JPYGBP trade ideas
YEN WEAKENS ON UEDA’S DOVISH CAUTION;WHILE GBPJPY SLIDES TO
During governor Kazuo Ueda’s speech on Tuesday, he emphasized that the central bank would raise interest rates once it is convinced enough that economic and price growth will re-accelerate after a period of stagnation.
He further signaled the central bank will continue to taper its huge bond buying even after an existing plan running through March expires, underscoring its resolve to stay on course for a slow but steady withdrawal of ultra-easy policy.
The Bank governor further highlighted the challenges posed by higher U.S. tariffs, which could reduce exports, hamper corporate profits, and impact wage growth and consumer sentiment. Despite headline inflation reaching 4.6% in April, above the BOJ's 2% target the central bank maintains low interest rates at 0.50%, expecting food price inflation to ease.
Ueda's remarks led to a depreciation of the yen, as markets interpreted his cautious stance as a sign that immediate rate hikes are unlikely. As at the time of writing, the yen is down by 0.08%, and the GBP by 0.14%.
TECHNICAL VIEW:
From technical perspective, GBPJPY remains in a short-term downtrend on the 2-hour chart. The pair is currently trading at 193.16 and down by 0.07% as at 02:25PM GMT+4. Meanwhile, the pair found support near 192.56, with the RSI hovering around 38.6. The emergence of a bearish hidden divergence suggests there may still be further downside potential. If the bearish momentum continues, technicians expect price to tank further with potential target around 192.56, 191.88 and then 190.86. On the flipside, a bullish rally would likely usher in potential targets around 193.86, 194.65 and 196.18 according to analysts. Break out of these levels are possible.
GBPJPYGBPJPY price has a chance to test the support zone 192.349-192.002. If the price cannot break through the 192.002 level, it is expected that in the short term, there is a chance that the price will rebound. Consider buying the red zone.
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GBPJPY H4 | Bearish Fall Based on the H4 chart, the price has just reacted off our sell entry level at 194.99, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fib retracement.
Our take profit is set at 193.38 a pullback support.
The stop loss is set at 196.42, a swing high resistance.
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GBPJPY 15-min chart setup✅ What I Like:
Liquidity Sweep at 195.000: Price ran buy-side liquidity above a clear psychological level and showed signs of rejection — classic manipulation.
FVG + Premium Retracement: The short setup aligns with an entry around the 0.618–0.75 retracement zone of the recent leg up, which is also inside a fair value gap.
Timing
🔻 Concerns:
Momentum: The bullish impulse leading to 195.000 was strong. If no displacement confirms the move down, price may consolidate or go higher.
No Strong Break of Structure Yet: To validate full bearish intent, I'd prefer to see a solid break below a recent short-term low (market structure shift).
GBPJPY preps for the breakoutThe interesting storyline may be developing around Japanese Yen and its cross-pairs (especially against European currencies). GBPJPY, for example, is concentrating inside of a massive trading range, as volatility for this pair has dropped to a one-year low.
Yields of 30-year bonds for Japan has been peaking to a historical high, but now they start to rebound. The net position of large speculators for Japanese Yen futures on COT-reports seem to point to the overleveraged situation, which might result to quick unloading of longs and Yen sliding down quickly, which may result in a shakeout of a volatility and rapid breakouts for GBPJPY and similar pairs.
Don't forget - this is just the idea, always do your own research and never forget to manage your risk!
Gbp/Jpy Intra-Day Analysis 30-May-2025Disclaimer: easyMarkets Account on TradingView allows you to combine easyMarkets industry leading conditions, regulated trading and tight fixed spreads with TradingView's powerful social network for traders, advanced charting and analytics. Access no slippage on limit orders, tight fixed spreads, negative balance protection, no hidden fees or commission, and seamless integration.
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GBPJPY Is Very Bullish! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for GBPJPY.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 193.933.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 195.006 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Update GJ 1H June 3rd. Buy/SellPrice bounced around 192.50 — waited for confirmation and entered a buy (200+ pips profit). Now I'm watching the 1H. For a new buy opportunity, I’ll wait until tomorrow morning. In the meantime, I’ve placed a sell limit order at 195.15.
Knowing how the market moves, where price wants to go, and which levels it reacts to — that’s my skill. But anticipating it… that’s my true specialty.
Remember: the market is always right!
GJ-Wed-4/06/25 TDA-GJ strong push, will it continue?Analysis done directly on the chart
Follow for more, possible live trades update!
Trading is not easy, there are so many factors,
variants that influence the price movement.
Generally when big moves happen, it is caused
by big news, important speeches, flash news.
Markets don't move randomly, it's really important
to understand why price had this particular move,
at that specific time and ask why.
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
GJ-Fri-6/06/25 TDA-Money flowing out of safe have assets, YEN!Analysis done directly on the chart
Follow for more, possible live trades update!
For those who don't understand safe haven assets
like YEN-Gold, it's gonna be really difficult to trade
these pairs.
These assets are heavily influenced by global events,
global tensions, trade wars, crisis.
Active in London session!
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
GBPJPY Hello traders,
I'd like to share the first trade of the day with you. The setup is a Buy trade on the GBPJPY pair.
Today is the last trading day of the week and we have major economic events on the calendar, including:
🔹 Average Hourly Earnings (MoM)
🔹 Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP)
🔹 Unemployment Rate
So it's wise to remain cautious while executing trades today.
🔍 Trade Details
✔️ Timeframe: 15-Minute
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:1(me) /1:1.50
✔️ Trade Direction: Buy
✔️ Entry Price: 195.054
✔️ Take Profit: 195.403
✔️ Stop Loss: 194.985
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’ve taken based on my personal trading system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes.
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Bullish bounce?GBP/JPY is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 100% Fibonacci projection and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 191.97
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 100% Fibonacci projection.
Stop loss: 190.39
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 196.27
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GBPJPY Under Pressure! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for GBPJPY below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 195.26
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 194.44
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK