HSI trade ideas
Hang Seng.....Wave iv done!Hello Traders,
Hang Seng has made a new high @31084.95 on a closing basis (intraday at 31183.36) and pulled back to 30099.71. It closed the open gap left by trading on February 16. This low could be wave iv of v of (v) of (iii)!
If so, HS will make a new high on both, intraday and closing basis, in the coming days ahead.
The alternate view suggest a more complex structure for the coming week or two.
If HS is on a rally path, a common target for HS could be around the 32069.08 area, where waves (iii) of (v) of Y is a 1.382 Fib.-Extension of wave W-X!
It needs a decline below the area of 28259 to change the bullish view short term.
Note: the blue arrow means the more expected scenario, while the gray means less expected scenario!
Have a great weekend.....
Feel free to ask or comment!
Trading this analysis is at your own risk!
HSI update on 20210217HSI gained on the first trading day of the Year of the Ox, overcame the year high of 2019. Heading to 33484, the year high of 2018, would be the only way out. HSI is strong. It broke the long term down trend in the end of 2020, and broke the ascending channel in January 2021 successively. All moving averages are bullish. Keep 100% long.
Hang Seng.....Sideline!Hello Traders,
Hang Seng has reached to 30191.16 on January 25! This high could be a wave (iii) blue of ((iii)) black! If so, a corrective move within a wave (iv) is under construction.
As you know waves 4 of any degree can morph into a complex structure, as a double, triple or triangle for example!
While the structure of this pattern now is not clear to my view, I step at sideline, as long as a clear pattern develops.
Trading above the 30191.16 level can act as a Stop buy signal, while declining below the possible wave (iv) blue level @ 28259.73 can be part of a wave c underway.
I will update the chart in the coming hours!
Have a great week.....
Ruebennase
Trading this analysis is at your own risk!
Feel free to ask anytime!
Hang Seng Index daily long setup(asset allocation)Actually, 30000 is a key level where buyers need to take a rest. From the daily perspective, a 5% drop is expected shortly after.
However, the five o clock drop style is believed to be unsustainable. There are two possible scenarios as below to play with:
1. Drastic fall occur early next week. Price hit the daily zone and bounced back from there
2. Sideways for a while before MAs coming up.
No matter what, HSI is really attractive(valuation) compared to mainland China. A lot of fund coming to HK market via the 'Stock Connect' scheme. Our team also recommends clients to allocate on such funds.
Keep Long Positions HSI After the breakthrough of the Long-term downtrend in Q4 2020, HSI would keep in ascending channel mid-term view. In Weekly chart, all 10/20/50 moving averages are in bullish moving average patten. In short terms, the uptrend started from Sep 2020, move to 27500 on next week , it would be a very strong support.
HSI - Potential Bearish Engulfing on Weekly CloseIt is very crucial for the last trading day of January 2021.
If the weekly candle close below last week low, it will engulfed by a larger red candle indicating a shift toward lower prices.
1. As proven on last trading week of January 2018, 2020 which was also year high for that particular year when this happened.
2. Being resisted twice by 2019 year high at 30,280.
So, is the trend repeating? Is the market already top for the year of "BULL" (2021)? I hope not.
However, the past performance is not always*(sometimes it does)* indicative of future results.
Be cautious. Stay safe and Gong Hei Fat Choi! <3
Hong Kong Stock Index (Meeting Some Strong Resistant)View On Hong Kong Stock Index (26 Jan 2020)
I expect 29,800 ~ 30,200 will be a strong resistant for now.
So, we can expect some pullback or sort. No hurry to buy in for now.
29,000 will be a good support.
Cheers.
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