Gold Price Analysis April 15Frame D shows some selling pressure that could be profit-taking by investors but has not yet confirmed the appearance of a downtrend.
The h4 wave structure is still leaning towards the bulls quite a bit when the 3215 zone has been noticed by buyers
Gold is rejecting the 3232 price zone, trading around 3223, creating a fairly important resistance zone at 3232.
Trading scenario This decline is still quite strong and can decrease to the support zone of break out 3215. In the US session, pay attention to the price reaction of this zone to buy. If it bounces strongly from 3215, you can consider holding it long. On the contrary, if it breaks through 3215, 3203 is the destination for the SELL signal. 3237 is an important resistance zone today. If the price breaks this zone, it will confirm an ATH in the US session.
USCGC trade ideas
Gold Technical Analysis - Potential Trade SetupTime Frame: 15-Minute and 4-Hour
Pattern: Head and Shoulders Formation
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Overview:
Currently, on the 15-minute time frame, we observe a potential Head and Shoulders pattern forming, which could indicate a bearish reversal. As we analyze further, we identify that the B wave might be completing, setting us up for the upcoming C wave to the downside.
Key Levels:
- Invalidation Level (Head of the Pattern): 3246
- Fibonacci Level (Key Area on 4-Hour Time Frame): 0.618
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Trade Setup:
Given the formation and confirmations, we suggest considering a sell trade:
1. Entry Point: Monitor for a confirmation of the bearish move below the neckline of the head and shoulders pattern.
2. Stop Loss: Place the stop loss slightly above the invalidation level of 3246 to mitigate risk.
3. Take Profit Targets:
- TP1: 3215
- TP2: 3205
- TP3: 3195
- TP4: 3180
-TP5: 3140
Once the price moves below these levels, consider holding the sell trade down to a potential extreme target of 3140.
If we break 3140, the next support zone between 3040 and 3050 could come into play, where I expect strong buying interest for intra-day trading
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Risk Management:
Always manage your risk appropriately. Ensure that your position size is in line with your risk tolerance and that your stop loss is strictly adhered to. Monitor the market closely, as patterns can evolve, and be prepared to adjust your strategy as needed.
Conclusion:
With the Head and Shoulders pattern and the identified Fibonacci level providing confluence for a potential downside move, we have a compelling setup for taking a sell position. Keep an eye on the market dynamics and make informed decisions.
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Stay safe and trade wisely!
XAUUSD H4 Outlook + Key Levels – April 21, 2025✅ XAUUSD H4 Outlook + Key Levels – April 21, 2025
🧭 Market Context & Trend After a powerful continuation post-holiday, Gold smashed through the previous ATH and is now trading in a vertical, parabolic leg — with minimal structure below and zero resistance above.
💣 Middle East tension + macro safe-haven flows = strong fuel for this spike. But we’re now in a price zone where traps and liquidation are very likely.
📈 Trend:
• H4: Strong bullish BOSs since April 10
• No valid H4 CHoCH yet — structure remains bullish
• Price is deep inside unmitigated premium, with signs of slowing momentum intraday
🔼 Key Levels ABOVE Price
Type Zone Notes
🔻 Premium Sweep Zone 3395–3405 Key area around ATH for possible fakeout/sell trap setups — watch for M5/M15 CHoCH or BOS here
🧱 Ultimate Spike Zone 3415–3425 High-impact inefficiency from lower timeframes + round number zone – ideal for stop hunts
🚨 Extreme Spike Risk 3435–3455 No structure here — only if geopolitical tensions worsen
🔽 Key Levels BELOW Price
Type Zone Notes
🔵 Intraday Buy Zone 3333–3340 Minor FVG + OB zone – valid only for scalps or continuation if PA confirms
🟩 HTF Demand 3284–3288 Strong OB + FVG + clean H4 CHoCH base – valid for swing longs if dump occurs
⚓️ Institutional Support 3220–3235 Last clean unmitigated H4 demand + equilibrium from macro breakout zone
🧠 Trading Considerations
🔻 SELL setups only valid with clear bearish confirmation (M5/M15 CHoCH + momentum shift) inside the 3395–3405 zone. No blind shorts — the trend is still active.
🟢 BUY setups are cleaner from 3284+ or deeper — chasing now is extremely risky unless price builds structure above 3400.
📉 A fast spike followed by breakdown could signal a swing reversal from this premium zone.
🎯 H4 Bias:
Cautiously Bullish — structure is clean, but price is hyperextended. Best setups will come after liquidity is taken.
XAUUSD - Liquidity Grab Before Pullback? | Key Zones MarkedGold (XAU/USD) is approaching a critical liquidity zone around the $3,330 level, which aligns with a strong Fibonacci extension area and previous structural highs. Price has shown an impressive recovery after hitting support below $3,000, triggering a bullish rally that reached our TP at $3,270 following a successful SL re-entry.
The price is currently tapping into a liquidity zone, with expectations of short-term rejection signals forming on the 1H time frame.
If we start to see 1H candle rejections or bearish divergence, we can anticipate a possible pullback towards the $3,140-$3,180 zone, which is a confluence of previous resistance turned support and a Fibonacci retracement level.
📌 Patience is key—wait for proper price action confirmation before entering shorts.
XAUUSD H1 Outlook – April 21, 2025🧭 Market Overview:
XAUUSD just printed new ATH at 3396, with price now pushing again into premium, currently testing 3392.7–3393.6 — a zone with weak high inducement. Price action is extremely vertical, with no clear pullback since 3285.
📈 H1 Structure:
Bullish CHoCH and BOS series from April 9
Trend is vertical, clean impulsive waves
No internal sign of exhaustion — yet
🧠 Context:
H1 candles show price slowing slightly around the weak high area. Smart money will look to trap late buyers above 3396 if price does not break cleanly.
🔼 Key Levels ABOVE Price
Type Zone Notes
🧲 Weak High Zone 3393.6–3396.0 Current zone – may act as final inducement trap
🎯 Fibo 1.0 Extension 3405–3415 First proper extension level for late buyers’ liquidation
🚨 Fibo 1.272 Zone 3445–3455 If we spike irrationally → this zone becomes the macro reversal trap
🔽 Key Levels BELOW Price
Type Zone Notes
🔵 Micro Demand 3340–3345 Small M15 OB zone – valid for reaction scalps only
🟢 Confirmed OB Zone 3284–3288 Last valid H1 OB + FVG confluence → strong buy reentry
⚓️ Macro Demand Base 3220–3235 Institutional reaccumulation zone from previous rally
🎯 H1 Bias:
Still bullish — but close to final exhaustion levels.
📌 Look for LTF reversal signs around 3393–3405 to consider safe short entries.
XAUUSD need some rest and fallWe are looking for dump asap here for gold price already broke resistance channel but i am expecting it will get back in channel and after that with high volume the dump expected to the targets like 2900$.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
<<press like👍 if you enjoy💚
Gold's Glory Fades: Bearish Setup in MotionHello,
🟥 XAUUSD – Pro Bearish Playbook
Resistance Breached, But the Rally Looks Exhausted
Gold (XAUUSD) has just smashed through the 1M strong resistance at 3272.314, but let’s not kid ourselves — this move is running on fumes. The rally is heavily overbought, and macro sentiment is shifting fast.
🗞 Macro Trigger: Tariff War Cooling
President Trump has thrown a curveball, suggesting the U.S. may hold off on further tariff hikes, citing concerns about the impact on American consumers.
“At a certain point, people aren’t gonna buy,” he said.
He’s not ruling out new tariffs entirely, but the tone has clearly softened. Even China is stepping back, opting not to match U.S. hikes — and now the TikTok deal is on pause until trade talks settle. This reduces geopolitical risk, and that’s a red flag for gold bulls.
📉 Why We're Bearish:
Overbought Conditions: Gold is bloated. RSI, momentum, and fundamentals all scream “top-heavy.”
Safe-Haven Demand Shrinking: With tariffs cooling and equities catching a bid, gold demand is set to fade.
False Breakout Potential: The push above 3272.314 may be a trap if we don’t get follow-through.
🧭 Bearish Strategy – The Breakdown Plan
We’re not just throwing darts — here’s how we map the fall:
🔻 Level 💰 Price 📌 Role
🟧 1D Pivot Point Use live data Key trigger – watch for bearish confirmation below here.
🟨 1M Resistance (Now Suspect Support) 3272.314 Already breached; likely won’t hold on retest.
🟥 1W Pivot Point 3146.658 Next major target if momentum continues.
🚨 Bear Max Target 2466.313 Full breakdown scenario if risk-off vanishes.
🔥 Execution Plan – What to Do
✅ Wait for confirmation below 1D Pivot.
🔻 Short the rejection at 3272.314 if it acts as resistance on retest.
🎯 Target 3146.658, then trail stops toward 2466.313 on continued weakness.
🚫 Avoid blind entries – confirmation only. This isn’t guesswork.
We’re not chasing gold higher at these levels. We’re waiting for the turn, and when it confirms — we strike.
The Support and Resistance outlined in green and red are the respective support/resistance for this pair currently for 1M-1Y timeframes!
No Nonsense. Just Really Good Market Insights. Leave a Boost
TradeWithTheTrend3344
Gold Long Entry - Consolidation - Manipulation - AccumulationI would be expecting Gold to play the range between 3195 & 3245 before a correction towards our long entry area of 3045. Stoploss is set at 2951 below the previous HTF liquidity sweep. I will be targeting at least 3245, a retest of 3245 after the breakout will take Gold further up to 3286 - 3463 - 3641.
XAUUSD Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow !In this video I will be sharing my XAUUSD analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
XAUUSD 1H CHART PATTERN Upon examining the gold price action on the 1-hour chart, it's evident that the market recently achieved a fresh high, reaching up to $3245. This upward move indicated strong bullish momentum at that point. However, shortly after hitting this level, the price experienced a noticeable correction. This retracement not only pulled the price lower but also suggested a potential shift in the market structure, indicating that bullish strength may be weakening.
Currently, all eyes are on the $3214 level, as it appears to be a key support-turned-resistance zone. If the price remains suppressed below this threshold and fails to regain momentum above it, it could confirm a bearish continuation pattern. Should this scenario play out, we can anticipate further downside movement in the short term.
The next possible support levels, or downside targets, to watch for in sequence are $3190, $3178, $3156, and eventually $3140. These levels may act as areas of interest for traders looking for potential bounces or further breakdowns, depending on overall market sentiment and price behaviour near each zone.
HelenP. I Gold may make correction and then continue to growHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. Following a deep correction that pushed the price down to the support zone between 2975 and 2950 points, Gold made a strong bullish reversal. This zone had already acted as a key accumulation area in the past, and once again, buyers stepped in aggressively. The reaction from support 2 at 2975 points was sharp, with the price bouncing and forming a clear impulse move. As XAU continued to rise, it broke back above the trend line and retested it, turning former resistance into support. Shortly after, the price pushed above the local support zone between 3165 and 3185 points, confirming the strength of the bullish trend. This zone is now acting as a base for further growth. Currently, Gold is trading above the trend line and support zone, holding near the 3230 area. The recent bullish momentum, strong impulse structure, and consistent reaction to technical levels indicate that buyers remain in control. Given the breakout, successful retest, and strength from key support zones, I expect XAUUSD to continue rising toward my goal at 3300 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Breakout or Breakdown – Which Way Will the Market Move Next?Market Outlook – 2H Chart Analysis
After analysing the 2-hour chart, we can observe that the price has been consistently trading within a respected ascending channel since April 10, 2025. Following the formation of an all-time high (ATH) at 3357.775, the market experienced a shallow retracement, dipping just below the 38.20% Fibonacci level.
Currently, the price is consolidating around 3327.375 within a falling broadening wedge pattern, which is typically considered a bullish continuation pattern. The retracement zone between the 38.20% and 50.00% levels suggests that buyers remain in control of the trend.
Looking ahead to next week, as long as the price:
• Remains inside the ascending channel
• Holds above the key support level at 3288
• And eventually breaks above the falling broadening wedge and the resistance at 3332
…I anticipate a potential rally toward our first target, with the second target aligning with the 161.80% Fibonacci extension level.
However, if the price breaks below the support level of 3288, a further decline toward 3237.70 could be expected.
⚠️ Reminder:
Every trade carries risk. Strict adherence to your risk management strategy is essential to protecting both capital and profits.
Happy Trading,
SpicyPips
⸻
GOLD-SELL strategy 6 Hourly chart regression channelGOLD has moved up sharply but it is. again above the channel, and this usually will not last. It needs to correct back towards mid-channel over time.
The RSI is very overbought, but other indicators how still some upward pressure, however, I use the channel as my guidance for now.
Strategy SELL or ADD SELL @ $ 3,375-3,415 and take profit near $ 3,257 for now partially and further down rest @ $ 3,079.
Multi-dimensional Analysis of Gold's Strength and Volatility RisLong-term drivers: After the breakout of the super-large sideways range from 2020 to 2023, global geopolitical conflicts, expectations of economic recession, and large-scale gold purchases by central banks worldwide have jointly fueled a super bull market.
Short-term disruptions: The tariff policy announced by Trump in early April triggered a short-term sharp decline in gold and silver. However, on the monthly chart, no effective correction signal has been formed, and the trend remains dominated by bulls.
Weekly strong characteristics: The long upper shadow line was engulfed by a bullish candle, forming an ultra-large bullish candle, indicating that the market still chose to break upward despite trade war risks, continuing the super-strong trend. While a correction of hundreds of dollars may occur after extreme market conditions, the current upward trend remains intact.
Medium-term rhythm: Multiple medium-term corrections have ended rapidly, highlighting gold’s extremely strong resilience. The current upward slope is steep , showing a "crazy bull" short-covering feature, making it difficult to predict the top in the short term.
Short-term technical signals: The 4-hour chart shows that the high-level volatility is still confined above the 21 exponential moving average (strong support), indicating a continuation pattern in the uptrend. Two potential paths lie ahead:
- Conventional path: Consolidation into a platform before resuming the upward trend;
- Extreme path: Direct breakout to new highs without correction (referencing the frequent occurrence of non-correction short-covering rallies in recent months).
Conclusion: All timeframes suggest that gold’s rally remains unexhausted, with short-term volatility not altering the medium-to-long-term upward trend. However, risks of extreme volatility caused by policy mutations must be guarded against.
XAUUSD
buy@3300-3310-3320
tp:3340-3355-3370
I hope this strategy will be helpful to you.
When you find yourself in a difficult situation and at a loss in trading, don't face it alone. Please get in touch with me. I'm always ready to fight side by side with you, avoid risks, and embark on a new journey towards stable profits.
[ TimeLine ] Gold 21-22 April 2025Hello everyone,
📅 Today is Monday, April 21, 2025
I will be using the High-Low price levels formed on the following dates as reference points for potential trade entries:
📌 April 21, 2025 (Monday)
📌 April 22, 2025 (Tuesday)
🧠 Trading Plan & Notes:
✅ Gold has broken its ATH multiple times over the past two weeks —volatility remains high
✅ The range formed on April 21 is approximately 3331 to 3430 — a massive 1000-pip zone
⚠️ Due to the large range, reversal entries or trades based on Fibonacci levels may be more appropriate
✅ I will personally trade both signals as part of my ongoing research and strategy
⚠️ If you're unsure or risk-averse , consider skipping April 21's signal
📋 Execution Plan:
🔹 Wait for the price range from the candles above to fully form ( marked with green lines )
🔹 Entry will be triggered upon breakout, with a 60-pip buffer
🔹 If the trade hits Stop Loss (SL), switch direction and double the position size on the next valid entry for potential recovery
📉📈 Chart Reference:
x/lgXVOC2u/
Gold rose by 100 points to a new highAs the former US Treasury Secretary pointed out, the Trump administration's erratic rhetoric and ever-changing tariff policy measures are gradually eroding the global market's trust in the US dollar. Investors are therefore seeking asset allocations with safe-haven properties. Gold, as a traditional safe-haven tool, naturally becomes the first choice. From the perspective of technical analysis, the bullish trend of gold prices is strong. After the opening, it has shown a unilateral upward trend, with significant intraday gains. In this market situation, it is particularly important to follow the price trend, and counter-trend operations often face greater risks. Based on the current market trend, the gold bull market is still expected to continue, and may even further hit higher points. In terms of trading operations, it is recommended to take a dip and buy more after a pullback to the key support level as the main strategy.
Today, gold rose to a new high, reaching 3317, and the increase was close to 100 points. The strength is beyond words. After the previous sideways accumulation, it continued to rise by inertia. It continued to be bullish and long. In the 4H cycle, it broke through the upper track of Bollinger, driving the moving average to turn upward, but the indicators diverged. It is prudent to buy more on the decline. The support below is maintained at 3288 and 3270. Buy more according to the strength of the decline. The upper side will gradually look to 3300 and 3320. Don't blindly guess the top!
Operation strategy:
1. It is recommended to buy more gold near 3270-72, stop loss at 3264, and target at 3300 and 3320! If it is very strong, rely on the support of 3288-90!
Growth potential up to 3400Description of the weekly analysis:
After a good week of trading, we move on to next week.Given the bullish market sentiment, it is not unreasonable to expect the price to rise to 3,400.
I expect the price to be ready to rise to 3400 after a correction towards 3293 or eventually the 3230-3246 support zone.
Note and reminder:
Of course, this analysis is valid as long as the price does not close below 3200.
If the analysis fails, it will be updated immediately and I will share it.
Possible positions this week:
A:Suitable prices for BUY positions
1)3300~3290
2)3230~3246
B:Suitable prices for SELL positions
1)3398~3408
This is just an analysis and everyone is responsible for their own work.
Hoping for a good and profitable week.
Safe-haven frenzy boosts gold pricesGold market analysis and operation suggestions (April 21) - Risk aversion frenzy boosts gold prices, 3400 mark is within reach
📌 Current market dynamics:
Affected by the US tariff policy and the continued rise in geopolitical risk aversion, gold continued its unilateral surge this week. Today, it opened higher again, strongly breaking through the historical high of 3357, and accelerated to above 3380. The bullish momentum is extremely strong. According to the recent trend, gold will either consolidate at a high level, and once it starts to rise, it often presents an explosive market of more than 100 US dollars on one side. Therefore, the psychological barrier of 3400 will most likely be tested today, and may even further challenge around 3430!
📊 Technical analysis:
✅ Daily level:
Moving average system: MA5-MA10 maintains golden cross upward, showing a standard bull market arrangement
Bollinger band: The upper track continues to open, without any signs of closing, and there is still room for growth
K-line structure: Continuous large positive lines with large volume, no peak signal, and going long with the trend is still the main tone
✅ Weekly level:
Three consecutive positive lines are strong upward, MACD red column is enlarged, and bulls are obviously in control
No peak signal, any pullback can be regarded as a new buying opportunity
🎯 Key support and resistance:
Support level: 3370 (today's gap), 3357 (previous high support)
Resistance level: 3400 (psychological barrier), 3430 (next target)
🔥 Today's US trading strategy:
1⃣ Aggressive long orders: Go long directly when the price falls back to around 3370, stop loss at 3360, target 3385-3400 (hold to see 3430 if it breaks)
2⃣ Steady long orders: If it falls back to 3357 (previous high support), you can arrange long orders for the second time, stop loss at 3347, target 3380-3400
3⃣ Be cautious with short orders: The current market sentiment is extremely bullish, and the risk of going against the trend is extremely high. Avoid blindly guessing the top!
💡 Trading reminder:
Gold is currently in an extremely strong market, and any pullback is an opportunity to go long
Pay attention to the breakthrough of 3400. If it stands firm, it may accelerate to hit 3430-3450
Strictly stop loss to avoid the risk of violent fluctuations caused by sudden news
🚀 Conclusion: Trend is king, follow the trend and buy low!
Gold: Profit on Open, Focus on Key Zones Congrats to everyone who followed my long positions before last Thursday’s market close!
Gold opened higher today, bringing us the first profit of the new week — a great start with accurate direction!
Currently, gold is facing selling pressure near the historical high around 3360. On the 1H chart, technical indicators look solid. Once the pressure is absorbed, there’s a good chance the price may reach new highs today.
However, be cautious: If the upward trend weakens or stalls, there’s a risk of a double top formation — a bearish sign for the bulls.
📌 Key zones to watch today (as marked in the chart):
Support: Around 3308
Resistance: Around 3369
With price at elevated levels, a breakout above resistance often leads to a pullback to retest previous support, so adjust strategies flexibly.
Trading Advice:
Focus on support/resistance flips
Prioritize sell high, buy low within the zone
Manage risk and avoid chasing price blindly
Technical Analysis – Gold (XAU/USD) – Weekly Chart 3500$📉 Technical Analysis – Gold (XAU/USD) – Weekly Chart
🔹 Price Action & Structure
Current Price: ~$3,420
Gold has been on a strong bullish rally, breaking previous highs and trending upwards in a steep channel.
The chart shows a long-term ascending parallel channel, with price currently nearing the upper half.
There's a crucial breakout zone marked around $3,500 – a psychological and technical resistance level.
🔹 Key Levels
Immediate Resistance: $3,500 – if a weekly candle closes above, it opens up bullish continuation.
Next Target (TP): $4,083 – based on the breakout projection and mid-channel resistance.
Further TP: $5,031 – top of the channel (longer-term target).
Support Zone: $2,750 – highlighted in blue, a strong demand zone with past accumulation and breakout area.
🔹 Technical Indicators to Watch (not visible but implied):
Fibonacci Levels: The $3,500 zone could align with a major fib extension (likely 1.618 from previous swing).
RSI: Likely in overbought territory on the weekly, hinting at possible short-term exhaustion or retracement.
MACD: Likely showing strong momentum, but a bearish crossover on higher timeframe would confirm a pullback.
Volume Profile: (not shown) could confirm if accumulation is happening above $3,500.
🔹 Potential Scenarios
Bullish Breakout: If price closes above $3,500 and holds, a rally toward $4,083 is likely.
Fakeout & Rejection: If price gets rejected from $3,500 zone, we may see a pullback toward $2,750 for reaccumulation.
Profit Booking: After reaching $4,000+, profit booking could cause consolidation or a deeper correction.
🌐 Fundamental Analysis – Gold Outlook
🏦 Macro Drivers
Global Inflation: Persistent inflation has historically driven gold demand as a hedge.
Interest Rates: Expectations of rate cuts by the Fed or other central banks in 2025 would favor gold prices.
Geopolitical Risk: Ongoing global tensions (Middle East, Eastern Europe, etc.) tend to increase safe haven demand.
Currency Weakness: A weakening USD supports gold, as it's priced in dollars.
💹 Investor Sentiment
Central banks are increasing gold reserves (China, Russia, etc.).
Demand for physical gold is high, especially from BRICS nations as they explore de-dollarization.
📉 Risk Factors
Sudden hawkish stance by central banks could pressure gold.
If inflation cools faster than expected, gold might see reduced interest as a hedge.
Overbought technical could trigger short-term corrections.
✅ Conclusion
Gold is currently in a strong bullish trend, testing a major resistance. A weekly close above $3,500 can push it to $4,083 and potentially $5,031 in the long term. However, retracement is likely if it fails to sustain above this level, with $2,750 acting as a key support zone.
“Watch price action at $3,500 carefully — the breakout or rejection here could define the next 6–12 months of gold's direction.”