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Nikkei 225 Index

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NKY trade ideas

There is no bottom in the stock without a bottom in the bond My Dashboard on Tradingview www.tradingview.com where I am monitoring the entire bond market in the world with my magma indicator, country by country. When investing for the long term I first look the bond market before leaping in the stocks. There are few simple and important rules to follow in this market. 1. Higher Bond yields = Lower Bond Prices = Bottom in the bond market is more bottom 2. Short-mid term bond yields is closing to long-term yields (example 2-Years yield = 10-Years yield) = This means flattening = not good for long-term investment, stay alerting for your paper profits. 3. Short-mid term bond yields is greater than long-term yields (example 2-Years yield is greater than 10-Years yield) = This means inversion = not good, imminent fear of recession (remember: stock market does not perform well during recessions) 4. Short-mid-term bond yields is less than long-term yields (example 2-Years yield is less than 10-Years yield and going lower) = That's fine, economics sounds good for long-term investments What I see now: United States, Canada, Brazil are countries with the most prolongated inversion areas (highlighted with red circles in the figure above). 5. More prolongated inversion = not good, even more. Flattening areas (yellow circles) have to be carefully monitored. Few examples currently are showing good news (green circles) : Japan long-term and mid-term yield curves are fine and in the good direction. Same as in Australia.
FX:JPN225Education
by giancarlopagliaroli
1
NIKKEI 225 Monthly Forecast Movements 1-30 November 2022 NIKKEI 225 Monthly Forecast Movements 1-30 November 2022 We can see that for this month, the implied volatility is around 4.56%, rising 3.68% of last month. This is currently placing us in the 25th percentile according to ATR and 83th according to JNIV Based on this percentile calculation, on average the monthly movement for the candle(from open of the candle to the close of the candle) is: BEARISH Candle : 4.7% BULLISH Candle : 3.1% With this in mind we can expect with a close to 23.4% probability that our close of the monthly candle is going to close either above or below the next channel: BOT: 26600 TOP: 28630 Lastly, based on the calculations that we had for touching the previous candle high and low values, we can estimate that there is a : 80% chance that we are going to touch the previous monthly high of 27600 (already happened yesterday) 25% chance that we are going to touch the previous monthly low of 25600
TVC:NI225
by exlux
Selling JP225 into swing highs.NIK225 - 22h expiry - We look to Sell at 27390 (stop at 27610) Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible. We are trading at overbought extremes. Previous resistance located at 27397. A lower correction is expected. The hourly chart technicals suggests further upside before the downtrend returns. We look to sell rallies. Our profit targets will be 26810 and 26385 Resistance: 27370 / 28360 / 29240 Support: 26385 / 25500 / 24485 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
OANDA:JP225YJPYShort
by OANDA
JP225 Nikkei to Crash to 26566Multi Timeframe Analysis Hint: JP225 is testing a bearish order block at 26921. Bear Narrative: 1. A bearish order block is being satisfied; expect a potential rebound to 26566 corresponding to a first fibonacci level. Price gravitates to such market imbalances. 2. Trader's Dynamic Index about to signal oversold. 3. Bearish Shark and Navarro harmonic patterns point at a potential fall to 26566 5. Divergence signals on 4H 8H and daily Await a confluence signifying a rejection from the order blocks, then take a satisfying counter position. From this juncture, we update the next forecast. A stretch target is the bullish order block at the bottom Recommendation: set a sell stop order 1000 pips below this order block with a 5000 pip TP. Your SL can be poised above the order block Remember: life often disrespects charts so trade with caution ------ Market order position upon the confluence of valid entry rules on the 4H or 1H chart. -=ENTRY RULES=- Trading philosophy: Don’t short at the lowest of the bearish momentum nor do we long at the peak of a bullish impulse. The safest entries are at the end of a retrace on the 38.2%, 50%, 61.8% or 78.6% fibonacci back in the direction of the master trend. Note: I use Daily/4H or 4h/1H market structures with wave analysis to prep for potential entries. The RSI , MACD and EMA indictors are confirmation for entries at the 4H or 1H timeframe For ORDER BLOCK trades When price reaches a bearish or bullish orderblock, ascertain the price reversal by means of 1. Dojis 2. Morning/evening stars 3. Several wicks. 4. Engulfing candles or three white soldiers in the opposite direction 5. Marbouzou in the opposite direction. 6. Break of trendline or fast EMAs For SHORT: 4H chart should confirm that the bullish retrace had turned bearish in the direction of master trend. The MACD should have dropped below zero signifying a bearish environment. Price would have dropped below the 10 and 20 EMA . For good measure, check that the 4h and D1 RSI is below the 50 signal line For LONG: 4H chart should confirm that the bearish retrace had turned bullish in the direction of the master trend. The MACD should have gone above zero signifying a bullish environment. Price had gone above the 10 and 20 EMA . For good measure, check that the 4h and D1 RSI is above the 50 signal line Divergences: The 4H, 8H and 12H chart can reveal hidden divergences on the RSI , MACD , Money Flow Index, CMFI, On Balance Volume and Stochastics. When one or more divergences manifest- be ready. Trend reversal is coming. My best practice is to wait for at least an RSI divergence on the 4H, then drop to M15 to see price shifting with a 50EMA aligned with the 4H divergence. About me I am not a financial advisor nor a signal provider. These are the opinions of a 20-year private trader in the legal profession as well as a businessman diversified in the tech and hospitality industries. My favored tools of the trade include wave analysis, price action on the 4H to Weekly timeframes and institutional order flow ( COT data). In partnership with capital markets research group Plazo Sullivan Roche Capital of Mahe, Seychelles
OANDA:JP225USDShort
by PlazoSullivanRocheCapital
NI225, Elliott wave analysis■Outlook of NI225 on 3D chart. We are probably in the B-wave shown as green line. The B-wave chart pattern is probably Triple three WXY. The W-wave is Regular Flat. The X-wave is Zigzag. The W-wave greatly exceeded the A-wave's Fibonacci level of 61.8%. The B-wave on upper degree may have reached the target price already. From now on, Only time may be updated. For the above reason, I think Y-wave is probably a Triangle pattern. Last time my idea. ■Jan 9, 2022. Long-term analysis.
TVC:NI225
by EWA-tokyo
1
The Nikkei considers a bounce ahead of the FOMC meetingThe Nikkei 225 has fallen sharpy towards (yet held above) the September low. A small bullish hammer formed on Thursday to show a loss of bearish momentum, alongside a false break of trend support. A bullish engulfing candle formed on Friday and closed above the 100 and 200-day EMA's. Its low also respected a 50% retracement level and closed back above trend support for a second consecutive day. We therefore suspect a bounce is on the cards, although as markets are wary of the upcoming FOMC meeting we are also aware that any such bounce may limited, so traders would be wise to keep a close eye on price action and not expect oversized moves, unless a new catalyst arrives. Low volatility retracements within Friday's candle could help to improve the potential reward to risk ratio for bulls. A potential bullish outcome for equities in general is if the Fed surprise with a less-hawkish-than expected hike. We know 75bp is mostly priced in, so if they hint at a slower rate of hikes going forward, equities might be able to cobble together a relief rally. Whilst a hawkish hike would likely present indices with swing highs and another leg lower.
CITYINDEX:JAPAN225CFDLong
by CityIndex
JP225 Nikkei Ready to Fall to 25745Multi Timeframe Analysis Hint: A massive bearish order block at 26809 is being statisfied. Price will then crash to to a fibonacci level that coincides with a bullish order block JP225's recent surge is ending. We see price's bullish run hit a massive bearish order block and wicks are freebly forming Medium term bearish Narrative: 1. Bearish institutional order block now satisfied. Price gravitates to such market imbalances. Drop is inevitable to one of the fibonacci levels. 2. Bullish order block at 25745 awaits satisfaction 2. Bearish divergence signals on the daily and 4H 3. TDI calling for retrace 4. Overbought on daily and volume flow in extremes. 5. Price is wicking up, signifying diffculty to ascend further. 6. Bearish Anti Butterfly Harmonic Pattern Await a confluence signifying a drop, then take a satisfying short Remember: life often disrespects charts so trade with caution ------ Market order position upon the confluence of valid entry rules on the 4H or 1H chart. -=ENTRY RULES=- Trading philosophy: Don’t short at the lowest of the bearish momentum nor do we long at the peak of a bullish impulse. The safest entries are at the end of a retrace on the 38.2%, 50%, 61.8% or 78.6% fibonacci back in the direction of the master trend. Note: I use Daily/4H or 4h/1H market structures with wave analysis to prep for potential entries. The RSI , MACD and EMA indictors are confirmation for entries at the 4H or 1H timeframe For ORDER BLOCK trades: When price reaches a bearish or bullish orderblock, ascertain the price reversal by means of 1. Dojis 2. Morning/evening stars 3. Several wicks. 4. Engulfing candles or three white soldiers in the opposite direction 5. Marbouzou in the opposite direction. 6. Break of trendline or fast EMAs For SHORT: 4H chart should confirm that the bullish retrace had turned bearish in the direction of master trend. The MACD should have dropped below zero signifying a bearish environment. Price would have dropped below the 10 and 20 EMA . For good measure, check that the 4h and D1 RSI is below the 50 signal line For LONG: 4H chart should confirm that the bearish retrace had turned bullish in the direction of the master trend. The MACD should have gone above zero signifying a bullish environment. Price had gone above the 10 and 20 EMA . For good measure, check that the 4h and D1 RSI is above the 50 signal line Divergences: The 4H, 8H and 12H chart can reveal hidden divergences on the RSI , MACD , Money Flow Index, CMFI, On Balance Volume and Stochastics. When one or more divergences manifest- be ready. Trend reversal is coming. My best practice is to wait for at least an RSI divergence on the 4H, then drop to M15 to see price shifting with a 50EMA aligned with the 4H divergence. About me I am not a financial advisor nor a signal provider. These are the opinions of a 20-year private trader in the legal profession as well as a businessman diversified in the tech and hospitality industries. My favored tools of the trade include wave analysis, price action on the 4H to Weekly timeframes and institutional order flow ( COT data).
OANDA:JP225USDShort
by PlazoSullivanRocheCapital
Europe&Japan to perform better than USA from now on, 2-JapanComparision of "NIKKEI in USD dollars" to "SPX". I am publishing the same for all (please see my other analysis): Germany, UK, France, Italy, Japan... I ignore all the fundamentals and just make technical analysis . Fall of EUR&GBP&JPY and their stock market's negative divergence compared to USA (SPX) is about to end, I believe. Important: This doesn't mean that the equities&indices are going to rise from now on. My analysis only says: Europe&Japan will perform better than USA. Just because they are very cheap.
TVC:NI225Long
by skykhan
2
NIkkei 225 10 year ProfileBOJ intervened for the first time since 1998, to prop up it's the YEN, with some speculation they likely sold a lot of their massive reserves of long end (10-30 year) US T Bills to buy back the Yen. This hypothesis appears supported by the lack of short end yield movement at 4-5a, EST at time of BOJ intervention announcement late last week. Of note in this chart are: - Almost a decade long volume profile aligned with vPOC at 382 retrace. - Structure of current price action seemingly mirroring the covid structure as represented by the fractal in light blue above.
OANDA:JP225USD
by Linneaus
1