KLSE trade ideas
Honeymoon over, FBMKLCI looks to continue the downtrend for nowSince the index failed to break the 1900 barrier and formed the double top in 2014 & 2018, it has been down ever since.
Though the index managed to recover from sharp drop during the COVID-19 pandemic, it remains below the 200 moving average.
Expecting it to retest the downtrend line in the second half of the year.
Government looks more stable now but honeymoon time is over.
Budget 2023 tabled today was not so enticing so it seems the only way is down for now.
Poor index performance makes momentum trading more challenging.
Just reminding myself to be more selective and conservative in the coming weeks to months.
What will happen to KLCI after State Elections? Currently KLCI hoover around strong Resistance at 1460 and we can see the double top potential on the chart. The MACD indicator also showing weakness by developing the bearish divergence pattern. Current support is at 1450 level and if this support broken, next support will be at the strong support 1437 and 1432.68. KLCI must defend this support in order to continue the bullish movement.
(Disclaimer : Personal analysis and for educational purpose only)
Lets Hope FBMKLCI Visit 2008 LevelThe 1997–98 Asian financial crisis began in Thailand and then quickly spread to neighbouring economies. It began as a currency crisis when Bangkok unpegged the Thai baht from the U.S. dollar, setting off a series of currency devaluations and massive flights of capital.
The 2008 sub prime crisis-The decline in overall economic activity was modest at first, but it steepened sharply in the fall of 2008 as stresses in financial markets reached their climax. From peak to trough, US gross domestic product fell by 4.3 percent, making this the deepest recession since World War II. Housing prices increased, then fell, due to the subprime mortgage crisis. Banks went into crisis. The stock market plummeted, erasing wealth.
2023?
FBMKLCI 2023 OverviewThe S&P500 rose after the release of minutes from the Federal Reserve's most recent meeting, which revealed members were laser-focused on managing inflation even as they decided to delay their rate hike pace. Officials at the Fed's policy meeting on 2022 December 13-14 agreed that the US central bank should continue to raise the cost of credit to restrict the rate of price increases, but in a gradual manner to reduce the risks to economic development. Investors were pouring into the Fed's internal debates for hints about the central bank's future course. Following the meeting, Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that additional raises were required, striking a more hawkish tone than markets had anticipated.
My POV on KLCI could traded as low as 1000.00. International trade could affected from strengthening in USD currency whereby hawkish in import/export prices.
FBMKLCI Simple Chart AnalysisKLCI - Possible a rounding bottom to be form under the administration of new Government which led by unity government.
How to view the guidance via chart ( Refer back to pin message guidance if to trade )
Red Line = Support
Blue Line = Resistance
Light Blue = bullish/bearish pattern
Arrow = Double/Trip top/bottom
Red Chip = $$
Green Chip = XX
FBMKLCI - Breaks below the NecklineComment :
1) FBMKLCI has fell below Neckline A on 19-Sept, the prior short term rebound is likely over. The next supporting/rebounce point is expected to be around 1402. The bearish trend underway since 19-Aug. Please take cautious in your trading plan at the moment as the market could be getting more fluctuate.
2) TrendX+ indicator - red candlestick still moving below trend line, mid-term downtrend.
3) DDX+ indicator - bear signal on 19-Aug still valid.
4) MCDX+ indicator - banker bar (red) is absent, while retailer bar possess more than 80%.
Support & Resistance :
R : 1402 +/-
Remark :
Length of ab=cd
DISCLAIMER :
Analysis above SOLELY for case study purpose, not a PROFESSIONAL ADVISE. This analysis does not provide any trading advise and buy or sell. Trade at your own risk. Trade only after you have acknowledged and accepted the risks involved.
KLCIFrom my point of view, this index shows a possible bullish movement as the price already test the bearish trendline for the third times. Its mean that resistance trendline might become weak. Futhermore, price also did a breakout from previous high or resistance and on it way to resistance become support area. Malaysia general election also in near time and surely it will affect stock market. It is because the candidate or parties will give 'gula-gula' which is to good to be true manifiesto in order the citizens vote them in upcoming election. The budget 2023 announcement also can affect this index as the budget been postponed due to parliament collapse. US index also in recovery mode from their lowest before this. Rip my english hahaha
KLCI On Going To $1206 Price | Bearish Movement | 111022 | It has been an excellent rollercoaster for KLCI Indeks.
We are in the midst of a downturn in pricing when the price of Ringgit will not stand a chance to recover in the next 2 years.
While we are in the midst of dissolution in Malaysia. We do not have any current prime minister running for management.
While this dissolution only makes the settlement in not go in order. While all the companies in Malaysia are still having a downturn in profit.
In order for the index KLCi on going to the trend, I can't see anything on the clear road except bearish.
The CPI index accumulates and all the housing price is on the going rising to make the purchasing powerless.
The breath and health of the current demand is not in favor.
I predict the price of KLCi bearish to $1206.
KLCI - Malaysia Composite Index Expected to Fall !!!!Based on the early analysis, KLCI is expected to fall to 1008 if it closes below 1270 on the monthly candle. Keep track of the monthly levels, the market is expected to be volatile due to the upcoming elections and the associated outcomes from the election.
FBMKLCI - Bear signal watchoutComment :
1) TrendX+ indicator - first red candlestick appear, wandering above trend line , mid-term uptrend
2) DDX+ indicator - watch out for bear signal that came out on 19th August 2022, and also look out for red trend-cross which indicating a resistance
3) MCDX+ indicator - banker bar (red) fall below MA10 line, while retailer bar (turquoise) starting to appear, indicating a retracing now
4) FBMKLCI is under retracement currently, it will need to break through resistance @ 1519.68 to potentially enter long positions
Support & Resistance:
R : highest on 19th August @ 1519.68
DISCLAIMER :
Analysis above SOLELY for case study purpose, not a PROFESSIONAL ADVISE. This analysis does not provide any trading advise and buy or sell. Trade at your own risk. Trade only after you have acknowledged and accepted the risks involved.
Market trajectory for the remaining 2022 According to the latest data release on Q2 GDP growth, klci are looking bullish and with the general election outlook being the focal point or the remaining month of 2022. Technical view of the forecast , expecting the target 1710 to be reach high are formed around 1695 and likely to trade pass that price. Looking forward on the remaining GDP data for more information.
Consolidation may occur when passing 1610 mark . Awaiting for the next catalyst on September for Quarter result.