JPYEUR trade ideas
USDJPY BUY📊 EUR/JPY - Order Block & Break of Structure (BOS) Strategy 📊
Tracking EUR/JPY on the 15-minute timeframe, we see a potential bullish setup based on order blocks (OBs) and smart money concepts (SMC). However, confirmation via Break of Structure (BOS) on lower timeframes will be key before entering a trade.
Key Zones:
Bullish Order Block (Demand Zone): 161.000 - 160.700
Expecting price to drop into this area, where institutions previously showed strong buying pressure.
Looking for BOS on lower timeframes (M5/M1) to confirm bullish intent before entering a buy position.
Bearish Order Block (Supply Zone): 163.500 - 163.700
A strong resistance level where price previously sold off.
If price reaches this area, we could see a reaction or potential reversal.
Trade Plan:
📉 Wait for price to enter the demand zone (161.000 - 160.700).
🔎 Look for a Break of Structure (BOS) on lower timeframes (M5/M1) to confirm bullish reversal.
✅ Enter a long position upon confirmation.
🎯 Targeting the supply zone at 163.500 - 163.700.
⚠️ Stop-loss below 160.700 to manage risk.
Short - EUR/JPYCurrently price has entered the medium risk zone. Price has shown signs of rejections in the smaller timeframe. This should be additional confluence for me to participate in the market as there is a potential CHOCH in the smaller timeframe.
In this trade I am only participating base on market structure and fibonacci retracement
EUR/JPY NEXT MOVESell after bearish candle stick pattern, buy after bullish candle stick pattern....
Best bullish pattern , engulfing candle or green hammer
Best bearish pattern , engulfing candle or red shooting star
NOTE: IF YOU CAN'T SEE ANY OF TOP PATTERN IN THE ZONE DO NOT ENTER
Stop lost before pattern
R/R %1/%3
Trade in 5 Min Timeframe, use signals for scalping
EUR/JPY Analysis Using Elliott WaveCurrent Market Structure & Elliott Wave Count
Wave 3 Completed near 163.800 (Key Resistance)
Wave 4 Correction in Progress targeting 161.200 - 160.800
Potential Wave 5 Expansion toward 164.400+
Bullish Scenario (Wave 4 Completion & Wave 5 Start)
📌 Long Entry:
Buy at: 161.200 - 160.800
Stop Loss (SL): 160.500
Take Profit (TP1): 162.200
Take Profit (TP2): 163.800
Take Profit (TP3): 164.400
🎯 Probability: 75% (If price finds support above 161.200)
Bearish Scenario (Wave 4 Deeper Correction or Reversal)
📌 Short Entry:
Sell at: 163.800 - 164.400 (Wave 3 High Rejection)
Stop Loss (SL): 164.700
Take Profit (TP1): 162.800
Take Profit (TP2): 161.600
Take Profit (TP3): 160.800
🎯 Probability: 70% (If price rejects 163.800 resistance)
Final Thoughts & Risk Management
✅ Bias: Bullish above 161.200, Bearish below 160.800
✅ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:3 for Both Scenarios
✅ Volatility Factor: Watch JPY Strength & Euro News Impact
EURJPY - Double Bottom Breakout & RetestIn today's video we're looking at a secondary opportunity to enter a double bottom.
A double bottom is a classic price action pattern where tests & holds a level twice before reversing in the opposite direction calling for the end of the trend.
In this opportunity, price has confirmed the double bottom by breaking and closing above the peak & now we're looking at a secondary opportunity to get involved by breakout and/or pullback.
If you have any questions or comments please leave them below and I wish you guys an excellent week of trading.
Akil
EURJPY NEXT MOVE, DEEP FUNDAMENTALS ANALYSIS EUR/JPY is currently trading around 162.300, having recently completed a breakout and subsequent retest, indicating a potential bullish continuation toward the target price of 168.300. This anticipated move suggests a gain of over 300 pips, aligning with the pair's prevailing uptrend.
Fundamentally, the Eurozone's economic indicators have shown resilience, with stable growth and inflation metrics supporting the euro. In contrast, the Bank of Japan's commitment to ultra-loose monetary policies has led to a depreciation of the yen, widening the interest rate differential between the two currencies and favoring a stronger euro
Technical analysis reinforces this bullish outlook. The pair edged higher to 164.16 last week before a slight retreat, suggesting consolidation ahead of a possible upward surge. As long as the 160.02 support level holds, further rally remains in favor, with potential targets at 164.89 and 166.67. A sustained break above these levels could pave the way toward the 168.300 target
Traders should monitor key resistance levels closely, as a confirmed breakout could present a lucrative opportunity to capitalize on the anticipated 300-pip movement. Implementing robust risk management strategies, such as setting appropriate stop-loss orders, is essential to mitigate potential market volatility. Staying informed about upcoming economic data releases and central bank communications will also be crucial in navigating this trading opportunity effectively.
EJ chart correctionEvery detail on direction on previous post
In summary, while the net-short positioning by speculators reinforces a cautious or bearish view on EUR in the short term, the gradual reduction in their short exposure may also be viewed as a subtle signal of potential stabilization or even a contrarian setup if market sentiment were to shift.
EUR/JPY – Double Bottom Breakout & Trendline Retest, Trade Setup📊 Chart Type: 1-Hour (H1)
💹 Asset: EUR/JPY
📈 Technical Patterns: Double Bottom, Trendline Breakout, Retest
📌 Overview of the Chart
The EUR/JPY chart showcases a bullish reversal setup, characterized by a Double Bottom pattern, a trendline breakout, and a successful retest. This combination suggests a potential continuation towards higher price levels, making it an ideal setup for traders looking for breakout entries.
The price action initially followed a downtrend, but buyers stepped in at key support zones, leading to the formation of a strong reversal pattern. Now, the price is testing a key resistance level, and if it breaks out, we could see a significant upward move.
🟢 Key Technical Analysis Breakdown
1️⃣ Double Bottom Formation – A Bullish Reversal Signal
🔹 The Double Bottom is a classic reversal pattern that forms after an extended downtrend.
🔹 In this case, price found strong support at 160.139, forming two lows (Bottom 1 & Bottom 2), indicating buyer dominance.
🔹 The confirmation of the pattern comes with a break above the neckline at around 162.000, suggesting a shift from bearish to bullish momentum.
2️⃣ Trendline Breakout & Retest
🔹 A descending trendline had been acting as dynamic resistance, pushing prices lower.
🔹 Recently, the price broke above the trendline, signaling a potential trend shift.
🔹 Now, price is retesting the trendline, which is a key factor in confirming whether the breakout is valid.
🔹 If the retest holds, it could trigger a strong bullish move towards the next resistance zone.
📍 Support & Resistance Zones
🔹 Support Level (160.139):
The lowest point in the chart, where price tested twice and formed the Double Bottom.
Buyers stepped in aggressively at this level, preventing further decline.
Stop Loss Placement: Below this support zone for long trades.
🔹 Resistance Zone (163.725 - Target Level):
The previous swing high and a major supply zone.
A breakout above this area could lead to further bullish momentum.
📈 Trading Strategy – How to Trade This Setup?
✅ Bullish Trade Setup (Breakout & Retest Confirmation)
This setup is ideal for traders looking to capitalize on breakout and retest strategies.
📌 Entry:
Wait for a strong bullish candle to confirm the retest of the trendline.
A break above the 162.500 level could be a good entry confirmation.
📌 Target:
First target: 163.725 (Resistance Zone).
If momentum continues, the next upside target could be around 164.500.
📌 Stop Loss:
Below 160.139 (previous support level) to minimize risk.
Alternatively, place it below the trendline retest zone if entering aggressively.
📌 Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR):
This trade offers a strong RRR, as the downside risk is limited, while the upside potential is higher.
🔴 Bearish Scenario – What if the Retest Fails?
While the bias is bullish, traders must be prepared for a fake breakout scenario. If price fails to hold above the trendline and neckline, the structure might break down.
📌 Bearish Entry:
If price rejects the retest zone and closes back below 161.500, it could indicate a false breakout.
📌 Target:
160.139 (Support Level).
📌 Stop Loss:
Above the trendline retest zone to protect against unexpected bullish moves.
🔎 Key Takeaways & Final Thoughts
✅ The Double Bottom pattern signals a potential trend reversal.
✅ The trendline breakout & retest adds further confirmation to the bullish bias.
✅ A breakout above 162.500 could accelerate buying pressure toward 163.725.
✅ Risk management is essential: A well-placed stop loss below the support level ensures minimal downside risk.
✅ If price rejects the retest zone, traders should be prepared for a possible bearish reversal.
📌 Overall Bias: Bullish ✅
📌 Trade Confirmation: Needs trendline retest hold + bullish breakout 📈
📌 Key Level to Watch: 162.500 (Breakout Confirmation Zone) 🔥
💡 Pro Tip : Always wait for confirmation before entering a trade. A strong bullish candlestick pattern (e.g., engulfing candle) on the H1 or H4 timeframe could provide extra confidence in the setup! 🚀
EJ UpdateToday's Forex Factory data indicate that eurozone economic indicators continue to be mixed—with persistent growth concerns and dovish signals from the ECB—while safe‑haven flows into the yen remain robust.
The latest COT report for JPY shows that large speculators are building significant net-long positions in the yen. This strong positioning suggests that many institutional traders expect the yen to appreciate further.
Putting these pieces together, the outlook for EUR/JPY in the coming days appears to be bearish, as the strengthening yen is likely to put downward pressure on the pair.
Since EUR is mixed awaiting technicals to align with COT JPY before executing
EUR/JPY "The Yuppy" Forex Market Money Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰🐱👤✈️
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the EUR/JPY "The Yuppy" Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA breakout (161.000) then make your move - Bullish profits await!"
however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level.
📌I strongly advise you to set an alert on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
Stop Loss 🛑:
Thief SL placed at the recent/swing low or high level Using the 4H timeframe (158.000) swing trade basis.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 165.700 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Intermarket Analysis, Sentimental Outlook before start the plan.
EUR/JPY "The Yuppy" Forex market is currently experiencing a Bullish 🐃 trend,., driven by several key factors.
👉Fundamental Analysis
Fundamental analysis examines the economic and political factors driving currency value. For EUR/JPY, we focus on Eurozone vs. Japan.
👉Eurozone (EUR) Factors:
Interest Rates: Assume the European Central Bank (ECB) has maintained or raised rates by March 2025 to combat inflation or support growth. Higher rates attract capital inflows, strengthening EUR.
Inflation: If Eurozone inflation remains elevated (e.g., 2-3%), the ECB might tighten policy, supporting EUR.
GDP Growth: Strong growth (e.g., 2% annualized) signals economic health, boosting EUR.
Political Stability: Stable EU leadership and no major crises (e.g., elections or debt issues) favor EUR.
Trade Balance: A surplus in exports (e.g., German machinery) strengthens EUR.
👉Japan (JPY) Factors:
Interest Rates: The Bank of Japan (BoJ) historically keeps rates low or negative. If still near 0% or slightly positive by 2025, JPY remains weak.
Inflation: Japan’s chronic low inflation/deflation (e.g., 1%) limits JPY strength.
GDP Growth: Slow growth (e.g., 1%) due to aging population and export reliance weakens JPY.
Yen as Safe Haven: JPY gains during global risk-off events (e.g., wars, recessions). If 2025 is calm, JPY weakens.
Trade Balance: Japan’s export-driven economy (e.g., cars, tech) supports JPY if global demand holds.
Conclusion: At 160.000, EUR likely benefits from higher yields and growth, while JPY is pressured by low rates and risk-on sentiment.
👉Macroeconomic Factors
Macro trends influence long-term currency movements:
Global Growth: Strong global growth in 2025 favors risk assets, weakening JPY (a safe haven).
Commodity Prices: Rising oil/energy prices hurt Japan (net importer) more than the Eurozone, weakening JPY.
Central Bank Policies: ECB tightening vs. BoJ easing widens yield differentials, pushing EUR/JPY higher.
Geopolitics: Assume no major conflicts by March 2025; stability favors EUR over JPY.
Demographics: Japan’s aging population caps growth, while Eurozone’s diverse economies adapt better.
Conclusion: Macro trends lean bullish for EUR/JPY.
👉Global Market Analysis
Equity Markets: Rising global stocks (e.g., S&P 500, DAX) signal risk-on, weakening JPY.
Bond Yields: Higher Eurozone yields (e.g., German 10-year at 2.5%) vs. Japan’s (e.g., 0.5%) drive EUR strength.
FX Volatility: Low volatility favors carry trades (borrowing JPY to buy EUR), supporting EUR/JPY.
USD Impact: If USD weakens (e.g., Fed cuts rates), EUR may outperform JPY due to Eurozone resilience.
Conclusion: Risk-on global markets support a bullish EUR/JPY.
👉Commitment of Traders (COT) Data
COT reports show positioning of large speculators, commercials, and asset managers:
Speculators: If net long EUR/JPY increases (e.g., +50,000 contracts), it signals bullish sentiment.
Commercials: Hedgers shorting EUR/JPY (e.g., -30,000 contracts) suggest exporters locking in rates, a neutral signal.
Open Interest: Rising open interest with price indicates trend continuation (bullish if above 160.000).
Historical Context: Extreme positioning often precedes reversals; moderate longs suggest room to run.
Hypothetical Conclusion: Moderate bullish positioning supports further upside.
👉Intermarket Analysis
Intermarket relationships link forex to other assets:
EUR/JPY vs. Stocks: Positive correlation with risk assets (e.g., Nikkei 225, Euro Stoxx 50) favors bulls.
EUR/JPY vs. Yields: Strong correlation with Eurozone bond yields; rising yields push EUR/JPY up.
EUR/JPY vs. Gold: Inverse correlation; if gold falls (risk-on), EUR/JPY rises.
USD/JPY Impact: If USD/JPY rises (JPY weakens broadly), EUR/JPY follows suit.
Conclusion: Bullish intermarket signals align with EUR/JPY strength.
👉Quantitative Analysis
Quantitative models use data-driven metrics:
Interest Rate Differential: Assume ECB rate at 3% vs. BoJ at 0.5%; 2.5% differential favors EUR.
Purchasing Power Parity (PPP): Long-term fair value might be 140; at 160, EUR/JPY is overvalued but momentum-driven.
Volatility (ATR): Low 14-day ATR (e.g., 1.5) suggests steady uptrend, not exhaustion.
Moving Averages: If 50-day MA (e.g., 158) < 200-day MA (e.g., 155) < price (160), trend is bullish.
Conclusion: Quant metrics support a bullish bias.
👉Market Sentiment Analysis
Sentiment reflects trader psychology:
Retail Positioning: If 70% of retail traders are short EUR/JPY (per broker data), contrarian logic favors bulls.
News Flow: Positive Eurozone headlines (e.g., growth data) vs. neutral Japan news boost EUR.
Social Media (X): Assume X posts show optimism on EUR, pessimism on JPY carry trade unwind.
Conclusion: Sentiment leans bullish.
👉Positioning
Carry Trade: Low JPY rates make it a funding currency; longs in EUR/JPY profit from yield and appreciation.
Hedge Funds: Assume funds are net long EUR/JPY, per COT or market rumors.
Central Banks: BoJ intervention unlikely unless EUR/JPY spikes (e.g., to 170).
Conclusion: Positioning favors bulls.
👉Next Trend Move
Technical Levels: Resistance at 162.000, support at 158.000. Break above 162 signals strong bulls.
Catalysts: ECB hawkish statement or BoJ dovishness could push EUR/JPY to 165.000.
Risks: Sudden risk-off (e.g., stock crash) could drop it to 155.000.
Prediction: Uptrend to 162-165, barring shocks.
👉Overall Summary Outlook
Bullish Factors: ECB tightening, BoJ easing, risk-on markets, yield differentials, bullish positioning.
Bearish Risks: Global risk-off, BoJ intervention, or EUR overvaluation correction.
Outlook: Bullish. EUR/JPY likely rises to 162-165 by Q2 2025, assuming stability. Watch for reversals if risk sentiment shifts.
Real-Time Market Feed (Simulated)
Since I can’t access live data, here’s a hypothetical snapshot as of March 10, 2025, 12:00 UTC:
Bid/Ask: 159.980 / 160.020
1-Hour Change: +0.150 (+0.09%)
Daily High/Low: 160.300 / 159.700
Volume: Moderate, carry trade-driven.
👉Future Prediction
Short-Term : Bullish to 162-166.
Long-Term : Depends on global risk and policy shifts; potential correction to 150 if JPY strengthens.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
EUR/JPY NEXT MOVESell after bearish candle stick pattern, buy after bullish candle stick pattern....
Best bullish pattern , engulfing candle or green hammer
Best bearish pattern , engulfing candle or red shooting star
NOTE: IF YOU CAN'T SEE ANY OF TOP PATTERN IN THE ZONE DO NOT ENTER
Stop lost before pattern
R/R %1/%3
Trade in 5 Min Timeframe, use signals for scalping