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Look out for 3111-3128 for GOLD Gold is still bullish for the past couple of month without any signs of bearish appearing. If there was any Bearish momentum it was temporarily. Next nearest gold target is 3111-3128 base on fibo extension. And if there’s a retracement to 3057-48 there could possibly be a reentry buy area. Unless its broke and break the whole latest base then we can expected for a temporary bear momentum to comes in before makin another ultimate HIGH for the year end or next one.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by HAN_Simply_Trade
XAUUSD Monday (31 March 2025) Gameplan. 🚨 GOLD ANALYSIS – WEEKEND INSIGHTS & MONDAY GAMEPLAN 🧠📊 🗓️ Date: March 29, 2025 📍 Market Closed – Planning Ahead So I’ve spent my weekend deep diving into Gold Spot (XAU/USD) and here’s my complete breakdown 🔍 – covering both fundamentals and technical levels, plus how I’m personally setting up for Monday across trading sessions. 👇 🔮 Fundamental Analysis – Why Gold is Skyrocketing 📈 Geopolitical Tensions The recent tariff threats from President Trump have shaken the markets again. As expected, investors (including myself) are rushing to safety—and what’s better than gold in times like these? 🛡️ 💸 Inflation Hedge With global trade uncertainty adding fuel to inflation fears, gold is acting as a hedge. This is one reason I’m seeing such strong upward momentum in the metal. 🏦 Central Banks Buying A lot of Asian central banks are continuing to increase their gold reserves—another solid bullish indicator. 📊 📉 Equity Market Volatility Stocks have been all over the place lately, and that volatility is pushing money into safe-haven assets like gold. This rotation out of risk is a trend I’m watching closely. 📉 Technical Analysis – Clean Price Action Setup Looking at the 1H chart (attached 👇), I’ve marked the breakout and breakdown zones: 🟥 Resistance (Breakout Level): $3,092 🟩 Support (Breakdown Level): $3,070 If we break above $3,092 with volume, I’ll be looking for long positions 🚀 targeting the $3,110–$3,120 range. However, if price fails and breaks down below $3,070 with confirmation, I’ll shift to shorts targeting $3,040 and potentially $3,028 🪓 🛠️ Key Indicators: ✅ Price above 50 & 100 MA → Bullish 📏 RSI around 62 with visible Bearish Divergence – caution warranted ⚠️ 📊 Volume increasing at resistance zones → watching for fakeouts or strong breakouts 📅 My Session-Wise Trading Plan for Monday 💹 Asian Session (early caution): I’ll start light, watching for structure. If gold sustains above $3,085 with minor pullbacks, I may scalp small longs. 🇪🇺 European Session (volume confirmation): Volume usually picks up here. I’ll look to build positions based on whether we confirm a breakout above $3,092 or if we reject and revisit $3,070. 🇺🇸 US Session (high-volatility window): I expect increased volatility and possibly a breakout attempt. If fundamentals or news line up, I’m ready to go aggressive on either breakout or breakdown. Stops will be tight, and I’ll trail profits. 📈📉 🔐 Risk Management – Always 🛑 My Stop-loss: Below $3,070 for longs Above $3,085 for shorts 📊 Position sizing: no more than 2–3% of capital risked per setup. 📰 Will keep eyes on any geopolitical headlines or inflation updates during the day to re-evaluate. ✅ Final Thoughts I’m bullish on gold 📈, but not blindly so. I’ll be letting price and structure confirm the next move. Whether we go up or down, I’m prepared on both ends 💪 Let me know how you guys are planning your Monday trades – I’m always down to exchange thoughts 💬 #Gold #XAUUSD #TradingPlan #TechnicalAnalysis #FundamentalAnalysis #Forex #Commodities #MondaySetup #PriceAction #SafeHaven #Geopolitics #GoldBulls
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MetaFutures
XAU/USD 28 March 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has met expectations and analysis by printing a further bullish iBOS, however, pullback was minimal and with price not trading down to either discount of 50% EQ or Daily/H4 demand zone. I will therefore, at present, not classify this as a bullish iBOS in order not to distort internal range Intraday Expectation: Price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate, bnut not confirm bearish pullback phase initiaiton. Price to then trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or nested Daily and H4 demand levels before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,086.090. Alternative scenario: Price could potentially continue to print higher. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias was not met with pricing printing a bullish iBOS. Price has printed a bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation. Price is now trading within an established internal range. I will however continue to monitor price. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,086.090. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Gold at Record Highs on U.S. Trade WarBy Ion Jauregui - Analyst ActivTrades The price of gold has hit record highs, hovering around $3,100 per ounce, driven by renewed investor appetite for safe-haven assets in the face of growing uncertainty in international markets. Drivers of the rally The decision to impose 25% tariffs on the automotive sector, announced by US President Donald Trump, has heightened concerns about a possible escalation in the trade war. This move has prompted both institutional and individual investors to seek safety in gold, raising its demand significantly. At the same time, instability in geopolitical scenarios - including the conflict between Russia and Ukraine and the resurgence of tensions in the Middle East - has reinforced the perception of gold as a safe-haven asset in times of global uncertainty. Market movements in other metals In today's Asian session on Friday, other precious metals were not far behind: platinum was stable at around $989.55 per ounce, while silver reached a 12-year high, trading at $35,283 per ounce. These dynamics reflect a generalized trend of seeking refuge from the uncertainties of the economic environment. European Session Gold Analysis During the Asian session, spot gold was up 0.6% at $3,073.79 per ounce after briefly hitting a high of $3,077.67. Likewise, gold futures for May were up 0.7% at $3,112.72 per ounce. Already in the European session, we have seen this bullish momentum has contracted, pushing the price down to $3,065.91. The RSI has moved from its overbought high of 76.98% in the Asian session to 55.03% at the European start. This seems to be an oxygen intake to continue the climb, a small stop in the momentum because if we look at the crosses of averages continue to expand their amplitude, which shows us that there is a latent volatility in this asset that is very likely to extend throughout the day if at the opening of the U.S. session the right conditions are met. Inflation and monetary policy expectations The market is also keeping an eye on the upcoming release of the PCE price index, the US Federal Reserve's preferred inflation indicator. A figure above expectations could decrease the likelihood of interest rate cuts, which in turn would continue to benefit gold as a safe-haven asset. Conclusion Gold's current outlook clearly reflects not only its role as a traditional safe haven at the moment, but also the markets' reaction to a trade war that is adding increased uncertainty to the global economy. The volatility observed and the continued expansion in the crosses of averages indicate that, despite the corrective oxygen taken in the European session, the upward momentum could resume ahead of the US opening. In this context, the Fed's decision and the evolution of trade tensions will be determining factors for the precious metal's trajectory, making constant monitoring of global events indispensable. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
ACTIVTRADES:GOLDLong
by ActivTrades
XAUUSD SHORTING CONCEPTMorning ladies & gents. Ok... Gold has been playing games & hard to get for a while. I don't know bout you guys. As per today and the picture you're currently looking at, the market has cleared so many buy-side liquidities without proper retracements. Being a Thursday, we could possibly have a TGIF setup, or maybe have it on a good old fashioned Friday. So, even if we're in an uptrend or a downtrend, I want to see the market either clear Asian highs & or up to the 4 hr end of fvg, and give a sell model or just reverse where it currently is. My targets: 1 hr Inversion fvg/ 4 hr end of fvg / other discount arrays. I'ma update frequently on this trade idea so stay tuned. & If you like my content, ideas and more, just hit the follow button & boost for a thumbs up
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by gachihi
GOLD Bullish Trend Continues After FVG Test🟢 GOLD is maintaining strong bullish momentum after successfully testing a Fair Value Gap (FVG). A Break of Structure (BOS) confirms the uptrend, with higher lows forming—a clear sign of continuation. 📊 Analysis: ✅ Bullish Trend: The price structure confirms an uptrend with higher highs and higher lows. ✅ Fake Reversal Break of Structure (BOS): A key level has been broken, signaling reversal but based on current momentum that follows it shows Buyers continued strength. ✅ FVG Test Success: Price respected the Fair Value Gap, reinforcing buying pressure. ✅ 🎯 Target: , aligning with . ✅ 📈 Momentum: Strong upward drive suggests further gains ahead. 🔮 Potential Scenario: The price is likely to continue climbing, forming a new higher high toward the target level. 📢 Confirmation Signals to Watch: 📌 Volume: Increasing volume on bullish moves. 📌 Candlestick Patterns: Bullish signals at key support levels. 📌 Moving Averages: Price holding above critical moving averages. 📌 🚨 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade responsibly and conduct your own research. 🔗 Tags: #GOLD #XAUUSD #Bullish #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #FVG #BreakOfStructure #TrendAnalysis #PriceAction #MarketAnalysis
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Professor_Noah
Short XAUUSD: Targeting 2870 – A Tactical PlayTechnical Analysis: Recent patterns suggest a potential bearish move. Analysts have identified key support levels at $3,048, $2,953, and $2,858, with deeper support around $2,870. These levels may present opportunities for short positions if the price retraces. ​ Market Volatility: The announcement of new tariffs by President Donald Trump has led to significant market fluctuations. Gold prices initially surged to record highs but experienced sharp declines shortly after, indicating potential instability and opportunities for short positions. ​ Central Bank Activity: While central banks have been purchasing gold, there is an expectation that these purchases may decrease if prices remain elevated. A reduction in central bank demand could exert downward pressure on gold prices. ​ Interest Rate Expectations: Anticipation of economic slowdowns due to tariff implementations has led markets to expect interest rate cuts. However, if these cuts do not materialize as expected, it could strengthen the U.S. dollar, making gold less attractive and potentially leading to price declines.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by FtradeFXArabic
XAU/USD 03 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Since last analysis price has continued extremely bullish. This is most likely due to market jitters caused by Trump's tariff policy which is driving up the price of gold. This solidifies gold as a safe haven asset and could lead to repricing. As mentioned in previous analysis that I will continue to monitor price. Price has printed a bullish iBOS which is marked in red, this is due to the fact that the depth of the pullback has been shallow and has not pulled back into either discount of internal 50% EQ or mitigated a H4 demand zone. As a result, price now is trading within an internal low and fractal high. Intraday Expectation: Await for price to print a bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 01 April 2025 Since last analysis price has continued extremely bullish. This is most likely due to market jitters caused by the trump tariffs. This solidifies gold as a safe haven asset and could lead to repricing. You will note price has printed a bullish followed by a bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. Whilst I am aware that price has not traded into discount of internal 50% or mitigated any demand zone, I will mark this as an iBOS due to time spent. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 3,167.835. Alternative scenario: As H4 appears to be in bearish pullback phase, although we do not currently have any indication, it would not come a surprise if price prints a bearish iBOS. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Waiting for the right-side signal, gold prices are still in consDue to the relatively high tariffs signed by Trump, gold has experienced a significant rebound, with daily fluctuations approaching $100—volatility levels previously seen over the course of two weeks or even a month are now occurring within a few hours. After surging past $3000, the increased base has led to a dramatic rise in market volatility. While larger price movements may give the impression of easier profits, they also increase the risk of losses. As volatility rises, risk perceptions diminish, whereas human greed tends to escalate. When daily fluctuations are limited to $10-20, the risks are minor, allowing for simpler directional trading, albeit with fewer opportunities. However, in the current environment, price changes of over $10 in just five minutes can trigger heightened greed, resulting in more frequent and varied trades. The unpredictability of market behavior complicates trading decisions. As humans, we tend to fear missing opportunities, leading us to enter trades impulsively. Conversely, when volatility decreases and waiting times lengthen, our desires tend to diminish, potentially increasing the chances of profitable trades. Currently, testing the upper limits of gold prices is challenging as the market is under constant pressure to break higher. It’s essential to note key points: between 7-8 AM, we typically see a first wave of unrestrained upward movement. Observing market cycles is critical; in the last two days, we saw spikes during the European session followed by declines in the U.S. session, which then rebounded. If specific entry points are elusive, focus on cycles and the extent of previous corrections, identifying key timing for trades. For instance, yesterday exhibited a typical morning upward cycle, followed by a sustained upward trend during the European session that didn't break the previous highs, resulting in a lateral movement during the U.S. session. Today, yet again, we are witnessing a 7-8 AM upward cycle with prices breaking above $3168. However, this pullback increases risks, particularly near the former double-bottom and the 618 retracement levels around $3130-32, which are crucial points to watch this afternoon. If there’s a continued upward move that breaks past the high, one should consider short entries if the price later retraces. A key observation must be made during the U.S. session, as recent pullbacks primarily occurred during this time. Following the morning's upward cycle, be vigilant of the 618 level and small double-bottoms; should there be a second rebound without breaking previous highs, consider going short during the U.S. session. Although the broader trend lacks definitive signals of a peak, risks are inherently rising. In this environment, it’s important to heed the emphasized cycles of market behavior and timing. Increased volatility necessitates caution; avoid blindly chasing shorts or longs, and remain attuned to the market rhythm.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Oxtradegpt
Gold Market and the Impact of Trump’s Tariff PolicyAs global economic uncertainty intensifies and gold prices hit record highs, investors are seeking safe-haven assets. After several rounds of market turmoil, investors have recovered somewhat in Asian markets this week. In the coming week, the focus will be on the reciprocal tariff plan that Trump will announce on April 2. If Trump decides to take tough measures and implement high tariffs across the board, it may have a big impact on the market. However, if there is some relaxation of tariff policies, such as tax exemptions for specific countries, then the market may have a chance to rebound. Trump was proud of Wall Street's record highs during his first term, but now seems to be less concerned about the stock market and more focused on the adjustment of overall economic policies. I think this may be the time to make structural changes to the US economy, although these adjustments may bring challenges in the short term, but the hope is that the economy will recover before the mid-term elections next year. In addition, Asian stock markets have also been affected by volatility, especially the automotive industries in Japan and South Korea are under pressure. The automotive manufacturing industries in these countries face the challenge of change due to the upcoming 25% tariffs. Investors are full of doubts about Trump's tariff policy, and market sentiment is cautious, and all parties are waiting for the policy announcement on April 2. In conclusion, although the market has rebounded in the short term, future trends still need to focus on Trump’s tariff decisions and their potential impact on the global economy.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Giant-Whale
Gold to $1,600/oz by December '25If we get this market crash in April, Gold should wipe out the entire month's run up down to $2,800-$2,900. If that happens, then that'll be the confirmation for the continued crash in Gold price as markets as the Fed would need to massively cut rates in April-May and then just as quickly raise rates as the market gets over stimulated coming out of the crash. Rising rates makes gold significantly less attractive as equity markets will rebound to new highs. Targeting the 2022 $1,600 bottom in gold price. Potential support at $2,000 first.
TVC:GOLDShort
by ARX713
Gold may come under pressure and fall in the evening!How much room is there for gold above 3100? This week, the strong bull market of gold has been rising again and again, with no intention of stopping. Yesterday morning, the market opened directly and broke through the high. The European market was under pressure at 3130 and corrected sideways. The US market bottomed out and rebounded and closed near the high point. This kind of strong market closed strongly at a high level, especially the market that rose in the early morning. Generally, there will be a continued rise in the morning of the second day. The same was true yesterday, Monday. Time cycle. So can we still be bullish today? Tomorrow, the tariff policy will be implemented on April 2. Buy expectations and sell facts. The previous daily line has been three consecutive positive lines. Gold may fall back in the next two days. Unless there is a large gap between the actual implementation and expectations, it may help push gold to continue to rise. I personally think that gold will adjust at the end of this week, and at worst it will fluctuate. At this price, don't chase more, and don't touch the ceiling. In the case of gold prices hitting new highs, after all, there is no previous high to refer to, so the risk area can only be judged by the increase. Although the market rose today, it fell back under pressure from 3150, and the lowest price hit 3124. Therefore, the focus of the European session will be on the gains and losses of 3120. If it breaks, the short-term bearish trend may further fall to 3110-3100. If the European session does not perform well and maintains sideways fluctuations, there may be a decline in the evening, and at most it will only rebound, and there is little hope of breaking the high. In terms of trading, a total of four orders were operated yesterday, and one order was loss-making: 1. The 3073 long market was not given a slight difference, so I went long aggressively at 3081, and stopped profit at 3110 after reducing the position at 3100; 2. After the rise in the afternoon, I expected a correction, and I went short with a light position at 3112, and stopped loss at 3120; 3. I continued to go short with a light position at 3124 in the European session, and reached the target position of 3100 after reducing the position at 3110; 4. There were many orders at 3100, and I stopped profit at 3124 before the break
PYTH:XAUUSD
by Oliver389