IAR trade ideas
MERVAL EN DOLARES ALCANZA TARGET DE RECUPERACION ONDA BEL MERCADO BURSATIL ARGENTINO SIGUE MOSTRANDO VULNERABILIDAD EXTREMA, YA QUE MUCHOS FONDOS QUE ENTRARON EN LA BURBUJA DEL BLANQUEO QUEDARON PRESOS DEL RELATO DEL GOBIERNO Y DE LOBISTAS QUE ARMARON GRAN CIRCO PARA INTERESES DE UNOS POCOS.
DURANTE 2018 SIMPLEMENTE EL MERCADO LIMPIO LA BURBUJA, AHORA SE APRESTARIA A CAER.
LOS PATRONES CICLICOS SE REPITEN.
EN EL 2001 FUERON EL CRASH DE LAS PUNTO COM, EN LA ACTUALIDAD, ES CHINA Y EL RESTO DE LOS EMERGENTES CON AVERSION AL RIESGO, EN DONDE ARGENTINA JUNTO A TURQUIA SON LOS MAXIMOS EXPONENTES DEL RIESGO.
ARGENTINA AL ACORDAR CON FMI A MITAD DE AÑO 2018, REPLICARIA MISMO EFECTO QUE BLINDAJE FINANCIERO DICIEMBRE 2000.
AHORA ENTRE 2019-2020 DEBERIA DARSE EL MOVIMIENTO DE ONDA C, GRAN DEVALUACION, QUIEBRAS EN MASA, DEPRESION, INFLACION A GRAN ESCALA, Y CHANCE DE DEFAULT O REESTRUCTURACION DEUDA, PERO ANTES, POSIBLE INSTRUMENTACION CLASICA DE UN "BONEX".
RUMBO A UN RIESGO PAIS DE 1900 PUNTOS EN UN HORIZONTE MEDIO.
Time to finally see some action!No matter what the odds for the Merval Index might be, in approximately a couple of days we should see some drastic movements. Taking into account the momentum, it is likely that it will go up. At least, this is what we are all waiting and hoping for. Fingers crossed!!
Merval for foreign investors: Interesting risk/rewardI would like to point out the positive risk/reward the Argentinian stock market presents currently. I will keep adding to my savings in the local market when viable. I would say it looks quite good, even for foreign investors. I had been expecting the government to make progress with their infrastructure plan, and it seems like we will being seeing some movement in that regard, which should give immediate upside to banks and a few other stocks. I would reccomend getting involved with the likes of BCBA:$BMA, BCBA:$FRAN, BCBA:$GGAL, BCBA:$CRES, BCBA:$IRSA, among other names like BCBA:$AUSO, BCBA:$CTIO, to name a few.
Best of luck,
Ivan Labrie.
MERV: Looks toppy hereIn one week, the Merval index will be in a weekly downtrend, as long as the close is below 15561. Rgmov had fired a short signal 4 weeks ago, and this rally is a good opportunity for Argentinian investors to either unload longs, or even go short the index.
Good luck!
Ivan Labrie
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We discuss setups like this often there. Feel free to stop by and subscribe to his indicator pack. If you have any questions ask.
Risk disclaimer: My analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
ARGENTINA | MERVAL LOOKING FOR 16.000The big fall after the presidential elections , Merval is testing 9.300. Channel with a Bullish trend looking for a new max. Argentina's economy is trying to grow up with international capitals, with many free market deals. The expectation for the econmy are so bullish because Argentina won big a victory to end 15 years in default .
Merval: Projected pathwayThis is my current forecast for the Merval index. I'm looking at a new leg down, to retest the Vix spike retracement support level cluster below.
I propose a wide stop long off the level below, but we could also take a short term short as depicted on chart and unwind and flip long.
You can check my previous forecast in the related ideas below.
I'm republishing with the original projection so you can see how it fared. Not bad, huh?
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.