GER40 ShortGER40 short on the regression break.
Global markets are under pressure - I will not take this trade.
DEU40 trade ideas
Weekly Technical AnalysisStart your week by identifying the key price levels and trends.
The SpreadEx Research team has analysed the most popular markets, including stocks, indices, commodities & forex.
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Analysis
Germany 40 has shifted into a corrective phase within what is still just a bullish trend overall, currently trading around 22,042, below its 20-day VWAP of 22,850. The RSI at 37.2 reflects weakening momentum, aligning with the recent downside break. Immediate support lies at 22,043. A reversal above resistance at 23,551 would be needed to revive bullish sentiment.
UK 100 remains in a neutral, consolidative phase after stalling from earlier gains. It’s quoted at 8,553, just under its 20-day VWAP of 8,644. The RSI of 39.2 shows a loss of momentum, leaning slightly bearish. Key support is marked at 8,500, and only a break above 8,763 would signal fresh upward traction.
Wall Street continues in a bearish trend with a corrective bounce already having rolled over as of Friday, currently at 41,299—just below the VWAP of 41,814. An RSI of 36 (having failed to overcome the 50 level) suggests a lack of bullish conviction. The key downside level is 40,840, while 42,787 stands as initial resistance on any recovery.
Brent Crude holds a bearish trajectory but the corrective move is gathering steam, trading at 7,289, above the 20-day VWAP of 7,131. The RSI at 55.2 is neutral, offering little directional clarity. Immediate support sits at 6,856, while 7,405 will test further upside.
Gold continues to sprint into record highs, quoted at 3,117 and well above the 20-day VWAP of 3,004. The RSI at 76.8 is firmly in overbought territory, highlighting stretched momentum but also strength. While some pullback could occur, support is seen way back at 2,883, with the recent highs acting as near-term resistance before 3200.
EUR/USD sustains its bullish setup as it undergoes a dip trading at 1.0814, marginally below the VWAP of 1.0848. The RSI at 55.7 leans constructive though lacks strong momentum. Near-term support is at 1.07476, while 1.09489 is the next resistance zone to watch for continuation.
GBP/USD is still bullish as it sits in a tight correction, priced at 1.29306, holding above its 20-day VWAP of 1.29302. The RSI at 57.1 supports the ongoing trend but shows moderation from previous highs. A break below 1.28721 may trigger caution, while further upside needs a break of 1.30069.
USD/JPY holds a bearish trend but it has flattened out and is currently in a corrective bounce, quoted at 149.30 and near its VWAP of 149.30. RSI at 47.2 remains neutral. If sellers regain control, support is at 147.00. On the upside, clearing 151.12 could shift sentiment back toward bullish territory.
DAX: CORRECTION OR NEW TREND?Analyzing the 60-minute chart, I believe there is still room for further downside in order to complete what I interpret as a five-wave structure within a larger corrective wave C, which itself forms part of a broader wave 4 of higher degree.
This corrective phase appears to be unfolding within a clearly bullish long-term trend, as confirmed by the weekly chart, which remains well-aligned to the upside.
📉 Potential downside targets:
22,024
21,741
Once this corrective move is complete, I expect the uptrend to resume, potentially offering renewed long opportunities aligned with the prevailing weekly bullish structure.
ger 30 review GER shows a mild bearish undertone with potential for a larger drawdown if global risk isn't contained (I'll cover global risk in another post). Doing a top-down approach, the weekly chart is the most concerning—it signals a quarterly sell-off aiming to clear a long-range liquidity pocket. I'm eyeing 21480 as the profit-booking event, likely occurring around the 5.12-28.25 area.
Another eyesore is the pseudo swing at the 2.10.-3.10.25 range. Easy pickings here, as the semi-quarter liquidity pocket built during this span is just price establishing its first-half data entries. For a more immediate weekly play, sells to sweep 22,250 are easy calls—I wouldn't be surprised by an early-week sell-off, mid-week wick formation dipping into a WVol discount, and then continuation, or something similar within that cycle.
Important note: CC entries are nearly off the table completely, so what retail traders call "consolidation" will just be an easy shakeout. Eager sellers get chopped first, followed by breakout traders getting eaten alive. The golden signals to watch here are Cerberus calling weekly sells and a 3D Cerberus sell as well.
Moving to the daily intraweek forecast, we have a Friday jefe formation, but I'm not eager to play it as the simpler position is the DVol sell. There are still plenty of errors from the 2.21-3.4.25 span that haven't been cleaned up. Additionally, the 3.13.25 error CC just got cleared, helping form the jefe.
Early week, I'm anticipating a fake-out followed by a sell-off. By mid-week, we're aiming to clear the 2.21 error and set up the early month open trap. Note that the WVol entry will be the third leg on the 1M timeframe—easy sells for the larger sell-side target at the 1M CC entry. With this perspective, expect the fake-out potentially lasting until around 4.12.25, after which the real move unfolds.
Heading into April, don't be the fool trying to buy the "market structure shift, pullback" setups.
DAX 30th Marz 2025 - Recovering but not really! 20% Loss ahead!
The German DAX did an impressive rally during the last weeks. The Index has less losses than the SPX.
But- in the past, the DAX was never able, to hold his relative advantage to main indexes.
Technically side, the 3 Week Chart shows a special situation in RSI and Slow Stochastic, with predictable losses in the past.
All in all: Short recovery even with new highs possible, bu
t expect the Dax within the next 6 months much lower - price area around 17000 EUR:
Ger30Forecast:
Ger30 is looking bearish. Looking at the 1d, and 4d. I can say the is a possible bearish trend built up.
Technically the is 1d double top, 4h break of bullish trend. Current 4h bearish candlestick, and moving average confluence.
Bullish riseDax is currently in a bearish phase, where price action moving between 23200 and 22500. As of now, price action may garner bullish strength if it remains above 22500 to retest the nearest resistance barriers in red and maroon. Conversely, if it passes 22700-22800, the bullish rise may be intact because of breaking the smaller bearish channel from 22700 to 22500.
As long as the price action is above 22500 and settles above 22700, the index will retest the 23000 barriers. However, if the price fails to pass through 22700 and further declines from 22500, the index will likely continue its bearish correction.
15 minute continuation tredlineThe price has broken a 15 minute trendline and looks to go bearish
We had a breakout and retest and now go short
WE ONLY TRADE PULLBACKS
Bearish drop?DAX40 (DE40) is rising towards the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could drop tot he 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 22,764.15
1st Support: 22,381.49
1st Resistance: 23,185.90
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#dax Forex Signal German index #dax says I am rising in the medium term in technical indicators. 30% increase is normal. It is necessary to take a position for a decrease when the blue line at the top, which is our technical resistance, turns.
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I can draw it for you. Please write me privately.
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Trade Idea: DAX 40 (15m Chart)Trade Idea: DAX 40 (15m Chart)
Price is currently retracing towards a higher timeframe Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone. This area aligns with previous supply and offers a high-probability short setup. Once price enters this FVG, watch for bearish confirmation such as a rejection candle or a shift in market structure on lower timeframes.
DAX INTRADAY under pressure from 25% tariff on car imports The U.S. announced a 25% tariff on all car imports starting next week, pushing automaker stocks lower. Meanwhile, the EU expects Washington to impose double-digit tariffs across the bloc when Trump announces reciprocal levies on April 2, sources say. Trump also warned of more tariffs on the EU and Canada if they act against U.S. economic interests. The news weighed on the DAX 40, pressuring German automakers and exporters.
The DAX40 continues to exhibit bullish sentiment, breaking out from a period of sideways consolidation and pushing toward previous resistance and all-time highs (ATH). The prevailing uptrend supports further upside potential, with key resistance levels in focus.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 23,446
Resistance Level 2: 23,815
Resistance Level 3: 24,000 - 24,420
Support Level 1: 22,575
Support Level 2: 22,204
Support Level 3: 21,814
Conclusion:
The positive reaction to fiscal spending plans and geopolitical developments reinforces the bullish sentiment for DAX40. A sustained move above the nearest resistance at 23,446 could pave the way toward higher targets, while holding above support at 22,575 is crucial to maintaining the uptrend.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DAX Update – Wave IV in Focus
The current XETR:DAX FOREXCOM:GER40 PEPPERSTONE:GER40 structure appears to be unfolding as Wave IV of a larger impulsive move. The correction remains orderly so far, respecting the channel and the overall bullish structure.
At this point, the most likely scenario is the formation of a triangle within Wave IV. Price action and volume behavior suggest a sideways consolidation before the final push higher.
Once Wave IV completes, we can expect a final rally as Wave V, with a potential target zone around 23,800–25,000.
As long as the structure remains intact, the bullish outlook stays in play.
GERMAN 40 Long Positive Surprises?EU data going to be released:
M3 Money Supply y/y
Private Loans y/y
EU Economic Forecasts
Never the less,technically German 40 is providing very interesting oppurtunity
where the bulls are accumulatiing their positions
Chart:
green arrows: More buys/add to more buying positions
1 profit target,but 7 different entries for aggressive and conservative traders
red-line: Below the red line the strong bearish pressure is starting, where the bulls get bigtroubles.In this case,if the price holds just for a short time below the red zone,but returns back above,it will be a clear sign that the bulls are taking back control.
If not,the bullish trade setup is not valid anymore.
Also it is possible that winning trades should be liquidated immediately,once news catalysts/events cause the market to turn down(market trend change).
In this case I recommand to close immediately the positions, and waiting for new entry signal.
It can also happen, that we have to close the positions, and the price coming back to our origin entry. We can use the stup to enter again,once confirmation aligned with signals(Respecting/Rejecting OF THE RED LINE).
#DAX - 27 MarSimilar to SPX, DAX looks even more bearish based on price action.
IMO, as long as PZ holds, expect further downside.
de40how deep will that sink ? asking for friend.
Year of panic just begun as we can see over seas. Now "biggest europe economy" have to catch up.
European Markets to Continue rally ? BUY GER40 after retraceGER40 retraced this morning in an otherwise quiet market after european markets snapped a three day losing streak yesterday on news that Trump may soften his tariff stance .
Market is quiet until US opens , recent economic data still pointing to upside potential , charts indicating a good point to rebound from .
Stop 22725
Buy 22980
Take Profit 23308
E.
#DAX - 26 MarI called a good bottom yesterday and an almost 400 points up move.
Price is pulling back now. Looking at 23010-30 to hold for a move higher.
DAX Supercycle: Entering the Age of Global Distribution
The XETR:DAX PEPPERSTONE:GER40 FOREXCOM:GER40 appears to be entering a supercycle phase of global distribution — a period characterized by explosive long-term growth, but also extreme volatility along the way.
This phase is fueled by two key structural forces:
1. Ongoing fiat currency devaluation, which boosts nominal asset prices.
2. German multinational corporations — most of the DAX components are globally diversified businesses, not limited by domestic demand.
As long as these companies maintain solid cash flow and international market exposure, there’s a strong case for sustained growth in the index — despite interim corrections and shakeouts.
We're likely heading into a market environment where prices will advance in giant leaps, but corrections will be sharp and fast. Adaptability will be key.
Ger 30 Additional LookOutThis is what I wanted to talk about today, the gap might really mess with our heads if we are not careful enough. Please don't take the motivation offensive, I am just directing the message to people who are as stuck as I am. Happy Trading.
DAX 40 (DE40) Analysis – 25th March 2025Elliott Wave Count
Wave 1: Strong impulsive move upwards, establishing a bullish trend.
Wave 2: A corrective decline, respecting Fibonacci retracement levels.
Wave 3: Largest and most aggressive push, confirming bullish continuation.
Wave 4: Consolidation phase, finding support at a key level.
Wave 5: Final leg up, targeting resistance near historical highs.
Currently, the market is in Wave 5
Key Levels
Major Levels:
23,696 (Major Resistance)
22,883 (Key Support, currently holding)
21,963 (Deeper Support Level)
Mid Levels:
23,369 (Midway Resistance)
22,669 (Bullish Breakout Zone)
Minor Levels:
23,128 (Current Market Price Zone)
22,400 (Potential Retest)
Trading Strategy (Entry, SL, TP)
Buy Scenario:
Entry: 22,883
Stop Loss: 22,669
Take Profit 1: 23,369
Take Profit 2: 23,696
Sell Scenario (If Rejected at 23,696):
Entry: 23,696 (Strong rejection)
Stop Loss: 23,850
Take Profit 1: 23,128
Take Profit 2: 22,883
Bullish breakout above 23,369: 78%
Rejection from 23,696 & drop to 22,883: 62%
Market remains range-bound (between 22,883 - 23,369): 40%
Final Thoughts & Risk Management
The RSI broke out of a downtrend, aligning with a bullish continuation.
Risk-reward ratio is ideal for long entries, but careful monitoring is required near 23,696.
🔥 Conclusion: Bulls are in control, but a breakout above 23,369 is key for continuation. If rejected, shorts become viable.
DAX Euro Area flash PMI data triggered consolidation yesterdayThe DAX40 continues to exhibit bullish sentiment, breaking out from a period of sideways consolidation and pushing toward previous resistance and all-time highs (ATH). The prevailing uptrend supports further upside potential, with key resistance levels in focus.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 23,446
Resistance Level 2: 23,815
Resistance Level 3: 24,000 - 24,420
Support Level 1: 22,575
Support Level 2: 22,204
Support Level 3: 21,814
Conclusion:
The positive reaction to fiscal spending plans and geopolitical developments reinforces the bullish sentiment for DAX40. A sustained move above the nearest resistance at 23,446 could pave the way toward higher targets, while holding above support at 22,575 is crucial to maintaining the uptrend.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DAX H4 | Rising into resistanceDAX (GER30) is rising towards a swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 23,093.36 which is a swing-high resistance that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 23,260.00 which is a level that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 22,708.85 which is a swing-low support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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