GBPJPY BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISGBPJPY has successfully broken out of a long-term descending trendline on the 3D timeframe, which had capped price action for months. The breakout is now confirmed with multiple candle closes above the trendline and a retest holding firm around 190.500. This shift in structure signals a major bullish reversal, and I’m now targeting the 199.600 level as the next potential upside objective.
From a fundamental perspective, the British pound is strengthening amid persistent inflationary pressures in the UK, which are keeping the Bank of England firmly in the hawkish camp. With CPI still elevated and wage growth remaining sticky, the BoE has little room to cut rates aggressively anytime soon. In contrast, the Bank of Japan continues to hold a dovish tone with ultra-accommodative monetary policy, offering a wide interest rate differential that favors GBP longs, especially in carry trade setups.
Technically, this setup offers a clean risk-reward profile. The breakout above the descending structure combined with a strong support zone around 190.500 gives this move a solid foundation. We’re seeing momentum build with higher highs and higher lows forming across multiple timeframes. As long as GBPJPY holds above the 190.000 zone, the bullish bias remains valid and the path toward 199.600 looks open and sustainable.
Traders should keep a close eye on short-term pullbacks as potential re-entry zones. With a macro tailwind behind GBP strength and continued JPY weakness, this pair is primed for further upside. I’m riding this bullish wave with a medium-term outlook and adjusting my position based on intraday market behavior.
