aiyerr...indeed acrophobia!www.tradingview.com
Hello everyone! the 'sesame door' seems did not fully open 🔓
😂 😂 😂
⏰⏰⏰Cautious!! it open Lo and sellers volume overpower buyers.
HSI:HSI
D chart on HSI
The next strong resistance will be the last Oct2024 Hi at 23241. - It's seems need more booster to reach.
How far to reach the ATH from today? from previous post as predicted it's not that far! - So close yet so far.
We definitely be there this week! --- never time the market we react according to how it moves. This seems unlikely to happen this week unless the sesame door open! 😂
From the soar early this week, today seems facing strong selling for profit taking.
KDJ - is at overbought and red zone and now turning to red bearish zone.
PEPPERSTONE:HK50
Look at the 4H chart
MACD - above zero level - Bullish zone but deadcross formed and curving down.
KDJ - Bearish mode continues.
BB - entering lower BB channel and ranging at lower BB.
Today Trade Plan:
Buy into support : 22310 - 22450
Sell at resistance : 22677-22700
Look at the 1H chart.
⏰ Be cautious and pay attention to the reversal to enter for higher chance winning trade!
Monitor the 1H,4H movement with confirmation using MACD & KDJ indicator.
Set your tf, have your entry and exit plan!
Pay attention to the Goldencross/DeadCross; practice makes perfect.
Let's follow our own strategy and zen with 📙 and 🍵.
Happy Trading everyone!
Reminder : start to accumulate China & HKG for the potential upside for the year! Today retracement is a good entry point.
HKEX:2800 HKEX:2823 HKEX:2801 HKEX:3067
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HSI trade ideas
Is the handshake with magic lantern signal the 'open sesame'?Hello everyone have you found your magic🏮 yet?
😂 😂 😂
Retracement is healthy for continuous bullish mode.
HSI:HSI
D chart on HSI
As mentioned before :-The next strong resistance will be the last Oct2024 Hi at 23241.
How far to reach the ATH from today? from previous post as predicted it's not that far!
We definitely be there this week!
From the soar early this week, today expecting a pullback in order to retest the Hi.
KDJ - is at overbought and red zone.
Look at the 4H chart
PEPPERSTONE:HK50
MACD - bullish zone
KDJ - now at overbought and retracement mode (bearish mode)
BB - Index continue trading above BB midline and stay within upper BB channel. Be cautious and it could retrace to lower BB range.
Today Trade Plan:
Buy into support : 22550 - 22665 (key support level for 1H Chart)
Sell at resistance : 22800 -22890
Look at the 1H chart.
MACD : it is still at bullish zone but cautious if its not above stay above the support level and might break below zero line and turned bearish.
KDJ : retraced completed and reversal from oversold zone turning into green.
BB : start coming down trade range at lower BB range. Potential for accumulation and easy win when it hit the bottom of lower BB.
Lower BB : Today support level should be at 22475- 22570 (to continue bullish it needs to stay above this level)
Resistance : 22900-23000
Monitor the 1H,4H movement with confirmation using MACD & KDJ indicator.
Set your tf, have your entry and exit plan!
Pay attention to the Goldencross/DeadCross; practice makes perfect.
Let's follow our own strategy and zen with 📙 and 🍵.
Happy Trading everyone!
Hope you found your magic🏮, rub it and whisper your own "open sesame" phrase and boom!
www.straitstimes.com
Reminder : still early and start to accumulate China & HKG for the potential upside for the year!
HKEX:2800 HKEX:2823 HKEX:2801 HKEX:3067
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China Tech-RallyBy Ion Jauregui – ActivTrades Analyst
Chinese technology companies have experienced a strong stock market rally following President Xi Jinping's recent show of support for the private sector. During a meeting with executives from leading technology companies, Xi emphasized the “great potential” of the sector and the importance of reaffirming confidence in the Chinese economy. This statement boosted the Hang Seng Tech Index by 3.04% in the morning session and reaffirms the optimism surrounding the growth of the Chinese technology sector.
Tencent: Consolidating its leadership
Tencent, one of China's technology giants, posted a 3.42% rise on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. The company, with a strong presence in video games, social networks and fintech, has benefited from recent government backing. Despite the strict regulations imposed in recent years, Tencent has been able to adapt to the regulations and strengthen its business model, diversifying its revenue sources. Macroeconomic stability and confidence in the sector could favor its growth in the short term.
BYD: Rise of the electric vehicle
Electric vehicle manufacturer BYD has also been boosted by Xi's statements. Although its growth has been steady, renewed confidence in the private sector may help it consolidate its leadership against global competitors. With government support in energy transition and technology development, BYD could benefit from incentives to expand its production and exports.
Didi: Overcoming the regulatory crisis
Didi, known as the “Chinese Uber,” has been one of the companies hardest hit by the government's regulatory crackdown. However, recent backing for private companies suggests a possible easing of restrictions, which could boost its recovery in the markets. The reopening of the Chinese technology market and strengthening domestic consumption could improve its prospects going forward.
HKIND Analysis
Currently the index has pierced the January 2023 high price around 22,964 and seems to have fractured the long-term downtrend. The trend rebound that has initiated this recovery started in April 2024. Currently the Checkpoint (POC) is around 17,200 points with the last high at 19,437 points. RSI is currently highly oversold at 79.03% so a correction towards 21,304 could occur if the current price high of 23,274 is not pierced strongly. This could lead to a possible temporary sideways movement of the index. If this happens, the index will try to regain its next price zone around 25,082 and then 26,911 points.
Xi Jinping's recent endorsement is a turning point for the Chinese technology sector, providing stability and confidence to investors. While regulatory challenges remain, growth potential remains high for companies such as Tencent, BYD and Didi.
*******************************************************************************************
The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication.
All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information.
Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
Acrophobia? or climbing higher?Are you acrophobia?
Hello everyone, the blossom of HSI is around the corner
HSI:HSI
D chart on HSI
As mentioned before :-The next strong resistance will be the last Oct2024 Hi at 23241.
How far to reach the ATH from today? from previous post as predicted it's not that far!
We definitely be there this week!
Look at the 4H chart
PEPPERSTONE:HK50
MACD - bullish zone
KDJ - Bullish
BB - Index continue trading above BB midline and stay at upper BB channel.
Today Trade Plan:
Buy into support : 22500-22600
Sell at resistance : 23100 -23300 (the last Oct 2024 Hi - 23241)
Look at the 1H chart.
MACD formed GoldenCross again!
KDJ also is at bullish green zone and at bullish level.
BB : above upper BB 22630 - 22950
Lower BB : Today support level should be at 22500 (to continue the rally needs to stay above this level)
Resistance : 23100-23300
Monitor the 1H,4H movement with confirmation using MACD & KDJ indicator.
Set your tf, have your entry and exit plan!
Pay attention to the Goldencross/DeadCross; practice makes perfect.
Let's follow our own strategy and zen with 📙 and 🍵.
Happy Trading everyone!
Start to accumulate China & HKG for the potential upside for the year!
HKEX:2801 HKEX:2800 HKEX:2823
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CHINA’S TECH SURGE—AI HYPE, HOT MONEY, AND LINGERING DOUBTSCHINA’S TECH SURGE—AI HYPE, HOT MONEY, AND LINGERING DOUBTS
(1/9)
Big News: China’s tech sector is on fire 🔥📈 in 2025, driven by AI breakthroughs and a softer regulatory vibe from Beijing. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index is up 13% YTD, outpacing the S&P 500 (+4%). Is this a tech golden age or a speculative bubble? Let’s break it down! 🚀
(2/9) – STOCKS IN FOCUS
• Alibaba: +50% (Hong Kong) 💥
• Xiaomi: +35% 📱
• Baidu: +30% 🔍
• BYD: +25% 🚗
The Hang Seng Tech Index has soared 30% since mid-January, hitting a 3-year high 🎉. Trading volumes are through the roof!
(3/9) – WHY THE SURGE?
• DeepSeek’s cost-effective AI model sparks global buzz 🤖
• Alibaba’s AI partnership with Apple + Jack Ma’s reappearance with Xi Jinping 🇨🇳
• Beijing hints at easing its tech crackdown, boosting investor confidence 💸
(4/9) – ‘HOT MONEY’ DRIVING THE RALLY
• Speculative capital—“hot money”—from hedge funds and retail traders fuels the boom 💨
• Trading volumes spike, but big institutional investors (pension funds, etc.) stay cautious 🧐
• Analysts warn: Momentum, not fundamentals, is driving this rally 📉
(5/9) – AI BREAKTHROUGHS: REAL OR HYPE?
• DeepSeek’s AI model hailed as a game-changer, but details are thin 🤔
• Social media buzz calls it a “bull market” for Chinese tech 🐂
• Critics say it’s more sentiment than substance—China’s history of overpromising looms large ⚠️
(6/9) – REGULATORY REPRIEVE OR TEMPORARY TRUCE?
• Xi Jinping meets tech leaders, signaling a thaw after years of crackdowns 🏛️
• Investors scour photos for clues—Alibaba and Tencent back in favor? 📸
• Skeptics question if it’s a genuine shift or a short-term tactic to prop up the economy 😬
(7/9) – RISKS VS. REWARDS
• Risks: Geopolitical tensions, trade tariffs, and competition from Western tech (e.g., Nvidia’s $589B drop) 🌍
• Rewards: If AI delivers and Beijing stays supportive, Chinese tech could dominate globally 🌟
• The rally’s fate hinges on sustainability—will the gains stick? 🤝
(8/9) – Will China’s tech surge last?
1️⃣ Yes—AI and policy shifts will fuel a new golden age.
2️⃣ Maybe—Short-term gains, but long-term doubts remain.
3️⃣ No—Speculative bubble will burst soon.
Vote below! 🗳️👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY
China’s tech rally is a wild ride 🌍—AI hype, “hot money,” and a regulatory truce are driving stocks sky-high. But with big investors on the sidelines and risks aplenty, it’s a fragile boom. Will Beijing and AI deliver, or is this another fleeting frenzy? Stay tuned! 💪
China stocks ready to go? #DeepSeek another reason..This is a chart of the benchmark index for Hong Kong - HK50
It's up on Monday, while Nvidia is down 10+%
If funds are flowing out of Nvidia - China (home of DeepSeek) could be one place they end up.
The Hang Seng is a perfect example of how long a trend can take to reverse.
How many times would traders have tried to go long this index only to see it slump right back towards the bottom?
Now while this trend reversal might be delayed further - and might fail altogether - we think there is enough evidence to suggest a reversal is happening.
The price is above a rising weekly 30 week SMA
A long term trendline has broken
Crucially - the price made a double bottom pattern around 15,000
DAILY CHART
On the daily chart we see the strong surge in buying interest from September has given way to a long multi-month correction.
We are looking for a breakout above the down trendline to demonstrate the correction has finished and a new up-leg is beginning.
The final confirmation would come from a break of resistance (not drawn) from the November and December highs at 21,350.
Should the price turn lower and make a new fractal low under 19,650 then we’ll have to wait a bit longer for the Hang Seng trend reversal.
But - as always - that’s just how the team and I are seeing things, what do you think?
Share your ideas with us - OR - send us a request!
Fractal ChinaFollow the yellow brick road. China, being a new raging global economy means it is being overlooked by current global prices. China develops almost everything but yet the valuation has been stagnant due to its real estate collapse. This indicates that China is still a risky asset and not fully valued. A good play for the next 10 years in the making.
#002 Trust The Process HK33HKD Buy 1104SGT 14022025No idea why I didn't log in this trade.
40% winrate = breakeven.
Even if my actual winrate is below 40%, let's say, 30%, or 25%, I am still making something back. Even though I am making below breakeven. I will be getting something back. Even with losses, I could have some useul information to work with.
I am thinking of trading like my stocks portfolio which I buy and forget. Price went up and down but eventually I came out in the green just by buying good reputable strong and relevant companies.
40% - 25% = -15% loss. it's just 15R loss. Just anchor on the 40% breakeven need.
Above, is profit. Below is data. Everything will be fine. I never learned to trust the process, but now I am older and my prefrontal cortex has developed, I see things more accurately between the lines. On similar levels to my peers around my age.
Previously, I tend to over-extend or under-extend. Now, I am able to hold myself, give a flat face before I make a decision.
Making decisions on the spot require the guts to move away without buying the fixie bike you want. or getting the face paint you want at your primary school carnival due to your extremely sensitive skin issue which you didn't understand back then.
Your parents also do not know how to communicate the options, and teach you how to negotiate. But all is fine. You am able to do it now on your own, even though you are a late bloomer.
Wear it if it fits.
1112SGT 14022025
where we are in Hang Seng IndexFrom a hated market to one that is talk of the town , how long more will HSI enjoy this glorious moment? Will it short lived as shown on the chart ? In Jan 2023, it crashed more than 30% to 14, 696 before the government announced measures to prop it up. State banks and insurance companies were tasked to buy up the indices and interest rates were low to help them tide over.
Then in Oct 2024, the 2nd peak arrives and people were hoping it will surpassed the first one and continued the rally. Much to their disappointment, it went south for another 20% before what we are witnessing now.
Will this 3rd round of peaking be the same? Another 10% drop or will it goes sideway for a while before finding strong buying momentum from other fund investors and retail investors who are still sitting on the side bench and waiting for an opportunity to get in?
A pull back of 5-10% will be healthy as it has been going up for these past weeks. Thanks to Deepseek and now we are seeing many Chinese Tech firms collaborating with them.
Please note that those who bought 2-3 years back in 2021/2 may not be able to hold their positions for too long. They wanted to break even or take a small profit and thus some selling is expected at this current price level.
Accumulate on weakness.
keep climbing after a short rest!TGIF everyone & Happy V day! HSI continue sending love 📦 & 💷 to who pay attention to it!
HSI:HSI
D chart on HSI
The next strong resistance will be the last Oct2024 Hi at 23241.
How far to reach the ATH from today? Estimated : 1061pts to go (~4.79%); is not that far!
Expecting and allow some retreat a healthy pullback these two weeks.
Look at the 4H chart
PEPPERSTONE:HK50
MACD - now at bullish zone with inverted red histogram.
KDJ - Bearish zone and likely to reverse.
BB - Index continue trading above BB midline and stay at upper BB channel.
Today Trade Plan:
Buy into support : 21090-22000
Sell at resistance : 22230-22300
(trade range : 301pts; ~1.37%)
Look at the 1H chart.
MACD formed GoldenCross this morning.
KDJ also is at bullish green zone and at bullish level (after yesterday pullback and reverse from oversold zone)
BB : above upper BB 21930 - 22300
Lower BB : 21910 ( today support level should be at 21600)
Resistance : 22200 (if breaks then to retest the next resistance at 22545 then 22770)
Monitor the 1H,4H movement with confirmation using MACD & KDJ indicator.
Set your tf, have your entry and exit plan!
Pay attention to the Goldencross/DeadCross; practice makes perfect.
Let's follow our own strategy and zen with 📙 and 🍵.
Happy Trading everyone!
Wishing everyone a good weekend ahead.
** Please Boost 🚀/LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea!**
HSI continue to roars, bull take charge ahead! PEPPERSTONE:HK50
HSI:HSI
Hello everyone good am! hope you made enough winning trades for the upcoming weekend.
D chart on HSI
MACD & KDJ both are at bullish zone.
The next strong resistance will be the last Oct2024 Hi at 23241.
with the positive news, this is likely to touch soon.
www.tradingview.com
Look at the 4H chart
MACD - still on the bullish zone and supported with bullish green histogram.
KDJ - Bullish zone , overbought zone. Cautious for a short pullback.
BB - Moving above BB midline and ranging at upper BB channel and continue to arching up.
Look at the 1H chart.
MACD continue staying at bullish level (above zero line)
KDJ - cautious for pullback (ranging between red and green zone but at overbought level)
BB : above upper BB 21900-22200
Lower BB : 21530 ( today support level should be at 21800)
Resistance : 22200 (if breaks then to retest the next resistance at 22500 and 22770)
Today Trade Plan:
Buy into support : 21800-21950
Sell at resistance : 22200
Monitor the 1H,4H movement with confirmation using MACD & KDJ indicator.
Set your tf, have your entry and exit plan!
Pay attention to the Goldencross/DeadCross; practice makes perfect.
Let's follow our own strategy and zen with 📙 and 🍵.
Happy Trading everyone!
Wishing everyone a good weekend ahead.
** Please Boost 🚀/LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea!**
continue to rise with news! PEPPERSTONE:HK50
HSI:HSI
Hello everyone how was your trade yesterday?
It was a healthy pullback and hope you managed to short it and make some profit.
D chart on HSI
The bullish continues, yesterday was a healthy pullback with 227pts -1.06%
KDJ is now back to bullish zone.
Correction : MACD already crossed above zero level.
Look at the 4H chart
MACD - still on the bullish zone but with reduced volume with inverted red histogram. Cautious for the pullback.
KDJ - Bullish zone.
BB - Ranging at upper BB channel and continue to arching up.
Today Trade Plan:
Buy into support : 21520-21550
Sell at resistance : 21815 (TP : 21758)
253 range for day trade is suffice to gain some pocket money.
Look at the 1H chart.
MACD is arching to bullish.
KDJ also back into bullish green zone at overbought level (cautious for pullback)
BB : above upper BB 21500-21750
Lower BB : 21259 (support level)
Resistance : 21850 (if breaks then to retest the next resistance at 21975)
Monitor the 1H,4H movement with confirmation using MACD & KDJ indicator.
Set your tf, have your entry and exit plan!
Pay attention to the Goldencross/DeadCross; practice makes perfect.
Let's follow our own strategy and zen with 📙 and 🍵.
Happy Trading everyone!
Wishing everyone a good day with many winning trades !
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Hang Seng Index - are we really out of the woods ?Only the few top hedge fund manager like David Tepper and Michael Bury has indicated their long positions in certain China stocks. While the government has been releasing various measures of different magnitude to boost the economy, it seems like dancing cha cha, 2 step forward, 3 steps backward. This definitely does not bode well for the retail investors world wide who took a contranian view of the market that is not investable.
A quick look at the weekly charts offer a glimpse of hope as we are now out of the bearish trend channel. The past weeks price action has been most encouraging with green candles showing every day. DeepSeek or DeepS**T depending on how you look at it, has definitely shake things up in the China tech stocks and took the big Tech boys in US to sit up straight!
Is this a decoy , a political move ? I dunno and probably would never be able to find out since as retail investors, all we can access to are secondary information available online. Some said what you read are crafted by the media to "brainwash" you so you would believe and put more money into the stock market.
To be fair, I think all media works the same, be it an advertisement or annual report or company announcements. That is why diversification is important! You just never know who is going to be the next Enron. And a little common sense would tell you not to plonk the entire kitchen sink into one stock or asset class no matter how much you believe in its growth story.
We are excited to see what measures the CCP would roll out in the month of March as they promised in late 2024 to help shore up its domestic economy. Let's wait and see
Reversal bullish is happening! No more boozy dancePEPPERSTONE:HK50
HSI:HSI
Hello everyone how was your trade since last update?
HSI turned bullish as forecasted from chart during my holidays!
Did you managed to gain some pocket money? I did with intermittent networks.
Let's review the Index action from wider tf; for the upcoming bull run.
1W Chart
For the week of 3 Feb 2025 the Index clocked a 1000pts +~5% gain. with this the W Chart had confirmed that the MACD formed GoldenCross with dark green histogram(with high volume)
19780 turned strong support level from resistance.
22760 the next resistance level to achieve and break the last Sept 2024 High.
Cross-checked with broader tf chart - D chart.
D chart on 27Jan2025
D chart today 11Feb2025
MACD break above zero level on 28Jan2025; confirming the Index turning bullish. The bullish continues since then till today!
KDJ is now at bullish zone but overbought.
MACD are still below zero level but seems arching and inching to break zero level to give confirmation of bullish.
Look at the 4H chart
There was a Golden cross formed on 3Feb2025 & 7Feb2025 (of course during these 4 days there was a slight adjustment on 5Feb2025 which probably the 🐳 flush retailers out).
MACD - still on the bullish zone but with reduced volume with light green histogram.
KDJ - Bullish zone with overbought zone above 80 level/
BB - Ranging at upper BB channel and continue to arching up.
Look at the 1H chart.
MACD is curving down (within bullish zone above zero level)
KDJ is in the bearish red zone almost entering oversold level of 20; wait for bullish reversal.
BB : crossed below middle line entering lower BB 21270 - 21470
Lower BB : 21265 (support level)
For day trade: Same strategy, sell at resistance; buy/TP at support.
Monitor the 1H,4H movement with confirmation using MACD & KDJ indicator.
Set your tf, have your entry and exit plan!
Get in the Golden cross and ride on the wave.
Support : 21250 ( next support level 21090)
Resistance : 21700 (if breaks then to retest the next resistance at 21955)
It needs to be stay above 21540 to bbreak the next resistance.
www.tradingview.com
People sell on news. Here needs a healthy pullback, and markets continue its cycle. As a consistent and prudent traders, we should be Greedy when markets are fear.
It is easier to say than doing it.
Let's monitor the movement of the index and act accordingly and do not anticipate until we see confirmation from markets.
Again, sticktoyourplan trade according to time frame and set TP/SL.
Trading to make pocket money isn't that challenging and it can be boring and you can make it fun and zen with it.
Let's follow our own strategy and zen with 📙 and 🍵.
Happy Trading everyone!
Wishing everyone a good prosperous year of 2025 with many winning trades!
HK50 "HongKong50" CFD Index Market Bullish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the HK50 "HongKong50" CFD Index Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (20500.0) then make your move - Bullish profits await!"
however I advise placing Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest low or high level.
Goal 🎯: 21500.0 (or) Escape Before the Target
Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
🔆Fundamental Analysis
- The HK50 index has experienced a significant rally in recent months, driven by China's easing of Covid-19 restrictions and monetary policy support.
- The index is currently trading at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 6.82, which is lower than its three-year average of 12.3.
- Earnings growth for HK50 constituents is expected to be moderate in the coming quarters, driven by a recovery in consumer spending and investment.
🔆Macro Economic Analysis
- China's economic growth is expected to recover in 2023, driven by policy support and a rebound in consumer spending.
- The People's Bank of China (PBOC) has been easing monetary policy, cutting interest rates and reserve requirements to support growth.
- Hong Kong's economy is closely tied to China's, and is expected to benefit from a recovery in Chinese growth.
🔆COT Analysis
- The CoT report shows that institutional traders are net long the HK50 index, indicating a bullish sentiment.
- Retail traders are net short the index, indicating a bearish sentiment.
- The disparity between institutional and retail trader sentiment could indicate a potential buying opportunity.
🔆Sentimental Analysis
- Market sentiment for the HK50 index is currently neutral, with a sentiment score of 50.
- The index has experienced a significant rally in recent months, and some investors may be taking profits, leading to a neutral sentiment.
🔆Institutional Trader Positioning
- Institutional traders are net long the HK50 index, with a positioning score of 60.
- This indicates that institutional traders are bullish on the index and expect it to continue rising.
🔆Retail Trader Positioning
- Retail traders are net short the HK50 index, with a positioning score of 40.
- This indicates that retail traders are bearish on the index and expect it to fall.
🔆Future Market Prediction
- Based on the analysis, the HK50 index is expected to continue rising in the long term, driven by a recovery in Chinese growth and policy support.
- However, the index may experience some volatility in the short term, driven by profit-taking and geopolitical risks.
- A breakout above 20,500 could indicate a continuation of the uptrend, while a breakdown below 19,600 could indicate a reversal.
🔆Institutional Trader Positioning
- Long Positions: 62%
- Short Positions: 38%
🔆Retail Trader Positioning
- Long Positions: 42%
- Short Positions: 58%
Please note that these percentages are approximate and based on general market sentiment. They should not be taken as investment advice.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
Hang Seng Index Hits Four-Month High Amid DeepSeek’s SuccessHang Seng Index Hits Four-Month High Amid DeepSeek’s Success
As shown in the Hang Seng (Hong Kong 50 on FXOpen) chart today, the index has risen above the 21,500 mark for the first time since October 2024.
According to Reuters, bullish sentiment is fuelled by optimism surrounding the success of the DeepSeek startup. Leading gainers include tech stocks:
→ Chipmaker Cambricon Technologies surged 6.2%;
→ AI firm CloudWalk Technology hit the 20% upper limit;
→ Major telecom operators China Mobile, China Unicom, and China Telecom also saw gains after announcing their collaboration with DeepSeek’s open-source model to "promote the inclusive adoption of cutting-edge AI technologies."
Analysts at China Securities believe the uptrend could persist until the second half of March.
Technical Analysis of the Hang Seng Chart
Applying Fibonacci retracement levels using the August low (A) and the October 2024 high (B), we can see how these levels acted as temporary support (marked with arrows) as the price retraced to the January low (C).
In the most optimistic scenario:
→ The rally over the past three weeks may signal the resumption of the A→B uptrend;
→ Based on Fibonacci proportions, bulls may target the 1.618 extension of the initial move, implying a potential price level 61.8% higher than the previous peak.
This suggests a possible target around 25,520, though this appears somewhat ambitious for the Hang Seng (Hong Kong 50 on FXOpen) given:
→ Rising inflation in China—today’s data shows the annual CPI climbed from 0.1% (previous reading) to 0.5%;
→ The prospect of escalating tariff tensions with the US after China retaliated against Trump’s 10% tariffs on Chinese imports.
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HSI is about to have a 2000 points trend continuation ?
1. Trade war priced-in since November when Trump wins. it's still within sideways range bound and did not drop to September low.
2. China’s AI catch up play: US AI related stocks has been risen ALOT last 2 yrs. Funds likely to take some profit as valuation not attractive and US LLMs functionality not a lot better than those Chinese LLMs, also Chinese LLM has cost advantage for commercial- hence global money will bet some in China AI (Imo, It is beyond the foreigner's expectation for AI in China to catch up that quick. )
3. US is rising uncertainty short term (USD liquidity + Debt and deficit issue + vulnerability of US treasuries + DOGE job cuts + trade war), with US relatively high valuation, the global money demands more return (China is the most hated market last few years and it is market good for short term speculative) which is attractive for global funds to allocate more to China and weight less on US, as I think US is going for a pull back in short term.
4. Retracement from top seems to be able to hold at this current level of 19000-20000 and did not continue to fall further, now testing weekly MA 200 level, I think it is likely to go across in near term. (or test back 19300 level and back up again)
I think it is nice to open position for short term speculation as the risk reward is attractive. Need to watch out how the weekly candle plays out though.
Long term China fundamental debt deflation issue still remains and china chose strong RMB over reflating the economy.