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IWM trade ideas

$IWM Major bottormAs you can see the market has been slowing plattoing at this area, while AMEX:IWM has been underperforming AMEX:SPY and NASDAQ:QQQ , there are 2 different scenarios that can play out. 1. Either this will break the major lower grey trendline and look like HSI:HSI , which means that the whole US market will enter a massive long term recession. 2. Or market reneters an new era of this 3-4 year bull market where the AMEX:IWM severly outperfoms the MEGA 7. Now why is 2. the most probable. Because of basic EW pattern , trendline major support , volume building and that all major index funds are in the process of breaking out. Now the big question is whether this is the best price you will get , or more techincally, whether we are going to get another touch on the lower major support trendline before starting the new 5 wave pattern. As you can see from the white paint on my chart(yes i am a painter), we can see that supports on that line only come on the major EW pattern, therefore the next lower high will not be on the lower trendline, but just one above as shown at the foreshadowing EW i have on the graph. thanks for reading
AMEX:IWMLong
by erotokritosrotsas
Market Update - 5/25/2025• Clear leading sectors are batteries, nuclear and alternative energy, material and metal names especially gold • Breadth is declining, XLU, XLP outperforming, stocks lower, IWM rejected from the 100dma. • These are all clear signals to me that we are in a bad environment. Last week I was 109% invested, but now down to only 10%, and only risking 0.3% on my trades. I'm fully in defensive mode. I'm only focusing on the best of the best setups in the above mentioned leading industries. I'm expecting weakness ahead
AMEX:IWM
by BenedekBokor
Russel 2000 Weekly PotentailVolatility, expressed through standard deviation, quantifies market elasticity and presents a level of probability and precision that humbles us all. This week with AMEX:IWM you can see that last week trending bi-weekly markets were more volatile than our monthly trending values. This could indicate regression to quarterly means, but for now shows a 15.02% premium advantage over current IV per move. Bi-weekly, is as of now, only 10.81% off it's quarterly trend. However, it's important to observe that volatility can still consolidate under monthly in a poetic dance to coil up the monthly more on it's path in regression. This is why in my charts you will notice a 'coiling' value under both HV10 and HV21 values. BOOST the post, drop a follow and comment, BUT don't forget to circle back at the end of the week to revisit and observe how our trending markets preformed!
AMEX:IWM
by splitmyIVandmelt
IWM: Could Be a Gap Fill Day Today🔍 Posted by WaverVanir International LLC Looking at IWM on the 15-minute chart, price action remains ambiguous — we’re caught in a range where traditional technical indicators are providing limited directional clarity. However, our proprietary Decision Support System (DSS) is signaling a potential move based on LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory) model outputs. While human sentiment and chart structure may hesitate, machine learning is beginning to lean bullish. 🔹 Key Notes: No clear breakout yet from this consolidation zone. Volume remains subdued, signaling indecision. LSTM forecasting engine from our DSS suite is tilting slightly bullish over the next 1–2 hours. Awaiting confirmation from VWAP and liquidity sweeps before a higher conviction entry. ⚠️ Short-term traders: stay nimble. Machine guidance suggests preparing for a breakout, but price confirmation is critical. 🧠 “When human emotion falters, data continues.” — WaverVanir DSS
AMEX:IWMLong
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
IWM: Going to pump? Quick trade setup**IWM 15m – Smart Money Concepts + ORB Breakdown** _Published by WaverVanir_International_LLC on May 14, 2025_ **Setup** - ORB (09:30–09:45) established supply at **209.30** (Weak High) and demand near **206.62–206.27**. - Smart Money Concepts zones: - **Premium (Supply):** 209.30 - **Equilibrium (Fair Value):** 208.52 - **Discount (Demand):** 206.57–206.21 **Price Action** 1. **Break of Structure (BOS)** below the recent consolidation low signals bearish continuation. 2. Retracement tested the **38.2–61.8% Fibonacci** levels (~208.67–208.09), aligning with Equilibrium (Investopedia, n.d.-a). 3. Failed reclaim of Premium confirms seller strength. **Trade Plan** - **Entry:** Short on bounce failure at Equilibrium (~207.80) - **Stop-Loss:** Above Premium (209.30) - **Targets:** 1. Discount Zone: 206.57–206.21 2. Extended: 205.71 (1.618 Fib) **Risk/Reward:** ≥2:1 Stay disciplined—only trade with defined risk. GLTA! 🚀
AMEX:IWMLong
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
$IWM, small caps, not YET giving the "all clear"AMEX:IWM is the lone index still not in the clear 🚩 — backtesting its 200dma today and tagging the weekly mid-BB , just like in '22. Will it matter by week's end? If not, the bull is likely back across the board 🐂 This week's #CPI (Consumer Price Index) and #PPI (Producer Price Index) prints could significantly influence market direction across major indices — AMEX:SPY , NASDAQ:QQQ and AMEX:IWM — especially with rate cut expectations in flux. 🧵Here's how: 1. Hot CPI or PPI (above expectations): AMEX:SPY : Likely to pull back as sticky inflation pressures broader S&P names, especially rate-sensitive sectors like real estate and utilities. NASDAQ:QQQ : Could see sharper downside—tech stocks (many of which are high duration assets) are highly sensitive to interest rate expectations. AMEX:IWM : Likely the hardest hit. Small caps suffer from tighter financial conditions and depend more on domestic borrowing costs. 🟥 Result: Bearish across the board, with small caps underperforming. 2. Cool CPI or PPI (below expectations): AMEX:SPY : Broad lift, particularly in consumer discretionary and financials. NASDAQ:QQQ : Strong rally—mega cap tech loves the prospect of lower yields. AMEX:IWM : Outperforms if cooling inflation suggests easing ahead, since it's more leveraged to rate cycles and domestic growth. 🟩 Result: Bullish, with small caps possibly leading a relief rally. 3. In-line CPI/PPI : Markets may stay choppy or consolidate, with AMEX:SPY and NASDAQ:QQQ more stable. AMEX:IWM remains at risk of drifting lower unless there’s a strong dovish narrative from the Fed or other macro catalysts. With small caps already lagging, this week’s inflation data could either validate its bearish divergence or spark a rotation rally if inflation AMEX:SPY NASDAQ:QQQ TVC:VIX $ES_F $NQ_F $RTY_F TVC:TNX NASDAQ:TLT TVC:DXY #Tariffs #Stocks
AMEX:IWMShort
by KobesyTrades
IWM: ShortRussell 2000 ETF | 15-Min Chart | May 8, 2025 🚨 0.5–0.618 Fib Retracement Completed Price has tapped into a key Fibonacci confluence zone (0.5–0.618), overlapping with previous CHoCH and unmitigated supply. This zone has historically triggered distribution phases on lower timeframes. 🔻 Technical Setup: Price rejected from 198.4–198.7 zone CHoCH and EQH levels form a liquidity trap above Targeting demand near 193.78 (Fib extension 1.382 + historical support) 📊 Macro Context: US Q1 GDP: -0.3% (contraction) Core Inflation: Still sticky at 2.6% Jobs Market: Strong, 177K added in April Fed Today: Likely no cut, but any hawkish Powell tone could trigger a sharp risk-off move, benefiting this short bias. 🎯 Trade Idea: Bias: Bearish Entry: 198.35–198.70 (current level) TP1: 197.43 TP2: 193.78 Invalidation: Break & hold above 199.50 ⚠️ Wait for Powell @ 2:30 PM ET before scaling in. Volatility will spike. #IWM #Russell2000 #Fed #SmartMoneyConcepts #Fibonacci #MacroTrading #LuxAlgo #RiskOff
AMEX:IWMShort
by Wavervanir_International_LLC