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JAPANESE YEN / SWISS FRANC

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JPYCHF trade ideas

CHFJPY – Bearish Reversal Setup (Mid-April)Summary CHFJPY short is supported by weak macro + divergence + seasonal timing. CHF is fundamentally the weakest major, while JPY is seasonally strong and technically aligned. 🧠 Fundamental & Seasonal Overview CHFJPY presents a high-probability short opportunity for the second half of April: CHF Fundamentals = Weakest among majors ↳ SNB recently cut rates to 0.25%, CPI down to 0.3%, GDP slowing ↳ Exo+LEI Score ≈ -1143 — highly bearish JPY Fundamentals Improving ↳ BoJ cautiously hawkish (wage growth + inflation rising) ↳ Seasonality favors JPY mid-late April COT: CHF near top → risk of unwind; JPY also elevated, but justified by fundamentals 📉 Seasonality CHFJPY is historically bearish from April 15–30 CHF flat to weak, while JPY typically strengthens in risk-off flows and Q2
Short
by wajahatarif
CHFJPY BUY?Market is reacting to daily area on Daily time frame. Based on 4HR TF, the market seems to be forming a possible reversal pattern which could lead to a possible reversal. We could see BUYERS coming in strong should the current level hold. Disclaimer: Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is solely intended for educational and informational purposes only.The analysis provided is based on my own view of the market. Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. High-Risk Warning Trading in foreign exchange on margin entails high risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. In this case, the high degree of leverage can act both against you and in your favor
Long
by WiLLProsperForex
CHFJPY Technical & Order Flow Analysis (Swing Trading)Our analysis is based on multi-timeframe top-down analysis & fundamental analysis. Based on our view, the price will fall to the monthly level. DISCLAIMER: This analysis can change anytime without notice and is only for assisting traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no reason to act on it, and neither should you. Please support our analysis with a boost or comment!
Short
by dkb14246
1
Nice Idea on a chartI look for 3pin head and shoulders on a chart, Optimism about a de-escalation in the global trade conflict helped the US Dollar (USD) despite disappointing data releases. US President Donald Trump reported undergoing trade talks with South Korea, Japan and India. He also claimed that there’s a “very good” chance of clinching a deal with China, yet added that any pact with Beijing has to be in US terms. At the same time, a Beijing-backed outlet said on Thursday that United States officials have contacted their Chinese counterparts for talks. Tensions between China and the US persist, but optimism led Thursday’s price action.
by EZIO-FX
CHFJPY BUY TRADE PLAN🔥 CHF/JPY TRADE PLAN 🔥 📅 Date: April 28, 2025 🔖 Plan Type: Intra-Day – Trend Continuation Trade Plan Overview Type Direction Confidence R:R Status Intra-Day Buy ⭐⭐⭐⭐ 81% 3.1:1 Awaiting Tap Guidance: Prioritize the Primary Buy Zone entry. Strong continuation bias supported by H4 structure, sentiment alignment, and volume breakout retest. Total allowed risk: 0.5% of account. Primary Trade Plan: Trend Continuation – Buy 📈 Market Bias & Trade Type Bias: Bullish Trade Type: Trend Continuation 🔰 Confidence Level ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (81%) Reason: H4 bullish OB + Retest of Breakout Level + H1 bullish structure + Sentiment Score: +7/10 OB: 35% Structure: 30% Volume: 16% 📌 Status Awaiting Tap 📍 Entry Zones 🟩 Primary Buy Zone: 172.90 – 173.10 (H4 OB, demand retest) 🟧 Secondary Buy Zone: 172.50 – 172.70 (breakout retest zone) ❗ Stop Loss 172.10 (Below H4 OB, +1.5x ATR buffer, ~80 pips risk) 🎯 Take Profit Targets 🥇 TP1: 174.80 (~170 pips | 2.1R) 🥈 TP2: 175.90 (~280 pips | 3.5R) 🥉 TP3: 176.80 (~390 pips | 5.0R) (Swing) 📏 Risk:Reward 2.1:1 (TP1) 3.5:1 (TP2) 5.0:1 (TP3) 🧠 Management Strategy Risk 0.5% of $ SL to Breakeven after TP1 Take 50% at TP1, 30% at TP2, trail 20% to TP3 Full Exit if H4 BOS (bearish) Avoid holding through major CHF or JPY news. ⚠️ Confirmation Criteria H1 bullish engulfing or strong wick rejection in zone Volume spike on H1/M30 Best entry during London Open – NY Open overlap. ⏳ Validity Valid for 2 days (till April 30, 2025) ❌ Invalidation: Full bearish BOS on H4 below 172.10 DXY/Yen strength surge due to sudden macro event 🌐 Fundamental & Sentiment Snapshot COT: CHF Neutral / JPY Mildly Bearish DXY: Mildly Bearish Retail: 61% Short CHFJPY (contrarian bullish bias) Cross-Pair Check: GBPJPY bullish, USDJPY bullish (confirming) Macro: No major CHF/JPY high-impact news next 48H Sentiment Score: +7/10 Historical: CHFJPY continuation setups post-retest have 70%+ success in last 6 months. 📋 Final Trade Summary Elite bullish continuation setup. Structure, volume, sentiment all aligned. Tactical entries only at precision zones. Risk tight and managed per protocol.
Long
by jibkhan111
CHFJPY My Opinion! SELL! My dear friends, CHFJPY looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 174.67 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market. Goal - 173.76 About Used Indicators: Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
Lingrid | CHFJPY shorting OPPORTUNITY from KEY levelAfter a long consolidation, CHFJPY made a sharp breakout toward 175.00, retesting a key resistance zone. This level also aligns with the upper boundary of a previous trend channel. If price fails to hold above it, a pullback toward 173.70 is expected before any further continuation. As of now, this rally looks like a test rather than a confirmed breakout. 📈 Key Levels Sell zone: 174.90 – 175.00 Sell trigger: rejection from resistance Target: 173.70 Buy trigger: clean breakout above 175.00 with retest 💡 Risks Quick rejection from 175 may trigger a deeper correction. JPY strength can accelerate downside movement. Watch for false breakouts above resistance — confirmation is crucial. Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Short
by Lingrid
3
Forget Candlestick Patterns -Who is in control BUYERS or SELLERSAll the information you need to find a high probability trade are in front of you on the charts so build your trading decisions on 'the facts' of the chart NOT what you think or what you want to happen or even what you heard will happen. If you have enough facts telling you to trade in a certain direction and therefore enough confluence to take a trade, then this is how you will gain consistency in you trading and build confidence. Check out my trade idea!! www.tradingview.com
Long
by Simply-Forex
2
CHFJPY – Daily Timeframe (D1) Technical & Fundamental AnalysisCHFJPY – Daily Timeframe (D1) Technical & Fundamental Analysis On the daily timeframe, CHFJPY is currently in a consolidation phase, creating uncertainty in the market following a strong uptrend over the past few weeks. During this period of consolidation, we have identified several key levels that could potentially influence the market direction in the coming days. The major key support level is at 166.600, which serves as a crucial area of interest. If price breaks below this level, it could signal a potential shift in market direction and trigger further downside movement. Within the consolidation range, we also identified minor key levels near the current price: 171.200 – considered our minor key support 172.700 – considered our minor key resistance Our strategy focuses on the current liquidity zone. Since price is moving within this range, we are waiting for a clear formation of liquidity. If this occurs, we anticipate a breakout above the resistance level and will place a Buy Stop entry at 172.870, with: Stop Loss (SL) at 171.430, below the liquidity zone Take Profit (TP) at 176.460, targeting the next minor resistance level Fundamental Insights: Fundamentals Supporting the Swiss Franc (CHF): Strong Economic Data: If Switzerland releases stronger-than-expected economic growth, higher inflation figures, or positive employment data, this could increase investor confidence in the Swiss Franc and drive its value higher against the Yen. Safe-Haven Demand: The Swiss Franc is widely recognized as a safe-haven currency. During periods of global uncertainty or financial market volatility, investors typically seek the CHF for stability. Increased global risk sentiment could push CHF higher versus JPY. Fundamentals Pressuring the Japanese Yen (JPY): Low Interest Rates & Dovish Monetary Policy: The Japanese Yen continues to face pressure due to Japan’s long-standing ultra-loose monetary policy, including low or negative interest rates and the Bank of Japan’s ongoing asset purchase program. Without significant policy tightening, the Yen is likely to remain weak. Economic Headwinds: Any signs of slowing economic growth in Japan—such as disappointing GDP data, rising unemployment, or persistently low inflation—could further weaken the JPY, enhancing the bullish case for CHFJPY. 📌 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. As always, wait for proper confirmation before executing trades. Manage your risk wisely and trade what you see, not what you feel.
Long
by RebornFXTrader