KLSE trade ideas
KLCI - Masa kedua terbaik untuk membeli!Kemaskini KLCI : KLCI kini sudah jelas membuat pergerakkan 5 gelombang naik. Ini boleh jadi satu petanda awal bahawa KLCI sudah berjaya keluar dari bear market.
Secara kasar kelihatan pergerakkan 5 gelombang naik ini sudah lengkap, dan kini kita menantikan pergerakkan 3 gelombang kejatuhan yang bersifat korektif untuk berlaku pada bila bila masa sahaja.
Buat masa ini admin tidak menasihatkan pedagang Bursa di luar sana untuk agresif membeli, malah mungkin ia masa yang sesuai untuk mengambil keuntungan.
Bagi mereka yang sudah terlepas untuk membeli saham pada 18-22 Mac lepas, kejatuhan kali ini mungkin bakal menjadi peluang kedua buat anda!
Bagaimana pun, sekiranya kejatuhan ini membuat satu paras kerendahan yang baru melebihi paras rendah bulan Mac, ia bermaksud KLCI akan menghadapi satu bear market yang panjang dan teruk. Senario ini tidak berpotensi besar kerana Indeks serantau Asia dan Emmerging Market masih berada dalam pertengahan bull secara amnya.
Berlawanan dengan indeks indeks USA yang kelihatan sudah mencapai puncak bagi uptrend.
Abang Doji .
fbmklci momentum decline, might pullback 1488For next week, we might see KLSE move slight high to 1620, but the momentum is declining, a fake up movement.
Most probably to see a pullback to 1488 next 2 weeks.
FBMKLCI bearish divergence 7/7/2020Recently, FBMKLCI Index is rebound back previous high but cannot break out 1587 and stand above , and RSI indicator is shown bearish divergence .
1563 and 1553 as reference points, if FBMKLCI triggered it, market may go down...
Be cautions !
The first life-time major bear market for Malaysia stock market.Based on the chart pattern available and my best knowledge on applying Elliott Wave Principle, I'm currently seeing FBMKLCI undergoing its first big major bear market.
Based on currently available information, the 1998 financial crisis decline is best counted as A-B-C decline correction, and the subsequent rally from 1998 bottom to 2018 top is best intepreted as a multi-year expanding ending diagonal.
What we are witnessing currently is the unfolding of multi-year (potentially multi decade) bear market decline of larger degree/magnitude than Asian Financial Crisis and Subprime Mortage Crisis.
My view may change with time as more pieces of the puzzle are available.
An overdone bear rally that shall end soonFTSEMYX:FBMKLCI
Due to unprecendented market intervention by various central banks, we are witnessing an increasingly volatile market. Gone are the days where market moves in orderly manner with orderly pullback in between.
Instead, corrective waves are exhibiting strong movements akin to impulsive moves.
Market can be imagined as having two throttles at extreme ends of bullish-neutral-bearish spectrum.
Instead of slow/gradual transition, market now switches gear swiftly to either bullish or bearish throttle, hence the dramatic moves and being coined as Kangaroo market. Excess of bullishness will breed dramatic sharp rebound that die suddenly when the 'long' boat is overloaded, ensued by excess bearishness for dramatic decline, which die suddenly when the 'short' boat is overloaded, rinse and repeat.
Despite the potential erratic moves, I'm extremely bearish biased for the moment, and expecting the dramatic up/down swing in the nett will yield (ugly) negative return to stock market in the long run.
In near term, I'm anticipating a dramatic decline in FBMKLCI, which will be widely regarded by everyone as a 'healthy' pullback/retracement from March low rally, followed by a strong sharp rebound which will be 'celebrated' widely as resumption of bull rally.
However, this decline followed by sharp rebound more likely will be the Wave 1 decline and Wave 2 rebound of an unfolding 5-waves decline in disguise.
KLCIYes, no doubt, the IDSS is banned until end of this year. Without IDSS, it helps KLCI to run a little bull. Usually, IDSS is hedge against the KLCI. After 5 days of green candlesticks, it finally touch the most important intermediate trend resistance (in yellow), if it able to break out, the next resistance will be around (in purple window), Before that, hoping a healthy retracement can make it more perfect. Technical chart only for my own purpose, trade at your own risk.
FBMKLCISalam gais,
Kemungkinan indeks rebound seketika, sebelum sambung kejatuhan.
Korang rasa?
Komen pendapat korang.
#BiarLaburJanganLebur
FBMKLCI: Probably ambitiousAm going to be bold and say, the KLCI looks like it might be on the way up, judging by the pattern. There are a few resistances to be broken though, and I am (personally) still quite bearish.
FBMKLCI - are we looking at cup and handle pattern?I hope it is.
Next Monday mighty be the day for;
1. Slow stoch to cross up the fast
2. MACD histogram to change color towards divergence of line & signal
3. Breakout of cup handle
How about the extension of short-selling until of end of the year? Sounds like an extra "ummmmmpppphhh!" to the market.
The KLCI almost tracks in parallel to the S&P to the fit!Instead of using the DJ Index to correlate to the KLCI, I now use the SPX, Standard and Poor Index to forecast next day market performance.
I also use such indexes, in this case, the NASDAQ to learn what sector/Industry would be my Thematic Trend!
Malaysia is fortunate to be a significant semicon manufacturer player comparable to Taiwan, Japan, Korea and now, China a minted player but still needed to import its consumption demand from it neighbouring Asian manufacturer. The Chart do show Technology might be the next wave to play.
KLCI Indeks Menjunam Ke Paras 1400.11| 29th June 2020| Edisi BMSetelah harga pasaran KLCI tidak berjaya menembus harga 1600.00, investor telah mula hilang semangat. Ramai di antara investor telah pun close profit pada harga
tersebut kerana di katakan terlalu tinggi dan harga pasaran yang mahal, ada juga investor yang tidak perasan perkara ini berlaku yang membuat ramai investor
membeli pada paras harga yang hampai pada 1600.00.
Saya telah menjangkakan perkara ini berlaku dengan membuat anggaran matematika pada harga 1570.00. Akan tetapi harga telah pun naik lagi sebanyak
30 point yang menyebabkan harga menyentuh 1600.00 atau menghampiri. Ini disebabkan oleh pembukaan market pasaran Malaysia dan sentimen yang membuak-buak
di kalangan para traders Malaysia yang memasuki trading dan meletakkan lot yg besar menerusi dagangan yang mahu mengikuti trend. Akan tetapi malangnya, harga
telah pun mencapai paaras ketepuan.
Kini pada tarikh 29th June 2020, harga KLCI tersangkut pada nilai 1488~ yang di yakini bermula daripada paras 1600.00 yang menjadi punya kepada harga maksima
1900.00. Walaupun begitu harga KLCI yang telah naik tidak berjaya hingga 1600.00, trend KLCI masih lagi menunjukkan pada keadaan lorongan jitu ke dasar. Masih lagi
mengekalkan keadaan bearishnya.
Selagi tidak nampak harga membuat paras kedudukan rendah yang tertinggi, selagi itu trend masih kekal pada lorongan jitu ke dasar.
Pada pendapat saya, harga support akan di tentukan pada 1400.00. Sehubungan dengan itu, saya memerhatikan harga 1400.00 berada dalam keadaan kunci keuntungan.
Sekian. W'salam.
Untuk maklumat lanjut tentang bursa saham, boleh menghubungi saya di laman ini.
Booking kelas dagangan akan di adakan seperti biasa di laman sesawang saya di profil.
Selamat maju jaya.
Yang Ikhlas,
Zezu Zaza
2048
FBMKLCI - Ramalan CuacaSalam gais, ini hanyalah ramalan cuaca untuk KLCI. Namun, kita nantikan strong "bullish signal", harap semua get ready dengan trading plan masing-masing.
Ingat, yang dah profit better take it, kalau yang loss jaga level cut loss.
Orang tamak selalu rugi, tapi kalau tamak dan konfiden dengan trading plan kita, why not kan?
Sekian.
#BiarLaburJanganLebur
The ONLY path after banning short selling is FLY Hi!Securities Commission (SC) of Malaysia, which has banned short selling on Bursa Malaysia, has further extended its date from June 30 to Dec 31, 2020
