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JAPANESE YEN / BRITISH POUND

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JPYGBP trade ideas

Lingrid | GBPJPY potential Short-Term RetracementFX:GBPJPY broke above the March high but immediately reversed, forming a fake breakout paired with bearish divergence. This signals potential exhaustion as the pair sits near the upper boundary of the resistance zone. A pullback toward 194.200 or deeper into the 192 area appears increasingly likely. 📌 Key Levels Support level: 192.338 Invalidation level: Above 196.500 Target area: 194.200 and possibly 192.338 ⚠️ Risks Continued bullish pressure could invalidate the bearish reversal setup A sustained hold above 196 would point to trend continuation toward 198+ Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Short
by Lingrid
7
GBPJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W20 D14 Y25GBPJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W20 D14 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly order block rejection ✅Daily order block rejection ✅Intraday 15' order blocks ✅Gap fill 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
GBPJPY H4 | Bullish Bounce Off Based on the H4 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 193.70, a pullback support that aligns close to the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Our take profit is set at 196.99, a pullback resistance. The stop loss is placed at 191.70 , a pullback support level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by Tradu
EDUCATION: Why I’m Still in the GBPJPY TradeWhy I’m Still in the GBPJPY Trade—Even After Hitting the Target Most traders hit a target and run. And honestly? That’s fine. But this time, we’re doing something different. Our GBPJPY trade—entered at 188.813 with a target at 195.170—just did what many doubted: it hit the target. That’s over 630 pips of calculated risk, patience, and pure follow-through. But instead of closing the position and patting ourselves on the back, we’re letting it run. Here’s why: 1. Momentum Isn’t Slowing Down Price action is bullish. Higher highs, clean structure, and no major signs of reversal yet. When the market is walking in your favor, don’t interrupt it just to feel “right.” 2. Smart Traders Let Their Winners Run It’s not just a quote—it’s a survival skill in trading. Letting profits develop is how you avoid the trap of small wins and big losses. This trade is still showing strength, and we’re adapting with it. 3. The Higher Timeframe Story Still Has Room On the daily and weekly charts, GBPJPY could still reach into extended zones. With fundamentals aligning and technicals confirming, why leave early? A Quick Recap: Entry: 188.813 Original Target: 195.170 ✅ Current Action: Letting it ride 🚀 Lessons from This Trade: A plan should include the possibility of more than just your first target. Exit strategy matters just as much as entry. Emotional discipline separates reactive traders from real ones. Would you stay in the trade or take the money and bounce? Let me know—because this is the part where traders split into two camps: the ones who close too early... and the ones who play the full game. Watch the full trade update and analysis now on YouTube.
Long
by TLTurnerTV
GBPJPY Trade Update: New Month, New Momentum?As we flip the calendar into a new month, our GBPJPY swing trade has shown solid progress—reaching 193.030, just over halfway to our final target at 195.170. Originally entered at 188.813, this move has delivered over 400 pips so far, validating the analysis behind the setup. In this phase of the trade, it’s less about jumping to adjust and more about staying focused on trade management and letting the market reveal its next intention. Price is approaching a key zone of interest where momentum often stalls or accelerates, and we’re watching closely for signs of strength—or hesitation. Key insights from this phase of the trade: The power of planning your exit with as much precision as your entry. How end-of-month and new-month flows can trigger volatility. When to lock in partial profits and when to stay patient. With strong bullish structure still intact, the GBPJPY pair is giving us every reason to stay in the trade, eyes on the 195.170 target. Would you hold or secure the bag here? Let me know how you’d play it from this point forward. 📺 Full breakdown and next steps now in the video!
Long
by TLTurnerTV
GBP/JPY Breaks Above 196.00! Continuation or Distribution?Detailed Techno-Macro Analysis – GBP/JPY GBP/JPY has just completed a significant weekly structure breakout, pushing through a key supply zone between 195.00 and 196.30 — an area that historically acted as strong resistance. The breakout occurred via a high-volatility daily candle that closed above the zone, indicating strong bullish pressure. 🔍 Structure & Price Action Price action shows higher lows and higher highs: a clearly defined bullish structure. The breakout originated from an accumulation base, following a false bearish breakout below 188.50 (bull trap). RSI is around 70 on the daily timeframe → strong momentum, but signs of potential exhaustion. 🧠 Key Zones Identified Current weekly supply: 195.00 – 196.80 (being tested) Next resistance: 198.70 – 199.50 (swing high and monthly level) Immediate support: 194.00 – 192.80 (ideal area for pullback and long setups) Structural support: 190.50 – 188.80 Invalidation: Daily close below 191.00 → potential reversal signal 📈 Macro & Fundamental Context 🇬🇧 UK Macro Update Wages rising: +5.5% (above expectations) → could support further monetary tightening Claimant count increasing → early weakness in the labor market Mixed data, but wage growth bias favors GBP strength 🇯🇵 JPY Still Weak BoJ remains ultra-accommodative Verbal interventions from Japanese officials haven’t yet had structural impact 🪙 Retail Sentiment 70% of retail traders are short GBP/JPY, with an average price of 190.59 Only 30% are long, with an average price of 194.65 ➡️ Current price (196.30) is above both → retail squeeze in play. Contrarian setup confirmed. 🧾 COT Report GBP (Non-Commercial Speculators): Long: +3,320 contracts Short: -1,956 contracts ➡️ Net long positions increasing → favorable institutional exposure JPY: Mixed positions, with increases in both long and short → institutional neutrality on the yen 📅 Seasonality – GBP/JPY May is historically bearish on both 5Y and 20Y timeframes: 5Y: -2.52% 20Y: -0.43% Only the 2Y pattern shows a positive return ➡️ Negative seasonality vs. bullish technical structure → conflict worth watching 🔍 Execution Summary The bullish breakout is strong and supported by sentiment and institutional positioning, but price is now entering a potential distribution zone, where profit-taking could increase. 👉 Main scenario: technical pullback toward 194.00–192.80 for possible long entries, targeting 198.50–199.50 👉 Alternative scenario: daily close below 191.00 → bias reversal and bearish continuation
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
6
GBPJPY ChoCh + Order Block = Bearish Liquidity Hunt Setup 🧠 Smart Money Breakdown: GBPJPY | 30-Min Chart This is one of those A+ textbook SMC setups where Smart Money is likely loading shorts before the next liquidity raid. Let’s break it down: 🔄 1. Change of Character (ChoCh) Market flipped structure cleanly, printing a ChoCh below a key internal low. That’s our signal that Smart Money is likely done accumulating and prepping for a distribution move. 🟪 2. Order Block + Premium Price Zone Price is retracing into a well-defined bearish Order Block right inside a premium zone. This OB sits just below a Strong High at 195.855 — a clear inducement level. Retail traders will chase that high... and get wrecked. You’ll notice that OB is marked around 195.341–195.600 — right where liquidity pools stack. 🧲 3. Target: Weak Low at 193.640 Smart Money doesn’t care about patterns. It wants liquidity — and there’s a juicy Weak Low sitting at 193.640 waiting to be swept. 📐 4. Trade Setup Idea (R:R Approx. 4:1) 🔼 Entry Zone: 195.300–195.500 ❌ Stop Loss: Just above Strong High: 195.880 ✅ Target: 193.640 (liquidity sweep) This setup gives you a tight stop and a wide target — just how SMC likes it. 🎯 Execution Tip: Wait for: Rejection wick inside OB Bearish engulfing confirmation BOS on lower timeframe before entering Partial TP at mid-FVG or 194.200. Let the rest run. 📎 Confluences: ✅ ChoCh ✅ Bearish OB ✅ Rejection from premium pricing ✅ Clear inducement above Strong High ✅ Weak low as draw-on-liquidity ⚠️ Risk Reminder: Don’t front-run the OB. Let price come to you. Watch how Smart Money manipulates before you execute. Confirmation > prediction. 🔚 Summary: GBPJPY is set for a bearish redistribution move. The structure shift, clean OB, and weak low target all scream “trap above, raid below.” You’re either trading with Smart Money… or you’re the liquidity. 💬 Drop “🎯” if you’re targeting the same liquidity level. 📉 Follow @ChartNinjas88 for more deadly-accurate setups. 🚨 Tag a friend who keeps buying into strong highs 😅
Short
by ChartNinjas88
GBPJPY DAILY ANALYSIS $$$OANDA:GBPJPY 1H : Bullish BOS + OB + IMB 15m : Bearish MSS + OB + IMB EXPECTION : The price is currently inside the 15-minute zone and if it confirms, I will definitely share it with you in private. Don't forget to follow and like. 1: The price will fall from here. With confirmation, of course, it is more likely because there is a gap at the bottom and the gap must be filled, but enter the sale with low risk because the trend is bullish in higher time frames. 2: If the 15-minute zone breaks and becomes bullish, we will wait for the price to retest for a buy trade.
by aryaaparsii
GBPJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W20 D13 Y25GBPJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W20 D13 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly order block rejection ✅Daily order block rejection ✅Intraday 15' order blocks ✅Gap fill 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
GBPUSD - SHORTI'm currently holding a bearish bias on GBP/JPY, anticipating a short-term correction after recent overbought conditions. Price action shows signs of exhaustion, and I'm expecting a move downward to fill the Fair Value Gaps (FVG) left behind during the previous bullish impulse. Trade Rationale: Overbought Conditions: After a strong upside move, price has reached a zone where buyers are losing momentum, hinting at a potential reversal or pullback. Imbalance/FVG Zones: Clear inefficiencies exist below current price levels, and I expect the market to retrace to fill these imbalances as part of its natural rebalancing. Structure & Supply: The market is showing reaction near a significant supply zone, which could act as the catalyst for bearish continuation. Target Zones: TP1: First demand zone where minor support may form — partials can be taken here. TP2: Deeper demand zone aligned with previous consolidation — a high-probability area for price to react and potentially reverse or consolidate again. Risk Management: Stops are placed just above recent highs, invalidating the idea if the market breaks structure and continues bullish. The setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio aligned with smart money concepts like imbalance fills and demand/supply reactions. 📉 Plan: Waiting for clear bearish confirmation (e.g., lower timeframe break of structure) before fully committing to the short position.
Short
by Forextify