GBP/JPY – Rejection at Resistance! Bears Ready to Strike?GBP/JPY has surged into a key resistance zone around 191.200, where price has previously reacted strongly. A rising wedge pattern and bearish rejection candle suggest a potential reversal is underway. I’ve entered a short position at 191.046, anticipating a drop back toward the 189.900 demand zone.
This setup offers a clean 1:3 risk-to-reward with confluence from structure, trendlines, and momentum shift.
Trade Details:
• Entry: 191.046
• Stop Loss: 191.445 (above resistance)
• Take Profit: 189.926 (previous demand/support zone)
• Bias: Bearish reversal
• Timeframe: 30m
Let’s see if the bears take control!
JPYGBP trade ideas
GBP/JPY Price Action Update – April 25, 2025📊GBP/JPY Price Action Update – April 25, 2025
🔹Current Price: 191.199
🔹Timeframe: 15M
📌Key Supply Zone (Resistance):
🔴192.000–192.400 – Major Intraday Supply Zone (expect rejection or reaction)
📌Key Demand Zone (Support):
🟢190.600–190.800 – Strong Demand Zone (previous bullish rally base)
📈Bullish Outlook:
Price is recovering from the 190.600–190.800 demand zone. A break above 191.400 could fuel further bullish momentum toward the 192.000–192.400 supply area. Watch for bullish continuation patterns.
📉Bearish Outlook:
If price faces resistance below 191.400 and fails to continue higher, a pullback toward the 190.800 zone is possible. Watch for strong rejection candles at key levels.
⚡Trade Setup Tip:
✅Buy on demand zone retests or bullish break above 191.400
✅Target partial profits near 192.000
✅Use tight SL below the latest bullish push for safe R:R
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GBPJPY Bullish Setup: Demand Zone Hold and COT Support
Price action on GBPJPY is currently respecting a key demand zone around 190.00. After a strong bullish impulse and a corrective pullback, the pair is now showing signs of continuation.
The volume profile shows significant accumulation below, supporting the idea of a strong base for further upside movement.
Additionally, the latest Commitments of Traders (COT) report indicates an increase in long positions and a reduction in shorts among noncommercial traders, suggesting a bullish sentiment in GBP.
Plan:
• Watching for continued bullish momentum above 190.00–190.50.
• Targeting a breakout towards 193.00 and above.
• Invalidation if price closes significantly below the 190.00 zone.
Key Points:
• Strong demand zone holding.
• Bullish COT data.
• Higher highs and higher lows structure.
Risk Management:
• Stop loss below the demand zone.
• Partial profits along the way.
Anticipating LTF Pullback After Daily Bullish Breakout Daily is strong bullish. Price has managed to close above the high. so exp. of counter pullback with LTF confirmation
4hr internal / fractal trend is bullish currently price is at the area of bullish continuation zone, If price managed to shift the structure to bearish that is the indication of MSS.
GBPJPY: B- tradeA page from my trading journal. Please take it with a grain of salt, as I’m still learning and growing 🌟
FOMO chase the trade last week and I took the lost... really, be patient this is after all a waiting game.
trend is strong but overextended. Only countertrend with clear signal bar after spike + climax structure
GBP/JPY full Elite Validity Check
Current Price (bid/ask) & Spread** | **191.26 / 191.29
Timestamp (EST)** | 2025-04-27 00:42 |
Risk-Level Tag | **Medium** (post-week-end gaps possible) |
Bias Confirmation Checklist** | **HTF trend ✅ • Confluence ✅ • Fundamentals ⚠️** |
Trade-Confidence | **Technical Edge High / Event Risk Low ⇒ Overall High** |
---
## 1️⃣ Technical Outlook
* **Weekly & Daily:** clear series of higher highs/lows since March; price holding above 20-DMA (189.90)
* **H4:** bullish channel; last impulsive leg 190.00 → 191.75, minor pullback now testing 190.80 structure support.
* **Structure & Liquidity:** clean OB @ 190.00-190.20; equal-high liquidity pool 192.50-192.70 waiting above.
* **Volume Confirmation:** Friday NY close printed +32 % vs. 20-day H4 average, validating breakout.
3️⃣ Indicators Snapshot
* **RSI (14) H4:** **60.3** — healthy momentum, not overbought
* **MACD D1:** histogram expanding ↑, signal above zero (bullish)
* **ATR (14) H1:** **≈ 30 pips**
* **Tick/Vol:** last breakout candle = +32 % vs. average
---
## 4️⃣ Fundamental & Sentiment Radar
| **Upcoming 48 h Events** | *None* for GBP or JPY until BOJ Core CPI (Tue 19:00 EST) – outside 24 h window | **COT Snapshot** | Spec longs in JPY futures remain net-short (-54 k contracts) – weak yen backdrop (
| **Retail Sentiment** | IG sentiment: ~63 % shorts → contrarian bullish bias (page cached) |
| **Risk Mood** | Nikkei 225 up 0.8 % last session; global equity tone supportive of risk-on crosses
| **Dollar Index (DXY)** | Flat at 99.58; neutral spill-over (
| **Currency Strength** | OANDA meter: GBP strong +/ JPY weak - (top-right quadrant) (
---
## 5️⃣ Market Drivers & News Black-Out Zones
* **Red-Flag Windows:** BOJ Core CPI Tue 19:00 EST; Fed speakers Wed AM — no new entries inside 6 h.
* **Intervention Risk:** None flagged (MoF silent; ¥150 line well above) (
---
## 6️⃣ Trade Considerations (BEES v2)
* **Entry Trigger:** M15 bullish engulf from 190.00-190.20 **with > 20 % vol spike**.
* **Rejection Filters:** avoid round-number chop at 191.00 if Asia stalls; skip if RSI H1 > 75.
## 8️⃣ Execution Checklist
- ☑ HTF trend aligned (W1/D1 up)
- ☑ Trigger vol > 20 %
- ☑ Outside 6 h red-flag window
- ☑ Confidence = **High**
- ☑ Price not inside 50 -pip no-trade zone
---
## 9️⃣ Smart Flow & Volatility Map
```mermaid
flowchart LR
Bias(Long) --> Trigger(M15 engulf + vol)
Trigger --> Entry
Entry --> SL & TP
SL & TP --> Manage(Trail after TP1)
Manage --> Exit
```
*Avg pip ranges:* Asia 45 | London 110 | NY 85 — best momentum **03-06 EST**.
---
## 🔟 Scenario Planner
| Path | Description | RR |
|---|---|---|
| **A – Clean Move** | London sweep 190 → drive to 192.50 | **1 : 3** |
| **B – Deep Pullback** | Fake-break 189.80 then bounce | 1 : 2 |
| **C – Failure** | H4 close < 189.50 ⇒ flip bias short | -1 R |
---
## ✅ Final Recommendation
**Directional Bias:** **Long** GBP / JPY
**Go / No-Go:** **YES** — Score 9 / 10 (meets BEES, fundamentals supportive; event risk low).
**Mindset Reminder:** “Plan the trade, trade the plan — if volume & trigger don’t align, walk away.”
---
GJ Potential to the Upside On the daily chart GJ is is in a overall downtrend and we have seen the formation of the lower low formed i am targetting the possible next Lower High i will be entering based on Buystop order with small volume once trade starts to play out will enter with larger postion size
also noted Sl is quite large for now with volume size as we know this pair has quite a large range it can play before moving
GBP/JPY TRADE ALERT!
GBP/JPY TRADE ALERT!
Potential Trend Reversal Ahead!
Current External Trend: BULLISH
Do you agree with our Daily Time Frame Forecast?
Market has given a CIDS (Candlestick Inside Day Setup), we'll enter after retesting CIDS.
Get ready to trade!
Potential Trend Reversal Ahead!
Current External Trend: BULLISH
Do you agree with our Daily Time Frame Forecast?
Market has given a CIDS (Candlestick Inside Day Setup), we'll enter after retesting CIDS.
Get ready to trade!
GJ-Fri-25/04/25 TDA-Great pump, patience paid off!Analysis done directly on the chart
Treat trading as business. We all start from
losing money (I like to think it as a tuition fees),
but if in exchange you'll earn the skill, the experience,
will likely to pay off in the long term. Same as if you
want to study to become doctor, engineer or whatever.
From somewhere we have to start, nothing is gained
miraculously.
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
GBPJPY on the Launchpad – Retrace Before the Blast?
Description:
GBPJPY has broken structure and is respecting the ascending trendline with strong bullish momentum. Price is currently pushing higher but may retest the demand zone around 189.800 – 190.100 before launching toward the 195.000+ supply area.
Volume profile shows heavy accumulation below, adding confluence to the potential bullish continuation.
Trade Idea:
Entry: On a pullback to the green demand zone
SL: Below 189.500
TP: 195.000+
Bias: Bullish continuation following trendline support + demand reaction
Eyes on the retest — buying the dip could be golden.
GBP/JPY Hourly Analysis & Scalping Perspective 10:30pm 4/24Looking at the GBP/JPY 1-hour chart, I see price currently hovering around 190.164, showing mild bullish momentum but still respecting key resistance levels. Here’s my breakdown:
Market Structure & Key Zones:
Price has been bouncing between 190.00 and 190.40, suggesting a short-term consolidation phase.
190.30-190.40 is acting as a liquidity zone—if buyers can push through this level, we could see upside toward 190.60-190.75.
On the flip side, 190.00 remains a psychological support level, and a break below it could lead to a sweep toward 189.70-189.50, where previous demand has existed.
Momentum Indicators:
RSI (1-hour): 45.09 → Momentum is neutral, meaning price isn’t aggressively overbought or oversold.
CCI (1-hour): 81.05 → Mild bullish strength, but nothing parabolic yet.
Stochastic RSI (1-hour): 100.0 → This is overbought, which signals a possible pullback before further upside.
Directional Strength:
ADX (1-hour): 13.28 → Weak trend strength, confirming the possibility of range-bound movement.
DX (1-hour): 3.67 → Not an explosive directional move yet, meaning a breakout needs confirmation.
Scalping Plan:
Bullish Play: If price breaks 190.40, my next upside targets are 190.60-190.75.
Bearish Play: A rejection from 190.30-190.40 could drive price back toward 190.00 or lower.
Liquidity Grab Scenario: If price sweeps below 190.00, institutional absorption might trigger a strong reversal, making 189.70-189.50 a potential buying zone.
At this point, I’m watching price action closely—especially around 190.30—for signs of buyer exhaustion or a sudden momentum shift. Would I enter a trade right now? Not just yet. I’d want further confirmation, possibly volume profile analysis, to see if institutions are positioned for continuation or a reversal.