XAUUSD – Daily (D1) Analysis🧱 Market Structure
The D1 structure is clearly bullish – price is printing HHs and HLs consistently.
Current push is a continuation from previous consolidation, breaking structure upwards.
No CHoCH or BOS bearish yet – buyers still in control.
🔵 Key Zones (marked on your chart)
1. Near-term Liquidity / Resistance
Price is approaching a marked supply zone / premium area at the top (same one from W1).
This is likely to act as a reaction point – either:
Sweep liquidity and reverse
Break through and continue higher
2. Imbalances / Mitigation Zones Below Price
These zones are clean mitigation targets if price rejects from the top:
Zone Level Description
2955 Fair value gap / inefficiency (imbalance)
2790–2800 Strong structure zone + FVG + OB
2740–2750 Potential OB + previous consolidation
2495 Deep retracement level – less likely short-term
🧩 Order Flow Observation
Very little sign of exhaustion in candles right now.
The only reason to expect reversal is if:
Price hits the extreme premium zone
We see a strong daily rejection or
Lower timeframes shift (CHoCH / BOS)
📉 EMA Perspective (implied)
Assuming EMA 21/50/200:
Price is well above EMA 21 & 50, indicating strong short-term bullish trend.
A return to EMA 21 (probably around ~2950–2970) would be a healthy pullback.
📌 Bias – Daily
Term Bias Reason Daily
✅ Bullish Clean bullish structure, no shift Short-term
⚠️ Watchful
If price hits supply zone with reaction
Ideal setup
Rejection from premium + CHoCH on H4/H1
🧠 Trade Ideas (based on D1)
🔼 Bullish Scenario
Price holds above 3060 and breaks 3090+
Entry on breakout + retest of minor OB on H1
Target: ATH sweep and continuation
SL: Below minor HL / reaction low
🔽 Bearish Scenario
Price enters supply zone → forms bearish D1 candle (engulfing / pinbar)
Look for CHoCH on H4/H1 to enter short
Target levels: 2950 ➝ 2800 ➝ 2750
SL: Above daily high or OB
