AUD/JPY Susceptible to Negative Slope in 50-Day SMAAUD/JPY attempts to retrace the decline from earlier this month after testing the 2023 low (86.06), and break/close above the 91.50 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement) to 91.70 (38.2% Fibonacci extension) region may push the exchange rate towards the 92.80 (50% Fibonacci extension) to 93.30 (23.6% Fibonacci extension) zone.
Next area of interest comes in around 95.10 (38.2% Fibonacci extension) to 95.20 (23.6% Fibonacci extension), but AUD/JPY may track the negative slope in the 50-Day SMA (93.90) if it struggles to retain the rebound from the monthly low (86.05).
Need a close below 89.20 (61.8% Fibonacci extension) to bring the 0.8660 (78.6% Fibonacci retracement) to 0.8740 (78.6% Fibonacci extension) zone on the radar, with the next area of interest coming in around the 2023 low (86.06).
--- Written by David Song, Senior Strategist at FOREX.com
JPYAUD trade ideas
AudJpy Bullish Idea I'm bullish till the previous weekly high 95.305 is taken.
Last week, Price cleared an old weekly low 86.781 closing above it which gives Long Bias. It clears the previous week low as Inducement and that same weekly high as draw on Liquidity 🧲
I would like to see price clears today's low 89.558 before the momentum to the upside.
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AUDJPY SELLInitiating a short on AUD/JPY as risk sentiment deteriorates and technicals point to a downside move. The pair has failed to break above and is forming a potential lower high, with momentum indicators showing bearish divergence. A break below adds confirmation to the short setup.
Entry:
Stop Loss:
Take Profit:
Risk/Reward Ratio:
Timeframe:
Rationale: Risk-off environment favoring JPY strength, alongside potential weakness in AUD due to soft commodity prices and/or dovish RBA tone.
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Indices GAP UP on Trumps Tariff comments so BUY AUDJPY???All the information you need to find a high probability trade are in front of you on the charts so build your trading decisions on 'the facts' of the chart NOT what you think or what you want to happen or even what you heard will happen. If you have enough facts telling you to trade in a certain direction and therefore enough confluence to take a trade, then this is how you will gain consistency in you trading and build confidence. Check out my trade idea!!
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AUDJPY Technical and Order Flow AnalysisOur analysis is based on multi-timeframe top-down analysis & fundamental analysis.
Based on our view the price will rise to the monthly level.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis can change anytime without notice and is only for assisting traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no reason to act on it, and neither should you.
Please support our analysis with a like or comment!
AUDJPY Will Move Higher! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for AUDJPY.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 90.356.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 94.801 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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AUDJPYWe see in Australia against the Japanese yen two scenarios, i.e. the trend is completed to the downside, or if 90.449 is breached, it begins to rise, and we target 93.498 and 92.332, but most likely the scenario is an upward trend that will be activated, i.e. we wait for the taki candle after the breach.
AUDJPY – Buy Limit Setup (Intraday)Published: 11/04/2025 11:26 (BST)
Expires: 11/04/2025 21:00 (BST)
🧠 Trade Summary
Type: Buy Limit
Entry: 88.00
Target: 90.00
Stop Loss: 87.00
Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
Duration: Intraday
Confidence Level: 53%
News Sentiment: 47%
📊 Technical View
The recent dip offers a better risk/reward entry compared to current levels.
No signs of exhaustion in the current rally.
A confirmed break above 89.50 would validate bullish momentum.
The measured move target sits at 90.50.
Key support at 88.00, aligning with the Buy Limit order.
🔍 Levels to Watch
Resistance: 89.50 / 90.00 / 90.50
Support: 88.50 / 88.00 / 87.50
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
AUDJPY Elliott Wave Analysishello friends
In the AUDJPY currency pair, we see the formation of a 5-wave pattern in the dominant wave (B). Before these 5-waves, we see a strong downward movement. which we call wave (A).
These 5 waves have modified the previous powerful movement, and the corrective movements are always more complicated and time-consuming than their previous wave.
Therefore, it is more likely that the price will return to its original movement.
Therefore, with the hypothesis of continued downward movement, we are waiting for the break of the trend line drawn at the 5-wave bottom (wave B) and with the break and pullback, we can enter into a sale transaction.
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AUDJPY Bearish continuation below 91.85The AUDJPY currency pair remains in a bearish trend, with the recent price action showing signs of an oversold bounce. While a temporary rebound is in play, the broader sentiment remains weak unless a decisive breakout occurs.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance Levels: 91.85 (critical level), 92.84, 93.62
Support Levels: 87.87, 86.60, 85.70
Bearish Scenario:
A rejection from the 91.85 resistance level could reaffirm the downside bias, leading to a continuation of the bearish move toward 87.87, with extended declines targeting 86.60 and 85.70 over the longer timeframe.
Bullish Scenario:
A breakout above 91.85 with a daily close above this level would challenge the bearish sentiment, opening the door for further gains toward 92.84, followed by 93.60.
Conclusion:
The market sentiment remains bearish, with 91.85 acting as a critical resistance zone. A rejection from this level could reinforce the downtrend, while a confirmed breakout would shift the outlook to bullish, favouring further upside. Traders should closely monitor price action at this key level for confirmation.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
AUD/JPY SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
We are going short on the AUD/JPY with the target of 85.454 level, because the pair is overbought and will soon hit the resistance line above. We deduced the overbought condition from the price being near to the upper BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is green and gives us a counter-signal.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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AUDJPY to find buyers at previous resistance?AUDJPY - 24h expiry
There is no indication that the rally is coming to an end.
Further upside is expected.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 91.00 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 92.00.
We look to Buy at 89.50 (stop at 88.50)
Our profit targets will be 91.50 and 92.00
Resistance: 91.00 / 91.50 / 92.00
Support: 90.00 / 89.50 / 89.00
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Bullish bounce off pullback support?AUD/JPY is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is an overlap resistance.
Pivot: 89.50
1st Support: 87.82
1st Resistance: 93.06
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Bearish Setup on AUDJPY – Waiting for POI ReactionCurrently bearish on AUDJPY due to higher time frame structure showing signs of weakness. However, I’m exercising patience as I have two key areas of interest (POIs) I’m watching closely:
Primary POI (Point of Interest):
This is a refined supply zone within the premium zone, where I expect price to retrace before giving any bearish confirmation. Ideally, I want to see a clear rejection or distribution pattern here before executing a short position.
Extreme POI (Last Line of Defense):
In case price breaks through the primary POI without a solid rejection, I will wait for price to reach this deeper, more extreme supply zone. This is my most conservative entry area and aligns with higher risk-to-reward expectations.
Trade Plan:
No entry until price pulls back into one of the POIs.
Looking for confirmation (e.g., break of structure, bearish engulfing, supply taking over demand) before executing a sell.
Targeting previous demand levels or liquidity zones below current price.
Stop loss will depend on the POI used, with risk managed accordingly.
Bias: Bearish
Status: Waiting for retracement and confirmation.
AUD/JPY Technical Outlook: Wave 5 Completion in SightIn AUD/JPY, the 4th wave has been completed, and the 5th wave is in progress. According to Elliott Wave theory, there is a high probability of the market continuing its downward movement.
Regarding potential targets, the price may reach 88.151 and 87.365 on the downside. However, a bullish move could also emerge if the market breaks above 89.645 .
AUDJPY Sell Opportunity: Analyzing Market Trends with EASY TradiBased on the latest EASY Trading AI analysis, AUDJPY presents an attractive selling scenario. The recommended entry is precisely at 87.061, targeting a Take Profit at the 86.05 mark, with a cautious Stop Loss at 88.869.The sell signal arises from reliable indicators showing weakening upward momentum and bearish pressure forming clearly at current resistance levels. EASY Trading AI’s evaluation of recent price action identifies increased selling volume and reduced bullish participation, signaling a likely downward correction.Carefully monitor your risk parameters and follow this clearly defined trading plan for optimal risk-reward management.