DXY trade ideas
$DXY broke structure to the downside.Now waiting for price to retrace into the lower cause/effect zone—ideally the origin of the last impulsive move down.
If that fails, I’ll be watching for a deeper retracement into the discounted schematic, where higher timeframe liquidity sits.
Not chasing—waiting for price to come to me.
DeGRAM | DXY has broken the downward structureThe DXY is under a descending channel above the trend lines.
The price has broken the upper trend line.
The chart maintains a harmonic pattern and has already broken the descending structure.
We expect a rise after consolidation above the resistance level.
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DXY Current Outlook 4hr , Daily and weekly analysisAt its current level, the DXY (US Dollar Index) is at a critical zone where a potential bullish reversal could occur. It is plausible that the index could reverse somewhere between the 99.50 – 98.00 range. However, there is also a possibility that this zone could break, leading to further downside continuation, potentially targeting the 96.23 – 93.95 levels.
It’s important to always watch for potential reversal signs at key levels. The reversal, if it happens, will likely be confirmed by certain indicators or patterns—like reversal candlestick formations—that we’ve mentioned before. Once price reaches those zones, look out for any of those confirmation signals, and use your own trading experience to validate them.
That being said, it’s also realistic to consider that the current zone (between 99.00 – 98.00) might already be the point where the dollar begins a strong recovery.
Note: All scenarios are valid, and key levels should be monitored closely for signs of a shift in momentum TVC:DXY
Dollar Index Monthly Review: Key Support Levels with the help ofIn the first Fibonacci setup, we observe a retracement of the index to the 61.8% Fibonacci level, after which a trendline could be drawn. Applying a second Fibonacci retracement on the chart reveals that the Dollar Index once again found support within the 50.0%-61.8% zone.
In January of this year, the dollar attempted to break above the 110.00 level but encountered resistance at the 61.8% bullish retracement level. This led to another pullback, increasing the likelihood of a decline toward the trendline in the 98.50-99.00 zone. The 100.00 level is expected to act as support, though a temporary dip below this level within a consolidation phase is possible before another solid support is established.
Once a new support base is confirmed, the Dollar Index could initiate the next bullish rally, potentially forming a new high above the 116.00 level.
The impact of tariffs on the DXYIn the long term, the imposition of tariffs will trigger countermeasures from trading partners 😡, leading to a shrinkage of the global trade scale 😔. The import costs of raw materials for American enterprises will rise, and their export markets will be restricted, which will curb the economic growth of the United States 😩. This will exert depreciation pressure on the US dollar, causing the DXY to decline 📉.
U.S. Tariff Policies
Since April 9th, the United States has imposed tariffs ranging from 10% to 25% on goods from China, the European Union, Canada, and other regions, covering key sectors such as automobiles, steel, and semiconductors.😒
Countermeasures of Various Countries
China: On April 4th, China announced that it would impose a 34% tariff on U.S. goods starting from April 10th. On April 9th, the tariff rate was further increased to 84%, covering all U.S. goods.😠
The European Union: Announced that it would impose a 25% tariff on U.S. motorcycles, diamonds, and other goods starting from May 16th.😤
Canada: Imposed a 25% retaliatory tariff on U.S. automobiles on April 9th, but exempted auto parts.😏
This upward movement has led to the clearing of many traders' accounts or significant losses 😫. You can follow my signals and gradually recover your losses and achieve profitability 🌟.
💰💰💰 DXY 💰💰💰
🎯 Sell@103 - 100
🎯 TP 96 - 94
Traders, if you're fond of this perspective or have your own insights regarding it, feel free to share in the comments. I'm really looking forward to reading your thoughts! 🤗
DXY NEXT MOVE AND MARKET EFFECTThe US Dollar Index (DXY) is currently testing a major multi-year support zone around the 99.70–100.00 level. This level has held firm multiple times in the past, acting as a strong demand area during key macroeconomic cycles. Right now, price action is showing indecision with a clear do-or-die moment forming. If bulls defend this zone, we could witness a significant bullish reversal, potentially targeting the 103.00–105.00 range. However, a decisive break below this support could trigger a bearish wave toward the 96.00 handle or even lower.
Technically, this zone is not just psychological, but also a structural demand region, aligning with previous swing lows and price pivots. We’re seeing a potential for either a double bottom reversal or a breakdown structure forming, depending on how the market reacts in the coming sessions. Price is extremely oversold on higher timeframes, which could fuel a relief rally if momentum shifts. The reaction here will be key for broader market direction, especially as the dollar plays a pivotal role across forex majors.
Fundamentally, the DXY is under pressure as recent U.S. macro data reveals weakening momentum. March CPI printed hotter than expected, but other indicators like core PCE, NFP softness, and signs of slowing consumer demand are fueling expectations that the Fed may be nearing a policy pivot. At the same time, global risk sentiment is improving and yields have pulled back slightly, putting pressure on the greenback. However, rising geopolitical tensions and elevated oil prices continue to support USD as a safe-haven asset.
As a professional trader, this is a critical level to watch. I’m keeping an eye on price action confirmation for either a bullish engulfing setup or a clean break and retest of the 99.50 level. Both scenarios offer high-probability trades. Patience here is crucial — let the market reveal its hand, then align with the momentum. Dollar volatility is likely to remain elevated heading into next week, so managing risk with clarity is key.
DXY/USD sell 1D chart analysisThis chart is for the US Dollar Index (DXY) on the daily timeframe (1D) from FXOPEN. It shows a clear bearish trend structure with multiple CHoCH (Change of Character) and Break of Structure (BoS) labels, indicating a bearish market sentiment.
Chart Analysis Summary:
The DXY is in a downtrend, showing successive lower highs and lower lows.
There's a strong supply zone marked in red around the 107.8–110.8 level.
Price has just broken below a previous structure, suggesting continuation downward.
Trade Setup (SELL):
Entry Point: Around 99.800 (current price zone or slightly after a minor pullback)
Stop Loss (SL): 101.00 (above the most recent high/supply zone and invalidation area)
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 96.000 (first key support zone)
Final Target (TP2): 89.400 (major support zone as seen on the chart)
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DXY SELL SETUP – Daily Timeframe
The US Dollar Index (DXY) has shown multiple bearish CHoCH and BOS confirmations. Price has broken key structure and is currently retesting a premium area. We are anticipating continued bearish pressure based on trend structure and liquidity targets below.
Entry: 99.800
Stop Loss: 101.000
Take Profit 1: 96.000
Final Target: 89.400
This setup aligns with overall market structure and momentum. Stay updated for management and scaling instructions.
Dollar Index - Short Term Relief Rally Upcoming?From the beginning of 2025, it's been nothing but pain in the markets; bearish prices on bearish prices and it's not looking like it's the ends.
But wheat happens when the market is trading one way for a long time is you tend to have short squeezes. This is where traders place and trail their stop losses above recent highs with the expectation that the market will not reverse back into the highs before continuing lower.
I believe something like this can play out this week It all depends on Sundays opening....
U.S. DOLLAR INDEX (DXY) | MACRO OUTLOOKWe’re currently trading at $99.58 — down 8.2% from the recent high around $114.77. Looking at this 12M chart, we see DXY failing to hold its breakout above the previous cycle highs.
🟣 Key Historical Levels:
Last major high: 1985 peak
Previous structure high: $121.18
Long-term support zones: $88.25, $75, and $72.81
🔻 Macro view suggests we could be entering another multi-year corrective phase if momentum doesn’t reclaim previous highs.
What’s next? Will the dollar revisit deeper support — or surprise us with a reclaim and breakout?
👁 Stay alert. This chart isn’t just about the USD — it impacts commodities, equities, emerging markets, and crypto.
#DXY #USDollar #MacroTrading #LongTermOutlook #DollarIndex #TechnicalAnalysis #SmartMoneyMoves #RecessionWatch
DXY 4H TIME-FRAME ANALYSIS Okay, here's a description of the image:
The image shows a 4-hour price chart for the DXY (US Dollar Index).
Key points:
Downtrend: The index is generally in a downtrend.
Support and Resistance: A resistance zone is visible around 110.175, and a support level is around 97.921. Another resistance level is near 102.925.
Recent Price Action: The price has recently broken below the 102.925 level and is currently fluctuating around 99.581.
Dollar False-break or break down????
1. **Entry:**
- Wait for confirmed false break below weekly deviation channel ( Short)
- Enter long after price reclaims support and shows bullish reversal (long)
- Alternative: Short on confirmed breakdown below channel with follow-through
2. **Stop Loss:**
- False break long: Below recent swing low
- Confirmed breakdown short: Above broken support level
3. **Take Profit:**
- False break long: Previous resistance or mean deviation line
- Breakdown short: Next major support level or extension of channel height
4. **Key Confirmations:**
- Candle patterns daily and weekly
- Weekly close position relative to deviation channel
- Follow-through in subsequent weekly candle
- Correlation check with major pairs (EUR/USD, GBP/USD)
5. **Management:**
- Give trade room to develop (weekly timeframe requires patience)
- Scale in to reduce risk
- Scale out at significant levels
DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) AnalysisDXY, or the U.S. Dollar Index, is an index that measures the value of the American dollar against major currencies such as the Euro (EUR), Japanese Yen (JPY), British Pound (GBP), Canadian Dollar (CAD), Swedish Krona (SEK), and Swiss Franc (CHF). An increase in the DXY indicates that the dollar has strengthened against these currencies; a decrease signifies that it has weakened. This index is susceptible to global economic outlook, interest rates, and geopolitical developments.
In the past, with Donald Trump's rise to the presidency, expectations of rising inflation in the markets had strengthened. This had caused the DXY to rise from the 100 level to 109. However, the tariffs implemented by Trump and the trade wars he initiated weakened the dollar in the long run, leading to a downward trend in the DXY.
As of today, the DXY has technically reached an important support level. At the same time, major currencies forming the index, such as GBP, EUR, and JPY, are trading at resistance points. This situation increases the likelihood of the dollar reacting from this level. If the support level is maintained, we may see an upward movement in the DXY. Conversely, if the support is broken, a deeper downward movement in the dollar index may begin.
DXYThe US Dollar Index (DXY) is showing a downward trend as institutional investors continue to prioritize selling over buying. This sentiment is reflected in the increasing number of sell orders compared to buy orders.
Key Observations:
- DXY price action indicates a bearish trend.
- Institutional investors are adding more sells than buys, contributing to the downward pressure.
Trading Implications:
- Short positions may be favored given the prevailing bearish sentiment.
- Traders should monitor key support levels for potential breakouts or reversals.
Make US(and USD) weak again, and short DXY 99,358Hey traders, this is a fundamentally and technically based idea. I´m expecting a weakening of USD due to actual US goverment policy. Important weekly lenel 100,600 was broken and holding. If you decide to trade this idea, you can enter now at current price 99,358 and hold till profit lines. TP your trade partially. You can consider averaging at 100,600 instead of cutloss after the reaction. Wish you good luck.