JPYAUD trade ideas
AUDJPY - BullishI have a bullish bias on AUDJPY based on the following factors:
- Seasonality - AUDJPY have a probability to remain bullish towards end of Jul, early Aug
- COT report:
- For AUD, since start of Jun, non-commercial positions on the long side have remain unchanged but on the short side have significantly increased
- For JPY, since start of Jun, non-commercial positions on the long side have decreased and shorts have increased
- Forex Fundamentals (Summary 3 Score) - AUD and JPY scores in the last few months have been decreasing
- Fundamental News - US and EU have agreed on a trade deal with 15% tariff. This is risk on indications for the global markets since it indicates certainty going forward
Technicals:
- AUDJPY - in an uptrend on 4H and D with no divergence on both timeframes. However, price is approaching a strong resistance zone/double top which is our TP target
AUDJPY 4Hour TF - July 27th, 2025AUDJPY 7/27/2025
AUDJPY 4hour Bullish Idea
Monthly - Bullish
Weekly - Bullish
Dailly - Bullish
4hour - Bullish
We’re looking bullish again on AUDJPY for the week ahead, but will it stick? The overall higher timeframes suggest we are bullish as well but we will need to see key structure before entering any trades. Let’s take a look at two potential scenarios we would want to see happen this week.
Bullish Continuation - We ended last week in a perfect spot, right above our 96.500 zone. This leaves us in a position for a potential long opportunity where we only need to see 1 or two more forms of confirmation.
Look for our 96.500 zone to be tested and held as support. If this happens and we can confirm a higher low above 96.500 we’ll be looking to enter and target higher toward major levels of resistance like 98.650.
Bearish Reversal - For us to consider AJ bearish again we would need to see a strong break below the current zone at 96.500.
Look for signs of structure (LL, LH) to form below the current zone. If this happens we can consider targeting lower toward major levels of support like 94.500
AUDJPY: Strong Bearish Signal?! 🇦🇺🇯🇵
AUDJPY may retrace from a key daily resistance.
As a confirmation, I see a bearish breakout of a support line of a rising
wedge pattern with a high momentum bearish candle.
Goal - 96.47
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
AUDJPY: Bullish Structure Shift Signals Institutional Buy ZoneGreetings Traders,
In today’s analysis of AUDJPY, we observe a recent bullish market structure shift (MSS), signaling potential for continued upward movement. With this in mind, we aim to capitalize on buying opportunities at key institutional points of interest to target higher premium prices.
Higher Timeframe Context:
The weekly timeframe maintains a clear bullish narrative. This long-term bias is now supported by a bullish MSS on the H4 timeframe, offering strong confluence and alignment across both macro and intermediate structures. This increases our confidence in expecting further bullish continuation.
Key Observations on H4:
Weekly Fair Value Gap (FVG) Support: Price recently pulled back into a weekly FVG and has rebalanced that inefficiency. This reaction aligns with the H4 MSS, reinforcing the weekly FVG as a strong institutional support zone.
Reclaimed Bullish Order Block: After the MSS, price retraced into a bullish reclaimed order block—an area where previous institutional positioning occurred. Since price has now reclaimed this level, it becomes a high-probability zone for renewed buying interest in the direction of the dominant trend.
Lower Timeframe Confirmation: This reclaimed order block will serve as our primary zone of interest to seek confirmations on the lower timeframes for precise entries.
Trading Plan:
Entry Strategy: Wait for bullish confirmation within the reclaimed H4 order block zone before entering long positions.
Target: The primary objective is the H4 liquidity pool situated at premium prices, which the market is likely to be drawn toward.
For a detailed market walkthrough and in-depth execution zones, be sure to watch this week’s Forex Market Breakdown:
As always, execute with discipline and align your trade management with your overall plan.
Kind Regards,
The Architect 🏛️📈
AUDJPY – NDOG & Resistance Zone Campaign
Shorted after clean reaction from NDOG (96.669–96.697) and rejection at my 96.617–96.645 resistance zone. Entered on a strong bearish shift candle with solid volume. TP locked at 96.331, past the 96.439 sellside draw, aiming toward structural liquidity near 96.301. Playbook reminder: structure validated, entry timing needs refinement—early trigger noted. SL hit after engineered volatility, but bias read and magnet zone logic held firm.
AUDJPY Q3 | D24 | W30 | Y25📊AUDJPY Q3 | D24 | W30 | Y25
Daily Forecast🔍📅
Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈
Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭.
It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias.
This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us.
📈 Risk Management Protocols
🔑 Core principles:
Max 1% risk per trade
Only execute at pre-identified levels
Use alerts, not emotion
Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2
🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk.
🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight
"Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants."
Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work.
FRGNT
AUDJPY Bullish Order Block In SightOANDA:AUDJPY Price finds Support at the Swing Low @ 95.629 and creates a Swing High @ 96.741!
Based on the ICT Method, the Swing Low broke Sell-Side Liquidity @ 95.995 and opened up a Bullish Order Block Opportunity @ 96.217!
Price is currently working down from 96.49 at the time of publishing but once Price visits the Order Block, this could deliver Long Opportunities!!
AUDJPY Wave Analysis – 23 July 2025- AUDJPY reversed from support zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 97.40
AUDJPY currency pair recently reversed up from the support zone located between the pivotal support level 95.55 (former monthly high from March and May), 20-day moving average and support trendline of the daily up channel from May.
This support zone was further strengthened by the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from June.
AUDJPY currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 97.40, former monthly high from February, which also stopped the earlier impulse wave earlier this month.
AUD/JPY: Capitalizing on the RBA-BoJ Monetary Policy GapThis analysis outlines a compelling short opportunity in AUD/JPY, driven by a powerful confluence of fundamental and technical factors. The trade is strategically positioned ahead of a key catalyst that could unlock significant downside potential.
1️⃣ The Core Thesis: A Clear Policy Divergence
The primary driver behind this trade is the stark and widening gap in monetary policy between the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) and the Bank of Japan (BoJ). The RBA is signaling a clear dovish pivot amid a weakening labor market, making an interest rate cut imminent. Conversely, the BoJ is in a tightening phase, creating a fundamental headwind for the AUD relative to the JPY. This divergence underpins the strategic bearish bias.
2️⃣ The Confirmation: Technical Alignment
This fundamental view is supported by a clear technical picture. The pair is in a well-defined downtrend and is currently testing a critical support level. This alignment of fundamental and technical factors presents a clear short opportunity, with the entry positioned for a breakdown below this key juncture.
3️⃣ The Catalyst: The RBA Bulletin
The immediate catalyst for this trade is the upcoming RBA Bulletin on July 24, 2025. Any dovish language from the RBA concerning Australia's economic outlook will likely reinforce expectations for a rate cut and accelerate the downward move in AUD/JPY.
The Trade Setup ✅
Here is the recommended trade setup:
📉 Trade: SHORT AUD/JPY
👉 Entry: 96.56200
⛔️ Stop Loss: 96.96386
🎯 Take Profit: 95.49900
🧠 Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.65
This setup offers a compelling risk-reward profile, capitalizing on a clear and powerful macroeconomic theme. The trade is designed to perform should the expected catalyst confirm the underlying bearish fundamentals.
AUDJPY: Waiting to BUYIn this video I walk through my full thought process on how I plan to approach this setup. I’m not rushing in or trying to predict what price will do. Instead, I’m staying reactive. I’ve identified a clean FVG that price is currently approaching, and my plan is to wait patiently for price to tap into that zone.
But tapping the FVG alone is not enough for me to jump in. What I really want to see is a clear bullish reaction, something like a strong bullish engulfing candle or a shift in structure that confirms the buyers are stepping in. If that happens, then I’ll look to take a long position targeting another liquidy zone.
This isn’t about guessing the bottom. It’s about letting price tell the story and only acting when there’s a clear signal. That’s the discipline behind this trade.
SYMMETRYHello awesome traders! 👋
Hope you’ve managed to grab some solid pips from the markets this week. As we head into the weekend, I’m wrapping things up by dropping a few clean chart setups for you to review and reflect on.
Enjoy the weekend, recharge well — and I’ll see you sharp and ready next week for more structure-led opportunities.
📌 Pattern Breakdown
We had a beautiful AB=CD symmetry setup, with a slight twist:
🔹 AB = CD structure extended slightly beyond traditional symmetry
🔹 CD stretched into the 127.2% fib projection — a known trap zone
🔹 Price tagged 95.980 and reacted with strong bullish momentum from the PCZ (95.98–95.58)
🔹 This zone also aligned with 161.8% fib extension support = strong confluence
🎯 Target Structure
Following the rejection, price is now rotating upward, moving toward:
✅ Target 1:
• 23.6% = 97.16
• 61.8% = 97.972
📍 Partial TP booked at 23.6%
🧭 Watching price behavior here before deciding whether to continue toward…
🔄 Target 2 Zone:
• 78.6% = 98.508
🧠 Key Concepts in Play
✅ AB=CD symmetry extended to 127.2%
✅ Valid PCZ rejection from confluence zone
✅ Partial profit taken at TP1
✅ Measured continuation play in motion
✅ Structure-led management with clear invalidation
🗝 Final Thoughts
AUDJPY gave us a clean extended symmetry rejection — and now we’re in the follow-through phase. The reaction off the 127% extension shows that even stretched patterns can hold when structure aligns.
We’ve locked some gains at the 23.6% zone and will let the rest play out or reassess early next week depending on price behavior around the 61.8% mark.
“Even when symmetry stretches — the reaction reveals the conviction.”
AUD-JPY Will Grow! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-JPY already made a
Bullish rebound from the
Strong horizontal support
Of 95.610 and as we are
Bullish biased we will be
Expecting a further bullish
Move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
AUDJPY Buy Stop Setup | Trend Continuation in FocusAUDJPY is in an established uptrend, forming higher highs and higher lows. A buy stop is positioned above the recent swing high to confirm bullish continuation. The setup includes a defined stop-loss below the previous higher low to manage risk and two target profit levels (TP1 & TP2) aligned with key resistance zones. This approach favors trend-following traders seeking confirmation of upward momentum before entry.
AUD/JPY LOSS❌ AUD/JPY Loss – Market Shifting
We anticipated another move up on AUD/JPY, but price had other plans.
Looks like a new downtrend may be starting—which is actually good news.
We don’t trade in consolidation.
We wait for structure, direction, and alignment.
📌 Movement = opportunity. And we might have a new one setting up soon.
Losses are part of the process. The VMS strategy keeps us focused, patient, and ready for the next valid setup.