Don't like ranges! X-(Because whether they'll return or continue It's unclear.It's fifty fifty the price to break the border or not after we individualized the range.Hello traders;Here I am watching what condition CADJPY is at.OK,after a floating ascension the price has reached a range zone ina.I would not like to trade or get signals in the range zones;So we are waiting to just break.If the price manages to break the support, we will enter the selling phase.As easy as that! >;<
JPYCAD trade ideas
CADJPY: Bearish Wedge PatternCADJPY: Bearish Wedge Pattern
The price broke out from a bearish Wedge Pattern.
The volume is growing, and after a pause, CADJPY can move down more.
Both economies are impacted by Trump's tariffs but in my opinion Canada has more problems and Trump can create more instability.
Targets:
🎯 104.65
🎯 104.00
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
CADJPY analysis for a Sell!!!!Here’s a sell-side analysis for CAD/JPY on the 2H chart based on your updated screenshot:
⸻
Pair: CAD/JPY
Timeframe: 2H
Current Price: ~104.656
Market Bias: Short-term bearish shift from previous bullish trend
⸻
Sell Analysis Overview:
1. Bearish Structure Forming Below 105.300–105.600
• Price recently broke below a major support zone (~105.300–105.600), which is now turning into a resistance zone.
• This rejection aligns with the concept of structure flipping — previous support now acting as resistance.
• The marked “Sell Structure Forming Below” zone highlights this key area for short positions on pullbacks.
2. Multiple Rejections at 105.866
• There are clear lower highs forming, with repeated rejections around 105.866 (circled).
• Each attempt to push higher has failed, showing strong bearish pressure and exhaustion from buyers.
3. Breakdown of Key Moving Averages
• Price has closed below both the 50 EMA and 100 EMA, which are beginning to curl downward — a common signal of a trend reversal.
• Momentum has shifted, and sellers are currently in control.
4. Liquidity Grab + Breakdown
• After a false breakout to the upside, price grabbed liquidity around 105.866 and quickly reversed.
• This aligns with smart money behavior: sweeping highs before dropping — a classic bearish trap.
5. Short-Term Target Zone
• The current bearish move has a clear downside target in the 103.600–103.800 zone, which is marked as an “Area of Liquidity”.
• If this zone breaks cleanly, extended targets sit around 101.800–101.400, where fresh demand and buy structure are likely to form.
⸻
Sell Plan & Risk Management:
• Entry Idea: Wait for a pullback into the 105.300–105.600 zone to look for bearish confirmation (e.g., bearish engulfing, rejection wick).
• Stop Loss: Above 105.866 (invalidates structure)
• Take Profit Levels:
• TP1: 103.600 (liquidity zone)
• TP2: 101.800 (demand zone)
• TP3: 101.400 (long-term structure support)
⸻
Final Thoughts:
CAD/JPY is now showing early signs of a bearish trend reversal after a clean breakdown of structure and liquidity sweep at highs. As long as the price remains below 105.600, the bias remains bearish. A bounce from 104.500 could temporarily delay the drop, but deeper downside is likely if that level gives way.
CADJPY Bullish OutlookHere is my analysis for CADJPY for the coming weeks.
Price is approaching correctively towards the Lower time frame 0.618-0.500 area or Golden ratio, price is currently forming a Running Flat pattern and may react from that Buy zone area. Another scenario, price may be forming an Expanding Flat pattern or may go lower between 0.786-0.618 area before price reacts towards the upside.
Once the price reacts on the Buy zone, it will be expected to impulsively towards the Sell zone area or Higher time frame 0.618-0.500 or Golden ratio. From there, we might be expecting a long-term Bearish Outlook.
CADJPY Bullish Surge: Key Levels to Watch Following a strong Canadian GDP report and weaker-than-expected U.S. consumer sentiment data from the University of Michigan, CADJPY has shown significant bullish momentum. Additionally, positive discussions between former U.S. President Trump and PM of Canada Carney have contributed to market optimism.
After bouncing off a 1-hour order block, CADJPY has surged over 50% from its weak opening. If this bullish momentum persists, the pair could target the 106.000–106.500 range in the near term. Traders should watch for continued strength and potential retracements for optimal entries.
CADJPY 1H forecastProjecting a further decline on CADJPY as a 5waves sequence or a potential correction pattern A-B-C. We come from a bullish impulse formation, which is now complete. If you take note,* we broke below the momentum trendline, and now we're making lower highs, indicating the trend is ending and changing the trend.
CADJPY BUY AnalysisBuy Analysis Overview:
1. Clear Bullish Market Structure
• The chart shows a series of higher highs and higher lows, confirming bullish momentum.
• Price has broken previous resistance levels and is now using them as support (e.g., zones around 105.000 – 105.260).
2. Retest of Previous Breakout Zone
• Price recently broke above a significant resistance (now turned support) around 105.200 – 105.300.
• It’s currently retesting that area — a bullish continuation pattern if it holds.
• The current consolidation just above the support zone is a healthy sign of buyers defending the level.
3. Support from Moving Averages
• Price is sitting above both the 50 EMA (blue) and 100 EMA (black), which are also sloping upward.
• These EMAs are acting as dynamic support, further strengthening the bullish outlook.
4. Entry from Demand Zone
• The small demand zone (light blue box) around 105.200 has been tapped multiple times without being broken — showing strong buying interest.
• Ideal spot for buy entries with minimal drawdown.
5. Clear Upside Target
• If the support holds, the next bullish target is around 106.500 – 107.250.
• The top green zone (~107.259) marks a logical take profit, based on historical supply and prior swing highs.
⸻
Entry & Risk Plan:
• Entry Idea: Long around 105.200–105.300 zone (on confirmation of bullish candle or engulfing pattern)
• Stop Loss: Below 104.950 (beneath the demand zone to avoid fakeouts)
• Take Profit Zones:
• TP1: 106.500
• TP2: 107.250
CASRJPY 1H Analysis buy setup Entry: Around 105.050 - 105.300 (based on the marked zone for potential breakout)
Target (TP)
First TP: 106.000 (near resistance zone)
Second TP: 106.350 (upper trendline resistance)
Stop Loss (SL) 104.500
SL: Below the trendline, around 105.000 for safer risk management.
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Levels:
105.050 (Key support)
104.500 (Major support)
Resistance Levels:
105.800 (Intermediate resistance)
106.350 (Upper trendline resistance)
Trade Idea
Wait for a bullish confirmation candle above 105.300 to confirm entry. If price retests the trendline and shows bullish momentum, that could provide a better entry with tighter risk.
CADJPY Will Fall! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for CADJPY.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 105.385.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 101.727 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
CAD/JPY H4 | Overlap support at 50% Fibonacci retracementCAD/JPY is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 104.63 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 104.05 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 106.13 which is a swing-high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Shorting opportunity on CADJPY possible!Hello Traders,
We’re keeping a close watch on CAD/JPY for a potential selling opportunity. The pair has been in a strong downtrend for months, and the bearish pressure remains intact. At the moment, price has retested its falling trendline resistance, making this a key level to monitor.
I'll be looking for short entries from this zone, with targets set at 103.630 and an extended target at 101.470.
If you find this analysis helpful, a boost would be greatly appreciated. Thank you!
CADJPY Retesting Key Level: Will Sellers Step In?OANDA:CADJPY is approaching a key level that previously acted as support. Now that price is retesting it, there’s a good chance it could turn into resistance. If sellers step in, we could see a bearish reaction.
If the price shows clear signs of rejection from this zone, I anticipate a move downward toward the 104.500 level, which serves as a logical target for this setup. Conversely, a clean breakout above the zone could signal a potential bullish continuation.
Traders should monitor for bearish confirmation signals, such as bearish engulfing candles, long upper wicks rejecting the resistance, or increased selling volume before considering short positions. Let me know your thoughts or any additional insights you might have
CADJPY uptrend detected ! 106.000 TargetThe current price is positioned at a crucial key level, serving as a significant point of interest for market participants. Given this strategic positioning, we anticipate an upward movement in the short term, driven by potential buying momentum and market optimism. If this level holds as a strong support, it could act as a catalyst for bullish sentiment, encouraging further price appreciation. However, it remains essential to monitor market conditions and external factors that may influence price dynamics, ensuring a well-informed approach to trading decisions.
Accurate Entries using the H4, I am BUYING CADJPYAll the information you need to find a high probability trade are in front of you on the charts so build your trading decisions on 'the facts' of the chart NOT what you think or what you want to happen or even what you heard will happen. If you have enough facts telling you to trade in a certain direction and therefore enough confluence to take a trade, then this is how you will gain consistency in you trading and build confidence. Check out my trade idea!!
www.tradingview.com
Bullish momentum to extend?CAD/JPY is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 104.86
1st Support: 104.28
1st Resistance: 106.56
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
CADJPY What Next? SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for CADJPY below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 105.42
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 104.26
Recommended Stop Loss - 106.00
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
CADJPY shortLooking at a level on CADJPY. Possible short around a 4hr 61.8% retracement and downtrend line with RSI divergence.
For the longer term position I'd like to see the recent low and counter trendline broken to confirm the reversal of the counter trend, also accompanied by volume profiles printing lower POC's.
Current daily profiles aren't providing too much in the way of a reversal other than a previous b shape and a double distribution on yesterdays profile. This double distribution could provide us with a shorter term, possibly intra day short target, as seen in the screenshot.
JPY - The BoJ currently have a 71% probability of a rate hike in their May meeting with inflation holding above their target rate although they have stated they will be cautious adjusting their monetary policy amid global trade risks. Their labour market remains fairly strong with low unemployment and a high level of job openings
CAD - The BoC has cut rates at a much faster pace than other central banks, 7 cut from the high of 5% to the current rate of 2.75%. In their recent policy statement however, they have stated they'll take a more cautious approach going forward as their YoY CPI increased from 1.9% to 2.6%, the highest level in 8 months. A weaker reading in upcoming inflation and/or employment metrics would help to tilt the scales more in favour of a dovish BoC.
Potential risks - Continuing rise in oil prices might prop up the CAD and risks around Trumps tariffs could push back on central banks to make an definitive moves in upcoming rate decisions.