Gold- I'm looking to sell for 500+ pips targetAs I explained before, when I trade TRADENATION:XAUUSD , I aim for targets of 400-500 pips , sometimes even more. That’s why I always try to determine where "the BIG move" is. In Gold’s current situation, I believe this move is down, not up (though, of course, I don’t have a crystal ball).
Let me explain...
Since the beginning of March, Gold has surged by more than 2000 pips. While we need to adjust our pip calculations given Gold’s current price levels , this is still an enormous rise. More importantly, out of these 2000 pips, 1700 were gained just since last Wednesday. This makes a correction highly likely, especially considering that if we look at the chart, we see almost no pullbacks in the past week—only a consolidation in a rectangle.
From a technical standpoint, the trend is undoubtedly up. However, even if Gold drops to 2990, the overall uptrend would still remain intact. Additionally, looking at the chart, we can spot a rising wedge—typically a reversal pattern.
My Take:
Currently, I’m out of the market, but I expect a strong correction of 500+ pips. I’m looking to sell if there’s an upward spike followed by signs of exhaustion.
Conclusion:
In my opinion, "the big move" is down, not up. I expect Gold to drop below 3000 and at least test the 2990 zone.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.