JPYCAD trade ideas
CAD/JPY SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
CAD/JPY SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 104.075
Target Level: 101.220
Stop Loss: 105.968
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Trend Changing Pattern (TCP) in Action: Live ExampleHey traders,
Following up on yesterday’s lesson about the Trend Changing Pattern (TCP), I wanted to share a real-time example using the CADJPY pair in an intraday downtrend.
Today, we spotted a TCP setup where price action gave us a classic reversal signal:
The market manipulated the low of the TCP zone with a single break.
This was followed by a W pattern and a second attempt that failed to make a lower low.
That failure to create a new low acted as our entry confirmation for a long position.
🔹 Entry: 103.71 (Long)
🔹 Stop Loss: 103.28 (Just below the break low for protection)
This trade setup perfectly illustrates how price structure and momentum shifts can help you catch early entries during trend reversals.
Stay sharp, manage your risk — and have a blessed trading day!
Trend Changing Pattern (TCP) ExplainedIntroduction
One of the most important skills in forex trading is learning how to read price action and understand what the market is telling you. Price is not just numbers — it’s the collective perception of traders, making it the most reliable leading indicator available.
Today, I want to explain a powerful concept known as the Trend Changing Pattern (TCP) — a crucial tool for identifying potential market reversals and shifts in trend direction.
📈 What Is a Trend Changing Pattern?
In any trending market, whether it's an uptrend or downtrend, the trend won’t change easily. The strength of the trend and the timeframe you're trading on will determine how long it takes for a true reversal to occur.
One key signal of a trend change is a shift in momentum:
In an uptrend, when a momentum low forms during a pullback, it can be a sign that the trend is beginning to reverse.
In a downtrend, a momentum high during a pullback can signal a potential bullish reversal.
These are what we refer to as Trend Changing Patterns (TCPs) — moments where the structure of the market starts to shift.
⚠️ Watch for Manipulation After the TCP
After a TCP appears, it's common to see price manipulation before the new trend fully takes hold:
In an uptrend, price may return to manipulate the previous high before continuing down.
In a downtrend, price often dips to manipulate the previous low before reversing higher.
Being aware of this common liquidity grab helps traders avoid being trapped and instead position themselves in alignment with the new trend.
🧠 Final Thoughts
Understanding how to spot and interpret a Trend Changing Pattern gives you a major edge in forex trading. It helps you stay ahead of the market and make informed decisions based on price action, not emotion.
🎥 In the video, I go into more detail about momentum highs and lows, and how to recognize these key patterns in real time. Be sure to check it out if you want to sharpen your trend reversal strategy.
Wishing you success on your trading journey! 🚀
CADJPY Sellers In Panic! BUY!
My dear friends,
CADJPY looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 103.54 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 104.58
Recommended Stop Loss - 102.96
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
CADJPY Multi-Timeframe Price Analysis: Trade SetupIn this video, we analyse the CADJPY across multiple timeframes (4H, 1H, and 15M) to identify a high-probability long trade setup based on structural price action, momentum shifts, and Fibonacci retracement levels.
🔍 4H Analysis (Momentum High Formed)
The CADJPY has shown a strong bullish recovery on the 4-hour chart, forming a Momentum High — a key signal that often precedes price movement. According to the principle "Momentum Precedes Price," we anticipate a corrective pullback to form a Higher Low (HL). This HL is expected to become a decision point for buyers looking to join the uptrend.
⏱ 1H Analysis (Confirmation of Structure)
On the 1-hour timeframe, price has formed a Higher Market Low (ML), confirming the structural HL observed on the 4H chart. Price has now entered the Fibonacci Buy Zone, providing a high-probability entry area for bullish trades.
📉 15M Analysis (Failure Setup & Entry Trigger)
The 15-minute chart shows a Failure to Make a Lower Low (LL). While a higher low is a positive sign, confirmation comes only after a break above the last Lower High (LH) that failed to produce a new low. We’re watching for a break above 104.128 to confirm this failure setup and trigger our long entry.
🎯 Trade Setup
✅ Entry: Long above 104.128
🛑 Stop Loss: Below London session low at 103.74 ± 5 pips
🎯 Targets:
T1: 106.92
T2: 108.64
💬 Wishing you a successful trading week! Don’t forget to like, comment, and follow for more technical analysis and trade ideas.
CADJPY-NEUTRAL SELL strategy 6 hourly chart Regrssion channel The pair has moved lower and I exited @ 104.33 from my previous SELL strategy. It feels heavy and we may see move towards 103.20 area in coming sessions, but I prefer to stay out.
Strategy SELL (for those willing) @ 104.00-104.40 and take profit @ 103.27 for now.
CADJPY-SELL strategy 6 hourly chart Line Brk (2)The pair should resume downtrend as based on regression channel parameters and indicators. The feel I get is, we will test 103.40 area in coming sessions, whilst still respecting cloud support lower.
Strategy SELL @ 105.00-105.40 and take profit near 103.77 for now.
Don't like ranges! X-(Because whether they'll return or continue It's unclear.It's fifty fifty the price to break the border or not after we individualized the range.Hello traders;Here I am watching what condition CADJPY is at.OK,after a floating ascension the price has reached a range zone ina.I would not like to trade or get signals in the range zones;So we are waiting to just break.If the price manages to break the support, we will enter the selling phase.As easy as that! >;<
CAD/JPY breakDown trend line 1h analysis chartBased on your CAD/JPY chart analysis, here are key levels I can identify:
Entry Point:
A sell entry seems valid after a break below 104.656, confirming bearish momentum.
Stop Loss (SL105.900):
Place SL above the recent highs, likely around 105.900 , depending on your risk tolerance.
Take Profit (TP) / Target Zones:
First Support Zone: 103.500
Second Support Zone: 102.800
Final Target: 102.000 (as indicated by the large red arrow)
Support & Resistance Zones:
Major Resistance: 104.800 - 105.000
First Support: 103.500
Second Support: 102.800
Key Demand Zone: 102.000
This setup follows a breakout-retest strategy before continuation to the downside. Let me know if you need refinements!
CADJPY analysis for a Sell!!!!Here’s a sell-side analysis for CAD/JPY on the 2H chart based on your updated screenshot:
⸻
Pair: CAD/JPY
Timeframe: 2H
Current Price: ~104.656
Market Bias: Short-term bearish shift from previous bullish trend
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Sell Analysis Overview:
1. Bearish Structure Forming Below 105.300–105.600
• Price recently broke below a major support zone (~105.300–105.600), which is now turning into a resistance zone.
• This rejection aligns with the concept of structure flipping — previous support now acting as resistance.
• The marked “Sell Structure Forming Below” zone highlights this key area for short positions on pullbacks.
2. Multiple Rejections at 105.866
• There are clear lower highs forming, with repeated rejections around 105.866 (circled).
• Each attempt to push higher has failed, showing strong bearish pressure and exhaustion from buyers.
3. Breakdown of Key Moving Averages
• Price has closed below both the 50 EMA and 100 EMA, which are beginning to curl downward — a common signal of a trend reversal.
• Momentum has shifted, and sellers are currently in control.
4. Liquidity Grab + Breakdown
• After a false breakout to the upside, price grabbed liquidity around 105.866 and quickly reversed.
• This aligns with smart money behavior: sweeping highs before dropping — a classic bearish trap.
5. Short-Term Target Zone
• The current bearish move has a clear downside target in the 103.600–103.800 zone, which is marked as an “Area of Liquidity”.
• If this zone breaks cleanly, extended targets sit around 101.800–101.400, where fresh demand and buy structure are likely to form.
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Sell Plan & Risk Management:
• Entry Idea: Wait for a pullback into the 105.300–105.600 zone to look for bearish confirmation (e.g., bearish engulfing, rejection wick).
• Stop Loss: Above 105.866 (invalidates structure)
• Take Profit Levels:
• TP1: 103.600 (liquidity zone)
• TP2: 101.800 (demand zone)
• TP3: 101.400 (long-term structure support)
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Final Thoughts:
CAD/JPY is now showing early signs of a bearish trend reversal after a clean breakdown of structure and liquidity sweep at highs. As long as the price remains below 105.600, the bias remains bearish. A bounce from 104.500 could temporarily delay the drop, but deeper downside is likely if that level gives way.
CADJPY Short OpportunityThe pair was rejected by strong gray resistance, with bearish RSI divergence.
The ascending wedge (green trendlines), is also about to be broken.
Higher probability is for another leg down, initially targeting recent lows around 101.
CADJPY Bullish OutlookHere is my analysis for CADJPY for the coming weeks.
Price is approaching correctively towards the Lower time frame 0.618-0.500 area or Golden ratio, price is currently forming a Running Flat pattern and may react from that Buy zone area. Another scenario, price may be forming an Expanding Flat pattern or may go lower between 0.786-0.618 area before price reacts towards the upside.
Once the price reacts on the Buy zone, it will be expected to impulsively towards the Sell zone area or Higher time frame 0.618-0.500 or Golden ratio. From there, we might be expecting a long-term Bearish Outlook.
CASRJPY 1H Analysis buy setup Entry: Around 105.050 - 105.300 (based on the marked zone for potential breakout)
Target (TP)
First TP: 106.000 (near resistance zone)
Second TP: 106.350 (upper trendline resistance)
Stop Loss (SL) 104.500
SL: Below the trendline, around 105.000 for safer risk management.
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Levels:
105.050 (Key support)
104.500 (Major support)
Resistance Levels:
105.800 (Intermediate resistance)
106.350 (Upper trendline resistance)
Trade Idea
Wait for a bullish confirmation candle above 105.300 to confirm entry. If price retests the trendline and shows bullish momentum, that could provide a better entry with tighter risk.
CADJPY uptrend detected ! 106.000 TargetThe current price is positioned at a crucial key level, serving as a significant point of interest for market participants. Given this strategic positioning, we anticipate an upward movement in the short term, driven by potential buying momentum and market optimism. If this level holds as a strong support, it could act as a catalyst for bullish sentiment, encouraging further price appreciation. However, it remains essential to monitor market conditions and external factors that may influence price dynamics, ensuring a well-informed approach to trading decisions.
CADJPY | 26.03.2025SELL 105.500 | STOP 105.900 | TAKE 104.950 | Price movement within a narrow range with determination of the exit.
A CLEAR SELL SET UP ON CADJPYCADJPY is currently trending down ,it has bounced on the trend line two times, waiting for the third bounce on the trendline and possibly on the 200 Moving Average for a potential sell opportunity.
CAD/JPY: Bullish Structure Holds with Breakout PotentialThe CAD/JPY market continues to show bullish strength, forming a clear sequence of higher highs and higher lows. On the daily timeframe, an inside bar pattern has emerged, indicating a period of consolidation that may lead to a bullish continuation, especially with the candle closing above the 105.000 level.
At the moment, the price is testing Monday’s high, and a breakout above this point could trigger further upside. The market may form a range around the current level before continuing its move higher from the previous week’s high and the upward trendline. The next target is the resistance zone around 106.300
CADJPY Buy IdeaI will be buying CADJPY should price fall to 104,590. This trade is setting up nicely for Asian session. Stay alert for this one as it is a great trade considering the small risk.
cadjpy break major supply zone and retest looking for uptrend cadjpy break major supply zone and retest looking for uptrend to 108.347 potential target
CAD JPY Trade Setup 1 hour timeframe CAD JPY Trade Setup 1 hour timeframe
Following last week's trade setup CAD JPY is moving in an uptrend making Higher Highs and Higher Lows, so we will keep looking for Buying opportunities.
CAD JPY is forming a bullish break and retest continuation pattern that also align with the 0.618-0.50 Fib Retracement level.
Lets wait for the price to pull back to the retest level then enter base off candlestick confirmation
CAD/JPY SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
Previous week’s green candle means that for us the CAD/JPY pair is in the uptrend. And the current movement leg was also up but the resistance line will be hit soon and upper BB band proximity will signal an overbought condition so we will go for a counter-trend short trade with the target being at 104.075.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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RE-TEST! Not a long term trade just a good money grab.i drew this support like a week or 2 ago and its respected, price will retest 104.500 then shoot up, in summary this isn't a long term trade but just a quick money grab.
