NIFTY was all smug with a 19.5% gain this year, and now? Down to 9% like a deflating balloon. BANKNIFTY’s no better—started at 12.4%, now barely holding 6%. That’s a clean 50% haircut, folks. And if it dips any lower, it’ll be outperformed by, yes, even a basic fixed deposit. Embarrassing, right?
Now let’s not pretend—if these big, blue-chip stocks start smashing through monthly support levels, we’re looking at a one way ticket to bear market central. And in India, is anyone actually paying attention to the economy? Nope. Everyone’s too busy playing politics, keeping Religion divisions alive, and doing anything but economic rescue. Look at that massive train accident—tragedy strikes, and we get… social media Reels. That’s the kind of ‘action’ we’re dealing with.
And SEBI—oh, SEBI! With these ‘new regulations’ that are about as transparent as mud. They’re basically kicking retail investors to the curb, slicing volumes, and handing control to the FIIs FPIs on a silver platter. But wait, here’s the kicker—who even are these FIIs FPIs? Are we talking about Indian companies sneaking around in offshore packaging? ‘Cause if so, it’s just Indians scamming Indians, with a nice stamp of approval. Hilarious! But also terrifying.
Honestly, the whole thing feels like a ticking time bomb. I’ve been thinking it since 2023: this place is on a countdown to its own French Revolution.
Stox_Ware Oh, I totally get it – a little indecisive, a little boring, but let’s be real, something huge is brewing. The squeeze is real, and bears have had their grip on this thing for almost 1.5 months since October. But remember last December? The market pulled off a massive bullish run – anyone else feeling déjà vu? Plus, let’s not forget the Maharashtra elections are coming up. That state is wealthy, contributing nearly 14% of India’s GDP. And the biggest party in power can’t even get a handle on the top 3 richest states in the country. Talk about a power struggle!
I 🤔 DII is barely holding this market together, keeping it from sliding. But with the new expiry coming up, if retail volume drops, FII is ready to swoop in and take over. The next 3 days? Next week? Let’s just say it’s about to get interesting—this month might turn into quite the show.
Oh, honey, it’s about to be a storm like no other. The Indian market’s stuck in the middle of Trump’s economic chaos and sanctions on de-dollarization—BRICS is in the mix, and India’s just fanning the flames. Retail investors are out here pumping up stocks with terrible results and ridiculous valuations, and trust me, it’s just a countdown until it all goes down in flames.
And don’t get it twisted—SEBI and the government aren’t doing anyone any favors. They’re practically handing retail investors the exit with all these taxes and rules. So, grab your 🍿 , because it’s gonna get real ugly, real quick.
Nifty’s already swimming in bear waters. Last week flirted with a bullish wave, but—spoiler alert—no dice. Support’s now lined up at 24K, then 23.9K, with a final pit stop at 23.8K. Keep an eye on those 3W and monthly closes—they’re about to spill all the tea.
And Reliance? If it slips below 1240, brace for a free fall on Nifty down till 1M support. But honestly? Not happening. Ambani’s got zero family feud drama, a rock-solid future plan, and he will start back-channel with institutions just over valuations and results.
Price discovery? Oh, it’s about to be a rollercoaster with this monthly expiry. Support’s chilling at 51.4K, 51.2K, and 50.8K, but here’s the kicker: puts are making a play to outshine calls. They still need a little 100-200 point nudge to steal the show from the options expiring on the 27th. If that happens, call options might just flatten out and cue the bulls. This market’s about to be a mix of thrills and chills. And if it gets too chaotic? Well, I’ll just slide over to stocks or Nifty Options.