. Entry zone: 3100 – 3107 Confluences: Valid FVG + Imbalance Strong rejection already shown from this area Trendline liquidity trap below Buy-side OB forming (watch M15/M30 for confirmation) SL: Below 3090 TP1: 3125 TP2: 3140 Note: A classic liquidity sweep to trap bears before a news-driven reversal? Don’t blink. 👀 🟢 Buy Scenario 2 – “The Bounce of Faith” 🧗 If price respects the trendline and discount zone without grabbing 3100. Entry: 3112 – 3117 SL: 3106 TP1: 3135 TP2: 3147 – PDH Confluences: Equilibrium + strong bullish reaction from previous HL CHoCH confirmed on LTF Divergence on RSI (M15) might cook a sniper launch 🚀 🔴 Sell Scenario 1 – “The Fakeout Masterclass” 🎭 If price retests supply zone 3145–3150 and fails to break PDH (3148) Entry zone: 3145 – 3150 SL: 3155 TP1: 3130 TP2: 3112 Confluences: Weak high + premium zone PDH liquidity magnet → sell-side grab potential Bearish OB forming on M15 Reminder: Respect the zone—don’t marry the bias. 💍 🔴 Sell Scenario 2 – “The Trap Breaker” ⚔️ If ascending triangle fails & price nukes below 3110. Entry: 3110–3105 (after CHoCH or BOS on LTF) SL: 3117 TP1: 3096 TP2: 3086 (stronger OB zone) Fuel: Momentum + stop hunt + potential shift from bullish to correctional structure 📢 News Watch – April 2, 2025 ⚠️ ADP Non-Farm Employment Change (15:15 GMT+2) Big mover, early warning before NFP. More jobs = bearish gold. ⚠️ ISM Services PMI (17:00 GMT+2) High impact. Strong services = stronger USD → bearish for gold. 📌 Expect volatility spikes. Best entries = after liquidity grabs post-news. 🧨 Final Words Be patient. Let price come to your zone. Set alerts. Don’t chase—trap it like a sniper. 🎯 💬 Drop a follow & smash that ❤️ if this plan made your day easier. Let’s ride the gold wave together 🌊⚡
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
Gold accumulated motivation for promising increasing!Today, gold continues to attract some buyers after yesterday's retreat from record highs amid persistent safe-haven demand, driven by concerns about a global economic recession due to tariffs. Furthermore, expectations of Fed rate cuts and lack of interest in buying USD provide additional support for XAU/USD. Currently, the metal is moving around $3,130 and upside potential remains highly rated as the EMA 34 and 89 lines continue to act as dynamic support levels. Additionally, historical bullish patterns are repeating themselves, suggesting that after this period of retreat and consolidation, an impressive upward movement is expected.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Smith_Scalper
Path to $9,000: Gold’s Next Supercycle Triggered by the 2024 RSI Thesis - The Road to $9,000: How Gold’s 2024 RSI Breakout Signals a New Supercycle Executive Summary In January 2024, gold's quarterly RSI broke decisively above the 70 level — a rare technical event that historically marks the beginning of powerful, long-duration uptrends. This breakout echoes a similar RSI move in April 2005 that preceded a near eight-year bull market, driving gold from ~$430 to nearly $1,900 — a 340% increase. If history rhymes, this recent momentum surge may be the opening act in a multi-year supercycle with a potential price target north of $9,000 per ounce. This thesis presents a comparative analysis of the 2005–2011 bull phase and the emerging 2024 trend, using momentum indicators (RSI, MACD), long-term volume-weighted price levels (VWAP), structural breakouts, and Fibonacci projections to extrapolate a scenario in which gold embarks on its largest bull run in decades. I. A Signal from the Past: RSI Above 70 In April 2005, gold’s quarterly RSI crossed 70 — a level traditionally interpreted as “overbought,” but in trending markets, often signals the start of something big. Over the next 2,800 days, gold’s price rose relentlessly, guided by momentum, monetary policy shifts, and secular macro themes. Now, in January 2024, that same RSI level has been breached again — not from a spike or panic move, but from a slow, base-building structure spanning over a decade. The setup is eerily familiar: a long consolidation, followed by a clean breakout, and now, an overbought momentum profile with room to expand — not collapse. II. Charting the Similarities: 2005 vs. 2024 Metric 2005 Bull Start 2024 Setup RSI breach of 70 Q2 2005 Q1 2024 Starting price ~$430 ~$2,000 Breakout 20-year base 13-year base Duration of trend ~7.7 years Projected to 2031 MACD cross Preceded RSI Also preceded RSI VWAP position Price > VWAP Price > VWAP The MACD crossover in both instances occurred just before RSI broke out, indicating a build-up of medium-term momentum. This alignment of long- and medium-term signals suggests that the 2024 move is not a short-lived spike, but the beginning of a sustained structural trend. III. Fibonacci Extrapolation: The Case for $9,000 Applying Fibonacci extensions from the 2015 bottom to the 2020–2023 consolidation, the 2.618 extension level aligns around $8,700–$9,000. This is also consistent with the proportional move from 2005–2011 (a ~340% gain from breakout levels). If gold’s breakout in 2024 mirrors the strength of its prior secular trend, a target of $9,000 by 2031–2032 is not just plausible — it may be conservative. IV. The Narrative Behind the Numbers Gold does not rise in a vacuum. Behind the charts lies a macroeconomic context of de-dollarization, fiscal expansion, rising debt-to-GDP ratios, and weakening confidence in fiat currency regimes. The 2005–2011 bull unfolded against the backdrop of global financial instability and loose monetary policy. Today, those drivers are amplified. The demand for gold as a hedge — not just against inflation, but against systemic fragility — has never been stronger. Conclusion: Overbought for a Reason OANDA:XAUUSD The RSI has entered overbought territory again — but this isn’t a red flag. It’s a green light. In strong secular trends, being overbought isn’t a signal to exit — it’s a hallmark of strength. If the structural, momentum, and psychological conditions align as they did in 2005, gold may be embarking on a journey toward $9,000 over the next 7 to 8 years. This thesis aims to chart that road — and illuminate the signals already flashing along the way.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TheHouseofTrade
Short on XAU USDWe can see gold has been on a ridiculous bullish run given all the uncertainty in the market. I believe if this continues we can see further upside - however I am going out on a limb to say this weekly candle will either brush the 3090 level or close as red. I have entered short positions via market order (in the royal blue colour) and have also set limit orders for shorts all the way up to 3129 (in the lighter blue colour). This analysis can definitely be wrong but I believe the market has made 2 drastically massive moves in the last 2 days which are somewhat unwarranted (yes gold is bullish but last 2 days have hit highs of 40-50 dollar moves. Let's see what the market bring tomorrow with ADP Non-Farm Employment data and also President Trump speaking later in the evening in the US. I have mapped out important levels using the Fibonacci tool and also psychological level of 3100. Key levels Short entries starting from 3119 - Set another order every dollar above all the way to 3129 Stop loss 3136 is my stop loss for this trade - If 3130 is broken with volume then I believe that we may push higher (If this happens likely the trade will be stopped out) Take Profit 3075 is the final TP area (0.5 Fib level using last 2 week high + low) - Given gold is in such a bullish phase it is foolish to hold onto shorts in my opinion (as we can see from the chart typically these bottoms are bought up and can be evidenced by the long candle wicks) - 3090 will be where I start to scale out of this position and adjust SL levels
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by Q4Signs
6
GOLD-Sell in the 3128-3138 rangeThe buy orders placed at 3121-3124 yesterday successfully reached the take-profit zone of 3132-3138 today, after which the price also entered the short-selling zone of 3135-3145, leading to another profitable trade. As of now, the 3124 support remains intact, but bullish momentum has significantly weakened. Without further fundamental catalysts, a technical-based approach suggests prioritizing short positions, as the recent surge of over $130 makes a technical correction increasingly imminent. Trading Strategy for Today: 📉 Sell in the 3128-3138 range 📈 Buy in the 3103-3093 range
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by China_MsWang
Gold prices still have room to rise on MondayGold prices still have room to rise on Monday As shown in the figure: Four-hour cycle The 1234 rays diverging from point A represent the changes in the angle and intensity of the trend in development The process from 1 to 4 shows that the risk aversion of gold prices is getting heavier, and the trend of forced short selling is becoming more and more obvious I have analyzed that buying at a low price above 3060 in the next week is still effective A V-shaped reversal breakthrough is formed here, which is a strong rise. Then we can use the 1234 channel to sort out and predict the next few pressure areas Expected future rise 3170 (the limit increase that can be calculated from the trend) 3125 (normal increase in the trend) 3105 (trend stage increase) 3085 (trend current price) 3060 (starting price after trend breakthrough) 3010 (current trend starting point) So we can clearly conclude: follow the trend Of course, we must also be wary of the big waterfall market caused by selling pressure and panic running that may come at any time So the most stable strategy is a simple sentence: as long as the gold price is above 3060, find a suitable low price to go long. In the next week, the market's expectations for gold prices will continue to rise. Therefore, following the trend is the safest way to trade. If it falls below 3060, the gold price will most likely enter a long-term wide range of fluctuations. Then, there may be a difficult situation for both long and short sides. As far as the current situation is concerned, as long as it is above 3060, our operation is relatively simple. Operation strategy: Go long at a low price, stop loss at 3060, or fully test the support near 3060, and consider going long with a light position. If you still have questions, you can leave me a message for discussion. I am very happy to discuss with you
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Louisa00000
[ TimeLine ] Gold 24-25 March 2025Hello everyone, I will be using the high and low price levels formed on March 24 and 25 , 2025 (Monday and Tuesday), as entry points for my trades. We will wait for the price range from these candles to form, as indicated by the green lines. The trade entry will be triggered if the price breaks out of this range, with an additional buffer of 60 pips. If the price moves against the initial position and hits the stop loss (SL), we will cut or switch the trade accordingly and double the position size to recover losses. 📉📈 Below is the chart with the estimated Hi-Lo range of March 24 and 25, 2025. You can copy the unique code and add it to the TradingView URL. TV/x/hjaa6bzW/
OANDA:XAUUSD
by lybeedo
Summary of this weekThis week, the gold market continued its bull market, breaking through the historical high of 84 and closing. The gold price broke through the psychological barrier of 3,000. The market sentiment continued to be optimistic. In this week's trading, we took the main approach of going long, holding long positions, buying back, and making significant profits, achieving the expected goals. Next week, we will continue to make steady progress and formulate a more efficient profit plan. If you also want to learn gold trading skills and profits in the market, then join my team. Wish you all: Have a good weekend
TVC:GOLDLong
by AIan_Gold
Gold Price Analysis: A Macro Play on the Horizon?The gold market seems to be painting a highly optimistic picture for those with an eye on the long-term trend. One of the most compelling technical patterns, the 'Cup and Handle,' is currently evident in gold's price structure, signaling the potential for a significant bullish momentum in the near future. This pattern, when viewed on a macro scale, can often indicate the start of a major upward movement after a period of consolidation. Gold, traditionally seen as 'hard money,' stands as a bulwark against economic uncertainties and inflationary pressures. Its enduring value has made it a safe-haven asset for investors worldwide. With the recent observation of the 'handle' retest successfully holding its ground, the next phase could very well propel the gold price to new all-time highs. If the pattern plays out as historically seen in other markets, and we witness a breakout from the current levels, initial targets of $2500 are not only feasible but could be a conservative estimate. More ambitious forecasts, taking into account global economic factors and increasing demand for gold as a protective asset, point towards a possible rally to the $3000 mark. However, as with all investment strategies, it's essential to balance optimism with caution. While technical patterns provide valuable insights, they are but one tool in a trader's arsenal. Keeping an eye on global economic indicators, central bank policies, and geopolitical tensions will also be crucial in gauging gold's future trajectory. In summary, for those considering a macro play on gold, the current technical setup, combined with the fundamental attributes of gold, could offer a compelling case for a bullish outlook. The coming months will undoubtedly be crucial in confirming this potential trend. Stay tuned and trade wisely!
TVC:GOLDLong
by CyberNetGain
2
[ TimeLine ] Gold 31 March - 1 April 2025Hello everyone, Today is Thursday, March 27, 2025. I will be using the high and low price levels formed on the following dates as entry points for my trades: March 31, 2025 (Monday), or March 31 & April 1, 2025 (Monday & Tuesday) Trading Plan: ✅ Wait for the price range from these candles to form (indicated by the green lines). ✅ Trade entry will be triggered if the price breaks out of this range, with a 60-pip buffer. ✅ If the price moves against the initial position and hits the stop loss (SL), we will cut/switch the trade and double the position size to recover losses. 📉📈 Below is the chart with the estimated Hi-Lo range of March 31 & April 1, 2025. You can copy the unique code and add it to the TradingView URL. 🔗 TV/x/IaLLLLcp/
OANDA:XAUUSD
by lybeedo
Gold waited for a clear move!Currently, gold prices are attracting some dip buyers after the previous day's pullback from record highs amid persistent safe-haven demand, driven by concerns over a global economic downturn due to tariffs. Furthermore, expectations of a Fed rate cut and the lack of USD buying interest provide additional support for FX:XAUUSD From a technical perspective, we see the Bollinger Bands showing signs of price narrowing, indicating that long-term buying or selling at this moment is risky. We are looking for key areas to buy or sell as the main trend remains sideways. For instance, if the price drops below 3145, we might consider selling, while a rise above 3105 could signal a buying opportunity. Happy trading, and may your trades be profitable!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by Rowan_TradingFX
Today's gold price: Pay attention to the support of 3130Today's gold price: Pay attention to the support of 3130 As shown in the figure: If you can carefully look at my line segments and segmentation charts, you will not find it difficult to understand. In fact, the next trading idea for gold is very simple: (1): As long as the gold price is above 3130, we can continue to chase long positions, stop loss: around 3130 If it falls below 3130, look for support at 3115 (2): As long as the gold price is above 3115, we can continue to look for low-price long positions, stop loss around 3115. If it falls below 3115, look at 3080 (3): As long as the gold price is above 3080, we will still look for the possibility of low-price long positions, stop loss: around 3080 If it falls below 3080, then the bullish trend of gold prices may reverse, and you must be cautious when going long. I think the ultimate target of this wave of bulls is: 3230
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Williams212
Gold Price Breakout Prediction - 15-Minute ChartThis chart shows the 15-minute price movement of Gold (XAU/USD) with a symmetrical triangle pattern forming. A potential breakout is expected, targeting 3,133 Explanation: The price has been moving within a triangle pattern. If the price breaks above the resistance level, it may rise to 3,133. The shaded purple box marks a key support zone where the price previously bounced. Traders might wait for confirmation before entering a buy trade toward the 3,133 target.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by Rosy_fx_expert
GOLD SELL(POSSIBLE DOWNWARD TREND) XAU/USD sell from 3084, here are the key levels to watch: - *Immediate Support*: 3054 and 3032 - *Key Support*: 3000, a crucial level to maintain the bullish trend - *Stop-Loss (SL)*: 3110, to limit potential losses if the price moves against your position From a technical perspective, the path of least resistance for the Gold price remains to the upside, driven by safe-haven demand amid global trade war tensions and a potential US economic slowdown. However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart is already flashing overbought conditions, warranting some caution. The XAU/USD pair has been forming a correction within a descending channel, and the situation is becoming increasingly complex due to uncertainty around US tariff policies. Any corrective slide now seems to attract some dip-buyers near the $3,054-3,048 horizontal zone, which should help limit the downside for the Gold price near the $3,032-3,030 region. In terms of economic indicators, investors are waiting for the US Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index data to gauge the trajectory for further rate cuts, which will influence the USD price dynamics and provide a fresh impetus to the non-yielding yellow metal ¹. Keep your best wishes to the Travis 👍
TVC:GOLDShort
by Expert_Travis
Last Friday, 3085 was shorted to make a profit, next week?Gold fell back on Friday after rising higher, and gold encountered resistance at 3085. However, gold is still just adjusting for the time being. Gold rebounded after the adjustment, and gold bulls are still relatively strong. You can continue to buy gold after it falls next week. After all, gold bulls are strong now, but don't chase it at high levels, and wait for it to fall before buying more. The 1-hour chart of gold still shows a golden cross with upward bullish divergence. After the adjustment, the gold bulls did not weaken, but continued to be strong. Therefore, the decline of gold is just an adjustment. Gold can continue to go long after the adjustment next week. Gold rose again after bottoming near 3067 on Friday. The gold moving average support has now moved up to a line near 3072. Therefore, gold is still a support area in this range. Then if gold falls back to support near 3070 next week, it will still be long on dips.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Fortune-signal