MARKETS NOT OVERSOLD CAUTION!While only 36% of stocks are over the 20-day MA, they are nowhere near oversold conditions. As such, there is still room for the downside.
While this indicator is only suitable for short-term trading, tomorrow new making event could push markets way lower.
While I would not suggest trading news events. I know some do, as such bottom picking is not advisable.
CAUTION!
MMTW trade ideas
A cyclical historyWe have all heard that the economy works in cycles, and so does the market. But what does this truly mean? Has anyone actually been able to show you where you can see these cycles occur? Well, here is a great graph that will show you how. By looking at the 6-month time frame, the percentages of stocks above the 20 daily MA, you are achieving 2 things.
Seeing price action at the timeframe used to declare technical recessions
Seeing the percentage of stocks in a short term uptrend or downtrend as the complement is also true
Here it's quite easy to see how an important world event unfolded with a clear, repeatable pattern. When the percentage oscillates heavily, it allows for many technical resets, causing a healthy uptrend when the percentage returns to above 50% by the end of the semester. Another patter is that after a period of over-performance, a period of under-performance is followed and vice versa.
When looking at world events, just remember at the end of the day we are all a number in a larger scheme. And the laws of statistics will end up controlling our outcomes, as there must be balance in all binomial systems. Even when biases can be present in distributions, the more we generalize and zoom out, the more we can see the statistical convergences in human behavior. At the end of the day, our lives are influenced by fractals, some of which we are not even aware exist.
Fun new indicatorDiscovered this really cool indicator. Blue line = cross under 15 & Yellow line = close under 15. Im using heiken ashi candles for this analysis.
This is just a custom breadth indicator I put together and honestly its used better if you are only looking for divergences. This is one of the best divergence indicators i've discovered especially with heiken ashi. feel free to ask any questions
Penguin: "BTFD ?!?" - % of stocks above their DMA.The daily chart is showing market sentiment from a breadth perspective: the percentage of stocks on the NYSE (2943 stocks) that are above their daily moving averages.
The trend is increasingly bullish but that increase has peaked in recent days.
[bDetail:
MMTH - RED - Percentage of stocks above their 200 DMA
MMOF - Percentage of stocks above their 150 DMA
MMOH - Percentage of stocks above their 100 DMA
MMFI - GREEN - Percentage of stocks above their 50 DMA
Average of all 4 - WHITE line
EMA10 of the white line - ORANGE line
All 4 indicators and their mean are above the midline with positive momentum .
That momentum has peaked in recent days and is no longer accelerating.
Breadth indicators you've probably never heard of!These charts help you immediately see how the entire market is faring at a given time. Note, these are daily indicators for "Free" users, and "Pro, Premium" users can view intraday timeframes.
These make great bases for creating trading algorithms on the theory of a "rising tide raises all ships".
MMFD Percent of Stocks Above 5-Day Average
MNTW Percent of Stocks Above 20-Day Average
MMFI Percent of Stocks Above 50-Day Average
MMOH Percent of Stocks Above 100-Day Average
MMOF Percent of Stocks Above 150-Day Average
MMTH Percent of Stocks Above 200-Day Average
* Trading view doesn't let us free users post links to their own website for some reason, but each of these are available as "Index" charts.
MMTW % of Stocks Above 20-Day MA & SPY Trend Analysis 12-4-2018
Major overhead resistance on the daily SPY...
schrts.co
The real nature of the larger pullback is revealed on this weekly SPY chart... this is very bullish.
schrts.co
Prediction: Near-term pullback with larger time-frame indicators suggesting a break to the upside, despite that major resistance is overhead.