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US DOLLAR CURRENCY INDEXUS DOLLAR CURRENCY INDEXUS DOLLAR CURRENCY INDEX

US DOLLAR CURRENCY INDEX

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Potential bullish rise?US Dollar Index (DXY) has reacted off the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 107.90 1st Support: 107.12 1st Resistance: 108.93 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
TVC:DXYLong
by ICmarkets
DXY Trading JournalDXY Trading Journal Jan23 Price is delivering to a Premium on the Daily, and a discount on the previous daily range its trading in. That said the previous session range is a Premium. Mondays candle took a 3 weeks of sell stop liquidity in one day creating equal lows to be taken yesterday clearing out liquidity from late Dec. Yesterday's candle also then created a wall of equal lows. Price on the HFT did in fact reach the .70 level and bounced off to seek lower prices. Ideally I would like to see Price seek higher prices and rebalance the 15M FVG and take out the clean equal highs for todays price action.
TVC:DXYLong
by LeanLena
DXY Long term Bullish biasWhy the Dollar Index is Likely to Rise in the Near Term: The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is poised for potential gains in the near term, driven by a combination of factors: Strong U.S. Economic Data: Recent economic reports show resilient U.S. growth, with solid GDP numbers and strong labor market data supporting the dollar’s upward trajectory. Fed's Hawkish Stance: The Federal Reserve remains committed to combating inflation, keeping interest rates elevated and signaling further tightening if necessary. Higher rates generally make the dollar more attractive to investors. Global Risk-Off Sentiment: Increasing geopolitical tensions and market uncertainty often push investors toward the U.S. dollar as a safe haven asset. This trend tends to drive up demand for USD during times of global instability. Euro Weakness: As the Eurozone faces its own economic challenges, including inflation concerns and weaker growth prospects, the Euro may remain under pressure, providing additional support to the dollar. Given these factors, the dollar appears well-positioned to strengthen in the short term, likely driving the DXY higher.
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by ChampionsFx
Why Tariffs & Why Now?Trump's tariffs aim to reshape international trade. They target imports from China, Mexico, and Canada starting February 1. The president sees tariffs as both a policy tool and a growing revenue stream. By imposing fees on foreign goods, he hopes to protect U.S. industries and encourage fair trade practices. U.S. manufacturers face an uneven playing field when compared to foreign counterparts like those in Mexico and China, due to differences in regulations and quality controls. For instance, China doesn’t have strict regulations like OSHA, which ensures worker safety and environmental standards in the U.S. Additionally, Chinese manufacturers often don't face the same level of quality control scrutiny that domestic manufacturing companies do. These disparities make it difficult to directly compare commodities, as U.S. manufacturers shoulder higher costs to comply with regulations, while foreign manufacturers benefit from fewer restrictions. As a result, domestic manufacturers and distributors struggle to compete on price, which is one of the reasons tariffs are viewed as protecting national strategic interest. Jamie Dimon, CEO of JPMorgan Chase, in a CNBC interview today from Davos, Switzerland, where the World Economic Forum is taking place said, “I would put in perspective: If it’s a little inflationary, but it’s good for national security, so be it. I mean, get over it.” Citation: www.cnn.com Tariffs are not new to Trump’s strategy. The trade war with China in 2018 established a framework for using tariffs to gain leverage. This latest round builds on that approach, with broader goals for economic influence. Trump has proposed a 10% tariff on Chinese goods. The reasoning ties to China’s fentanyl production and export practices. This decision follows conversations with China’s President Xi Jinping. Trump urged stricter measures against fentanyl production and shipping, linking it to broader trade concerns. American businesses already face up to 25% tariffs on many Chinese imports. These new fees would add further strain to supply chains, raising prices for consumers. However, it will promote domestic manufacturing and bulster this important sector of the economy. Mexico and Canada are also in Trump’s sights. He plans to impose 25% tariffs on goods imported from these neighboring countries. Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has expressed concerns saying that Canada supplies vital materials like oil, steel, and lumber. He went on to claim that the U.S. Tariffs could disrupt this trade and raise costs for American industries. Both nations aim to avoid direct trade conflict while protecting their economies from potential damage. Trump’s tariffs serve multiple purposes. They are designed to pressure trade partners, reduce deficits, and address what he views as unfair practices. Tariffs also play a role in domestic revenue generation. They are a tax on imported goods, and higher tariffs mean more money for government programs. Economists warn of potential downsides, including higher consumer prices. Some argue that the inflationary effects could complicate the Federal Reserve’s plans for interest rate cuts. Let's explore that further now. What does the data say concerning Tariffs? The ISM Manufacturing PMI (Purchasing Managers' Index) is a key economic indicator that measures the health of the U.S. manufacturing sector. Compiled through surveys of supply chain executives, it tracks new orders, production, employment, supplier deliveries, and inventory levels. A reading above 50 indicates expansion, while a reading below 50 signals contraction. As a barometer of economic activity, the PMI provides valuable insight into broader economic trends and business conditions. Since the second half of 2022, the ISM Manufacturing PMI has been in contraction territory, reflecting ongoing struggles in the manufacturing sector. Factors such as high interest rates, which increase borrowing costs for businesses, and weaker global demand have weighed heavily on production. Tariffs, while aimed at protecting domestic manufacturing, could potentially exacerbate these challenges by raising input costs, further pressuring profit margins. Critics argue that higher tariffs could contribute to inflation, limiting the Federal Reserve’s ability to lower interest rates and support broader economic growth. A strong dollar has also added to manufacturers' woes, echoing the environment during Trump's 2017 inauguration. A strong dollar makes U.S. exports more expensive and imports cheaper, reducing competitiveness for domestic manufacturers. In 2017, the dollar weakened after initial strength leading into the Trump inaguration, providing a temporary boost to manufacturing by making exports more affordable and imports pricier. A similar trend today could aid the sector, but its timing and magnitude remain uncertain, leaving manufacturers navigating a complex and challenging economic environment. A strong dollar is closely tied to domestic interest rates, as higher rates make U.S. financial assets more attractive to global investors. With the Federal Reserve’s benchmark interest rate, or Fed Funds Rate, at elevated levels, there is a strong incentive for multinational corporations and foreign investors to acquire dollars to purchase U.S. Treasuries. These assets offer a combination of safety and competitive yields, drawing capital inflows that drive up demand for the dollar. For instance, the U.S. 2-year Treasury yield currently sits at 4.295%, significantly higher than China’s 2-year yield of 1.26%. This wide yield differential makes U.S. Treasuries a far more appealing investment, strengthening the dollar in the process. The Fed’s success in controlling inflation has further bolstered the dollar's appeal. As inflation trends downward toward the 2% target, the relative stability of the U.S. economy enhances confidence in dollar-denominated assets. This dynamic creates a feedback loop: high interest rates attract foreign capital, which strengthens the dollar, making U.S. exports more expensive and imports cheaper. While this helps curb inflation, it poses challenges for domestic manufacturing by eroding competitiveness. This delicate balance underscores the complexity of managing monetary policy while considering its ripple effects on trade and the broader economy. One bright spot for domestic manufacturing is that it appears to have hit rock bottom after years of sharp declines. Similar to the transportation sector, which shows signs of recovery as reflected in the recent ATA tonnage index, manufacturing seems to be stabilizing. The worst may be over, and the sector is finally showing signs of life. New orders for manufacturing have moved back into growth mode, offering hope for a sustained rebound. This shift signals that demand is returning, which could provide a foundation for manufacturers to rebuild and capitalize on future opportunities.
TVC:DXY
by ZenMode
TRUMP Trade - US Dollar short - ? Hello everyone! There is a high probability that the dollar rally has come to an end. It appears that the impulse, which could have formed wave ((C)) within a flat correction, has possibly completed. This flat correction, in turn, may be wave b of a presumed zigzag. If this is the case, there is a high likelihood of the dollar declining to the level of 95.50, with a strong resistance level at 98.80. We are observing a bearish divergence between the price and indicators, which suggests a possible trend reversal or at least a correction. Fundamentally, there don’t seem to be any clear reasons for the dollar to weaken, but… price comes first.
CAPITALCOM:DXYShort
by AUREA_RATIO
11
US Dollar Bearish Trend: Key Insights Analyzed**Is the US Dollar Heading for a Bearish Turn? Key Insights to Watch** The US dollar has been a hot topic lately, and for good reason. With Donald Trump back in office and the motto being *AMERICA FIRST*, the currency’s trajectory is under scrutiny. As many of you know, the Trump administration has historically favored a weaker US dollar and lower interest rates. The rationale? A weaker dollar can boost exports, while lower rates are seen as a way to stimulate economic growth. This approach was a hallmark of Trump’s first term, and it looks like we might see a repeat. Another key factor to consider is Trump’s focus on increasing crude oil and natural gas production. Higher energy output could lead to lower energy prices, which would further support economic growth. However, this could also weigh on the dollar, as lower energy prices often correlate with a weaker currency. Looking back to 2016–2017, when Trump first took office, the US dollar initially surged but then reversed sharply in January 2017, marking the start of a prolonged bearish trend. Fast forward to today, and we’re seeing similar patterns emerge. The wedge formation on the Dollar Index suggests limited upside potential, and a break below key support levels—specifically 108 and 107.58—could confirm that a bearish trend is underway. If those levels fail to hold, the next area to watch would be the 107 to 106 demand zones. This scenario aligns with what we’ve been discussing over the past few weeks. If the Dollar Index breaks below these critical levels, it could signal the completion of the wedge pattern and the beginning of a new bearish phase for the US dollar. What does this mean for traders and investors? Keep a close eye on the Dollar Index and watch for those key support levels. A break below them could present significant opportunities, but it’s also a reminder to stay cautious and informed. What are your thoughts on the US dollar’s trajectory? Do you think history will repeat itself, or are there other factors at play? Let’s discuss in the comments! #USD #Forex #Trading #Economy #Trump #DollarIndex #Investing #Markets
TVC:DXYShort
by forex_forge
Monthly CLS, KL Monthly OB, Model 1 , ReversalMonthly CLS, KL Monthly OB, Model 1 , Reversal you are welcome to comment with your thoughts and share your charts or questions below, I like any constructive discussion. What is CLS? This company is trading for the biggest investment banks and central banks. They trade over 6.5 trillion daily volume. They are smart money of the all markets. CLS operates in the specific times which will give you huge advantage and precisions to you entries. Focus on that. Its accuracy is amazing. Good luck and I hope this educational post helps to become better trader “Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own.” Dave FX Hunter ⚔
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by David_Perk
17
DXY in 4H timeframehello dear traders U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) and the potential for a correction over the next month: Federal Reserve Monetary Policy: If the Federal Reserve signals a slowdown or pause in its rate hikes, it could put downward pressure on the DXY. Upcoming speeches or FOMC minutes will be key indicators to watch. U.S. Economic Data: Weaker-than-expected economic data, such as lower GDP growth, higher unemployment rates, or declining inflation, could suggest a less aggressive Fed policy, leading to a potential correction in the dollar. Global Economic Trends and Risk Sentiment: Increased risk appetite in global markets could drive investors toward riskier assets (like equities or emerging market currencies), reducing demand for the dollar as a safe-haven asset. Geopolitical and International Developments: Any easing of geopolitical tensions or positive trade agreements between major economies could diminish the dollar’s safe-haven appeal and contribute to a potential correction. Correlated Markets like Gold and Oil: Rising prices in gold or oil often correlate with a weaker dollar. If these assets strengthen, it could be a sign of dollar weakness. In summary, weaker U.S. data or dovish signals from the Fed, combined with a more favorable global economic environment, could increase the likelihood of a DXY correction over the next month.
TVC:DXYShort
by mehdi_kb
Dollar Index Technical AnalysisThe Dollar Index (DXY) has reached a key weekly resistance zone around 110.26, as shown in the chart. Here's a breakdown of the technical analysis: Resistance at 110.26: This level has acted as a critical barrier, causing the current pullback. The index has struggled to sustain momentum above this zone, indicating potential exhaustion for bulls. Trend Reversal Signals: The large rejection candles at resistance indicate seller dominance. If the weekly close remains below 109, we could see sustained bearish momentum. Support Levels Below: 105.35–105.66: Key support zone acting as the next likely target for bears. 103.33–103.82: A significant level to watch if the decline accelerates, providing a potential buy zone. Shift in COT Data: The bearish shift in the COT index aligns with the resistance rejection, adding fundamental weight to the technical setup. Outlook: With Trump’s policy announcements expected soon, the DXY is at a critical turning point. A break below the immediate support at 108.79 could lead to a drop toward the 105 range. Conversely, if bulls defend this zone, we might see a retest of the 110 resistance. Trade with caution, as geopolitical and policy events may drive volatility in the coming weeks.
TVC:DXYShort
by Mike_SnD
1
DXY Is Going Up! Buy! Take a look at our analysis for DXY. Time Frame: 12h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 108.100. The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 109.402 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TVC:DXYLong
by SignalProvider
1
Dollar Index (DXY) Analysis - January 21, 2025Dollar Index (DXY) Analysis - January 21, 2025 The Dollar Index (DXY) is currently trading at 108.70, up 0.90% from the previous close. The index is hovering below the key pivot point at 109.40, a crucial level that could dictate the next directional move. Immediate resistance stands at 110.20. On the downside, support is seen at 107.90, with further cushion at 106.80 and 106.00. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
TVC:DXYShort
by KlejdiCuni
7
DXY SELL ENTRY MODULEThe DXY is currently testing a key demand level. If a further drop is to unfold, I anticipate a valid retest before it taps into the supply OB and continues its descent. Watch for the price to enter our expected zone, confirm the setup, and then execute your trade. Always set a stop-loss for your trades to protect your capital and manage risk effectively. Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio. #DXY 1H Technical Analyze Expected Move.
TVC:DXYShort
by TradeTacticsreal
DXYThe U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) tracks the value of the U.S. dollar against a group of major global currencies, including the euro, Japanese yen, British pound, Canadian dollar, Swedish krona, and Swiss franc. Recently, the dollar experienced a slight decline, partly due to the start of the new U.S. presidential administration, which did not immediately introduce new tariffs. This led to reduced concerns over trade restrictions, causing a modest pullback in the dollar’s value. Despite this short-term dip, the dollar has strengthened over the past year, supported by solid economic performance in the U.S. Financial experts expect the dollar to maintain its strength in the coming months, though potential shifts in trade policies, especially concerning Canada and Mexico, could influence its future direction. Key dates related to trade policy decisions may bring volatility, and analysts are closely watching upcoming reports that could lead to new tariff implementations, affecting the dollar’s trajectory.
FXOPEN:DXYLong
by HavalMamar