EURJPY weakness continues on BoJ rate hike signal The EUR currency further weakened against the JPY earlier today when the BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda signalled that the central bank stands ready to increase government bond buying if long-term interest rates rise sharply, reiterating the BOJ’s long-standing commitment to supporting stable markets. The EURJPY price action sentiment appears bearish, supported by the longer-term prevailing downtrend.
The key trading level is at 158.90. An oversold rally from the current levels and a bearish rejection from the 158.90 level could target the downside support at 156.50 followed by 153.30 and 151.00 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 158.90 resistance and a daily close above that level would negate the bearish outlook opening the way for further rallies higher and a retest of 161.00 resistance followed by 162.10 levels.
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JPYEUR trade ideas
EURJPY What Next? BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for EURJPY below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 156.81
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 158.63
Safe Stop Loss - 156.08
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
DeGRAM | EURJPY the rising bottom is formedEURJPY is in a descending channel between the trend lines.
The price is moving from the lower trend line and support level.
The chart has formed a rising bottom.
We expect growth after the retest and consolidation above the support.
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EURJPY bullish set up 100+ pipsOur recent signal on this pair was 100 pips
Price has entered the excess zone near 156.48, a level where sellers have historically exhausted their momentum. Based on fair value principles, this is an area where buyers could step back in, bringing price back toward equilibrium.
🔍 Why I’m Buying Here:
✅ Excess Price Rejection – Price has moved outside the fair value range, indicating potential exhaustion of selling pressure.
✅ Mean Reversion to Fair Value – Expecting price to return toward the control price
🎯 Trade Plan:
📍 Entry: Around 156.48 (Excess Price Zone)
📍 TP 1: 157.75 (First reaction level)
📍 TP 2: 159.80 (Control Price Target)
If buyers step in as expected, we could see a move back toward the control price within the fair value range. Let’s see how this plays out! 🚀
EUR/JPY Bearish Setup | Rejection from 200 EMA & Supply ZoneEUR/JPY Analysis (Daily Timeframe) 📉🔥
Key Observations:
Price at 159.804 (-0.07%), showing minor bearish sentiment.
200 EMA Resistance (162.206) 🚧
Price previously rejected from this level, reinforcing it as a strong resistance zone.
Bearish Retest of Supply Zone (162.000 - 162.500) 🛑
Price attempted to break above but failed, leading to rejection and a move downward.
Breakout from Ascending Channel 📉
Price previously followed an upward trend but broke below, signaling a shift to bearish momentum.
Target at 155.732 (Next Support) 🎯
A blue arrow suggests an expected drop toward this key support.
Bias: Bearish 📉
Confirmation: If price fails to reclaim 160.500, further downside is likely.
Bearish Entry: Below 159.500 with a target at 155.732.
Invalidation: A daily close above 162.200 would shift bias to bullish.
🚨 Watch for rejection candles or strong bearish momentum for a sell setup! 🚨
EURJPY LongThe price has completed the retracement after breaking the last Lower High.
From now on we should with high probability expect the price to rally back up to the last swing high of $161.2 and see if it can break it before making another Higher Higher from there.
But before that, there are two significant OBs on the way up that the price can face significant selling pressure from. We need to watch those zones closely.
EUR/JPY Long/Short 4 Week Scenarios and Chart Feedback Hello,
This is 4 week period plan that I personally will follow, based on my strategy and trading style.
P.S i never follow a single bias (bullish or bearish), my trading style is flexible and adaptable to momentum changes.
Chart Feedback (Daily Time Frame)
There are a few key takeaways from the daily chart.
- Price action in a box since August '24 with no clear trend direction.
- Head and Shoulder fully formed, as mentioned on my previous EJ report at the begging of January.
- The price has reached a strong support first tested in December 2023 and then re-tested and always rejected in August '24, September '24, December '24 and now, making it very hot spot for the pair.
- Main trend line(Up-slopping) was crossed
- Internal turmoil in the Euro Zone could indicate weaker EURO for some more time.
Key Levels (4 Hour Time Frame)
LWL(last week low) and Bottom of Support - 155.000/155.850
First support - Which acts as last LH, Current Trend line cross and Main Trend line re-test 158.150/158.650
LWH(last week high) - 160.722
Sub Trend line - 161.419
Trend Scenarios (4h and Daily)
Long Scenarios:
For long scenarios confirmations I will be looking for a rejection from the current level, followed by re-entry in the main trend channel, cross of the sub-trend line and re-test of that area or similar movements. For any long entry I would like to see bullish price action and chart patterns being formed. With targets in rallies up to the head of the head and shoulder pattern.
Short Scenarios:
For short scenarios instead, the confirmation I need is a CTR(Cross,Test,Reject) performed at the current support level, then turning into resistance level. There are two targets I'm aiming at 151.500 and 148.650.
Trade Ideas (1 hour time frame)
For any kind of entry long and short I always use the 1 hour time frame. For confirmations I use EMA100 cross or reject, Swing/Turning points cross/reject + chart and candle patterns usually u-turns, stars, engulfing and pin bars are my favourite signs.
I will try to update my trades as soon as they happen.
Thank you for reading,
Have a profitable week,
Any feedback is welcome!
EUR/JPY - Bullish Rejection from Key Support📈 Trade Idea: Long EUR/JPY
Analysis:
Price aggressively rejected the downside with a long wick, indicating strong buyer interest at a key support level. This suggests a liquidity grab, where price swept lows before pushing back up. A potential bullish reversal could be in play, targeting the next resistance zone.
Trade Plan (Based on Chart Setup):
🔹 Entry: 156.991 (Rejection from support)
🔹 Stop Loss: 156.846 (Below recent low, invalidates bullish bias)
🔹 Take Profit: 157.281 (Fixed at 2R)
Risk/Reward:
✅ Stop Loss: ~15 pips
✅ Take Profit: ~30 pips
✅ Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2
Why this trade?
✔️ Liquidity grab below previous lows
✔️ Strong bullish rejection at key demand zone
✔️ Potential reversal targeting previous resistance
📌 Looking for price to maintain above 156.50 to sustain bullish momentum.
EUR/JPY Buy from Pivot LineEntry:
Buy at Pivot Point (P) – 158.805
Stop Loss:
Below support level S1 – 158.023
Take Profit:
Near resistance level R1 – 161.561
Rationale:
Price is currently testing the pivot level, a common area for a bounce.
If the price holds above the pivot, it suggests bullish momentum.
Aiming for the next resistance level (R1) as a profit target.
Tight stop below S1 ensures minimal loss if the price breaks lower.
Risk-to-Reward Ratio:
Approx. 1:3, making it a favorable setup.
Extra Confirmation:
Look for bullish candlestick patterns or price rejection at the pivot level.
Monitor volume increase to support the upward move.
EURJPY → Consolidation before further declineEURJPY is forming a downtrend. The price is bouncing off the channel resistance and has approached strong support, the breakout of which may trigger further decline
Global EURJPY is in a neutral trend, but locally, due to economic nuances, the euro is weakening against the Japanese yen
There are two key zones on the chart - resistance at 159.112 against which a false breakdown can be formed before the price continues its decline. And support at 158.45 - support of the pre-breakdown consolidation and at the same time a strong level, the break of which will open the way to 156.29.
Resistance levels: 159.11, 160.16, 160.9
Support levels: 156.29
Technically, the situation is weak and hints that in the short term the bears could overcome the key support, which could trigger a bearish momentum
Regards R. Linda!
eurjpy. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
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P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
Bearish drop?EUR/JPY has broken out of the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 157.19
1st Support: 155.60
1st Resistance: 158.37
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